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 Statistical Learning


A Method for Medical Data Analysis Using the LogNNet for Clinical Decision Support Systems and Edge Computing in Healthcare

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The study presents a new method for analyzing medical data based on the LogNNet neural network, which uses chaotic mappings to transform input information. The technique calculates risk factors for the presence of a disease in a patient according to a set of medical health indicators. The LogNNet architecture allows the implementation of artificial intelligence on medical pe-ripherals of the Internet of Things with low RAM resources, and the development of edge computing in healthcare. The efficiency of LogNNet in assessing perinatal risk is illustrated on cardiotocogram data of 2126 pregnant women, obtained from the UC Irvine machine learning repository. The classification accuracy reaches ~ 91%, with the ~ 3-10 kB of RAM used on the Arduino microcontroller. In addition, examples for diagnosing COVID-19 are provided, using LogNNet trained on a publicly available database from the Israeli Ministry of Health. The service concept has been developed, which uses the data of the express test for COVID-19 and reaches the classification accuracy of ~ 95% with the ~ 0.6 kB of RAM used on Arduino microcontrollers. In all examples, the model is tested using standard classification quality metrics: Precision, Recall, and F1-measure. The study results can be used in clinical decision support systems.


Detecting Real-World Influence Through Twitter

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we investigate the issue of detecting the real-life influence of people based on their Twitter account. We propose an overview of common Twitter features used to characterize such accounts and their activity, and show that these are inefficient in this context. In particular, retweets and followers numbers, and Klout score are not relevant to our analysis. We thus propose several Machine Learning approaches based on Natural Language Processing and Social Network Analysis to label Twitter users as Influencers or not. We also rank them according to a predicted influence level. Our proposals are evaluated over the CLEF RepLab 2014 dataset, and outmatch state-of-the-art ranking methods.


Zeroth-Order Alternating Randomized Gradient Projection Algorithms for General Nonconvex-Concave Minimax Problems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we study zeroth-order algorithms for nonconvex-concave minimax problems, which have attracted widely attention in machine learning, signal processing and many other fields in recent years. We propose a zeroth-order alternating randomized gradient projection (ZO-AGP) algorithm for smooth nonconvex-concave minimax problems, and its iteration complexity to obtain an $\varepsilon$-stationary point is bounded by $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-4})$, and the number of function value estimation is bounded by $\mathcal{O}(d_{x}\varepsilon^{-4}+d_{y}\varepsilon^{-6})$ per iteration. Moreover, we propose a zeroth-order block alternating randomized proximal gradient algorithm (ZO-BAPG) for solving block-wise nonsmooth nonconvex-concave minimax optimization problems, and the iteration complexity to obtain an $\varepsilon$-stationary point is bounded by $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-4})$ and the number of function value estimation per iteration is bounded by $\mathcal{O}(K d_{x}\varepsilon^{-4}+d_{y}\varepsilon^{-6})$. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that zeroth-order algorithms with iteration complexity gurantee are developed for solving both general smooth and block-wise nonsmooth nonconvex-concave minimax problems. Numerical results on data poisoning attack problem validate the efficiency of the proposed algorithms.


FMMformer: Efficient and Flexible Transformer via Decomposed Near-field and Far-field Attention

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose FMMformers, a class of efficient and flexible transformers inspired by the celebrated fast multipole method (FMM) for accelerating interacting particle simulation. FMM decomposes particle-particle interaction into near-field and far-field components and then performs direct and coarse-grained computation, respectively. Similarly, FMMformers decompose the attention into near-field and far-field attention, modeling the near-field attention by a banded matrix and the far-field attention by a low-rank matrix. Computing the attention matrix for FMMformers requires linear complexity in computational time and memory footprint with respect to the sequence length. In contrast, standard transformers suffer from quadratic complexity. We analyze and validate the advantage of FMMformers over the standard transformer on the Long Range Arena and language modeling benchmarks. FMMformers can even outperform the standard transformer in terms of accuracy by a significant margin. For instance, FMMformers achieve an average classification accuracy of $60.74\%$ over the five Long Range Arena tasks, which is significantly better than the standard transformer's average accuracy of $58.70\%$.


Fake News and Phishing Detection Using a Machine Learning Trained Expert System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Expert systems have been used to enable computers to make recommendations and decisions. This paper presents the use of a machine learning trained expert system (MLES) for phishing site detection and fake news detection. Both topics share a similar goal: to design a rule-fact network that allows a computer to make explainable decisions like domain experts in each respective area. The phishing website detection study uses a MLES to detect potential phishing websites by analyzing site properties (like URL length and expiration time). The fake news detection study uses a MLES rule-fact network to gauge news story truthfulness based on factors such as emotion, the speaker's political affiliation status, and job. The two studies use different MLES network implementations, which are presented and compared herein. The fake news study utilized a more linear design while the phishing project utilized a more complex connection structure. Both networks' inputs are based on commonly available data sets.


