Statistical Learning
Conditional Distribution Function Estimation Using Neural Networks for Censored and Uncensored Data
Most work in neural networks focuses on estimating the conditional mean of a continuous response variable given a set of covariates.In this article, we consider estimating the conditional distribution function using neural networks for both censored and uncensored data. The algorithm is built upon the data structure particularly constructed for the Cox regression with time-dependent covariates. Without imposing any model assumption, we consider a loss function that is based on the full likelihood where the conditional hazard function is the only unknown nonparametric parameter, for which unconstraint optimization methods can be applied. Through simulation studies, we show the proposed method possesses desirable performance, whereas the partial likelihood method and the traditional neural networks with $L_2$ loss yield biased estimates when model assumptions are violated. We further illustrate the proposed method with several real-world data sets. The implementation of the proposed methods is made available at https://github.com/bingqing0729/NNCDE.
Modular Conformal Calibration
Marx, Charles, Zhao, Shengjia, Neiswanger, Willie, Ermon, Stefano
Uncertainty estimates must be calibrated (i.e., accurate) and sharp (i.e., informative) in order to be useful. This has motivated a variety of methods for recalibration, which use held-out data to turn an uncalibrated model into a calibrated model. However, the applicability of existing methods is limited due to their assumption that the original model is also a probabilistic model. We introduce a versatile class of algorithms for recalibration in regression that we call Modular Conformal Calibration (MCC). This framework allows one to transform any regression model into a calibrated probabilistic model. The modular design of MCC allows us to make simple adjustments to existing algorithms that enable well-behaved distribution predictions. We also provide finite-sample calibration guarantees for MCC algorithms. Our framework recovers isotonic recalibration, conformal calibration, and conformal interval prediction, implying that our theoretical results apply to those methods as well. Finally, we conduct an empirical study of MCC on 17 regression datasets. Our results show that new algorithms designed in our framework achieve near-perfect calibration and improve sharpness relative to existing methods.
An Intrusion Detection System based on Deep Belief Networks
Belarbi, Othmane, Khan, Aftab, Carnelli, Pietro, Spyridopoulos, Theodoros
The rapid growth of connected devices has led to the proliferation of novel cyber-security threats known as zero-day attacks. Traditional behaviour-based IDS rely on DNN to detect these attacks. The quality of the dataset used to train the DNN plays a critical role in the detection performance, with underrepresented samples causing poor performances. In this paper, we develop and evaluate the performance of DBN on detecting cyber-attacks within a network of connected devices. The CICIDS2017 dataset was used to train and evaluate the performance of our proposed DBN approach. Several class balancing techniques were applied and evaluated. Lastly, we compare our approach against a conventional MLP model and the existing state-of-the-art. Our proposed DBN approach shows competitive and promising results, with significant performance improvement on the detection of attacks underrepresented in the training dataset.
Federated and Transfer Learning: A Survey on Adversaries and Defense Mechanisms
Hallaji, Ehsan, Razavi-Far, Roozbeh, Saif, Mehrdad
The advent of federated learning has facilitated large-scale data exchange amongst machine learning models while maintaining privacy. Despite its brief history, federated learning is rapidly evolving to make wider use more practical. One of the most significant advancements in this domain is the incorporation of transfer learning into federated learning, which overcomes fundamental constraints of primary federated learning, particularly in terms of security. This chapter performs a comprehensive survey on the intersection of federated and transfer learning from a security point of view. The main goal of this study is to uncover potential vulnerabilities and defense mechanisms that might compromise the privacy and performance of systems that use federated and transfer learning.
Deep Learning Serves Traffic Safety Analysis: A Forward-looking Review
Razi, Abolfazl, Chen, Xiwen, Li, Huayu, Wang, Hao, Russo, Brendan, Chen, Yan, Yu, Hongbin
This paper explores Deep Learning (DL) methods that are used or have the potential to be used for traffic video analysis, emphasizing driving safety for both Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) and human-operated vehicles. We present a typical processing pipeline, which can be used to understand and interpret traffic videos by extracting operational safety metrics and providing general hints and guidelines to improve traffic safety. This processing framework includes several steps, including video enhancement, video stabilization, semantic and incident segmentation, object detection and classification, trajectory extraction, speed estimation, event analysis, modeling and anomaly detection. Our main goal is to guide traffic analysts to develop their own custom-built processing frameworks by selecting the best choices for each step and offering new designs for the lacking modules by providing a comparative analysis of the most successful conventional and DL-based algorithms proposed for each step. We also review existing open-source tools and public datasets that can help train DL models. To be more specific, we review exemplary traffic problems and mentioned requires steps for each problem. Besides, we investigate connections to the closely related research areas of drivers' cognition evaluation, Crowd-sourcing-based monitoring systems, Edge Computing in roadside infrastructures, Automated Driving Systems (ADS)-equipped vehicles, and highlight the missing gaps. Finally, we review commercial implementations of traffic monitoring systems, their future outlook, and open problems and remaining challenges for widespread use of such systems.
