Manifold learning techniques for nonlinear dimension reduction assume that high-dimensional feature vectors lie on a low-dimensional manifold, then attempt to exploit manifold structure to obtain useful low-dimensional Euclidean representations of the data. Isomap, a seminal manifold learning technique, is an elegant synthesis of two simple ideas: the approximation of Riemannian distances with shortest path distances on a graph that localizes manifold structure, and the approximation of shortest path distances with Euclidean distances by multidimensional scaling. We revisit the rationale for Isomap, clarifying what Isomap does and what it does not. In particular, we explore the widespread perception that Isomap should only be used when the manifold is parametrized by a convex region of Euclidean space. We argue that this perception is based on an extremely narrow interpretation of manifold learning as parametrization recovery, and we submit that Isomap is better understood as constructing Euclidean representations of geodesic structure. We reconsider a well-known example that was previously interpreted as evidence of Isomap's limitations, and we re-examine the original analysis of Isomap's convergence properties, concluding that convexity is not required for shortest path distances to converge to Riemannian distances.

This work investigates fault-resilient federated learning when the data samples are non-uniformly distributed across workers, and the number of faulty workers is unknown to the central server. In the presence of adversarially faulty workers who may strategically corrupt datasets, the local messages exchanged (e.g., local gradients and/or local model parameters) can be unreliable, and thus the vanilla stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm is not guaranteed to converge. Recently developed algorithms improve upon vanilla SGD by providing robustness to faulty workers at the price of slowing down convergence. To remedy this limitation, the present work introduces a fault-resilient proximal gradient (FRPG) algorithm that relies on Nesterov's acceleration technique. To reduce the communication overhead of FRPG, a local (L) FRPG algorithm is also developed to allow for intermittent server-workers parameter exchanges. For strongly convex loss functions, FRPG and LFRPG have provably faster convergence rates than a benchmark robust stochastic aggregation algorithm. Moreover, LFRPG converges faster than FRPG while using the same communication rounds. Numerical tests performed on various real datasets confirm the accelerated convergence of FRPG and LFRPG over the robust stochastic aggregation benchmark and competing alternatives.

Deep kernel learning (DKL) leverages the connection between Gaussian process (GP) and neural networks (NN) to build an end-to-end, hybrid model. It combines the capability of NN to learn rich representations under massive data and the non-parametric property of GP to achieve automatic regularization that incorporates a trade-off between model fit and model complexity. However, the deterministic encoder may weaken the model regularization of the following GP part, especially on small datasets, due to the free latent representation. We therefore present a complete deep latent-variable kernel learning (DLVKL) model wherein the latent variables perform stochastic encoding for regularized representation. We further enhance the DLVKL from two aspects: (i) the expressive variational posterior through neural stochastic differential equation (NSDE) to improve the approximation quality, and (ii) the hybrid prior taking knowledge from both the SDE prior and the posterior to arrive at a flexible trade-off. Intensive experiments imply that the DLVKL-NSDE performs similarly to the well calibrated GP on small datasets, and outperforms existing deep GPs on large datasets.

A model with high variance will change a lot with small changes to the training dataset. Conversely, a model with low variance will change little with small or even large changes to the training dataset. The variance is always positive. On the whole, the error of a model consists of reducible error and irreducible error. The reducible error is the element that we can improve. It is the quantity that we reduce when the model is learning on a training dataset and we try to get this number as close to zero as possible. The irreducible error is the error that we can not remove with our model, or with any model. The error is caused by elements outside our control, such as statistical noise in the observations.

Improving and optimizing oceanographic sampling is a crucial task for marine science and maritime resource management. Faced with limited resources in understanding processes in the water-column, the combination of statistics and autonomous systems provide new opportunities for experimental design. In this work we develop efficient spatial sampling methods for characterizing regions defined by simultaneous exceedances above prescribed thresholds of several responses, with an application focus on mapping coastal ocean phenomena based on temperature and salinity measurements. Specifically, we define a design criterion based on uncertainty in the excursions of vector-valued Gaussian random fields, and derive tractable expressions for the expected integrated Bernoulli variance reduction in such a framework. We demonstrate how this criterion can be used to prioritize sampling efforts at locations that are ambiguous, making exploration more effective. We use simulations to study and compare properties of the considered approaches, followed by results from field deployments with an autonomous underwater vehicle as part of a study mapping the boundary of a river plume. The results demonstrate the potential of combining statistical methods and robotic platforms to effectively inform and execute data-driven environmental sampling.

