Statistical Learning
Monolingual versus Multilingual BERTology for Vietnamese Extractive Multi-Document Summarization
Quoc, Huy To, Van Nguyen, Kiet, Nguyen, Ngan Luu-Thuy, Nguyen, Anh Gia-Tuan
Recent researches have demonstrated that BERT shows potential in a wide range of natural language processing tasks. It is adopted as an encoder for many state-of-the-art automatic summarizing systems, which achieve excellent performance. However, so far, there is not much work done for Vietnamese. In this paper, we showcase how BERT can be implemented for extractive text summarization in Vietnamese. We introduce a novel comparison between different multilingual and monolingual BERT models. The experiment results indicate that monolingual models produce promising results compared to other multilingual models and previous text summarizing models for Vietnamese.
When are Deep Networks really better than Random Forests at small sample sizes?
Xu, Haoyin, Ainsworth, Michael, Peng, Yu-Chung, Kusmanov, Madi, Panda, Sambit, Vogelstein, Joshua T.
Random forests (RF) and deep networks (DN) are two of the most popular machine learning methods in the current scientific literature and yield differing levels of performance on different data modalities. We wish to further explore and establish the conditions and domains in which each approach excels, particularly in the context of sample size and feature dimension. To address these issues, we tested the performance of these approaches across tabular, image, and audio settings using varying model parameters and architectures. Our focus is on datasets with at most 10,000 samples, which represent a large fraction of scientific and biomedical datasets. In general, we found RF to excel at tabular and structured data (image and audio) with small sample sizes, whereas DN performed better on structured data with larger sample sizes. Although we plan to continue updating this technical report in the coming months, we believe the current preliminary results may be of interest to others.
FADE: FAir Double Ensemble Learning for Observable and Counterfactual Outcomes
Mishler, Alan, Kennedy, Edward
Methods for building fair predictors often involve tradeoffs between fairness and accuracy and between different fairness criteria, but the nature of these tradeoffs varies. Recent work seeks to characterize these tradeoffs in specific problem settings, but these methods often do not accommodate users who wish to improve the fairness of an existing benchmark model without sacrificing accuracy, or vice versa. These results are also typically restricted to observable accuracy and fairness criteria. We develop a flexible framework for fair ensemble learning that allows users to efficiently explore the fairness-accuracy space or to improve the fairness or accuracy of a benchmark model. Our framework can simultaneously target multiple observable or counterfactual fairness criteria, and it enables users to combine a large number of previously trained and newly trained predictors. We provide theoretical guarantees that our estimators converge at fast rates. We apply our method on both simulated and real data, with respect to both observable and counterfactual accuracy and fairness criteria. We show that, surprisingly, multiple unfairness measures can sometimes be minimized simultaneously with little impact on accuracy, relative to unconstrained predictors or existing benchmark models.
Scalable Spatiotemporally Varying Coefficient Modeling with Bayesian Kernelized Tensor Regression
Lei, Mengying, Labbe, Aurelie, Sun, Lijun
As a regression technique in spatial statistics, spatiotemporally varying coefficient model (STVC) is an important tool to discover nonstationary and interpretable response-covariate associations over both space and time. However, it is difficult to apply STVC for large-scale spatiotemporal analysis due to the high computational cost. To address this challenge, we summarize the spatiotemporally varying coefficients using a third-order tensor structure and propose to reformulate the spatiotemporally varying coefficient model as a special low-rank tensor regression problem. The low-rank decomposition can effectively model the global patterns of the large data with substantially reduced number of parameters. To further incorporate the local spatiotemporal dependencies among the samples, we place Gaussian process (GP) priors on the spatial and temporal factor matrices to better encode local spatial and temporal processes on each factor component. We refer to the overall framework as Bayesian Kernelized Tensor Regression (BKTR). For model inference, we develop an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, which uses Gibbs sampling to update factor matrices and slice sampling to update kernel hyperparameters. We conduct extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world data sets, and our results confirm the superior performance and efficiency of BKTR for model estimation and parameter inference.
Uniform Consistency in Nonparametric Mixture Models
We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error distributions are assumed to be convolutions of a Gaussian density. We construct uniformly consistent estimators under general conditions while simultaneously highlighting several pain points in extending existing pointwise consistency results to uniform results. The resulting analysis turns out to be nontrivial, and several novel technical tools are developed along the way. In the case of mixed regression, we prove $L^1$ convergence of the regression functions while allowing for the component regression functions to intersect arbitrarily often, which presents additional technical challenges. We also consider generalizations to general (i.e. non-convolutional) nonparametric mixtures.
