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 Statistical Learning


Classification with Rejection Based on Cost-sensitive Classification

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The goal of classification with rejection is to avoid risky misclassification in error-critical applications such as medical diagnosis and product inspection. In this paper, based on the relationship between classification with rejection and cost-sensitive classification, we propose a novel method of classification with rejection by learning an ensemble of cost-sensitive classifiers, which satisfies all the following properties for the first time: (i) it can avoid estimating class-posterior probabilities, resulting in improved classification accuracy. (ii) it allows a flexible choice of losses including non-convex ones, (iii) it does not require complicated modifications when using different losses, (iv) it is applicable to both binary and multiclass cases, and (v) it is theoretically justifiable for any classification-calibrated loss. Experimental results demonstrate the usefulness of our proposed approach in clean-labeled, noisy-labeled, and positive-unlabeled classification.


Probabilistic selection of inducing points in sparse Gaussian processes

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sparse Gaussian processes and various extensions thereof are enabled through inducing points, that simultaneously bottleneck the predictive capacity and act as the main contributor towards model complexity. However, the number of inducing points is generally not associated with uncertainty which prevents us from applying the apparatus of Bayesian reasoning in identifying an appropriate trade-off. In this work we place a point process prior on the inducing points and approximate the associated posterior through stochastic variational inference. By letting the prior encourage a moderate number of inducing points, we enable the model to learn which and how many points to utilise. We experimentally show that fewer inducing points are preferred by the model as the points become less informative, and further demonstrate how the method can be applied in deep Gaussian processes and latent variable modelling.


Maximin Optimization for Binary Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider regression problems with binary weights. Such optimization problems are ubiquitous in quantized learning models and digital communication systems. A natural approach is to optimize the corresponding Lagrangian using variants of the gradient ascent-descent method. Such maximin techniques are still poorly understood even in the concave-convex case. The non-convex binary constraints may lead to spurious local minima. Interestingly, we prove that this approach is optimal in linear regression with low noise conditions as well as robust regression with a small number of outliers. Practically, the method also performs well in regression with cross entropy loss, as well as non-convex multi-layer neural networks. Taken together our approach highlights the potential of saddle-point optimization for learning constrained models.


Estimating NBA players salary share according to their performance on court: A machine learning approach

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Professional athletes' field performance and salaries is a topic that has attracted the interest of numerous researchers (Garris and Wilkes, 2017, Olbrecht, 2009, Vincent and Eastman, 2009, Wiseman and Chatterjee, 2010, Yilmaz and Chatterjee, 2003, Zimmer and Zimmer, 2001). The general question of interest is whether players deserve their salaries based on their performance statistics. We emphasize that this relationship is not linear and hence linear models are bound to fail in capturing the underlying true association. An additional concern, separate from non-linearity, is model predictability for which internal evaluation has limitations and leads to an over-optimistic performance. These and more matters, discussed later, require delicate treatment which, if not properly addressed, will yield erroneous results.


Cross-validation Confidence Intervals for Test Error

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact confidence intervals for $k$-fold test error and valid, powerful hypothesis tests of whether one learning algorithm has smaller $k$-fold test error than another. These results are also the first of their kind for the popular choice of leave-one-out cross-validation. In our real-data experiments with diverse learning algorithms, the resulting intervals and tests outperform the most popular alternative methods from the literature.


Multilabel Classification by Hierarchical Partitioning and Data-dependent Grouping

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In modern multilabel classification problems, each data instance belongs to a small number of classes from a large set of classes. In other words, these problems involve learning very sparse binary label vectors. Moreover, in large-scale problems, the labels typically have certain (unknown) hierarchy. In this paper we exploit the sparsity of label vectors and the hierarchical structure to embed them in low-dimensional space using label groupings. Consequently, we solve the classification problem in a much lower dimensional space and then obtain labels in the original space using an appropriately defined lifting. Our method builds on the work of (Ubaru & Mazumdar, 2017), where the idea of group testing was also explored for multilabel classification. We first present a novel data-dependent grouping approach, where we use a group construction based on a low-rank Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF) of the label matrix of training instances. The construction also allows us, using recent results, to develop a fast prediction algorithm that has a logarithmic runtime in the number of labels. We then present a hierarchical partitioning approach that exploits the label hierarchy in large scale problems to divide up the large label space and create smaller sub-problems, which can then be solved independently via the grouping approach. Numerical results on many benchmark datasets illustrate that, compared to other popular methods, our proposed methods achieve competitive accuracy with significantly lower computational costs.


