Deep networks are currently the state-of-the-art for sensory perception in autonomous driving and robotics. However, deep models often generate overconfident predictions precluding proper probabilistic interpretation which we argue is due to the nature of the SoftMax layer. To reduce the overconfidence without compromising the classification performance, we introduce a CNN probabilistic approach based on distributions calculated in the network's Logit layer. The approach enables Bayesian inference by means of ML and MAP layers. Experiments with calibrated and the proposed prediction layers are carried out on object classification using data from the KITTI database. Results are reported for camera (RGB) and LiDAR (range-view) modalities, where the new approach shows promising performance compared to SoftMax. Keywords: Probabilistic inference, Perception systems, CNN probabilistic layer, object classification.

In order to match these requirements and conduct experiments to validate the usefulness of the explanations Our research aims to propose a new performanceexplainability by the end-users, there is a need to have a comprehensive analytical framework to assess and assessment of the explainability of the existing methods.

What you will Learn: You'll learn the concepts behind neural networks and deep learning.

Understanding data and reaching valid conclusions are of paramount importance in the present era of big data. Machine learning and probability theory methods have widespread application for this purpose in different fields. One critically important yet less explored aspect is how data and model uncertainties are captured and analyzed. Proper quantification of uncertainty provides valuable information for optimal decision making. This paper reviewed related studies conducted in the last 30 years (from 1991 to 2020) in handling uncertainties in medical data using probability theory and machine learning techniques. Medical data is more prone to uncertainty due to the presence of noise in the data. So, it is very important to have clean medical data without any noise to get accurate diagnosis. The sources of noise in the medical data need to be known to address this issue. Based on the medical data obtained by the physician, diagnosis of disease, and treatment plan are prescribed. Hence, the uncertainty is growing in healthcare and there is limited knowledge to address these problems. We have little knowledge about the optimal treatment methods as there are many sources of uncertainty in medical science. Our findings indicate that there are few challenges to be addressed in handling the uncertainty in medical raw data and new models. In this work, we have summarized various methods employed to overcome this problem. Nowadays, application of novel deep learning techniques to deal such uncertainties have significantly increased.

Online electronic coupon (e-coupon) is becoming a primary tool for e-commerce platforms to attract users to place orders. E-coupons are the digital equivalent of traditional paper coupons which provide customers with discounts or gifts. One of the fundamental problems related is how to deliver e-coupons with minimal cost while users' willingness to place an order is maximized. We call this problem the coupon allocation problem. This is a non-trivial problem since the number of regular users on a mature e-platform often reaches hundreds of millions and the types of e-coupons to be allocated are often multiple. The policy space is extremely large and the online allocation has to satisfy a budget constraint. Besides, one can never observe the responses of one user under different policies which increases the uncertainty of the policy making process. Previous work fails to deal with these challenges. In this paper, we decompose the coupon allocation task into two subtasks: the user intent detection task and the allocation task. Accordingly, we propose a two-stage solution: at the first stage (detection stage), we put forward a novel Instantaneous Intent Detection Network (IIDN) which takes the user-coupon features as input and predicts user real-time intents; at the second stage (allocation stage), we model the allocation problem as a Multiple-Choice Knapsack Problem (MCKP) and provide a computational efficient allocation method using the intents predicted at the detection stage. We conduct extensive online and offline experiments and the results show the superiority of our proposed framework, which has brought great profits to the platform and continues to function online.

This paper presents a novel architecture to detect social groups in real-time from a continuous image stream of an ego-vision camera. F-formation defines social orientations in space where two or more person tends to communicate in a social place. Thus, essentially, we detect F-formations in social gatherings such as meetings, discussions, etc. and predict the robot's approach angle if it wants to join the social group. Additionally, we also detect outliers, i.e., the persons who are not part of the group under consideration. Our proposed pipeline consists of -- a) a skeletal key points estimator (a total of 17) for the detected human in the scene, b) a learning model (using a feature vector based on the skeletal points) using CRF to detect groups of people and outlier person in a scene, and c) a separate learning model using a multi-class Support Vector Machine (SVM) to predict the exact F-formation of the group of people in the current scene and the angle of approach for the viewing robot. The system is evaluated using two data-sets. The results show that the group and outlier detection in a scene using our method establishes an accuracy of 91%. We have made rigorous comparisons of our systems with a state-of-the-art F-formation detection system and found that it outperforms the state-of-the-art by 29% for formation detection and 55% for combined detection of the formation and approach angle.

