We introduce a novel class of stochastic blockmodel for multilayer weighted networks that accounts for the presence of a global ambient noise that governs between-block interactions. We induce a hierarchy of classifications in weighted multilayer networks by assuming that all but one cluster (block) are governed by unique local signals, while a single block is classified as ambient noise, which behaves identically as interactions across differing blocks. Hierarchical variational inference is employed to jointly detect and typologize block-structures as local signals or global noise. These principles are incorporated into novel community detection algorithm called Stochastic Block (with) Ambient Noise Model (SBANM) for multilayer weighted networks. We apply this method to several different domains. We focus on the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort to discover communities of subjects that form diagnostic categories relating psychopathological symptoms to psychosis.

The information bottleneck (IB) principle has been adopted to explain deep learning in terms of information compression and prediction, which are balanced by a trade-off hyperparameter. How to optimize the IB principle for better robustness and figure out the effects of compression through the trade-off hyperparameter are two challenging problems. Previous methods attempted to optimize the IB principle by introducing random noise into learning the representation and achieved state-of-the-art performance in the nuisance information compression and semantic information extraction. However, their performance on resisting adversarial perturbations is far less impressive. To this end, we propose an adversarial information bottleneck (AIB) method without any explicit assumptions about the underlying distribution of the representations, which can be optimized effectively by solving a Min-Max optimization problem. Numerical experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate its effectiveness on learning more invariant representations and mitigating adversarial perturbations compared to several competing IB methods. In addition, we analyse the adversarial robustness of diverse IB methods contrasting with their IB curves, and reveal that IB models with the hyperparameter $\beta$ corresponding to the knee point in the IB curve achieve the best trade-off between compression and prediction, and has best robustness against various attacks.

We propose and analyze algorithms to solve a range of learning tasks under user-level differential privacy constraints. Rather than guaranteeing only the privacy of individual samples, user-level DP protects a user's entire contribution ($m \ge 1$ samples), providing more stringent but more realistic protection against information leaks. We show that for high-dimensional mean estimation, empirical risk minimization with smooth losses, stochastic convex optimization, and learning hypothesis class with finite metric entropy, the privacy cost decreases as $O(1/\sqrt{m})$ as users provide more samples. In contrast, when increasing the number of users $n$, the privacy cost decreases at a faster $O(1/n)$ rate. We complement these results with lower bounds showing the worst-case optimality of our algorithm for mean estimation and stochastic convex optimization. Our algorithms rely on novel techniques for private mean estimation in arbitrary dimension with error scaling as the concentration radius $\tau$ of the distribution rather than the entire range. Under uniform convergence, we derive an algorithm that privately answers a sequence of $K$ adaptively chosen queries with privacy cost proportional to $\tau$, and apply it to solve the learning tasks we consider.

With the growing demand for hand hygiene and convenience of use, palmprint recognition with touchless manner made a great development recently, providing an effective solution for person identification. Despite many efforts that have been devoted to this area, it is still uncertain about the discriminative ability of the contactless palmprint, especially for large-scale datasets. To tackle the problem, in this paper, we build a large-scale touchless palmprint dataset containing 2334 palms from 1167 individuals. To our best knowledge, it is the largest contactless palmprint image benchmark ever collected with regard to the number of individuals and palms. Besides, we propose a novel deep learning framework for touchless palmprint recognition named 3DCPN (3D Convolution Palmprint recognition Network) which leverages 3D convolution to dynamically integrate multiple Gabor features. In 3DCPN, a novel variant of Gabor filter is embedded into the first layer for enhancement of curve feature extraction. With a well-designed ensemble scheme,low-level 3D features are then convolved to extract high-level features. Finally on the top, we set a region-based loss function to strengthen the discriminative ability of both global and local descriptors. To demonstrate the superiority of our method, extensive experiments are conducted on our dataset and other popular databases TongJi and IITD, where the results show the proposed 3DCPN achieves state-of-the-art or comparable performances.

Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's individually, and do not leverage the dynamic distributions underlying the MTS's, leading to sub-optimal results when the sparsity is high. To address this challenge, we propose a novel generative model, which tracks the transition of latent clusters, instead of isolated feature representations, to achieve robust modeling. It is characterized by a newly designed dynamic Gaussian mixture distribution, which captures the dynamics of clustering structures, and is used for emitting time series. The generative model is parameterized by neural networks. A structured inference network is also designed for enabling inductive analysis. A gating mechanism is further introduced to dynamically tune the Gaussian mixture distributions. Extensive experimental results on a variety of real-life datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

We present a novel off-policy loss function for learning a transition model in model-based reinforcement learning. Notably, our loss is derived from the off-policy policy evaluation objective with an emphasis on correcting distribution shift. Compared to previous model-based techniques, our approach allows for greater robustness under model misspecification or distribution shift induced by learning/evaluating policies that are distinct from the data-generating policy. We provide a theoretical analysis and show empirical improvements over existing model-based off-policy evaluation methods. We provide further analysis showing our loss can be used for off-policy optimization (OPO) and demonstrate its integration with more recent improvements in OPO.

Sampled from a distribution: Many machine learning algorithms make assumptions that the data is sampled from a frequency. For example, linear regression assumes gaussian distribution and logistic regression assumes that the data is sampled from a Bernoulli distribution.

Hyperspectral imaging, also known as image spectrometry, is a landmark technique in geoscience and remote sensing (RS). In the past decade, enormous efforts have been made to process and analyze these hyperspectral (HS) products mainly by means of seasoned experts. However, with the ever-growing volume of data, the bulk of costs in manpower and material resources poses new challenges on reducing the burden of manual labor and improving efficiency. For this reason, it is, therefore, urgent to develop more intelligent and automatic approaches for various HS RS applications. Machine learning (ML) tools with convex optimization have successfully undertaken the tasks of numerous artificial intelligence (AI)-related applications. However, their ability in handling complex practical problems remains limited, particularly for HS data, due to the effects of various spectral variabilities in the process of HS imaging and the complexity and redundancy of higher dimensional HS signals. Compared to the convex models, non-convex modeling, which is capable of characterizing more complex real scenes and providing the model interpretability technically and theoretically, has been proven to be a feasible solution to reduce the gap between challenging HS vision tasks and currently advanced intelligent data processing models.

Forecasting economic developments during crisis time is problematic since the realizations of the variables are far away from their average values, while econometric models are typically better at explaining and predicting values close to the average, particularly so in the case of linear models. The situation is even worse for the Covid-19 induced recession, when typically well performing econometric models such as Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility have troubles in tracking the unprecedented fall in real activity and labour market indicators -- see for example for the US Carriero et al. (2020) and Plagborg-Møller et al. (2020), or An and Loungani (2020) for an analysis of the past performance of the Consensus Forecasts. As a partial solution, Foroni et al. (2020) employ simple mixed-frequency models to nowcast and forecast US and the rest of G7 GDP quarterly growth rates, using common monthly indicators, such as industrial production, surveys, and the slope of the yield curve. They then adjust the forecasts by a specific form of intercept correction or estimate by the similarity approach, see Clements and Hendry (1999) and Dendramis et al. (2020), showing that the former can reduce the extent of the forecast error during the Covid-19 period. Schorfheide and Song (2020) do not include COVID periods in the estimation of a mixed-frequency VAR model because those observations substantially alter the forecasts. An alternative approach is the specification of sophisticated nonlinear / time-varying models. While this is not without perils when used on short economic time series, it can yield some gains, see e.g.

Modeling real-world phenomena is a focus of many science and engineering efforts, such as ecological modeling and financial forecasting, to name a few. Building an accurate model for complex and dynamic systems improves understanding of underlying processes and leads to resource efficiency. Towards this goal, knowledge-driven modeling builds a model based on human expertise, yet is often suboptimal. At the opposite extreme, data-driven modeling learns a model directly from data, requiring extensive data and potentially generating overfitting. We focus on an intermediate approach, model revision, in which prior knowledge and data are combined to achieve the best of both worlds. In this paper, we propose a genetic model revision framework based on tree-adjoining grammar (TAG) guided genetic programming (GP), using the TAG formalism and GP operators in an effective mechanism to incorporate prior knowledge and make data-driven revisions in a way that complies with prior knowledge. Our framework is designed to address the high computational cost of evolutionary modeling of complex systems. Via a case study on the challenging problem of river water quality modeling, we show that the framework efficiently learns an interpretable model, with higher modeling accuracy than existing methods.