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 Statistical Learning


Similarities and Differences between Machine Learning and Traditional Advanced Statistical Modeling in Healthcare Analytics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data scientists and statisticians are often at odds when determining the best approach, machine learning or statistical modeling, to solve an analytics challenge. However, machine learning and statistical modeling are more cousins than adversaries on different sides of an analysis battleground. Choosing between the two approaches or in some cases using both is based on the problem to be solved and outcomes required as well as the data available for use and circumstances of the analysis. Machine learning and statistical modeling are complementary, based on similar mathematical principles, but simply using different tools in an overall analytics knowledge base. Determining the predominant approach should be based on the problem to be solved as well as empirical evidence, such as size and completeness of the data, number of variables, assumptions or lack thereof, and expected outcomes such as predictions or causality. Good analysts and data scientists should be well versed in both techniques and their proper application, thereby using the right tool for the right project to achieve the desired results.


Optimality in Noisy Importance Sampling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

A wide range of modern applications, especially in Bayesian inference framework [1], require the study of probability density functions (pdfs) which can be evaluated stochastically, i.e., only noisy evaluations can be obtained [2, 3, 4, 5]. For instance, this is the case of the pseudo-marginal approaches and doubly intractable posteriors [6, 7], approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and likelihood-free schemes [8, 9], where the target density cannot be computed in closed-form. The noisy scenario also appears naturally when mini-batches of data are employed instead of considering the complete likelihood of huge amounts of data [10, 11]. More recently, the analysis of noisy functions of densities is required in reinforcement learning (RL), especially in direct policy search which is an important branch of RL, with applications in robotics [12, 13]. The topic of inference in noisy settings (or where a function is known with a certain degree of uncertainty) is also of interest in the inverse problem literature, such as in the calibration of expensive computer codes [14, 15]. This is also the case when the construction of an emulator is considered, as a surrogate model [4, 16, 17].


Lattice-Based Methods Surpass Sum-of-Squares in Clustering

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Clustering is a fundamental primitive in unsupervised learning which gives rise to a rich class of computationally-challenging inference tasks. In this work, we focus on the canonical task of clustering d-dimensional Gaussian mixtures with unknown (and possibly degenerate) covariance. Recent works (Ghosh et al. '20; Mao, Wein '21; Davis, Diaz, Wang '21) have established lower bounds against the class of low-degree polynomial methods and the sum-of-squares (SoS) hierarchy for recovering certain hidden structures planted in Gaussian clustering instances. Prior work on many similar inference tasks portends that such lower bounds strongly suggest the presence of an inherent statistical-to-computational gap for clustering, that is, a parameter regime where the clustering task is statistically possible but no polynomial-time algorithm succeeds. One special case of the clustering task we consider is equivalent to the problem of finding a planted hypercube vector in an otherwise random subspace. We show that, perhaps surprisingly, this particular clustering model does not exhibit a statistical-to-computational gap, even though the aforementioned low-degree and SoS lower bounds continue to apply in this case. To achieve this, we give a polynomial-time algorithm based on the Lenstra--Lenstra--Lovasz lattice basis reduction method which achieves the statistically-optimal sample complexity of d+1 samples. This result extends the class of problems whose conjectured statistical-to-computational gaps can be "closed" by "brittle" polynomial-time algorithms, highlighting the crucial but subtle role of noise in the onset of statistical-to-computational gaps.


An Accelerator for Rule Induction in Fuzzy Rough Theory

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Rule-based classifier, that extract a subset of induced rules to efficiently learn/mine while preserving the discernibility information, plays a crucial role in human-explainable artificial intelligence. However, in this era of big data, rule induction on the whole datasets is computationally intensive. So far, to the best of our knowledge, no known method focusing on accelerating rule induction has been reported. This is first study to consider the acceleration technique to reduce the scale of computation in rule induction. We propose an accelerator for rule induction based on fuzzy rough theory; the accelerator can avoid redundant computation and accelerate the building of a rule classifier. First, a rule induction method based on consistence degree, called Consistence-based Value Reduction (CVR), is proposed and used as basis to accelerate. Second, we introduce a compacted search space termed Key Set, which only contains the key instances required to update the induced rule, to conduct value reduction. The monotonicity of Key Set ensures the feasibility of our accelerator. Third, a rule-induction accelerator is designed based on Key Set, and it is theoretically guaranteed to display the same results as the unaccelerated version. Specifically, the rank preservation property of Key Set ensures consistency between the rule induction achieved by the accelerator and the unaccelerated method. Finally, extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed accelerator can perform remarkably faster than the unaccelerated rule-based classifier methods, especially on datasets with numerous instances.


DeHIN: A Decentralized Framework for Embedding Large-scale Heterogeneous Information Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modeling heterogeneity by extraction and exploitation of high-order information from heterogeneous information networks (HINs) has been attracting immense research attention in recent times. Such heterogeneous network embedding (HNE) methods effectively harness the heterogeneity of small-scale HINs. However, in the real world, the size of HINs grow exponentially with the continuous introduction of new nodes and different types of links, making it a billion-scale network. Learning node embeddings on such HINs creates a performance bottleneck for existing HNE methods that are commonly centralized, i.e., complete data and the model are both on a single machine. To address large-scale HNE tasks with strong efficiency and effectiveness guarantee, we present \textit{Decentralized Embedding Framework for Heterogeneous Information Network} (DeHIN) in this paper. In DeHIN, we generate a distributed parallel pipeline that utilizes hypergraphs in order to infuse parallelization into the HNE task. DeHIN presents a context preserving partition mechanism that innovatively formulates a large HIN as a hypergraph, whose hyperedges connect semantically similar nodes. Our framework then adopts a decentralized strategy to efficiently partition HINs by adopting a tree-like pipeline. Then, each resulting subnetwork is assigned to a distributed worker, which employs the deep information maximization theorem to locally learn node embeddings from the partition it receives. We further devise a novel embedding alignment scheme to precisely project independently learned node embeddings from all subnetworks onto a common vector space, thus allowing for downstream tasks like link prediction and node classification.


