We present a fairly general framework for reducing $(\varepsilon, \delta)$ differentially private (DP) statistical estimation to its non-private counterpart. As the main application of this framework, we give a polynomial time and $(\varepsilon,\delta)$-DP algorithm for learning (unrestricted) Gaussian distributions in $\mathbb{R}^d$. The sample complexity of our approach for learning the Gaussian up to total variation distance $\alpha$ is $\widetilde{O}\left(\frac{d^2}{\alpha^2}+\frac{d^2 \sqrt{\ln{1/\delta}}}{\alpha\varepsilon} \right)$, matching (up to logarithmic factors) the best known information-theoretic (non-efficient) sample complexity upper bound of Aden-Ali, Ashtiani, Kamath~(ALT'21). In an independent work, Kamath, Mouzakis, Singhal, Steinke, and Ullman~(arXiv:2111.04609) proved a similar result using a different approach and with $O(d^{5/2})$ sample complexity dependence on $d$. As another application of our framework, we provide the first polynomial time $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-DP algorithm for robust learning of (unrestricted) Gaussians.

Shape constraints such as positive semi-definiteness (PSD) for matrices or convexity for functions play a central role in many applications in machine learning and sciences, including metric learning, optimal transport, and economics. Yet, very few function models exist that enforce PSD-ness or convexity with good empirical performance and theoretical guarantees. In this paper, we introduce a kernel sum-of-squares model for functions that take values in the PSD cone, which extends kernel sums-of-squares models that were recently proposed to encode non-negative scalar functions. We provide a representer theorem for this class of PSD functions, show that it constitutes a universal approximator of PSD functions, and derive eigenvalue bounds in the case of subsampled equality constraints. We then apply our results to modeling convex functions, by enforcing a kernel sum-of-squares representation of their Hessian, and show that any smooth and strongly convex function may be thus represented. Finally, we illustrate our methods on a PSD matrix-valued regression task, and on scalar-valued convex regression.

Density ratio estimation (DRE) is a fundamental machine learning technique for comparing two probability distributions. However, existing methods struggle in high-dimensional settings, as it is difficult to accurately compare probability distributions based on finite samples. In this work we propose DRE-\infty, a divide-and-conquer approach to reduce DRE to a series of easier subproblems. Inspired by Monte Carlo methods, we smoothly interpolate between the two distributions via an infinite continuum of intermediate bridge distributions. We then estimate the instantaneous rate of change of the bridge distributions indexed by time (the "time score") -- a quantity defined analogously to data (Stein) scores -- with a novel time score matching objective. Crucially, the learned time scores can then be integrated to compute the desired density ratio. In addition, we show that traditional (Stein) scores can be used to obtain integration paths that connect regions of high density in both distributions, improving performance in practice. Empirically, we demonstrate that our approach performs well on downstream tasks such as mutual information estimation and energy-based modeling on complex, high-dimensional datasets.

We propose a new approach for trading VIX futures. We assume that the term structure of VIX futures follows a Markov model. Our trading strategy selects a position in VIX futures by maximizing the expected utility for a day-ahead horizon given the current shape and level of the term structure. Computationally, we model the functional dependence between the VIX futures curve, the VIX futures positions, and the expected utility as a deep neural network with five hidden layers. Out-of-sample backtests of the VIX futures trading strategy suggest that this approach gives rise to reasonable portfolio performance, and to positions in which the investor will be either long or short VIX futures contracts depending on the market environment.

With the great success of deep learning in various domains, graph neural networks (GNNs) also become a dominant approach to graph classification. By the help of a global readout operation that simply aggregates all node (or node-cluster) representations, existing GNN classifiers obtain a graph-level representation of an input graph and predict its class label using the representation. However, such global aggregation does not consider the structural information of each node, which results in information loss on the global structure. Particularly, it limits the discrimination power by enforcing the same weight parameters of the classifier for all the node representations; in practice, each of them contributes to target classes differently depending on its structural semantic. In this work, we propose structural semantic readout (SSRead) to summarize the node representations at the position-level, which allows to model the position-specific weight parameters for classification as well as to effectively capture the graph semantic relevant to the global structure. Given an input graph, SSRead aims to identify structurally-meaningful positions by using the semantic alignment between its nodes and structural prototypes, which encode the prototypical features of each position. The structural prototypes are optimized to minimize the alignment cost for all training graphs, while the other GNN parameters are trained to predict the class labels. Our experimental results demonstrate that SSRead significantly improves the classification performance and interpretability of GNN classifiers while being compatible with a variety of aggregation functions, GNN architectures, and learning frameworks.

