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 Statistical Learning


COLUMBUS: Automated Discovery of New Multi-Level Features for Domain Generalization via Knowledge Corruption

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine learning models that can generalize to unseen domains are essential when applied in real-world scenarios involving strong domain shifts. We address the challenging domain generalization (DG) problem, where a model trained on a set of source domains is expected to generalize well in unseen domains without any exposure to their data. The main challenge of DG is that the features learned from the source domains are not necessarily present in the unseen target domains, leading to performance deterioration. We assume that learning a richer set of features is crucial to improve the transfer to a wider set of unknown domains. For this reason, we propose COLUMBUS, a method that enforces new feature discovery via a targeted corruption of the most relevant input and multi-level representations of the data. We conduct an extensive empirical evaluation to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach which achieves new state-of-the-art results by outperforming 18 DG algorithms on multiple DG benchmark datasets in the DomainBed framework.


Estimation of Corporate Greenhouse Gas Emissions via Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

As an important step to fulfill the Paris Agreement and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, the European Commission adopted the most ambitious package of climate impact measures in April 2021 to improve the flow of capital towards sustainable activities. For these and other international measures to be successful, reliable data is key. The ability to see the carbon footprint of companies around the world will be critical for investors to comply with the measures. However, with only a small portion of companies volunteering to disclose their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it is nearly impossible for investors to align their investment strategies with the measures. By training a machine learning model on disclosed GHG emissions, we are able to estimate the emissions of other companies globally who do not disclose their emissions. In this paper, we show that our model provides accurate estimates of corporate GHG emissions to investors such that they are able to align their investments with the regulatory measures and achieve net-zero goals.


Supervised Linear Dimension-Reduction Methods: Review, Extensions, and Comparisons

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a well-known linear dimension-reduction method that has been widely used in data analysis and modeling. It is an unsupervised learning technique that identifies a suitable linear subspace for the input variable that contains maximal variation and preserves as much information as possible. PCA has also been used in prediction models where the original, high-dimensional space of predictors is reduced to a smaller, more manageable, set before conducting regression analysis. However, this approach does not incorporate information in the response during the dimension-reduction stage and hence can have poor predictive performance. To address this concern, several supervised linear dimension-reduction techniques have been proposed in the literature. This paper reviews selected techniques, extends some of them, and compares their performance through simulations. Two of these techniques, partial least squares (PLS) and least-squares PCA (LSPCA), consistently outperform the others in this study.


A Black-box Adversarial Attack Strategy with Adjustable Sparsity and Generalizability for Deep Image Classifiers

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Constructing adversarial perturbations for deep neural networks is an important direction of research. Crafting image-dependent adversarial perturbations using white-box feedback has hitherto been the norm for such adversarial attacks. However, black-box attacks are much more practical for real-world applications. Universal perturbations applicable across multiple images are gaining popularity due to their innate generalizability. There have also been efforts to restrict the perturbations to a few pixels in the image. This helps to retain visual similarity with the original images making such attacks hard to detect. This paper marks an important step which combines all these directions of research. We propose the DEceit algorithm for constructing effective universal pixel-restricted perturbations using only black-box feedback from the target network. We conduct empirical investigations using the ImageNet validation set on the state-of-the-art deep neural classifiers by varying the number of pixels to be perturbed from a meagre 10 pixels to as high as all pixels in the image. We find that perturbing only about 10% of the pixels in an image using DEceit achieves a commendable and highly transferable Fooling Rate while retaining the visual quality. We further demonstrate that DEceit can be successfully applied to image dependent attacks as well. In both sets of experiments, we outperformed several state-of-the-art methods.


K-means Clustering and its use-case in the Security Domain

#artificialintelligence

K-means clustering is one of the simplest and popular unsupervised machine learning algorithms. Unsupervised Learning is a machine learning technique in which, there are no labels for the training data. A machine learning algorithm tries to learn the underlying patterns or distributions that govern the data. Clustering is one of the most common exploratory data analysis techniques used to get an intuition about the structure of the data. It can be defined as the task of identifying subgroups in the data such that data points in the same subgroup (cluster) are very similar while data points in different clusters are very different.


