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 Statistical Learning


On Adversarial Bias and the Robustness of Fair Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Optimizing prediction accuracy can come at the expense of fairness. Towards minimizing discrimination against a group, fair machine learning algorithms strive to equalize the behavior of a model across different groups, by imposing a fairness constraint on models. However, we show that giving the same importance to groups of different sizes and distributions, to counteract the effect of bias in training data, can be in conflict with robustness. We analyze data poisoning attacks against group-based fair machine learning, with the focus on equalized odds. An adversary who can control sampling or labeling for a fraction of training data, can reduce the test accuracy significantly beyond what he can achieve on unconstrained models. Adversarial sampling and adversarial labeling attacks can also worsen the model's fairness gap on test data, even though the model satisfies the fairness constraint on training data. We analyze the robustness of fair machine learning through an empirical evaluation of attacks on multiple algorithms and benchmark datasets.


Temporal Phenotyping using Deep Predictive Clustering of Disease Progression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Due to the wider availability of modern electronic health records, patient care data is often being stored in the form of time-series. Clustering such time-series data is crucial for patient phenotyping, anticipating patients' prognoses by identifying "similar" patients, and designing treatment guidelines that are tailored to homogeneous patient subgroups. In this paper, we develop a deep learning approach for clustering time-series data, where each cluster comprises patients who share similar future outcomes of interest (e.g., adverse events, the onset of comorbidities). To encourage each cluster to have homogeneous future outcomes, the clustering is carried out by learning discrete representations that best describe the future outcome distribution based on novel loss functions. Experiments on two real-world datasets show that our model achieves superior clustering performance over state-of-the-art benchmarks and identifies meaningful clusters that can be translated into actionable information for clinical decision-making.


Assumption-lean inference for generalised linear model parameters

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Inference for the parameters indexing generalised linear models is routinely based on the assumption that the model is correct and a priori specified. This is unsatisfactory because the chosen model is usually the result of a data-adaptive model selection process, which may induce excess uncertainty that is not usually acknowledged. Moreover, the assumptions encoded in the chosen model rarely represent some a priori known, ground truth, making standard inferences prone to bias, but also failing to give a pure reflection of the information that is contained in the data. Inspired by developments on assumption-free inference for so-called projection parameters, we here propose novel nonparametric definitions of main effect estimands and effect modification estimands. These reduce to standard main effect and effect modification parameters in generalised linear models when these models are correctly specified, but have the advantage that they continue to capture respectively the primary (conditional) association between two variables, or the degree to which two variables interact (in a statistical sense) in their effect on outcome, even when these models are misspecified. We achieve an assumption-lean inference for these estimands (and thus for the underlying regression parameters) by deriving their influence curve under the nonparametric model and invoking flexible data-adaptive (e.g., machine learning) procedures.


On the Preservation of Spatio-temporal Information in Machine Learning Applications

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In conventional machine learning applications, each data attribute is assumed to be orthogonal to others. Namely, every pair of dimension is orthogonal to each other and thus there is no distinction of in-between relations of dimensions. However, this is certainly not the case in real world signals which naturally originate from a spatio-temporal configuration. As a result, the conventional vectorization process disrupts all of the spatio-temporal information about the order/place of data whether it be $1$D, $2$D, $3$D, or $4$D. In this paper, the problem of orthogonality is first investigated through conventional $k$-means of images, where images are to be processed as vectors. As a solution, shift-invariant $k$-means is proposed in a novel framework with the help of sparse representations. A generalization of shift-invariant $k$-means, convolutional dictionary learning, is then utilized as an unsupervised feature extraction method for classification. Experiments suggest that Gabor feature extraction as a simulation of shallow convolutional neural networks provides a little better performance compared to convolutional dictionary learning. Many alternatives of convolutional-logic are also discussed for spatio-temporal information preservation, including a spatio-temporal hypercomplex encoding scheme.


Cryptotree: fast and accurate predictions on encrypted structured data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Applying machine learning algorithms to private data, such as financial or medical data, while preserving their confidentiality, is a difficult task. Homomorphic Encryption (HE) is acknowledged for its ability to allow computation on encrypted data, where both the input and output are encrypted, which therefore enables secure inference on private data. Nonetheless, because of the constraints of HE, such as its inability to evaluate non-polynomial functions or to perform arbitrary matrix multiplication efficiently, only inference of linear models seem usable in practice in the HE paradigm so far. In this paper, we propose Cryptotree, a framework that enables the use of Random Forests (RF), a very powerful learning procedure compared to linear regression, in the context of HE. To this aim, we first convert a regular RF to a Neural RF, then adapt this to fit the HE scheme CKKS, which allows HE operations on real values. Through SIMD operations, we are able to have quick inference and prediction results better than the original RF on encrypted data.


