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 Statistical Learning


Stochastic Optimization for Performative Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In performative prediction, the choice of a model influences the distribution of future data, typically through actions taken based on the model's predictions. We initiate the study of stochastic optimization for performative prediction. What sets this setting apart from traditional stochastic optimization is the difference between merely updating model parameters and deploying the new model. The latter triggers a shift in the distribution that affects future data, while the former keeps the distribution as is. Assuming smoothness and strong convexity, we prove non-asymptotic rates of convergence for both greedily deploying models after each stochastic update (greedy deploy) as well as for taking several updates before redeploying (lazy deploy). In both cases, our bounds smoothly recover the optimal $O(1/k)$ rate as the strength of performativity decreases. Furthermore, they illustrate how depending on the strength of performative effects, there exists a regime where either approach outperforms the other. We experimentally explore this trade-off on both synthetic data and a strategic classification simulator.


Algorithmic recourse under imperfect causal knowledge: a probabilistic approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent work has discussed the limitations of counterfactual explanations to recommend actions for algorithmic recourse, and argued for the need of taking causal relationships between features into consideration. Unfortunately, in practice, the true underlying structural causal model is generally unknown. In this work, we first show that it is impossible to guarantee recourse without access to the true structural equations. To address this limitation, we propose two probabilistic approaches to select optimal actions that achieve recourse with high probability given limited causal knowledge (e.g., only the causal graph). The first captures uncertainty over structural equations under additive Gaussian noise, and uses Bayesian model averaging to estimate the counterfactual distribution. The second removes any assumptions on the structural equations by instead computing the average effect of recourse actions on individuals similar to the person who seeks recourse, leading to a novel subpopulation-based interventional notion of recourse. We then derive a gradient-based procedure for selecting optimal recourse actions, and empirically show that the proposed approaches lead to more reliable recommendations under imperfect causal knowledge than non-probabilistic baselines.


An overview of gradient descent optimisation algorithms

#artificialintelligence

Gradient Descent is an optimisation algorithm used to find the optimum parameters (weights and biases) for a machine learning model such that it minimises a loss/cost function used to evaluate the performance of the model. Gradient descent is used when the parameters cannot be calculated analytically and thus have to be searched in the vast parameter space. Gradient descent is an iterative procedure that starts with a random set of parameters and continues to improve them slowly. To improve a given set of weights, we try to get the value of the cost function using the current weights (by calculating the gradient) and move in the direction in which the cost function reduces. Repeating this step for thousands of times, in most cases, gives us a set of weights the minimise the cost function.


Problem-Complexity Adaptive Model Selection for Stochastic Linear Bandits

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider the problem of model selection for two popular stochastic linear bandit settings, and propose algorithms that adapts to the unknown problem complexity. In the first setting, we consider the $K$ armed mixture bandits, where the mean reward of arm $i \in [K]$, is $\mu_i+ \langle \alpha_{i,t},\theta^* \rangle $, with $\alpha_{i,t} \in \mathbb{R}^d$ being the known context vector and $\mu_i \in [-1,1]$ and $\theta^*$ are unknown parameters. We define $\|\theta^*\|$ as the problem complexity and consider a sequence of nested hypothesis classes, each positing a different upper bound on $\|\theta^*\|$. Exploiting this, we propose Adaptive Linear Bandit (ALB), a novel phase based algorithm that adapts to the true problem complexity, $\|\theta^*\|$. We show that ALB achieves regret scaling of $O(\|\theta^*\|\sqrt{T})$, where $\|\theta^*\|$ is apriori unknown. As a corollary, when $\theta^*=0$, ALB recovers the minimax regret for the simple bandit algorithm without such knowledge of $\theta^*$. ALB is the first algorithm that uses parameter norm as model section criteria for linear bandits. Prior state of art algorithms \cite{osom} achieve a regret of $O(L\sqrt{T})$, where $L$ is the upper bound on $\|\theta^*\|$, fed as an input to the problem. In the second setting, we consider the standard linear bandit problem (with possibly an infinite number of arms) where the sparsity of $\theta^*$, denoted by $d^* \leq d$, is unknown to the algorithm. Defining $d^*$ as the problem complexity, we show that ALB achieves $O(d^*\sqrt{T})$ regret, matching that of an oracle who knew the true sparsity level. This methodology is then extended to the case of finitely many arms and similar results are proven. This is the first algorithm that achieves such model selection guarantees. We further verify our results via synthetic and real-data experiments.


