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 Statistical Learning


Process Mining Model to Predict Mortality in Paralytic Ileus Patients

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Paralytic Ileus (PI) patients are at high risk of death when admitted to the Intensive care unit (ICU), with mortality as high as 40\%. There is minimal research concerning PI patient mortality prediction. There is a need for more accurate prediction modeling for ICU patients diagnosed with PI. This paper demonstrates performance improvements in predicting the mortality of ICU patients diagnosed with PI after 24 hours of being admitted. The proposed framework, PMPI(Process Mining Model to predict mortality of PI patients), is a modification of the work used for prediction of in-hospital mortality for ICU patients with diabetes. PMPI demonstrates similar if not better performance with an Area under the ROC Curve (AUC) score of 0.82 compared to the best results of the existing literature. PMPI uses patient medical history, the time related to the events, and demographic information for prediction. The PMPI prediction framework has the potential to help medical teams in making better decisions for treatment and care for ICU patients with PI to increase their life expectancy.


Efficacy of Statistical and Artificial Intelligence-based False Information Cyberattack Detection Models for Connected Vehicles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Connected vehicles (CVs), because of the external connectivity with other CVs and connected infrastructure, are vulnerable to cyberattacks that can instantly compromise the safety of the vehicle itself and other connected vehicles and roadway infrastructure. One such cyberattack is the false information attack, where an external attacker injects inaccurate information into the connected vehicles and eventually can cause catastrophic consequences by compromising safety-critical applications like the forward collision warning. The occurrence and target of such attack events can be very dynamic, making real-time and near-real-time detection challenging. Change point models, can be used for real-time anomaly detection caused by the false information attack. In this paper, we have evaluated three change point-based statistical models; Expectation Maximization, Cumulative Summation, and Bayesian Online Change Point Algorithms for cyberattack detection in the CV data. Also, data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) models, which can be used to detect known and unknown underlying patterns in the dataset, have the potential of detecting a real-time anomaly in the CV data. We have used six AI models to detect false information attacks and compared the performance for detecting the attacks with our developed change point models. Our study shows that change points models performed better in real-time false information attack detection compared to the performance of the AI models. Change point models having the advantage of no training requirements can be a feasible and computationally efficient alternative to AI models for false information attack detection in connected vehicles.


Learning off-road maneuver plans for autonomous vehicles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This thesis explores the benefits machine learning algorithms can bring to online planning and scheduling for autonomous vehicles in off-road situations. Mainly, we focus on typical problems of interest which include computing itineraries that meet certain objectives, as well as computing scheduling strategies to execute synchronized maneuvers with other vehicles. We present a range of learning-based heuristics to assist different itinerary planners. We show that these heuristics allow a significant increase in performance for optimal planners. Furthermore, in the case of approximate planning, we show that not only does the running time decrease, the quality of the itinerary found also becomes almost always better. Finally, in order to synthesize strategies to execute synchronized maneuvers, we propose a novel type of scheduling controllability and a learning-assisted algorithm. The proposed framework achieves significant improvement on known benchmarks in this controllability type over the performance of state-of-the-art works in a related controllability type. Moreover, it is able to find strategies on complex scheduling problems for which previous works fail to do so.


Predicting user demographics based on interest analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

These days, due to the increasing amount of information generated on the web, most web service providers try to personalize their services. Users also interact with web-based systems in multiple ways and state their interests and preferences by rating the provided items. This paper proposes a framework to predict users' demographic based on ratings registered by users in a system. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that the item ratings are employed for users' demographic prediction problems, which have extensively been studied in recommendation systems and service personalization. We apply the framework to the Movielens dataset's ratings and predict users' age and gender. The experimental results show that using all ratings registered by users improves the prediction accuracy by at least 16% compared with previously studied models. Moreover, by classifying the items as popular and unpopular, we eliminate ratings that belong to 95% of items and still reach an acceptable level of accuracy. This significantly reduces update costs in a time-varying environment. Besides this classification, we propose other methods to reduce data volume while keeping the predictions accurate.


Machine Learning Constructives and Local Searches for the Travelling Salesman Problem

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Travelling Salesman Problem (TSP) is one of the most investigated problems in the Combinatorial Optimization (CO) field. This is partly due to the fact that it belongs to the set of NP-Hard problems, which makes it particularly challenging. Moreover, the many practical problems that can be reduced to this - such as in Ratnesh et al. [10] where models of the TSP are presented to be used in the manufacture of microchips - make it even more attractive. At the same time, the full potentials of Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) techniques are becoming increasingly recognized in the CO field [2]. Mele et al. [17] recently introduced ML-Constructive, a promising constructive approach that computes fast solutions in two separate phases.


Data Mining, Predictive Modeling and Machine Learning of Communities and Crime Dataset

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Correctly Classified Instances 498 83.1386 % Incorrectly Classified Instances 101 16.8614 % Kappa statistic 0.6118 Mean absolute error 0.2621 Root mean squared error 0.3518 Total Number of Instances 599


Learn software engineering for $30 with this 12-course package

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Programming is a broad term that applies to industries ranging from web design to machine learning, so deciding that you want to learn coding isn't enough to secure a job. If that doesn't scare you away, your next big step should be to learn a language and expose yourself to as many different facets of development as possible. This allows you to discover where your talents and interests lie, and ultimately puts you on the path toward success, whether it's as an app creator or data scientist. That's where the 2021 Google Software Engineering Manager Prep Bundle can help. This 12-course bundle will expose you to popular career paths in the world of modern programming, and it comes in at just $40.


Basic intuition of LDA

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Whenever we come across Machine learning models involving classification of image data or have to deal with vectors of a complex dimensionality, computation becomes a barrier in getting timely results. It is therefore intuitive to use algorithms that reduce computation complexity involving vectors and help in getting timely and better results. And we will talk about one such technique of classification that uses dimensionality reduction - Linear Discriminant Analysis or LDA. Suppose we are working on a dataset containing images. Our aim is to train a model that classifies the images into two or more categories.


A survey of Monte Carlo methods for noisy and costly densities with application to reinforcement learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This survey gives an overview of Monte Carlo methodologies using surrogate models, for dealing with densities which are intractable, costly, and/or noisy. This type of problem can be found in numerous real-world scenarios, including stochastic optimization and reinforcement learning, where each evaluation of a density function may incur some computationally-expensive or even physical (real-world activity) cost, likely to give different results each time. The surrogate model does not incur this cost, but there are important trade-offs and considerations involved in the choice and design of such methodologies. We classify the different methodologies into three main classes and describe specific instances of algorithms under a unified notation. A modular scheme which encompasses the considered methods is also presented. A range of application scenarios is discussed, with special attention to the likelihood-free setting and reinforcement learning. Several numerical comparisons are also provided.


Getting familiar with Rmarkdown Stargazer

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Happiness in the present is only shattered by comparison with the past. Regression analysis does not require any separate introduction today. In fact, it would be hard to find a field of study that can put a bet and win for not using this technique at least once in their life cycle. There exists a relationship, waiting to be explored by someone through some variant of regression technique. Ever since mathematicians Adrien-Marie Legendre and Carl Friedrich Gauss invented this technique in the early 19th century, the world has been experiencing at least one use case every day; by some human being alive in the world.