Initialization for Nonnegative Matrix Factorization: a Comprehensive Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) has become a popular method for representing meaningful data by extracting a non-negative basis feature from an observed non-negative data matrix. Some of the unique features of this method in identifying hidden data put this method amongst the powerful methods in the machine learning area. The NMF is a known non-convex optimization problem and the initial point has a significant effect on finding an efficient local solution. In this paper, we investigate the most popular initialization procedures proposed for NMF so far. We describe each method and present some of their advantages and disadvantages. Finally, some numerical results to illustrate the performance of each algorithm are presented.


tvopt: A Python Framework for Time-Varying Optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces tvopt, a Python framework for prototyping and benchmarking time-varying (or online) optimization algorithms. The paper first describes the theoretical approach that informed the development of tvopt. Then it discusses the different components of the framework and their use for modeling and solving time-varying optimization problems. In particular, tvopt provides functionalities for defining both centralized and distributed online problems, and a collection of built-in algorithms to solve them, for example gradient-based methods, ADMM and other splitting methods. Moreover, the framework implements prediction strategies to improve the accuracy of the online solvers. The paper then proposes some numerical results on a benchmark problem and discusses their implementation using tvopt. The code for tvopt is available at https://github.com/nicola-bastianello/tvopt.


OpenClinicalAI: enabling AI to diagnose diseases in real-world clinical settings

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper quantitatively reveals the state-of-the-art and state-of-the-practice AI systems only achieve acceptable performance on the stringent conditions that all categories of subjects are known, which we call closed clinical settings, but fail to work in real-world clinical settings. Compared to the diagnosis task in the closed setting, real-world clinical settings pose severe challenges, and we must treat them differently. We build a clinical AI benchmark named Clinical AIBench to set up real-world clinical settings to facilitate researches. We propose an open, dynamic machine learning framework and develop an AI system named OpenClinicalAI to diagnose diseases in real-world clinical settings. The first versions of Clinical AIBench and OpenClinicalAI target Alzheimer's disease. In the real-world clinical setting, OpenClinicalAI significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art AI system. In addition, OpenClinicalAI develops personalized diagnosis strategies to avoid unnecessary testing and seamlessly collaborates with clinicians. It is promising to be embedded in the current medical systems to improve medical services.


TrAISformer-A generative transformer for AIS trajectory prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--Modelling trajectory in general, and vessel trajectory in particular, is a difficult task because of the multimodal and complex nature of motion data. In this paper, we present TrAISformer--a novel deep learning architecture that can forecast vessel positions using AIS (Automatic Identification System) observations. We address the multimodality by introducing a discrete representation of AIS data and re-frame the prediction, which is originally a regression problem, as a classification problem. The model encodes complex movement patterns in AIS data in high-dimensional vectors, then applies a transformer to extract useful long-term correlations from sequences of those embeddings to sample future vessel positions. Experimental results on real, public AIS data demonstrate that TrAISformer significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods.


Quality-Diversity Meta-Evolution: customising behaviour spaces to a meta-objective

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

However, it was widely known that successfully converging to the maximum of that fitness function requires maintaining genetic diversity in the population of solutions (e.g., [1-4]). Moreover, the use of niching demonstrated how maintaining subpopulations could help find multiple solutions to a single problem [5]. Some studies included genetic diversity as one of the objectives of the EA [6]. Approaches in evolutionary robotics, artificial life, and neuro-evolution realised that genetic diversity does not necessarily imply a diversity of solutions, since (i) different genotypes may encode the same behaviour and vice versa; and (ii) many genotypes may encode unsafe or undesirable solutions that should be discarded during evolution (e.g., when a robot crashes into an obstacle). Such approaches began to emphasise behavioural diversity [7-10], not only as a driver for objective-based evolution but also as the enabler for diversity-or novelty-driven evolution [11]. In quality-diversity (QD) algorithms such as MAP-Elites [12] and Novelty Search with Local Competition [13], the behavioural diversity approach is combined with local competition such that the best solution for each local region in the behaviour space is stored, forming a large archive of high-quality solutions. The development of quality-diversity algorithms has allowed a plethora of applications.