Robust Locality-Aware Regression for Labeled Data Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With the dramatic increase of dimensions in the data representation, extracting latent low-dimensional features becomes of the utmost importance for efficient classification. Aiming at the problems of unclear margin representation and difficulty in revealing the data manifold structure in most of the existing linear discriminant methods, we propose a new discriminant feature extraction framework, namely Robust Locality-Aware Regression (RLAR). In our model, we introduce a retargeted regression to perform the marginal representation learning adaptively instead of using the general average inter-class margin. Besides, we formulate a new strategy for enhancing the local intra-class compactness of the data manifold, which can achieve the joint learning of locality-aware graph structure and desirable projection matrix. To alleviate the disturbance of outliers and prevent overfitting, we measure the regression term and locality-aware term together with the regularization term by the L2,1 norm. Further, forcing the row sparsity on the projection matrix through the L2,1 norm achieves the cooperation of feature selection and feature extraction. Then, we derive an effective iterative algorithm for solving the proposed model. The experimental results over a range of UCI data sets and other benchmark databases demonstrate that the proposed RLAR outperforms some state-of-the-art approaches.


GS-WGAN: A Gradient-Sanitized Approach for Learning Differentially Private Generators

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The wide-spread availability of rich data has fueled the growth of machine learning applications in numerous domains. However, growth in domains with highly-sensitive data (e.g., medical) is largely hindered as the private nature of data prohibits it from being shared. To this end, we propose Gradient-sanitized Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks (GS-WGAN), which allows releasing a sanitized form of the sensitive data with rigorous privacy guarantees. In contrast to prior work, our approach is able to distort gradient information more precisely, and thereby enabling training deeper models which generate more informative samples. Moreover, our formulation naturally allows for training GANs in both centralized and federated (i.e., decentralized) data scenarios. Through extensive experiments, we find our approach consistently outperforms state-of-the-art approaches across multiple metrics (e.g., sample quality) and datasets.


Robust Federated Recommendation System

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Federated recommendation systems can provide good performance without collecting users' private data, making them attractive. However, they are susceptible to low-cost poisoning attacks that can degrade their performance. In this paper, we develop a novel federated recommendation technique that is robust against the poisoning attack where Byzantine clients prevail. We argue that the key to Byzantine detection is monitoring of gradients of the model parameters of clients. We then propose a robust learning strategy where instead of using model parameters, the central server computes and utilizes the gradients to filter out Byzantine clients. Theoretically, we justify our robust learning strategy by our proposed definition of Byzantine resilience. Empirically, we confirm the efficacy of our robust learning strategy employing four datasets in a federated recommendation system.


Hyperbolic Neural Networks++

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hyperbolic spaces, which have the capacity to embed tree structures without distortion owing to their exponential volume growth, have recently been applied to machine learning to better capture the hierarchical nature of data. In this study, we reconsider a way to generalize the fundamental components of neural networks in a single hyperbolic geometry model, and propose novel methodologies to construct a multinomial logistic regression, fully-connected layers, convolutional layers, and attention mechanisms under a unified mathematical interpretation, without increasing the parameters. A series of experiments show the parameter efficiency of our methods compared to a conventional hyperbolic component, and stability and outperformance over their Euclidean counterparts.


Estimation of Skill Distributions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we study the problem of learning the skill distribution of a population of agents from observations of pairwise games in a tournament. These games are played among randomly drawn agents from the population. The agents in our model can be individuals, sports teams, or Wall Street fund managers. Formally, we postulate that the likelihoods of game outcomes are governed by the Bradley-Terry-Luce (or multinomial logit) model, where the probability of an agent beating another is the ratio between its skill level and the pairwise sum of skill levels, and the skill parameters are drawn from an unknown skill density of interest. The problem is, in essence, to learn a distribution from noisy, quantized observations. We propose a simple and tractable algorithm that learns the skill density with near-optimal minimax mean squared error scaling as $n^{-1+\varepsilon}$, for any $\varepsilon>0$, when the density is smooth. Our approach brings together prior work on learning skill parameters from pairwise comparisons with kernel density estimation from non-parametric statistics. Furthermore, we prove minimax lower bounds which establish minimax optimality of the skill parameter estimation technique used in our algorithm. These bounds utilize a continuum version of Fano's method along with a covering argument. We apply our algorithm to various soccer leagues and world cups, cricket world cups, and mutual funds. We find that the entropy of a learnt distribution provides a quantitative measure of skill, which provides rigorous explanations for popular beliefs about perceived qualities of sporting events, e.g., soccer league rankings. Finally, we apply our method to assess the skill distributions of mutual funds. Our results shed light on the abundance of low quality funds prior to the Great Recession of 2008, and the domination of the industry by more skilled funds after the financial crisis.