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To develop a proof-of-concept convolutional neural network (CNN) to synthesize T2 maps in right lateral femoral condyle articular cartilage from anatomic MR images by using a conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN). In this retrospective study, anatomic images (from turbo spin-echo and double-echo in steady-state scans) of the right knee of 4621 patients included in the 2004–2006 Osteoarthritis Initiative were used as input to a cGAN-based CNN, and a predicted CNN T2 was generated as output. These patients included men and women of all ethnicities, aged 45–79 years, with or at high risk for knee osteoarthritis incidence or progression who were recruited at four separate centers in the United States. These data were split into 3703 (80%) for training, 462 (10%) for validation, and 456 (10%) for testing. Linear regression analysis was performed between the multiecho spin-echo (MESE) and CNN T2 in the test dataset.


MARTINI: Smart Meter Driven Estimation of HVAC Schedules and Energy Savings Based on WiFi Sensing and Clustering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

HVAC systems account for a significant portion of building energy use. Nighttime setback scheduling is an energy conservation measure where cooling and heating setpoints are increased and decreased respectively during unoccupied periods with the goal of obtaining energy savings. However, knowledge of a building's real occupancy is required to maximize the success of this measure. In addition, there is the need for a scalable way to estimate energy savings potential from energy conservation measures that is not limited by building specific parameters and experimental or simulation modeling investments. Here, we propose MARTINI, a sMARt meTer drIveN estImation of occupant-derived HVAC schedules and energy savings that leverages the ubiquity of energy smart meters and WiFi infrastructure in commercial buildings. We estimate the schedules by clustering WiFi-derived occupancy profiles and, energy savings by shifting ramp-up and setback times observed in typical/measured load profiles obtained by clustering smart meter energy profiles. Our case-study results with five buildings over seven months show an average of 8.1%-10.8% (summer) and 0.2%-5.9% (fall) chilled water energy savings when HVAC system operation is aligned with occupancy. We validate our method with results from building energy performance simulation (BEPS) and find that estimated average savings of MARTINI are within 0.9%-2.4% of the BEPS predictions. In the absence of occupancy information, we can still estimate potential savings from increasing ramp-up time and decreasing setback start time. In 51 academic buildings, we find savings potentials between 1%-5%.


Low-rank Matrix Recovery With Unknown Correspondence

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study a matrix recovery problem with unknown correspondence: given the observation matrix $M_o=[A,\tilde P B]$, where $\tilde P$ is an unknown permutation matrix, we aim to recover the underlying matrix $M=[A,B]$. Such problem commonly arises in many applications where heterogeneous data are utilized and the correspondence among them are unknown, e.g., due to privacy concerns. We show that it is possible to recover $M$ via solving a nuclear norm minimization problem under a proper low-rank condition on $M$, with provable non-asymptotic error bound for the recovery of $M$. We propose an algorithm, $\text{M}^3\text{O}$ (Matrix recovery via Min-Max Optimization) which recasts this combinatorial problem as a continuous minimax optimization problem and solves it by proximal gradient with a Max-Oracle. $\text{M}^3\text{O}$ can also be applied to a more general scenario where we have missing entries in $M_o$ and multiple groups of data with distinct unknown correspondence. Experiments on simulated data, the MovieLens 100K dataset and Yale B database show that $\text{M}^3\text{O}$ achieves state-of-the-art performance over several baselines and can recover the ground-truth correspondence with high accuracy.


Poisoning Attacks on Fair Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Both fair machine learning and adversarial learning have been extensively studied. However, attacking fair machine learning models has received less attention. In this paper, we present a framework that seeks to effectively generate poisoning samples to attack both model accuracy and algorithmic fairness. Our attacking framework can target fair machine learning models trained with a variety of group based fairness notions such as demographic parity and equalized odds. We develop three online attacks, adversarial sampling , adversarial labeling, and adversarial feature modification. All three attacks effectively and efficiently produce poisoning samples via sampling, labeling, or modifying a fraction of training data in order to reduce the test accuracy. Our framework enables attackers to flexibly adjust the attack's focus on prediction accuracy or fairness and accurately quantify the impact of each candidate point to both accuracy loss and fairness violation, thus producing effective poisoning samples. Experiments on two real datasets demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of our framework.


Green Simulation Assisted Policy Gradient to Accelerate Stochastic Process Control

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study is motivated by the critical challenges in the biopharmaceutical manufacturing, including high complexity, high uncertainty, and very limited process data. Each experiment run is often very expensive. To support the optimal and robust process control, we propose a general green simulation assisted policy gradient (GS-PG) framework for both online and offline learning settings. Basically, to address the key limitations of state-of-art reinforcement learning (RL), such as sample inefficiency and low reliability, we create a mixture likelihood ratio based policy gradient estimation that can leverage on the information from historical experiments conducted under different inputs, including process model coefficients and decision policy parameters. Then, to accelerate the learning of optimal and robust policy, we further propose a variance reduction based sample selection method that allows GS-PG to intelligently select and reuse most relevant historical trajectories. The selection rule automatically updates the samples to be reused during the learning of process mechanisms and the search for optimal policy. Our theoretical and empirical studies demonstrate that the proposed framework can perform better than the state-of-art policy gradient approach and accelerate the optimal robust process control for complex stochastic systems under high uncertainty.