Even when machine learning systems surpass human ability in a domain, there are many reasons why AI systems that capture human-like behavior would be desirable: humans may want to learn from them, they may need to collaborate with them, or they may expect them to serve as partners in an extended interaction. Motivated by this goal of human-like AI systems, the problem of predicting human actions -- as opposed to predicting optimal actions -- has become an increasingly useful task. We extend this line of work by developing highly accurate personalized models of human behavior in the context of chess. Chess is a rich domain for exploring these questions, since it combines a set of appealing features: AI systems have achieved superhuman performance but still interact closely with human chess players both as opponents and preparation tools, and there is an enormous amount of recorded data on individual players. Starting with an open-source version of AlphaZero trained on a population of human players, we demonstrate that we can significantly improve prediction of a particular player's moves by applying a series of fine-tuning adjustments. The differences in prediction accuracy between our personalized models and unpersonalized models are at least as large as the differences between unpersonalized models and a simple baseline. Furthermore, we can accurately perform stylometry -- predicting who made a given set of actions -- indicating that our personalized models capture human decision-making at an individual level.

To learn good joint policies for multi-agent collaboration with imperfect information remains a fundamental challenge. While for two-player zero-sum games, coordinate-ascent approaches (optimizing one agent's policy at a time, e.g., self-play) work with guarantees, in multi-agent cooperative setting they often converge to sub-optimal Nash equilibrium. On the other hand, directly modeling joint policy changes in imperfect information game is nontrivial due to complicated interplay of policies (e.g., upstream updates affect downstream state reachability). In this paper, we show global changes of game values can be decomposed to policy changes localized at each information set, with a novel term named policy-change density. Based on this, we propose Joint Policy Search(JPS) that iteratively improves joint policies of collaborative agents in imperfect information games, without re-evaluating the entire game. On multi-agent collaborative tabular games, JPS is proven to never worsen performance and can improve solutions provided by unilateral approaches (e.g, CFR), outperforming algorithms designed for collaborative policy learning (e.g. BAD). Furthermore, for real-world games, JPS has an online form that naturally links with gradient updates. We test it to Contract Bridge, a 4-player imperfect-information game where a team of $2$ collaborates to compete against the other. In its bidding phase, players bid in turn to find a good contract through a limited information channel. Based on a strong baseline agent that bids competitive bridge purely through domain-agnostic self-play, JPS improves collaboration of team players and outperforms WBridge5, a championship-winning software, by $+0.63$ IMPs (International Matching Points) per board over 1k games, substantially better than previous SoTA ($+0.41$ IMPs/b) under Double-Dummy evaluation.

Users of music streaming, video streaming, news recommendation, Offline evaluation is challenging because the deployed recommender and e-commerce services often engage with content in a sequential decides which items the user sees, introducing significant manner. Providing and evaluating good sequences of recommendations exposure bias in logged data [7, 16, 22]. Various methods have been is therefore a central problem for these services. Prior proposed to mitigate bias using counterfactual evaluation. In this reweighting-based counterfactual evaluation methods either suffer paper, we use terminology from the multi-armed bandit framework from high variance or make strong independence assumptions to discuss these methods: the recommender performs an action about rewards. We propose a new counterfactual estimator that allows by showing an item depending on the observed context (e.g., user for sequential interactions in the rewards with lower variance covariates, item covariates, time of day, day of the week) and then in an asymptotically unbiased manner. Our method uses graphical observes a reward through the user response (e.g., a stream, a purchase, assumptions about the causal relationships of the slate to reweight or length of consumption) [14]. The recommender follows the rewards in the logging policy in a way that approximates the a policy distribution over actions by drawing items stochastically expected sum of rewards under the target policy. Extensive experiments conditioned on the context. in simulation and on a live recommender system show that The basic idea of counterfactual evaluation is to estimate how a our approach outperforms existing methods in terms of bias and new policy would have performed if it had been deployed instead data efficiency for the sequential track recommendations problem. of the deployed policy.

The drug discovery stage is a vital aspect of the drug development process and forms part of the initial stages of the development pipeline. In recent times, machine learning-based methods are actively being used to model drug-target interactions for rational drug discovery due to the successful application of these methods in other domains. In machine learning approaches, the numerical representation of molecules is critical to the performance of the model. While significant progress has been made in molecular representation engineering, this has resulted in several descriptors for both targets and compounds. Also, the interpretability of model predictions is a vital feature that could have several pharmacological applications. In this study, we propose a self-attention-based multi-view representation learning approach for modeling drug-target interactions. We evaluated our approach using three benchmark kinase datasets and compared the proposed method to some baseline models. Our experimental results demonstrate the ability of our method to achieve competitive prediction performance and offer biologically plausible drug-target interaction interpretations.