Bayesian learning of forest and tree graphical models
In Bayesian learning of Gaussian graphical model structure, it is common to restrict attention to certain classes of graphs and approximate the posterior distribution by repeatedly moving from one graph to another, using MCMC or methods such as stochastic shotgun search (SSS). I give two corrected versions of an algorithm for non-decomposable graphs and discuss random graph distributions, in particular as prior distributions. The main topic of the thesis is Bayesian structure-learning with forests or trees. Restricting attention to these graphs can be justified using theorems on random graphs. I describe how to use the Chow$\unicode{x2013}$Liu algorithm and the Matrix Tree Theorem to find the MAP forest and certain quantities in the posterior distribution on trees. I give adapted versions of MCMC and SSS for approximating the posterior distribution for forests and trees, and systems for storing these graphs so that it is easy to choose moves to neighbouring graphs. Experiments show that SSS with trees does well when the true graph is a tree or sparse graph. SSS with trees or forests does better than SSS with decomposable graphs in certain cases. Graph priors improve detection of hubs but need large ranges of probabilities. MCMC on forests fails to mix well and MCMC on trees is slower than SSS. (For a longer abstract see the thesis.)
Bubblewrap: Online tiling and real-time flow prediction on neural manifolds
Draelos, Anne, Gupta, Pranjal, Jun, Na Young, Sriworarat, Chaichontat, Pearson, John
While most classic studies of function in experimental neuroscience have focused on the coding properties of individual neurons, recent developments in recording technologies have resulted in an increasing emphasis on the dynamics of neural populations. This has given rise to a wide variety of models for analyzing population activity in relation to experimental variables, but direct testing of many neural population hypotheses requires intervening in the system based on current neural state, necessitating models capable of inferring neural state online. Existing approaches, primarily based on dynamical systems, require strong parametric assumptions that are easily violated in the noise-dominated regime and do not scale well to the thousands of data channels in modern experiments. To address this problem, we propose a method that combines fast, stable dimensionality reduction with a soft tiling of the resulting neural manifold, allowing dynamics to be approximated as a probability flow between tiles. This method can be fit efficiently using online expectation maximization, scales to tens of thousands of tiles, and outperforms existing methods when dynamics are noise-dominated or feature multi-modal transition probabilities. The resulting model can be trained at kiloHertz data rates, produces accurate approximations of neural dynamics within minutes, and generates predictions on submillisecond time scales. It retains predictive performance throughout many time steps into the future and is fast enough to serve as a component of closed-loop causal experiments.
Double Machine Learning for Partially Linear Mixed-Effects Models with Repeated Measurements
Emmenegger, Corinne, Bühlmann, Peter
Traditionally, spline or kernel approaches in combination with parametric estimation are used to infer the linear coefficient (fixed effects) in a partially linear mixed-effects model (PLMM) for repeated measurements. Using machine learning algorithms allows us to incorporate more complex interaction structures and high-dimensional variables. We employ double machine learning to cope with the nonparametric part of the PLMM: the nonlinear variables are regressed out nonparametrically from both the linear variables and the response. This adjustment can be performed with any machine learning algorithm, for instance random forests. The adjusted variables satisfy a linear mixed-effects model, where the linear coefficient can be estimated with standard linear mixed-effects techniques. We prove that the estimated fixed effects coefficient converges at the parametric rate and is asymptotically Gaussian distributed and semiparametrically efficient. Empirical examples demonstrate our proposed algorithm. We present two simulation studies and analyze a dataset with repeated CD4 cell counts from HIV patients. Software code for our method is available in the R-package dmlalg.
Learning Optimal Prescriptive Trees from Observational Data
Jo, Nathanael, Aghaei, Sina, Gómez, Andrés, Vayanos, Phebe
We consider the problem of learning an optimal prescriptive tree (i.e., a personalized treatment assignment policy in the form of a binary tree) of moderate depth, from observational data. This problem arises in numerous socially important domains such as public health and personalized medicine, where interpretable and data-driven interventions are sought based on data gathered in deployment, through passive collection of data, rather than from randomized trials. We propose a method for learning optimal prescriptive trees using mixed-integer optimization (MIO) technology. We show that under mild conditions our method is asymptotically exact in the sense that it converges to an optimal out-of-sample treatment assignment policy as the number of historical data samples tends to infinity. This sets us apart from existing literature on the topic which either requires data to be randomized or imposes stringent assumptions on the trees. Based on extensive computational experiments on both synthetic and real data, we demonstrate that our asymptotic guarantees translate to significant out-of-sample performance improvements even in finite samples.
Machine Learning in R & Predictive Models
My course will be your complete guide to the theory and applications of supervised & unsupervised machine learning and predictive modeling using the R-programming language. Unlike other courses, it offers NOT ONLY the guided demonstrations of the R-scripts but also covers theoretical background that will allow you to FULLY UNDERSTAND & APPLY MACHINE LEARNING & PREDICTIVE MODELS (K-means, Random Forest, SVM, logistic regression, etc) in R (many R packages incl. This course also covers all the main aspects of practical and highly applied data science related to Machine Learning (classification & regressions) and unsupervised clustering techniques. Thus, if you take this course, you will save lots of time & money on other expensive materials in the R based Data Science and Machine Learning domain. In this age of big data, companies across the globe use R to analyze big volumes of data for business and research.