Mixture of Linear Models Co-supervised by Deep Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved phenomenal success for applications in many domains, ranging from academic research in science and engineering to industry and business. The modeling power of DNN is believed to have come from the complexity and over-parameterization of the model, which on the other hand has been criticized for the lack of interpretation. Although certainly not true for every application, in some applications, especially in economics, social science, healthcare industry, and administrative decision making, scientists or practitioners are resistant to use predictions made by a black-box system for multiple reasons. One reason is that a major purpose of a study can be to make discoveries based upon the prediction function, e.g., to reveal the relationships between measurements. Another reason can be that the training dataset is not large enough to make researchers feel completely sure about a purely data-driven result. Being able to examine and interpret the prediction function will enable researchers to connect the result with existing knowledge or gain insights about new directions to explore. Although classic statistical models are much more explainable, their accuracy often falls considerably below DNN. In this paper, we propose an approach to fill the gap between relatively simple explainable models and DNN such that we can more flexibly tune the trade-off between interpretability and accuracy. Our main idea is a mixture of discriminative models that is trained with the guidance from a DNN. Although mixtures of discriminative models have been studied before, our way of generating the mixture is quite different.


Statistical Analysis of Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Estimators

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider statistical methods which invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning from limited samples, the min-max formulations introduce an adversarial inner player to explore unseen covariate data. The resulting Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) formulations, which include Wasserstein DRO formulations (our main focus), are specified using optimal transportation phenomena. Upon describing how these infinite-dimensional min-max problems can be approached via a finite-dimensional dual reformulation, the tutorial moves into its main component, namely, explaining a generic recipe for optimally selecting the size of the adversary's budget. This is achieved by studying the limit behavior of an optimal transport projection formulation arising from an inquiry on the smallest confidence region that includes the unknown population risk minimizer. Incidentally, this systematic prescription coincides with those in specific examples in high-dimensional statistics and results in error bounds that are free from the curse of dimensions. Equipped with this prescription, we present a central limit theorem for the DRO estimator and provide a recipe for constructing compatible confidence regions that are useful for uncertainty quantification. The rest of the tutorial is devoted to insights into the nature of the optimizers selected by the min-max formulations and additional applications of optimal transport projections.


Stochastic Subgradient Descent Escapes Active Strict Saddles

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In non-smooth stochastic optimization, we establish the non-convergence of the stochastic subgradient descent (SGD) to the critical points recently called active strict saddles by Davis and Drusvyatskiy. Such points lie on a manifold $M$ where the function $f$ has a direction of second-order negative curvature. Off this manifold, the norm of the Clarke subdifferential of $f$ is lower-bounded. We require two conditions on $f$. The first assumption is a Verdier stratification condition, which is a refinement of the popular Whitney stratification. It allows us to establish a reinforced version of the projection formula of Bolte \emph{et.al.} for Whitney stratifiable functions, and which is of independent interest. The second assumption, termed the angle condition, allows to control the distance of the iterates to $M$. When $f$ is weakly convex, our assumptions are generic. Consequently, generically in the class of definable weakly convex functions, the SGD converges to a local minimizer.


MRCpy: A Library for Minimax Risk Classifiers

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Existing libraries for supervised classification implement techniques that are based on empirical risk minimization and utilize surrogate losses. We present MRCpy library that implements minimax risk classifiers (MRCs) that are based on robust risk minimization and can utilize 0-1-loss. Such techniques give rise to a manifold of classification methods that can provide tight bounds on the expected loss. MRCpy provides a unified interface for different variants of MRCs and follows the standards of popular Python libraries. The presented library also provides implementation for popular techniques that can be seen as MRCs such as L1-regularized logistic regression, zero-one adversarial, and maximum entropy machines. In addition, MRCpy implements recent feature mappings such as Fourier, ReLU, and threshold features. The library is designed with an object-oriented approach that facilitates collaborators and users.


Under the Radar -- Auditing Fairness in ML for Humanitarian Mapping

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Humanitarian mapping from space with machine learning helps policy-makers to timely and accurately identify people in need. However, recent concerns around fairness and transparency of algorithmic decision-making are a significant obstacle for applying these methods in practice. In this paper, we study if humanitarian mapping approaches from space are prone to bias in their predictions. We map village-level poverty and electricity rates in India based on nighttime lights (NTLs) with linear regression and random forest and analyze if the predictions systematically show prejudice against scheduled caste or tribe communities. To achieve this, we design a causal approach to measure counterfactual fairness based on propensity score matching. This allows to compare villages within a community of interest to synthetic counterfactuals. Our findings indicate that poverty is systematically overestimated and electricity systematically underestimated for scheduled tribes in comparison to a synthetic counterfactual group of villages. The effects have the opposite direction for scheduled castes where poverty is underestimated and electrification overestimated. These results are a warning sign for a variety of applications in humanitarian mapping where fairness issues would compromise policy goals.