Unsupervised Recurrent Federated Learning for Edge Popularity Prediction in Privacy-Preserving Mobile Edge Computing Networks
Zheng, Chong, Liu, Shengheng, Huang, Yongming, Zhang, Wei, Yang, Luxi
Nowadays wireless communication is rapidly reshaping entire industry sectors. In particular, mobile edge computing (MEC) as an enabling technology for industrial Internet of things (IIoT) brings powerful computing/storage infrastructure closer to the mobile terminals and, thereby, significant lowers the response latency. To reap the benefit of proactive caching at the network edge, precise knowledge on the popularity pattern among the end devices is essential. However, the complex and dynamic nature of the content popularity over space and time as well as the data-privacy requirements in many IIoT scenarios pose tough challenges to its acquisition. In this article, we propose an unsupervised and privacy-preserving popularity prediction framework for MEC-enabled IIoT. The concepts of local and global popularities are introduced and the time-varying popularity of each user is modelled as a model-free Markov chain. On this basis, a novel unsupervised recurrent federated learning (URFL) algorithm is proposed to predict the distributed popularity while achieve privacy preservation and unsupervised training. Simulations indicate that the proposed framework can enhance the prediction accuracy in terms of a reduced root-mean-squared error by up to $60.5\%-68.7\%$. Additionally, manual labeling and violation of users' data privacy are both avoided.
AI software company: 20 best machine learning platforms
We know from an early age that soldiers must be properly trained in the latest weapons. Then you can win the war against the opposition. In the same way, data scientists need efficient and effective machine learning software, tools or frameworks, whatever we call their weapons. Develop systems with the training data needed to erase shortcomings and make a machine or device intelligent. Only well-defined software can build profitable machines.
A Generative Framework for Personalized Learning and Estimation: Theory, Algorithms, and Privacy
Ozkara, Kaan, Girgis, Antonious M., Data, Deepesh, Diggavi, Suhas
A distinguishing characteristic of federated learning is that the (local) client data could have statistical heterogeneity. This heterogeneity has motivated the design of personalized learning, where individual (personalized) models are trained, through collaboration. There have been various personalization methods proposed in literature, with seemingly very different forms and methods ranging from use of a single global model for local regularization and model interpolation, to use of multiple global models for personalized clustering, etc. In this work, we begin with a generative framework that could potentially unify several different algorithms as well as suggest new algorithms. We apply our generative framework to personalized estimation, and connect it to the classical empirical Bayes' methodology. We develop private personalized estimation under this framework. We then use our generative framework for learning, which unifies several known personalized FL algorithms and also suggests new ones; we propose and study a new algorithm AdaPeD based on a Knowledge Distillation, which numerically outperforms several known algorithms. We also develop privacy for personalized learning methods with guarantees for user-level privacy and composition. We numerically evaluate the performance as well as the privacy for both the estimation and learning problems, demonstrating the advantages of our proposed methods.
Sample-based and Feature-based Federated Learning for Unconstrained and Constrained Nonconvex Optimization via Mini-batch SSCA
Cui, Ying, Li, Yangchen, Ye, Chencheng
Federated learning (FL) has become a hot research area in enabling the collaborative training of machine learning models among multiple clients that hold sensitive local data. Nevertheless, unconstrained federated optimization has been studied mainly using stochastic gradient descent (SGD), which may converge slowly, and constrained federated optimization, which is more challenging, has not been investigated so far. This paper investigates sample-based and feature-based federated optimization, respectively, and considers both unconstrained and constrained nonconvex problems for each of them. First, we propose FL algorithms using stochastic successive convex approximation (SSCA) and mini-batch techniques. These algorithms can adequately exploit the structures of the objective and constraint functions and incrementally utilize samples. We show that the proposed FL algorithms converge to stationary points and Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) points of the respective unconstrained and constrained nonconvex problems, respectively. Next, we provide algorithm examples with appealing computational complexity and communication load per communication round. We show that the proposed algorithm examples for unconstrained federated optimization are identical to FL algorithms via momentum SGD and provide an analytical connection between SSCA and momentum SGD. Finally, numerical experiments demonstrate the inherent advantages of the proposed algorithms in convergence speeds, communication and computation costs, and model specifications.
Automating the Design and Development of Gradient Descent Trained Expert System Networks
Prior work introduced a gradient descent trained expert system that conceptually combines the learning capabilities of neural networks with the understandability and defensible logic of an expert system. This system was shown to be able to learn patterns from data and to perform decision-making at levels rivaling those reported by neural network systems. The principal limitation of the approach, though, was the necessity for the manual development of a rule-fact network (which is then trained using backpropagation). This paper proposes a technique for overcoming this significant limitation, as compared to neural networks. Specifically, this paper proposes the use of larger and denser-than-application need rule-fact networks which are trained, pruned, manually reviewed and then re-trained for use. Multiple types of networks are evaluated under multiple operating conditions and these results are presented and assessed. Based on these individual experimental condition assessments, the proposed technique is evaluated. The data presented shows that error rates as low as 3.9% (mean, 1.2% median) can be obtained, demonstrating the efficacy of this technique for many applications.