The neural ordinary differential equation (neural ODE) model has attracted increasing attention in time series analysis for its capability to process irregular time steps, i.e., data are not observed over equally-spaced time intervals. In multi-dimensional time series analysis, a task is to conduct evolutionary subspace clustering, aiming at clustering temporal data according to their evolving low-dimensional subspace structures. Many existing methods can only process time series with regular time steps while time series are unevenly sampled in many situations such as missing data. In this paper, we propose a neural ODE model for evolutionary subspace clustering to overcome this limitation and a new objective function with subspace self-expressiveness constraint is introduced. We demonstrate that this method can not only interpolate data at any time step for the evolutionary subspace clustering task, but also achieve higher accuracy than other state-of-the-art evolutionary subspace clustering methods. Both synthetic and real-world data are used to illustrate the efficacy of our proposed method.

Learning the structure of a causal graphical model using both observational and interventional data is a fundamental problem in many scientific fields. A promising direction is continuous optimization for score-based methods, which efficiently learn the causal graph in a data-driven manner. However, to date, those methods require constrained optimization to enforce acyclicity or lack convergence guarantees. In this paper, we present ENCO, an efficient structure learning method for directed, acyclic causal graphs leveraging observational and interventional data. ENCO formulates the graph search as an optimization of independent edge likelihoods, with the edge orientation being modeled as a separate parameter. Consequently, we can provide convergence guarantees of ENCO under mild conditions without constraining the score function with respect to acyclicity. In experiments, we show that ENCO can efficiently recover graphs with hundreds of nodes, an order of magnitude larger than what was previously possible, while handling deterministic variables and latent confounders.

In this paper, we describe a reproduction of the Relational Graph Convolutional Network (RGCN). Using our reproduction, we explain the intuition behind the model. Our reproduction results empirically validate the correctness of our implementations using benchmark Knowledge Graph datasets on node classification and link prediction tasks. Our explanation provides a friendly understanding of the different components of the RGCN for both users and researchers extending the RGCN approach. Furthermore, we introduce two new configurations of the RGCN that are more parameter efficient. The code and datasets are available at https://github.com/thiviyanT/torch-rgcn.

When recognizing emotions, subtle nuances of emotion displays often cause ambiguity or uncertainty in emotion perception. Unfortunately, the ambiguity or uncertainty cannot be reflected in hard emotion labels. Emotion predictions with uncertainty can be useful for risk controlling, but they are relatively scarce in current deep models for emotion recognition. To address this issue, we propose to apply the multi-generational self-distillation algorithm to emotion recognition task towards better uncertainty estimation performance. We firstly use deep ensembles to capture uncertainty, as an approximation to Bayesian methods. Secondly, the deep ensemble provides soft labels to its student models, while the student models can learn from the uncertainty embedded in those soft labels. Thirdly, we iteratively train deep ensembles to further improve the performance of emotion recognition and uncertainty estimation. In the end, our algorithm results in a single student model that can estimate in-domain uncertainty and a student ensemble that can detect out-of-domain samples. We trained our Efficient Multitask Emotion Networks (EMENet) on the Aff-wild2 dataset, and conducted extensive experiments on emotion recognition and uncertainty estimation. Our algorithm gives more reliable uncertainty estimates than Temperature Scaling and Monte Carol Dropout.

Annealed importance sampling (AIS) and related algorithms are highly effective tools for marginal likelihood estimation, but are not fully differentiable due to the use of Metropolis-Hastings (MH) correction steps. Differentiability is a desirable property as it would admit the possibility of optimizing marginal likelihood as an objective using gradient-based methods. To this end, we propose a differentiable AIS algorithm by abandoning MH steps, which further unlocks mini-batch computation. We provide a detailed convergence analysis for Bayesian linear regression which goes beyond previous analyses by explicitly accounting for non-perfect transitions. Using this analysis, we prove that our algorithm is consistent in the full-batch setting and provide a sublinear convergence rate. However, we show that the algorithm is inconsistent when mini-batch gradients are used due to a fundamental incompatibility between the goals of last-iterate convergence to the posterior and elimination of the pathwise stochastic error. This result is in stark contrast to our experience with stochastic optimization and stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics, where the effects of gradient noise can be washed out by taking more steps of a smaller size. Our negative result relies crucially on our explicit consideration of convergence to the stationary distribution, and it helps explain the difficulty of developing practically effective AIS-like algorithms that exploit mini-batch gradients.

