In the online innovation market, the fund-raising performance of the start-up project is a concerning issue for creators, investors and platforms. Unfortunately, existing studies always focus on modeling the fund-raising process after the publishment of a project but the predicting of a project attraction in the market before setting up is largely unexploited. Usually, this prediction is always with great challenges to making a comprehensive understanding of both the start-up project and market environment. To that end, in this paper, we present a focused study on this important problem from a market graph perspective. Specifically, we propose a Graph-based Market Environment (GME) model for predicting the fund-raising performance of the unpublished project by exploiting the market environment. In addition, we discriminatively model the project competitiveness and market preferences by designing two graph-based neural network architectures and incorporating them into a joint optimization stage. Furthermore, to explore the information propagation problem with dynamic environment in a large-scale market graph, we extend the GME model with parallelizing competitiveness quantification and hierarchical propagation algorithm. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on real-world data. The experimental results clearly demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed model.

Causal inference methods are widely applied in various decision-making domains such as precision medicine, optimal policy and economics. Central to these applications is the treatment effect estimation of intervention strategies. Current estimation methods are mostly restricted to the deterministic treatment, which however, is unable to address the stochastic space treatment policies. Moreover, previous methods can only make binary yes-or-no decisions based on the treatment effect, lacking the capability of providing fine-grained effect estimation degree to explain the process of decision making. In our study, we therefore advance the causal inference research to estimate stochastic intervention effect by devising a new stochastic propensity score and stochastic intervention effect estimator (SIE). Meanwhile, we design a customized genetic algorithm specific to stochastic intervention effect (Ge-SIO) with the aim of providing causal evidence for decision making. We provide the theoretical analysis and conduct an empirical study to justify that our proposed measures and algorithms can achieve a significant performance lift in comparison with state-of-the-art baselines.

We introduce Neural Radiosity, an algorithm to solve the rendering equation by minimizing the norm of its residual similar as in traditional radiosity techniques. Traditional basis functions used in radiosity techniques, such as piecewise polynomials or meshless basis functions are typically limited to representing isotropic scattering from diffuse surfaces. Instead, we propose to leverage neural networks to represent the full four-dimensional radiance distribution, directly optimizing network parameters to minimize the norm of the residual. Our approach decouples solving the rendering equation from rendering (perspective) images similar as in traditional radiosity techniques, and allows us to efficiently synthesize arbitrary views of a scene. In addition, we propose a network architecture using geometric learnable features that improves convergence of our solver compared to previous techniques. Our approach leads to an algorithm that is simple to implement, and we demonstrate its effectiveness on a variety of scenes with non-diffuse surfaces.

We propose a novel framework to bootstrap the reputation of on-demand service compositions. On-demand compositions are usually context-aware and have little or no direct consumer feedback. The reputation bootstrapping of single or atomic services does not consider the topology of the composition and relationships among reputation-related factors. We apply Conditional Preference Networks (CP-nets) of reputation-related factors for component services in a composition. The reputation of a composite service is bootstrapped by the composition of CP-nets. We consider the history of invocation among component services to determine reputation-interdependence in a composition. The composition rules are constructed using the composition topology and four types of reputation-influence among component services. A heuristic-based Q-learning approach is proposed to select the optimal set of reputation-related CP-nets. Experimental results prove the efficiency of the proposed approach.

Building machine learning models using EEG recorded outside of the laboratory setting requires methods robust to noisy data and randomly missing channels. This need is particularly great when working with sparse EEG montages (1-6 channels), often encountered in consumer-grade or mobile EEG devices. Neither classical machine learning models nor deep neural networks trained end-to-end on EEG are typically designed or tested for robustness to corruption, and especially to randomly missing channels. While some studies have proposed strategies for using data with missing channels, these approaches are not practical when sparse montages are used and computing power is limited (e.g., wearables, cell phones). To tackle this problem, we propose dynamic spatial filtering (DSF), a multi-head attention module that can be plugged in before the first layer of a neural network to handle missing EEG channels by learning to focus on good channels and to ignore bad ones. We tested DSF on public EEG data encompassing ~4,000 recordings with simulated channel corruption and on a private dataset of ~100 at-home recordings of mobile EEG with natural corruption. Our proposed approach achieves the same performance as baseline models when no noise is applied, but outperforms baselines by as much as 29.4% accuracy when significant channel corruption is present. Moreover, DSF outputs are interpretable, making it possible to monitor channel importance in real-time. This approach has the potential to enable the analysis of EEG in challenging settings where channel corruption hampers the reading of brain signals.