Stay Positive: Knowledge Graph Embedding Without Negative Sampling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knowledge graphs (KGs) are typically incomplete and we often wish to infer new facts given the existing ones. This can be thought of as a binary classification problem; we aim to predict if new facts are true or false. Unfortunately, we generally only have positive examples (the known facts) but we also need negative ones to train a classifier. To resolve this, it is usual to generate negative examples using a negative sampling strategy. However, this can produce false negatives which may reduce performance, is computationally expensive, and does not produce calibrated classification probabilities. In this paper, we propose a training procedure that obviates the need for negative sampling by adding a novel regularization term to the loss function. Our results for two relational embedding models (DistMult and SimplE) show the merit of our proposal both in terms of performance and speed.


Spatio-Temporal Graph Representation Learning for Fraudster Group Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Motivated by potential financial gain, companies may hire fraudster groups to write fake reviews to either demote competitors or promote their own businesses. Such groups are considerably more successful in misleading customers, as people are more likely to be influenced by the opinion of a large group. To detect such groups, a common model is to represent fraudster groups' static networks, consequently overlooking the longitudinal behavior of a reviewer thus the dynamics of co-review relations among reviewers in a group. Hence, these approaches are incapable of excluding outlier reviewers, which are fraudsters intentionally camouflaging themselves in a group and genuine reviewers happen to co-review in fraudster groups. To address this issue, in this work, we propose to first capitalize on the effectiveness of the HIN-RNN in both reviewers' representation learning while capturing the collaboration between reviewers, we first utilize the HIN-RNN to model the co-review relations of reviewers in a group in a fixed time window of 28 days. We refer to this as spatial relation learning representation to signify the generalisability of this work to other networked scenarios. Then we use an RNN on the spatial relations to predict the spatio-temporal relations of reviewers in the group. In the third step, a Graph Convolution Network (GCN) refines the reviewers' vector representations using these predicted relations. These refined representations are then used to remove outlier reviewers. The average of the remaining reviewers' representation is then fed to a simple fully connected layer to predict if the group is a fraudster group or not. Exhaustive experiments of the proposed approach showed a 5% (4%), 12% (5%), 12% (5%) improvement over three of the most recent approaches on precision, recall, and F1-value over the Yelp (Amazon) dataset, respectively.


Detection of extragalactic Ultra-Compact Dwarfs and Globular Clusters using Explainable AI techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Compact stellar systems such as Ultra-compact dwarfs (UCDs) and Globular Clusters (GCs) around galaxies are known to be the tracers of the merger events that have been forming these galaxies. Therefore, identifying such systems allows to study galaxies mass assembly, formation and evolution. However, in the lack of spectroscopic information detecting UCDs/GCs using imaging data is very uncertain. Here, we aim to train a machine learning model to separate these objects from the foreground stars and background galaxies using the multi-wavelength imaging data of the Fornax galaxy cluster in 6 filters, namely u, g, r, i, J and Ks. The classes of objects are highly imbalanced which is problematic for many automatic classification techniques. Hence, we employ Synthetic Minority Over-sampling to handle the imbalance of the training data. Then, we compare two classifiers, namely Localized Generalized Matrix Learning Vector Quantization (LGMLVQ) and Random Forest (RF). Both methods are able to identify UCDs/GCs with a precision and a recall of >93 percent and provide relevances that reflect the importance of each feature dimension %(colors and angular sizes) for the classification. Both methods detect angular sizes as important markers for this classification problem. While it is astronomical expectation that color indices of u-i and i-Ks are the most important colors, our analysis shows that colors such as g-r are more informative, potentially because of higher signal-to-noise ratio. Besides the excellent performance the LGMLVQ method allows further interpretability by providing the feature importance for each individual class, class-wise representative samples and the possibility for non-linear visualization of the data as demonstrated in this contribution. We conclude that employing machine learning techniques to identify UCDs/GCs can lead to promising results.


Self-directed Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Conventional machine learning (ML) relies heavily on manual design from machine learning experts to decide learning tasks, data, models, optimization algorithms, and evaluation metrics, which is labor-intensive, time-consuming, and cannot learn autonomously like humans. In education science, self-directed learning, where human learners select learning tasks and materials on their own without requiring hands-on guidance, has been shown to be more effective than passive teacher-guided learning. Inspired by the concept of self-directed human learning, we introduce the principal concept of Self-directed Machine Learning (SDML) and propose a framework for SDML. Specifically, we design SDML as a self-directed learning process guided by self-awareness, including internal awareness and external awareness. Our proposed SDML process benefits from self task selection, self data selection, self model selection, self optimization strategy selection and self evaluation metric selection through self-awareness without human guidance. Meanwhile, the learning performance of the SDML process serves as feedback to further improve self-awareness. We propose a mathematical formulation for SDML based on multi-level optimization. Furthermore, we present case studies together with potential applications of SDML, followed by discussing future research directions. We expect that SDML could enable machines to conduct human-like self-directed learning and provide a new perspective towards artificial general intelligence.


Scikit learn for linear regression

#artificialintelligence

Are you a data scientist looking to develop a machine learning model? Use scikit learn to start creating your design today! Machine learning (ML), an application of Artificial Intelligence (AI), is rapidly growing at a faster rate. Almost every sector in today's world is adopting machine learning models as it brings value and improved customer experience resulting in higher Return on Investments (ROI). While many programming languages can help you get started with machine and deep learning, it is imperative to choose a programming language that is flexible and user-friendly.