It can be argued that finding an interpretable low-dimensional representation of a potentially high-dimensional phenomenon is central to the scientific enterprise. Independent component analysis (ICA) refers to an ensemble of methods which formalize this goal and provide estimation procedure for practical application. This work proposes mechanism sparsity regularization as a new principle to achieve nonlinear ICA when latent factors depend sparsely on observed auxiliary variables and/or past latent factors. We show that the latent variables can be recovered up to a permutation if one regularizes the latent mechanisms to be sparse and if some graphical criterion is satisfied by the data generating process. As a special case, our framework shows how one can leverage unknown-target interventions on the latent factors to disentangle them, thus drawing further connections between ICA and causality. We validate our theoretical results with toy experiments.

Gaussian Processes (\textbf{GPs}) are flexible non-parametric models with strong probabilistic interpretation. While being a standard choice for performing inference on time series, GPs have few techniques to work in a streaming setting. \cite{bui2017streaming} developed an efficient variational approach to train online GPs by using sparsity techniques: The whole set of observations is approximated by a smaller set of inducing points (\textbf{IPs}) and moved around with new data. Both the number and the locations of the IPs will affect greatly the performance of the algorithm. In addition to optimizing their locations, we propose to adaptively add new points, based on the properties of the GP and the structure of the data.

Graph vertex embeddings based on random walks have become increasingly influential in recent years, showing good performance in several tasks as they efficiently transform a graph into a more computationally digestible format while preserving relevant information. However, the theoretical properties of such algorithms, in particular the influence of hyperparameters and of the graph structure on their convergence behaviour, have so far not been well-understood. In this work, we provide a theoretical analysis for random-walks based embeddings techniques. Firstly, we prove that, under some weak assumptions, vertex embeddings derived from random walks do indeed converge both in the single limit of the number of random walks $N \to \infty$ and in the double limit of both $N$ and the length of each random walk $L\to\infty$. Secondly, we derive concentration bounds quantifying the converge rate of the corpora for the single and double limits. Thirdly, we use these results to derive a heuristic for choosing the hyperparameters $N$ and $L$. We validate and illustrate the practical importance of our findings with a range of numerical and visual experiments on several graphs drawn from real-world applications.

Motivated by the need for efficient and personalized learning in mobile health, we investigate the problem of online kernel selection for Gaussian Process regression in the multi-task setting. We propose a novel generative process on the kernel composition for this purpose. Our method demonstrates that trajectories of kernel evolutions can be transferred between users to improve learning and that the kernels themselves are meaningful for an mHealth prediction goal.

Many RGB-T trackers attempt to attain robust feature representation by utilizing an adaptive weighting scheme (or attention mechanism). Different from these works, we propose a new dynamic modality-aware filter generation module (named MFGNet) to boost the message communication between visible and thermal data by adaptively adjusting the convolutional kernels for various input images in practical tracking. Given the image pairs as input, we first encode their features with the backbone network. Then, we concatenate these feature maps and generate dynamic modality-aware filters with two independent networks. The visible and thermal filters will be used to conduct a dynamic convolutional operation on their corresponding input feature maps respectively. Inspired by residual connection, both the generated visible and thermal feature maps will be summarized with input feature maps. The augmented feature maps will be fed into the RoI align module to generate instance-level features for subsequent classification. To address issues caused by heavy occlusion, fast motion, and out-of-view, we propose to conduct a joint local and global search by exploiting a new direction-aware target-driven attention mechanism. The spatial and temporal recurrent neural network is used to capture the direction-aware context for accurate global attention prediction. Extensive experiments on three large-scale RGB-T tracking benchmark datasets validated the effectiveness of our proposed algorithm. The project page of this paper is available at https://sites.google.com/view/mfgrgbttrack/.