Statistical Learning
Machine Learning in Nuclear Physics
Boehnlein, Amber, Diefenthaler, Markus, Fanelli, Cristiano, Hjorth-Jensen, Morten, Horn, Tanja, Kuchera, Michelle P., Lee, Dean, Nazarewicz, Witold, Orginos, Kostas, Ostroumov, Peter, Pang, Long-Gang, Poon, Alan, Sato, Nobuo, Schram, Malachi, Scheinker, Alexander, Smith, Michael S., Wang, Xin-Nian, Ziegler, Veronique
Advances in machine learning methods provide tools that have broad applicability in scientific research. These techniques are being applied across the diversity of nuclear physics research topics, leading to advances that will facilitate scientific discoveries and societal applications. This Review gives a snapshot of nuclear physics research which has been transformed by machine learning techniques.
Streaming Inference for Infinite Non-Stationary Clustering
Schaeffer, Rylan, Liu, Gabrielle Kaili-May, Du, Yilun, Linderman, Scott, Fiete, Ila Rani
Learning from a continuous stream of non-stationary data in an unsupervised manner is arguably one of the most common and most challenging settings facing intelligent agents. Here, we attack learning under all three conditions (unsupervised, streaming, non-stationary) in the context of clustering, also known as mixture modeling. We introduce a novel clustering algorithm that endows mixture models with the ability to create new clusters online, as demanded by the data, in a probabilistic, time-varying, and principled manner. To achieve this, we first define a novel stochastic process called the Dynamical Chinese Restaurant Process (Dynamical CRP), which is a non-exchangeable distribution over partitions of a set; next, we show that the Dynamical CRP provides a non-stationary prior over cluster assignments and yields an efficient streaming variational inference algorithm. We conclude with experiments showing that the Dynamical CRP can be applied on diverse synthetic and real data with Gaussian and non-Gaussian likelihoods.
Cumulative Stay-time Representation for Electronic Health Records in Medical Event Time Prediction
Katsuki, Takayuki, Miyaguchi, Kohei, Koseki, Akira, Iwamori, Toshiya, Yanagiya, Ryosuke, Suzuki, Atsushi
We address the problem of predicting when a disease will develop, i.e., medical event time (MET), from a patient's electronic health record (EHR). The MET of non-communicable diseases like diabetes is highly correlated to cumulative health conditions, more specifically, how much time the patient spent with specific health conditions in the past. The common time-series representation is indirect in extracting such information from EHR because it focuses on detailed dependencies between values in successive observations, not cumulative information. We propose a novel data representation for EHR called cumulative stay-time representation (CTR), which directly models such cumulative health conditions. We derive a trainable construction of CTR based on neural networks that has the flexibility to fit the target data and scalability to handle high-dimensional EHR. Numerical experiments using synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that CTR alone achieves a high prediction performance, and it enhances the performance of existing models when combined with them.
Predicting Time-to-conversion for Dementia of Alzheimer's Type using Multi-modal Deep Survival Analysis
Mirabnahrazam, Ghazal, Ma, Da, Beaulac, Cรฉdric, Lee, Sieun, Popuri, Karteek, Lee, Hyunwoo, Cao, Jiguo, Galvin, James E, Wang, Lei, Beg, Mirza Faisal, Initiative, the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging
Dementia of Alzheimer's Type (DAT) is a complex disorder influenced by numerous factors, but it is unclear how each factor contributes to disease progression. An in-depth examination of these factors may yield an accurate estimate of time-to-conversion to DAT for patients at various disease stages. We used 401 subjects with 63 features from MRI, genetic, and CDC (Cognitive tests, Demographic, and CSF) data modalities in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database. We used a deep learning-based survival analysis model that extends the classic Cox regression model to predict time-to-conversion to DAT. Our findings showed that genetic features contributed the least to survival analysis, while CDC features contributed the most. Combining MRI and genetic features improved survival prediction over using either modality alone, but adding CDC to any combination of features only worked as well as using only CDC features. Consequently, our study demonstrated that using the current clinical procedure, which includes gathering cognitive test results, can outperform survival analysis results produced using costly genetic or CSF data.
