Statistical Learning
OMASGAN: Out-of-Distribution Minimum Anomaly Score GAN for Sample Generation on the Boundary
Generative models trained in an unsupervised manner may set high likelihood and low reconstruction loss to Out-of-Distribution (OoD) samples. This increases Type II errors and leads to missed anomalies, overall decreasing Anomaly Detection (AD) performance. In addition, AD models underperform due to the rarity of anomalies. To address these limitations, we propose the OoD Minimum Anomaly Score GAN (OMASGAN). OMASGAN generates, in a negative data augmentation manner, anomalous samples on the estimated distribution boundary. These samples are then used to refine an AD model, leading to more accurate estimation of the underlying data distribution including multimodal supports with disconnected modes. OMASGAN performs retraining by including the abnormal minimum-anomaly-score OoD samples generated on the distribution boundary in a self-supervised learning manner. For inference, for AD, we devise a discriminator which is trained with negative and positive samples either generated (negative or positive) or real (only positive). OMASGAN addresses the rarity of anomalies by generating strong and adversarial OoD samples on the distribution boundary using only normal class data, effectively addressing mode collapse. A key characteristic of our model is that it uses any f-divergence distribution metric in its variational representation, not requiring invertibility. OMASGAN does not use feature engineering and makes no assumptions about the data distribution. The evaluation of OMASGAN on image data using the leave-one-out methodology shows that it achieves an improvement of at least 0.24 and 0.07 points in AUROC on average on the MNIST and CIFAR-10 datasets, respectively, over other benchmark and state-of-the-art models for AD.
Coresets for Time Series Clustering
Huang, Lingxiao, Sudhir, K., Vishnoi, Nisheeth K.
We study the problem of constructing coresets for clustering problems with time series data. This problem has gained importance across many fields including biology, medicine, and economics due to the proliferation of sensors facilitating real-time measurement and rapid drop in storage costs. In particular, we consider the setting where the time series data on $N$ entities is generated from a Gaussian mixture model with autocorrelations over $k$ clusters in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our main contribution is an algorithm to construct coresets for the maximum likelihood objective for this mixture model. Our algorithm is efficient, and under a mild boundedness assumption on the covariance matrices of the underlying Gaussians, the size of the coreset is independent of the number of entities $N$ and the number of observations for each entity, and depends only polynomially on $k$, $d$ and $1/\varepsilon$, where $\varepsilon$ is the error parameter. We empirically assess the performance of our coreset with synthetic data.
Towards Model Agnostic Federated Learning Using Knowledge Distillation
Afonin, Andrei, Karimireddy, Sai Praneeth
An often unquestioned assumption underlying most current federated learning algorithms is that all the participants use identical model architectures. In this work, we initiate a theoretical study of model agnostic communication protocols which would allow data holders (agents) using different models to collaborate with each other and perform federated learning. We focus on the setting where the two agents are attempting to perform kernel regression using different kernels (and hence have different models). Our study yields a surprising result -- the most natural algorithm of using alternating knowledge distillation (AKD) imposes overly strong regularization and may lead to severe under-fitting. Our theory also shows an interesting connection between AKD and the alternating projection algorithm for finding intersection of sets. Leveraging this connection, we propose a new algorithms which improve upon AKD. Our theoretical predictions also closely match real world experiments using neural networks. Thus, our work proposes a rich yet tractable framework for analyzing and developing new practical model agnostic federated learning algorithms.
Using Time-Series Privileged Information for Provably Efficient Learning of Prediction Models
Karlsson, Rickard, Willbo, Martin, Hussain, Zeshan, Krishnan, Rahul G., Sontag, David, Johansson, Fredrik D.
We study prediction of future outcomes with supervised models that use privileged information during learning. The privileged information comprises samples of time series observed between the baseline time of prediction and the future outcome; this information is only available at training time which differs from the traditional supervised learning. Our question is when using this privileged data leads to more sample-efficient learning of models that use only baseline data for predictions at test time. We give an algorithm for this setting and prove that when the time series are drawn from a non-stationary Gaussian-linear dynamical system of fixed horizon, learning with privileged information is more efficient than learning without it. On synthetic data, we test the limits of our algorithm and theory, both when our assumptions hold and when they are violated. On three diverse real-world datasets, we show that our approach is generally preferable to classical learning, particularly when data is scarce. Finally, we relate our estimator to a distillation approach both theoretically and empirically.
Adaptive Hierarchical Similarity Metric Learning with Noisy Labels
Yan, Jiexi, Luo, Lei, Deng, Cheng, Huang, Heng
Deep Metric Learning (DML) plays a critical role in various machine learning tasks. However, most existing deep metric learning methods with binary similarity are sensitive to noisy labels, which are widely present in real-world data. Since these noisy labels often cause severe performance degradation, it is crucial to enhance the robustness and generalization ability of DML. In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Hierarchical Similarity Metric Learning method. It considers two noise-insensitive information, \textit{i.e.}, class-wise divergence and sample-wise consistency. Specifically, class-wise divergence can effectively excavate richer similarity information beyond binary in modeling by taking advantage of Hyperbolic metric learning, while sample-wise consistency can further improve the generalization ability of the model using contrastive augmentation. More importantly, we design an adaptive strategy to integrate this information in a unified view. It is noteworthy that the new method can be extended to any pair-based metric loss. Extensive experimental results on benchmark datasets demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance compared with current deep metric learning approaches.