Machine learning (ML) pervades an increasing number of academic disciplines and industries. Its impact is profound, and several fields have been fundamentally altered by it, autonomy and computer vision for example; reliability engineering and safety will undoubtedly follow suit. There is already a large but fragmented literature on ML for reliability and safety applications, and it can be overwhelming to navigate and integrate into a coherent whole. In this work, we facilitate this task by providing a synthesis of, and a roadmap to this ever-expanding analytical landscape and highlighting its major landmarks and pathways. We first provide an overview of the different ML categories and sub-categories or tasks, and we note several of the corresponding models and algorithms. We then look back and review the use of ML in reliability and safety applications. We examine several publications in each category/sub-category, and we include a short discussion on the use of Deep Learning to highlight its growing popularity and distinctive advantages. Finally, we look ahead and outline several promising future opportunities for leveraging ML in service of advancing reliability and safety considerations. Overall, we argue that ML is capable of providing novel insights and opportunities to solve important challenges in reliability and safety applications. It is also capable of teasing out more accurate insights from accident datasets than with traditional analysis tools, and this in turn can lead to better informed decision-making and more effective accident prevention.

Informed by the basic geometry underlying feed forward neural networks, we initialize the weights of the first layer of a neural network using the linear discriminants which best distinguish individual classes. Networks initialized in this way take fewer training steps to reach the same level of training, and asymptotically have higher accuracy on training data.

More personal consumer loan products are emerging in mobile banking APP. For ease of use, application process is always simple, which means that few application information is requested for user to fill when applying for a loan, which is not conducive to construct users' credit profile. Thus, the simple application process brings huge challenges to the overdue risk detection, as higher overdue rate will result in greater economic losses to the bank. In this paper, we propose a model named HUIHEN (Hierarchical User Intention-Habit Extract Network) that leverages the users' behavior information in mobile banking APP. Due to the diversity of users' behaviors, we divide behavior sequences into sessions according to the time interval, and use the field-aware method to extract the intra-field information of behaviors. Then, we propose a hierarchical network composed of time-aware GRU and user-item-aware GRU to capture users' short-term intentions and users' long-term habits, which can be regarded as a supplement to user profile. The proposed model can improve the accuracy without increasing the complexity of the original online application process. Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of HUIHEN and show that HUIHEN outperforms other state-of-art models on all datasets.

As machine learning has become increasingly popular over the last few decades, so too has the number of machine learning interfaces for implementing these models. However, no consistent interface for evaluation and modelling of survival analysis has emerged despite its vital importance in many fields, including medicine, economics, and engineering. \texttt{mlr3proba} is part of the \texttt{mlr3} ecosystem of machine learning packages for R and facilitates \texttt{mlr3}'s general model tuning and benchmarking by providing a multitude of performance measures and learners for survival analysis with a clean and systematic infrastructure for their evaluation. \texttt{mlr3proba} provides a comprehensive machine learning interface for survival analysis, which allows survival modelling to finally be up to the state-of-art.

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is typically based on the assumption of an underlying canonical symplectic structure. Numerical integrators designed for the canonical structure are incompatible with motion generated by non-canonical dynamics. These non-canonical dynamics, motivated by examples in physics and symplectic geometry, correspond to techniques such as preconditioning which are routinely used to improve algorithmic performance. Indeed, recently, a special case of non-canonical structure, magnetic Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, was demonstrated to provide advantageous sampling properties. We present a framework for Hamiltonian Monte Carlo using non-canonical symplectic structures. Our experimental results demonstrate sampling advantages associated to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with non-canonical structure. To summarize our contributions: (i) we develop non-canonical HMC from foundations in symplectic geomtry; (ii) we construct an HMC procedure using implicit integration that satisfies the detailed balance; (iii) we propose to accelerate the sampling using an {\em approximate} explicit methodology; (iv) we study two novel, randomly-generated non-canonical structures: magnetic momentum and the coupled magnet structure, with implicit and explicit integration.