Skeptical binary inferences in multi-label problems with sets of probabilities
Alarcรณn, Yonatan Carlos Carranza, Destercke, Sรฉbastien
In this paper, we consider the problem of making distributionally robust, skeptical inferences for the multi-label problem, or more generally for Boolean vectors. By distributionally robust, we mean that we consider a set of possible probability distributions, and by skeptical we understand that we consider as valid only those inferences that are true for every distribution within this set. Such inferences will provide partial predictions whenever the considered set is sufficiently big. We study in particular the Hamming loss case, a common loss function in multi-label problems, showing how skeptical inferences can be made in this setting. Our experimental results are organised in three sections; (1) the first one indicates the gain computational obtained from our theoretical results by using synthetical data sets, (2) the second one indicates that our approaches produce relevant cautiousness on those hard-to-predict instances where its precise counterpart fails, and (3) the last one demonstrates experimentally how our approach copes with imperfect information (generated by a downsampling procedure) better than the partial abstention [31] and the rejection rules.
Reproducing Kernels and New Approaches in Compositional Data Analysis
Compositional data, such as human gut microbiomes, consist of non-negative variables whose only the relative values to other variables are available. Analyzing compositional data such as human gut microbiomes needs a careful treatment of the geometry of the data. A common geometrical understanding of compositional data is via a regular simplex. Majority of existing approaches rely on a log-ratio or power transformations to overcome the innate simplicial geometry. In this work, based on the key observation that a compositional data are projective in nature, and on the intrinsic connection between projective and spherical geometry, we re-interpret the compositional domain as the quotient topology of a sphere modded out by a group action. This re-interpretation allows us to understand the function space on compositional domains in terms of that on spheres and to use spherical harmonics theory along with reflection group actions for constructing a compositional Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). This construction of RKHS for compositional data will widely open research avenues for future methodology developments. In particular, well-developed kernel embedding methods can be now introduced to compositional data analysis. The polynomial nature of compositional RKHS has both theoretical and computational benefits. The wide applicability of the proposed theoretical framework is exemplified with nonparametric density estimation and kernel exponential family for compositional data.
Improving forecasting by learning quantile functions
The quantile function is a mathematical function that takes a quantile (a percentage of a distribution, from 0 to 1) as input and outputs the value of a variable. It can answer questions like, "If I want to guarantee that 95% of my customers receive their orders within 24 hours, how much inventory do I need to keep on hand?" As such, the quantile function is commonly used in the context of forecasting questions. In practical cases, however, we rarely have a tidy formula for computing the quantile function. Instead, statisticians usually use regression analysis to approximate it for a single quantile level at a time.
Graph representation learning using node2vec on a toy biological data
A network or a graph is a representation to show the relationship between objects in a 2 dimensional or multidimensional space. The objects are called nodes and the relationship between the nodes are the edges in a graph. Two prominent examples of a graphical representation are a social network of individuals or a protein-protein interaction network. The graphical representation allows humans and computers to understand the underlying data more efficiently and adopt various algorithms for solving real-life problems. Learning a good representation of the graph data is called graph representation learning or network embedding.
A New Dimensionality Reduction Method Based on Hensel's Compression for Privacy Protection in Federated Learning
Ouadrhiri, Ahmed El, Abdelhadi, Ahmed
Differential privacy (DP) is considered a de-facto standard for protecting users' privacy in data analysis, machine, and deep learning. Existing DP-based privacy-preserving training approaches consist of adding noise to the clients' gradients before sharing them with the server. However, implementing DP on the gradient is not efficient as the privacy leakage increases by increasing the synchronization training epochs due to the composition theorem. Recently researchers were able to recover images used in the training dataset using Generative Regression Neural Network (GRNN) even when the gradient was protected by DP. In this paper, we propose two layers of privacy protection approach to overcome the limitations of the existing DP-based approaches. The first layer reduces the dimension of the training dataset based on Hensel's Lemma. We are the first to use Hensel's Lemma for reducing the dimension (i.e., compress) of a dataset. The new dimensionality reduction method allows reducing the dimension of a dataset without losing information since Hensel's Lemma guarantees uniqueness. The second layer applies DP to the compressed dataset generated by the first layer. The proposed approach overcomes the problem of privacy leakage due to composition by applying DP only once before the training; clients train their local model on the privacy-preserving dataset generated by the second layer. Experimental results show that the proposed approach ensures strong privacy protection while achieving good accuracy. The new dimensionality reduction method achieves an accuracy of 97%, with only 25 % of the original data size.