In this work, we have proposed augmented KRnets including both discrete and continuous models. One difficulty in flow-based generative modeling is to maintain the invertibility of the transport map, which is often a trade-off between effectiveness and robustness. The exact invertibility has been achieved in the real NVP using a specific pattern to exchange information between two separated groups of dimensions. KRnet has been developed to enhance the information exchange among data dimensions by incorporating the Knothe-Rosenblatt rearrangement into the structure of the transport map. Due to the maintenance of the exact invertibility, a full nonlinear update of all data dimensions needs three iterations in KRnet. To alleviate this issue, we will add augmented dimensions that act as a channel for the data dimensions to exchange information. In the augmented KRnet, a fully nonlinear update is achieved in two iterations. We also show that the augmented KRnet can be reformulated as the discretization of a neural ODE, where the exact invertibility is kept such that the adjoint method can be formulated with respect to the discretized ODE to obtain the exact gradient. Numerical experiments have been implemented to demonstrate the effectiveness of our models.

The Dynamic Pickup and Delivery Problem (DPDP) is aimed at dynamically scheduling vehicles among multiple sites in order to minimize the cost when delivery orders are not known a priori. Although DPDP plays an important role in modern logistics and supply chain management, state-of-the-art DPDP algorithms are still limited on their solution quality and efficiency. In practice, they fail to provide a scalable solution as the numbers of vehicles and sites become large. In this paper, we propose a data-driven approach, Spatial-Temporal Aided Double Deep Graph Network (ST-DDGN), to solve industry-scale DPDP. In our method, the delivery demands are first forecast using spatial-temporal prediction method, which guides the neural network to perceive spatial-temporal distribution of delivery demand when dispatching vehicles. Besides, the relationships of individuals such as vehicles are modelled by establishing a graph-based value function. ST-DDGN incorporates attention-based graph embedding with Double DQN (DDQN). As such, it can make the inference across vehicles more efficiently compared with traditional methods. Our method is entirely data driven and thus adaptive, i.e., the relational representation of adjacent vehicles can be learned and corrected by ST-DDGN from data periodically. We have conducted extensive experiments over real-world data to evaluate our solution. The results show that ST-DDGN reduces 11.27% number of the used vehicles and decreases 13.12% total transportation cost on average over the strong baselines, including the heuristic algorithm deployed in our UAT (User Acceptance Test) environment and a variety of vanilla DRL methods. We are due to fully deploy our solution into our online logistics system and it is estimated that millions of USD logistics cost can be saved per year.

As the marketing of almost every advanced cybersecurity product will tell you, artificial intelligence is already being used in many products and services that secure computing infrastructure. But you probably haven't heard much about the need to secure the machine learning applications that are becoming increasingly widespread in the services you use day-to-day. Whether we recognize it or not, AI applications are already shaping our consciousness. Machine learning-based recommendation mechanisms on platforms like YouTube, Facebook, TikTok, Netflix, Twitter, and Spotify are designed to keep users hooked to their platforms and engaged with content and ads. These systems are also vulnerable to abuse via attacks known as data poisoning.

Most of the supervised learning problems in machine learning are classification problems. Classification is the task of assigning a data point with a suitable class. Suppose a pet classification problem. If we input certain features, the machine learning model will tell us whether the given features belong to a cat or a dog. Cat and dog are the two classes here.

We spoke about how humans can easily locate where to take a step but how would numbers do this? How would numbers where the downward direction is? Above, we have a cost J which is a function of only one parameter w. This function can be represented through an equation in terms of w. To update w in order to reduce J we first start with a random value of w and then update the value using this equation. Here alpha is the learning rate we spoke about.