Statistical Learning
Learning De-biased Representations with Biased Representations
Bahng, Hyojin, Chun, Sanghyuk, Yun, Sangdoo, Choo, Jaegul, Oh, Seong Joon
Many machine learning algorithms are trained and evaluated by splitting data from a single source into training and test sets. While such focus on in-distribution learning scenarios has led to interesting advancement, it has not been able to tell if models are relying on dataset biases as shortcuts for successful prediction (e.g., using snow cues for recognising snowmobiles), resulting in biased models that fail to generalise when the bias shifts to a different class. The cross-bias generalisation problem has been addressed by de-biasing training data through augmentation or re-sampling, which are often prohibitive due to the data collection cost (e.g., collecting images of a snowmobile on a desert) and the difficulty of quantifying or expressing biases in the first place. In this work, we propose a novel framework to train a de-biased representation by encouraging it to be different from a set of representations that are biased by design. This tactic is feasible in many scenarios where it is much easier to define a set of biased representations than to define and quantify bias. We demonstrate the efficacy of our method across a variety of synthetic and real-world biases; our experiments show that the method discourages models from taking bias shortcuts, resulting in improved generalisation. Source code is available at https://github.com/clovaai/rebias.
Sinkhorn EM: An Expectation-Maximization algorithm based on entropic optimal transport
Mena, Gonzalo, Nejatbakhsh, Amin, Varol, Erdem, Niles-Weed, Jonathan
We study Sinkhorn EM (sEM), a variant of the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm for mixtures based on entropic optimal transport. sEM differs from the classic EM algorithm in the way responsibilities are computed during the expectation step: rather than assign data points to clusters independently, sEM uses optimal transport to compute responsibilities by incorporating prior information about mixing weights. Like EM, sEM has a natural interpretation as a coordinate ascent procedure, which iteratively constructs and optimizes a lower bound on the log-likelihood. However, we show theoretically and empirically that sEM has better behavior than EM: it possesses better global convergence guarantees and is less prone to getting stuck in bad local optima. We complement these findings with experiments on simulated data as well as in an inference task involving C. elegans neurons and show that sEM learns cell labels significantly better than other approaches.
Sampling from a $k$-DPP without looking at all items
Calandriello, Daniele, Dereziński, Michał, Valko, Michal
Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are a useful probabilistic model for selecting a small diverse subset out of a large collection of items, with applications in summarization, stochastic optimization, active learning and more. Given a kernel function and a subset size $k$, our goal is to sample $k$ out of $n$ items with probability proportional to the determinant of the kernel matrix induced by the subset (a.k.a. $k$-DPP). Existing $k$-DPP sampling algorithms require an expensive preprocessing step which involves multiple passes over all $n$ items, making it infeasible for large datasets. A na\"ive heuristic addressing this problem is to uniformly subsample a fraction of the data and perform $k$-DPP sampling only on those items, however this method offers no guarantee that the produced sample will even approximately resemble the target distribution over the original dataset. In this paper, we develop an algorithm which adaptively builds a sufficiently large uniform sample of data that is then used to efficiently generate a smaller set of $k$ items, while ensuring that this set is drawn exactly from the target distribution defined on all $n$ items. We show empirically that our algorithm produces a $k$-DPP sample after observing only a small fraction of all elements, leading to several orders of magnitude faster performance compared to the state-of-the-art.
Counterfactual Predictions under Runtime Confounding
Coston, Amanda, Kennedy, Edward H., Chouldechova, Alexandra
Algorithms are commonly used to predict outcomes under a particular decision or intervention, such as predicting whether an offender will succeed on parole if placed under minimal supervision. Generally, to learn such counterfactual prediction models from observational data on historical decisions and corresponding outcomes, one must measure all factors that jointly affect the outcomes and the decision taken. Motivated by decision support applications, we study the counterfactual prediction task in the setting where all relevant factors are captured in the historical data, but it is either undesirable or impermissible to use some such factors in the prediction model. We refer to this setting as runtime confounding. We propose a doubly-robust procedure for learning counterfactual prediction models in this setting. Our theoretical analysis and experimental results suggest that our method often outperforms competing approaches. We also present a validation procedure for evaluating the performance of counterfactual prediction methods.
Recovering Joint Probability of Discrete Random Variables from Pairwise Marginals
Learning the joint probability of random variables (RVs) lies at the heart of statistical signal processing and machine learning. However, direct nonparametric estimation for high-dimensional joint probability is in general impossible, due to the curse of dimensionality. Recent work has proposed to recover the joint probability mass function (PMF) of an arbitrary number of RVs from three-dimensional marginals, leveraging the algebraic properties of low-rank tensor decomposition and the (unknown) dependence among the RVs. Nonetheless, accurately estimating three-dimensional marginals can still be costly in terms of sample complexity, affecting the performance of this line of work in practice in the sample-starved regime. Using three-dimensional marginals also involves challenging tensor decomposition problems whose tractability is unclear. This work puts forth a new framework for learning the joint PMF using only pairwise marginals, which naturally enjoys a lower sample complexity relative to the third-order ones. A coupled nonnegative matrix factorization (CNMF) framework is developed, and its joint PMF recovery guarantees under various conditions are analyzed. Our method also features a Gram-Schmidt (GS)-like algorithm that exhibits competitive runtime performance. The algorithm is shown to provably recover the joint PMF up to bounded error in finite iterations, under reasonable conditions. It is also shown that a recently proposed economical expectation maximization (EM) algorithm guarantees to improve upon the GS-like algorithm's output, thereby further lifting up the accuracy and efficiency. Real-data experiments are employed to showcase the effectiveness.