TIP: Task-Informed Motion Prediction for Intelligent Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Motion prediction is important for intelligent driving systems, providing the future distributions of road agent behaviors and supporting various decision making tasks. Existing motion predictors are often optimized and evaluated via task-agnostic measures based on prediction accuracy. Such measures fail to account for the use of prediction in downstream tasks, and could result in sub-optimal task performance. We propose a task-informed motion prediction framework that jointly reasons about prediction accuracy and task utility, to better support downstream tasks through its predictions. The task utility function does not require the full task information, but rather a specification of the utility of the task, resulting in predictors that serve a wide range of downstream tasks. We demonstrate our framework on two use cases of task utilities, in the context of autonomous driving and parallel autonomy, and show the advantage of task-informed predictors over task-agnostic ones on the Waymo Open Motion dataset.


VoteHMR: Occlusion-Aware Voting Network for Robust 3D Human Mesh Recovery from Partial Point Clouds

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

3D human mesh recovery from point clouds is essential for various tasks, including AR/VR and human behavior understanding. Previous works in this field either require high-quality 3D human scans or sequential point clouds, which cannot be easily applied to low-quality 3D scans captured by consumer-level depth sensors. In this paper, we make the first attempt to reconstruct reliable 3D human shapes from single-frame partial point clouds.To achieve this, we propose an end-to-end learnable method, named VoteHMR. The core of VoteHMR is a novel occlusion-aware voting network that can first reliably produce visible joint-level features from the input partial point clouds, and then complete the joint-level features through the kinematic tree of the human skeleton. Compared with holistic features used by previous works, the joint-level features can not only effectively encode the human geometry information but also be robust to noisy inputs with self-occlusions and missing areas. By exploiting the rich complementary clues from the joint-level features and global features from the input point clouds, the proposed method encourages reliable and disentangled parameter predictions for statistical 3D human models, such as SMPL. The proposed method achieves state-of-the-art performances on two large-scale datasets, namely SURREAL and DFAUST. Furthermore, VoteHMR also demonstrates superior generalization ability on real-world datasets, such as Berkeley MHAD.


Pareto Navigation Gradient Descent: a First-Order Algorithm for Optimization in Pareto Set

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many modern machine learning applications, such as multi-task learning, require finding optimal model parameters to trade-off multiple objective functions that may conflict with each other. The notion of the Pareto set allows us to focus on the set of (often infinite number of) models that cannot be strictly improved. But it does not provide an actionable procedure for picking one or a few special models to return to practical users. In this paper, we consider \emph{optimization in Pareto set (OPT-in-Pareto)}, the problem of finding Pareto models that optimize an extra reference criterion function within the Pareto set. This function can either encode a specific preference from the users, or represent a generic diversity measure for obtaining a set of diversified Pareto models that are representative of the whole Pareto set. Unfortunately, despite being a highly useful framework, efficient algorithms for OPT-in-Pareto have been largely missing, especially for large-scale, non-convex, and non-linear objectives in deep learning. A naive approach is to apply Riemannian manifold gradient descent on the Pareto set, which yields a high computational cost due to the need for eigen-calculation of Hessian matrices. We propose a first-order algorithm that approximately solves OPT-in-Pareto using only gradient information, with both high practical efficiency and theoretically guaranteed convergence property. Empirically, we demonstrate that our method works efficiently for a variety of challenging multi-task-related problems.


Valid and Exact Statistical Inference for Multi-dimensional Multiple Change-Points by Selective Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we study statistical inference of change-points (CPs) in multi-dimensional sequence. In CP detection from a multi-dimensional sequence, it is often desirable not only to detect the location, but also to identify the subset of the components in which the change occurs. Several algorithms have been proposed for such problems, but no valid exact inference method has been established to evaluate the statistical reliability of the detected locations and components. In this study, we propose a method that can guarantee the statistical reliability of both the location and the components of the detected changes. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method by applying it to the problems of genomic abnormality identification and human behavior analysis.


Rejoinder: Learning Optimal Distributionally Robust Individualized Treatment Rules

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We thank the opportunity offered by editors for this discussion and the discussants for their insightful comments and thoughtful contributions. We also want to congratulate Kallus (2020) for his inspiring work in improving the efficiency of policy learning by retargeting. Motivated from the discussion in Dukes and Vansteelandt (2020), we first point out interesting connections and distinctions between our work and Kallus (2020) in Section 1. In particular, the assumptions and sources of variation for consideration in these two papers lead to different research problems with different scopes and focuses. In Section 2, following the discussions in Li et al. (2020); Liang and Zhao (2020), we also consider the efficient policy evaluation problem when we have some data from the testing distribution available at the training stage. We show that under the assumption that the sample sizes from training and testing are growing in the same order, efficient value function estimates can deliver competitive performance. We further show some connections of these estimates with existing literature. However, when the growth of testing sample size available for training is in a slower order, efficient value function estimates may not perform well anymore. In contrast, the requirement of the testing sample size for DRITR is not as strong as that of efficient policy evaluation using the combined data. Finally, we highlight the general applicability and usefulness of DRITR in Section 3.