Reinforcement learning (RL) dedicates to solve the sequential decision making problem, where an agent is interacting with an unknown environment to find the best policy that maximizes the expected cumulative rewards (Sutton & Barto, 2018). It is known that the tabular algorithms direct controlling over the original state and action achieve the minimax-optimal regret depending on the cardinality of the state and action space (Jaksch et al., 2010; Osband & Van Roy, 2016; Azar et al., 2017; Jin et al., 2018). However, these algorithms become intractable for the real-world problems with an enormous number of states, due to the curse of dimensionality. Learning with function approximation upon good representation is a natural idea to tackle the curse and serving as the key for the success of deep learning (Bengio et al., 2013). In fact, representation learning lies at the heart of the empirical successes of deep RL in video games (Mnih et al., 2013), robotics (Levine et al., 2016), Go (Silver et al., 2017), dialogue systems (Jiang et al., 2021) to name a few. Meanwhile, the importance and benefits of the representation in RL is rigorously justified (Jin et al.,

Social network alignment aims at aligning person identities across social networks. Embedding based models have been shown effective for the alignment where the structural proximity preserving objective is typically adopted for the model training. With the observation that ``overly-close'' user embeddings are unavoidable for such models causing alignment inaccuracy, we propose a novel learning framework which tries to enforce the resulting embeddings to be more widely apart among the users via the introduction of carefully implanted pseudo anchors. We further proposed a meta-learning algorithm to guide the updating of the pseudo anchor embeddings during the learning process. The proposed intervention via the use of pseudo anchors and meta-learning allows the learning framework to be applicable to a wide spectrum of network alignment methods. We have incorporated the proposed learning framework into several state-of-the-art models. Our experimental results demonstrate its efficacy where the methods with the pseudo anchors implanted can outperform their counterparts without pseudo anchors by a fairly large margin, especially when there only exist very few labeled anchors.

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are proposed without considering the agnostic distribution shifts between training and testing graphs, inducing the degeneration of the generalization ability of GNNs on Out-Of-Distribution (OOD) settings. The fundamental reason for such degeneration is that most GNNs are developed based on the I.I.D hypothesis. In such a setting, GNNs tend to exploit subtle statistical correlations existing in the training set for predictions, even though it is a spurious correlation. However, such spurious correlations may change in testing environments, leading to the failure of GNNs. Therefore, eliminating the impact of spurious correlations is crucial for stable GNNs. To this end, we propose a general causal representation framework, called StableGNN. The main idea is to extract high-level representations from graph data first and resort to the distinguishing ability of causal inference to help the model get rid of spurious correlations. Particularly, we exploit a graph pooling layer to extract subgraph-based representations as high-level representations. Furthermore, we propose a causal variable distinguishing regularizer to correct the biased training distribution. Hence, GNNs would concentrate more on the stable correlations. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world OOD graph datasets well verify the effectiveness, flexibility and interpretability of the proposed framework.

Building classification models on data that has largely imbalanced classes can be difficult. Using techniques such as oversampling, undersampling, resampling combinations, and custom filtering can improve accuracy. In this article, I'll walk through a few different approaches to deal with data imbalance in classification tasks. To demonstrate various class imbalance techniques, a fictitious dataset of credit card defaults will be used. In our scenario, we are trying to build an explainable classifier that takes two inputs (age and card balance) and predicts whether someone will miss an upcoming payment.

Python and Google Colab Project. “Time-Series Analysis: Hands-On with SciKit-Learn Feature-Engineering” is published by Carla Martins.