Cycle-Balanced Representation Learning For Counterfactual Inference
Zhou, Guanglin, Yao, Lina, Xu, Xiwei, Wang, Chen, Zhu, Liming
With the widespread accumulation of observational data, researchers obtain a new direction to learn counterfactual effects in many domains (e.g., health care and computational advertising) without Randomized Controlled Trials(RCTs). However, observational data suffer from inherent missing counterfactual outcomes, and distribution discrepancy between treatment and control groups due to behaviour preference. Motivated by recent advances of representation learning in the field of domain adaptation, we propose a novel framework based on Cycle-Balanced REpresentation learning for counterfactual inference (CBRE), to solve above problems. Specifically, we realize a robust balanced representation for different groups using adversarial training, and meanwhile construct an information loop, such that preserve original data properties cyclically, which reduces information loss when transforming data into latent representation space.Experimental results on three real-world datasets demonstrate that CBRE matches/outperforms the state-of-the-art methods, and it has a great potential to be applied to counterfactual inference.
VigDet: Knowledge Informed Neural Temporal Point Process for Coordination Detection on Social Media
Zhang, Yizhou, Sharma, Karishma, Liu, Yan
Recent years have witnessed an increasing use of coordinated accounts on social media, operated by misinformation campaigns to influence public opinion and manipulate social outcomes. Consequently, there is an urgent need to develop an effective methodology for coordinated group detection to combat the misinformation on social media. However, existing works suffer from various drawbacks, such as, either limited performance due to extreme reliance on predefined signatures of coordination, or instead an inability to address the natural sparsity of account activities on social media with useful prior domain knowledge. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a coordination detection framework incorporating neural temporal point process with prior knowledge such as temporal logic or pre-defined filtering functions. Specifically, when modeling the observed data from social media with neural temporal point process, we jointly learn a Gibbs-like distribution of group assignment based on how consistent an assignment is to (1) the account embedding space and (2) the prior knowledge. To address the challenge that the distribution is hard to be efficiently computed and sampled from, we design a theoretically guaranteed variational inference approach to learn a mean-field approximation for it. Experimental results on a real-world dataset show the effectiveness of our proposed method compared to the SOTA model in both unsupervised and semi-supervised settings. We further apply our model on a COVID-19 Vaccine Tweets dataset. The detection result suggests the presence of suspicious coordinated efforts on spreading misinformation about COVID-19 vaccines.
Explaining Latent Representations with a Corpus of Examples
Crabbé, Jonathan, Qian, Zhaozhi, Imrie, Fergus, van der Schaar, Mihaela
Modern machine learning models are complicated. Most of them rely on convoluted latent representations of their input to issue a prediction. To achieve greater transparency than a black-box that connects inputs to predictions, it is necessary to gain a deeper understanding of these latent representations. To that aim, we propose SimplEx: a user-centred method that provides example-based explanations with reference to a freely selected set of examples, called the corpus. SimplEx uses the corpus to improve the user's understanding of the latent space with post-hoc explanations answering two questions: (1) Which corpus examples explain the prediction issued for a given test example? (2) What features of these corpus examples are relevant for the model to relate them to the test example? SimplEx provides an answer by reconstructing the test latent representation as a mixture of corpus latent representations. Further, we propose a novel approach, the Integrated Jacobian, that allows SimplEx to make explicit the contribution of each corpus feature in the mixture. Through experiments on tasks ranging from mortality prediction to image classification, we demonstrate that these decompositions are robust and accurate. With illustrative use cases in medicine, we show that SimplEx empowers the user by highlighting relevant patterns in the corpus that explain model representations. Moreover, we demonstrate how the freedom in choosing the corpus allows the user to have personalized explanations in terms of examples that are meaningful for them.
Wasserstein Distance Maximizing Intrinsic Control
Durugkar, Ishan, Hansen, Steven, Spencer, Stephen, Mnih, Volodymyr
Mutual information based objectives have shown some success in learning skills that reach a diverse set of states in this setting. These objectives include a KL-divergence term, which is maximized by visiting distinct states even if those states are not far apart in the MDP. This paper presents an approach that rewards the agent for learning skills that maximize the Wasserstein distance of their state visitation from the start state of the skill. It shows that such an objective leads to a policy that covers more distance in the MDP than diversity based objectives, and validates the results on a variety of Atari environments.
Improving Causal Effect Estimation of Weighted RegressionBased Estimator using Neural Networks
Shaha, Plabon, Zadid, Talha Islam, Rahman, Ismat, Khan, Md. Mosaddek
The do-calculus is a set of inference directives that helps the transformation of these interventions into more interpretable Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about probabilistic sentences, and as such, enables an user to derive or which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables confirm causal claims about interventions [14]. Results inferred us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications from do-calculus is well understood on the whole but its application in selecting a treatment in medical systems or making is still questionable [10]. This is because do-calculus assumes that better strategies in industries or making better policies for our the distributions being used are error-free, but in practice, we do not government or even the society. Unavailability of complete data, have sufficient samples to confirm that. In case of limited samples, coupled with high cardinality of data, makes this estimation task a popular criterion, namely back-door criterion, is employed to computationally intractable.