Graph Clustering with Graph Neural Networks
Tsitsulin, Anton, Palowitch, John, Perozzi, Bryan, Müller, Emmanuel
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art results on many graph analysis tasks such as node classification and link prediction. However, important unsupervised problems on graphs, such as graph clustering, have proved more resistant to advances in GNNs. In this paper, we study unsupervised training of GNN pooling in terms of their clustering capabilities. We start by drawing a connection between graph clustering and graph pooling: intuitively, a good graph clustering is what one would expect from a GNN pooling layer. Counterintuitively, we show that this is not true for state-of-the-art pooling methods, such as MinCut pooling. To address these deficiencies, we introduce Deep Modularity Networks (DMoN), an unsupervised pooling method inspired by the modularity measure of clustering quality, and show how it tackles recovery of the challenging clustering structure of real-world graphs. In order to clarify the regimes where existing methods fail, we carefully design a set of experiments on synthetic data which show that DMoN is able to jointly leverage the signal from the graph structure and node attributes. Similarly, on real-world data, we show that DMoN produces high quality clusters which correlate strongly with ground truth labels, achieving state-of-the-art results.
Optimal Rates of Distributed Regression with Imperfect Kernels
Distributed machine learning systems have been receiving increasing attentions for their efficiency to process large scale data. Many distributed frameworks have been proposed for different machine learning tasks. In this paper, we study the distributed kernel regression via the divide and conquer approach. This approach has been proved asymptotically minimax optimal if the kernel is perfectly selected so that the true regression function lies in the associated reproducing kernel Hilbert space. However, this is usually, if not always, impractical because kernels that can only be selected via prior knowledge or a tuning process are hardly perfect. Instead it is more common that the kernel is good enough but imperfect in the sense that the true regression can be well approximated by but does not lie exactly in the kernel space. We show distributed kernel regression can still achieves capacity independent optimal rate in this case. To this end, we first establish a general framework that allows to analyze distributed regression with response weighted base algorithms by bounding the error of such algorithms on a single data set, provided that the error bounds has factored the impact of the unexplained variance of the response variable. Then we perform a leave one out analysis of the kernel ridge regression and bias corrected kernel ridge regression, which in combination with the aforementioned framework allows us to derive sharp error bounds and capacity independent optimal rates for the associated distributed kernel regression algorithms. As a byproduct of the thorough analysis, we also prove the kernel ridge regression can achieve rates faster than $N^{-1}$ (where $N$ is the sample size) in the noise free setting which, to our best knowledge, are first observed and novel in regression learning.
Real Elliptically Skewed Distributions and Their Application to Robust Cluster Analysis
Schroth, Christian A., Muma, Michael
This article proposes a new class of Real Elliptically Skewed (RESK) distributions and associated clustering algorithms that allow for integrating robustness and skewness into a single unified cluster analysis framework. Non-symmetrically distributed and heavy-tailed data clusters have been reported in a variety of real-world applications. Robustness is essential because a few outlying observations can severely obscure the cluster structure. The RESK distributions are a generalization of the Real Elliptically Symmetric (RES) distributions. To estimate the cluster parameters and memberships, we derive an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm for arbitrary RESK distributions. Special attention is given to a new robust skew-Huber M-estimator, which is also the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the skew-Huber distribution that belongs to the RESK class. Numerical experiments on simulated and real-world data confirm the usefulness of the proposed methods for skewed and heavy-tailed data sets.
Involutive MCMC: a Unifying Framework
Neklyudov, Kirill, Welling, Max, Egorov, Evgenii, Vetrov, Dmitry
Name & Citation Appendix Metropolis-Hastings (Hastings, 1970) B.1 Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a computational Mixture Proposal (Habib & Barber, 2018) B.2 approach to fundamental problems such Multiple-Try Metropolis (Liu et al., 2000) B.3 as inference, integration, optimization, and simulation. Sample-Adaptive MCMC (Zhu, 2019) B.4 The field has developed a broad spectrum Reversible-Jump MCMC (Green, 1995) B.5 of algorithms, varying in the way they are motivated, Hybrid Monte Carlo (Duane et al., 1987) B.6 the way they are applied and how efficiently RMHMC (Girolami & Calderhead, 2011) B.7 they sample. Despite all the differences, many of NeuTra (Hoffman et al., 2019) B.8 them share the same core principle, which we A-NICE-MC (Song et al., 2017) B.9 unify as the Involutive MCMC (iMCMC) framework. L2HMC (Levy et al., 2017) B.10 Building upon this, we describe a wide Persistent HMC (Horowitz, 1991) B.11 range of MCMC algorithms in terms of iMCMC, Gibbs (Geman & Geman, 1984) B.12 and formulate a number of "tricks" which one Look Ahead (Sohl-Dickstein et al., 2014) B.13 can use as design principles for developing new NRJ (Gagnon & Doucet, 2019) B.14 MCMC algorithms. Thus, iMCMC provides a Lifted MH (Turitsyn et al., 2011) B.15 unified view of many known MCMC algorithms, which facilitates the derivation of powerful extensions. Table 1: List of algorithms that we describe by the Involutive We demonstrate the latter with two MCMC framework. See their descriptions and formulations examples where we transform known reversible in terms of iMCMC in corresponding appendices.
Graph Laplacians, Riemannian Manifolds and their Machine-Learning
Graph Laplacians as well as related spectral inequalities and (co-)homology provide a foray into discrete analogues of Riemannian manifolds, providing a rich interplay between combinatorics, geometry and theoretical physics. We apply some of the latest techniques in data science such as supervised and unsupervised machine-learning and topological data analysis to the Wolfram database of some 8000 finite graphs in light of studying these correspondences. Encouragingly, we find that neural classifiers, regressors and networks can perform, with high efficiently and accuracy, a multitude of tasks ranging from recognizing graph Ricci-flatness, to predicting the spectral gap, to detecting the presence of Hamiltonian cycles, etc.