Non-Negative Bregman Divergence Minimization for Deep Direct Density Ratio Estimation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The estimation of the ratio of two probability densities has garnered attention as the density ratio is useful in various machine learning tasks, such as anomaly detection and domain adaptation. To estimate the density ratio, methods collectively known as direct density ratio estimation (DRE) have been explored. These methods are based on the minimization of the Bregman (BR) divergence between a density ratio model and the true density ratio. However, existing direct DRE suffers from serious overfitting when using flexible models such as neural networks. In this paper, we introduce a non-negative correction for empirical risk using only the prior knowledge of the upper bound of the density ratio. This correction makes a DRE method more robust against overfitting and enables the use of flexible models. In the theoretical analysis, we discuss the consistency of the empirical risk. In our experiments, the proposed estimators show favorable performance in inlier-based outlier detection and covariate shift adaptation.


Differentially Private Median Forests for Regression and Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Random forests are a popular method for classification and regression due to their versatility. However, this flexibility can come at the cost of user privacy, since training random forests requires multiple data queries, often on small, identifiable subsets of the training data. Differentially private approaches based on extremely random trees reduce the number of queries, but can lead to low-occupancy leaf nodes which require the addition of large amounts of noise. In this paper, we propose DiPriMe forests, a novel tree-based ensemble method for regression and classification problems, that ensures differential privacy while maintaining high utility. We construct trees based on a privatized version of the median value of attributes, obtained via the exponential mechanism. The use of the noisy median encourages balanced leaf nodes, ensuring that the noise added to the parameter estimate at each leaf is not overly large. The resulting algorithm, which is appropriate for real or categorical covariates, exhibits high utility while ensuring differential privacy.


FedGAN: Federated Generative Adversarial Networks for Distributed Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We propose Federated Generative Adversarial Network (FedGAN) for training a GAN across distributed sources of non-independent-and-identically-distributed data sources subject to communication and privacy constraints. Our algorithm uses local generators and discriminators which are periodically synced via an intermediary that averages and broadcasts the generator and discriminator parameters. We theoretically prove the convergence of FedGAN with both equal and two time-scale updates of generator and discriminator, under standard assumptions, using stochastic approximations and communication efficient stochastic gradient descents. We experiment FedGAN on toy examples (2D system, mixed Gaussian, and Swiss role), image datasets (MNIST, CIFAR-10, and CelebA), and time series datasets (household electricity consumption and electric vehicle charging sessions). We show FedGAN converges and has similar performance to general distributed GAN, while reduces communication complexity. We also show its robustness to reduced communications.


Learning Diverse and Discriminative Representations via the Principle of Maximal Coding Rate Reduction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

To learn intrinsic low-dimensional structures from high-dimensional data that most discriminate between classes, we propose the principle of Maximal Coding Rate Reduction ($\text{MCR}^2$), an information-theoretic measure that maximizes the coding rate difference between the whole dataset and the sum of each individual class. We clarify its relationships with most existing frameworks such as cross-entropy, information bottleneck, information gain, contractive and contrastive learning, and provide theoretical guarantees for learning diverse and discriminative features. The coding rate can be accurately computed from finite samples of degenerate subspace-like distributions and can learn intrinsic representations in supervised, self-supervised, and unsupervised settings in a unified manner. Empirically, the representations learned using this principle alone are significantly more robust to label corruptions in classification than those using cross-entropy, and can lead to state-of-the-art results in clustering mixed data from self-learned invariant features.


Weighted Optimization: better generalization by smoother interpolation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We provide a rigorous analysis of how implicit bias towards smooth interpolations leads to low generalization error in the overparameterized setting. We provide the first case study of this connection through a random Fourier series model and weighted least squares. We then argue through this model and numerical experiments that normalization methods in deep learning such as weight normalization improve generalization in overparameterized neural networks by implicitly encouraging smooth interpolants.


Improved Complexities for Stochastic Conditional Gradient Methods under Interpolation-like Conditions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In a machine learning setup, the function F could be interpreted as the loss function associated with a sample ξ and the function f could represent the risk, which is defined as the expected loss. Such constrained stochastic optimization problems arise frequently in statistical machine learning applications. Conditional gradient algorithm, also called as Frank-Wolfe algorithm, is an efficient method for solving constrained optimization problems of the form in (1) due to their projection-free nature [Jag13, HJN15, FGM17, LPZZ17, BZK18, RDLS18]. In each step of the conditional gradient method, it is only required to minimize a linear objective over the set Ω. This operation could be implemented efficiently for a variety of sets arising in statistical machine learning, compared to the operation of projecting on to the set Ω, which is required for example by the projected gradient method. Hence, conditional gradient method has regained popularity in the last decade in the optimization and machine learning community.