Ensemble Methods for Survival Data with Time-Varying Covariates

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Survival data with time-varying covariates are common in practice. However, the traditional survival forests - conditional inference forest, relative risk forest and random survival forest - have accommodated only time-invariant covariates. Similarly, the recently proposed transformation forest, which incorporates the split statistics suitable for non-proportional hazard settings, has employed only time-invariant covariates. We generalize the conditional inference and relative risk forests to allow time-varying covariates. We compare their performance with that of the Cox model and transformation forest, adapted to accommodate time-varying covariates, through a comprehensive simulation study in which the Kaplan-Meier estimate serves as a benchmark. In general, the performance of the two proposed forests substantially improves over the Kaplan-Meier estimate when the estimation conditions become more favorable. Taking into an account all other factors, under the PH setting, the best method is always one of the two proposed forests, while under the non-PH setting, it is the adapted transformation forest. The K-fold cross-validation can be an effective tool to choose between the methods in practice. Finally, the performance of the proposed forest methods for time-invariant covariate data is broadly similar to that found for time-varying covariate data. We also propose a general framework for estimation of a survival function in the presence of time-varying covariates, which can be applied to any method that uses the counting process (pseudo-subject) approach to handling time-varying covariates. This novel estimate of a single survival function takes multiple survival estimation outputs corresponding to each pseudo-subject, and combines them in a theoretically-justified way to form a proper monotone-decreasing survival function estimate.


Aspectuality Across Genre: A Distributional Semantics Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The interpretation of the lexical aspect of verbs in English plays a crucial role for recognizing textual entailment and learning discourse-level inferences. We show that two elementary dimensions of aspectual class, states vs. events, and telic vs. atelic events, can be modelled effectively with distributional semantics. We find that a verb's local context is most indicative of its aspectual class, and demonstrate that closed class words tend to be stronger discriminating contexts than content words. Our approach outperforms previous work on three datasets. Lastly, we contribute a dataset of human--human conversations annotated with lexical aspect and present experiments that show the correlation of telicity with genre and discourse goals.


Personalized Multimodal Feedback Generation in Education

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The automatic evaluation for school assignments is an important application of AI in the education field. In this work, we focus on the task of personalized multimodal feedback generation, which aims to generate personalized feedback for various teachers to evaluate students' assignments involving multimodal inputs such as images, audios, and texts. This task involves the representation and fusion of multimodal information and natural language generation, which presents the challenges from three aspects: 1) how to encode and integrate multimodal inputs; 2) how to generate feedback specific to each modality; and 3) how to realize personalized feedback generation. In this paper, we propose a novel Personalized Multimodal Feedback Generation Network (PMFGN) armed with a modality gate mechanism and a personalized bias mechanism to address these challenges. The extensive experiments on real-world K-12 education data show that our model significantly outperforms several baselines by generating more accurate and diverse feedback. In addition, detailed ablation experiments are conducted to deepen our understanding of the proposed framework.


Mitigating Gender Bias for Neural Dialogue Generation with Adversarial Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Given messages The elimination of discrimination is an important with the same content for different genders, issue that our society is facing. Learning from dialogue models could produce biased responses, human behaviors, machine learning algorithms which have been measured in terms of their politeness have been proven to inherit the prejudices from and sentiment, as well as the existence of humans (Mehrabi et al., 2019). A variety of AI applications biased words (Liu et al., 2019a). Table 1 shows one have demonstrated common prejudices example from a generative dialogue model trained towards particular groups of people (Rodger and on the Twitter dialogue corpus. When we change Pendharkar, 2004; Howard and Borenstein, 2018; the words in the message from "he" to "she", the responses Rose, 2010; Yao and Huang, 2017; Tolan et al., produced by the dialogue model are quite 2019). It is evident from recent research that different. In particular, the dialogue model generates learning-based dialogue systems also suffer from responses with negative sentiments for females.