In this course the student will learn the theory of time series analysis and forecasting. Time series analysis is part of artificial intelligence (AI) and is used by many companies to make predictions on sales, temperature, energy consumption, stock prices, etcetera. Time series analysis involves looking at the time series and making judgements based on the look of the time series. The time series may need to be changed in an attempt to analyse it, and these changes could involve resampling or transforming in some fashion. Time series forecasting involves making predictions on the time series.

This study showed that the machine learning-based model has a higher predictive ability than the conventional logistic regression model and may be …

You're looking for a complete Linear Regression and Logistic Regression course that teaches you everything you need to create a Linear or Logistic Regression model in Python, right? You've found the right Linear Regression course! A Verifiable Certificate of Completion is presented to all students who undertake this Machine learning basics course. What is covered in this course? This course teaches you all the steps of creating a Linear Regression model, which is the most popular Machine Learning model, to solve business problems.

Technique of emotion recognition enables computers to classify human affective states into discrete categories. However, the emotion may fluctuate instead of maintaining a stable state even within a short time interval. There is also a difficulty to take the full use of the EEG spatial distribution due to its 3-D topology structure. To tackle the above issues, we proposed a locally temporal-spatial pattern learning graph attention network (LTS-GAT) in the present study. In the LTS-GAT, a divide-and-conquer scheme was used to examine local information on temporal and spatial dimensions of EEG patterns based on the graph attention mechanism. A dynamical domain discriminator was added to improve the robustness against inter-individual variations of the EEG statistics to learn robust EEG feature representations across different participants. We evaluated the LTS-GAT on two public datasets for affective computing studies under individual-dependent and independent paradigms. The effectiveness of LTS-GAT model was demonstrated when compared to other existing mainstream methods. Moreover, visualization methods were used to illustrate the relations of different brain regions and emotion recognition. Meanwhile, the weights of different time segments were also visualized to investigate emotion sparsity problems.

We study the meta-learning for support (i.e. the set of non-zero entries) recovery in high-dimensional Principal Component Analysis. We reduce the sufficient sample complexity in a novel task with the information that is learned from auxiliary tasks. We assume each task to be a different random Principal Component (PC) matrix with a possibly different support and that the support union of the PC matrices is small. We then pool the data from all the tasks to execute an improper estimation of a single PC matrix by maximising the $l_1$-regularised predictive covariance to establish that with high probability the true support union can be recovered provided a sufficient number of tasks $m$ and a sufficient number of samples $ O\left(\frac{\log(p)}{m}\right)$ for each task, for $p$-dimensional vectors. Then, for a novel task, we prove that the maximisation of the $l_1$-regularised predictive covariance with the additional constraint that the support is a subset of the estimated support union could reduce the sufficient sample complexity of successful support recovery to $O(\log |J|)$, where $J$ is the support union recovered from the auxiliary tasks. Typically, $|J|$ would be much less than $p$ for sparse matrices. Finally, we demonstrate the validity of our experiments through numerical simulations.

We describe a local surrogate model for use in conjunction with global structure search methods. The model follows the Gaussian approximation potential (GAP) formalism and is based on a the smooth overlap of atomic positions descriptor with sparsification in terms of a reduced number of local environments using mini-batch $k$-means. The model is implemented in the Atomistic Global Optimization X framework and used as a partial replacement of the local relaxations in basin hopping structure search. The approach is shown to be robust for a wide range of atomistic system including molecules, nano-particles, surface supported clusters and surface thin films. The benefits in a structure search context of a local surrogate model are demonstrated. This includes the ability to transfer learning from smaller systems as well as the possibility to perform concurrent multi-stoichiometry searches.

Federated learning (FL) is a framework for machine learning across heterogeneous client devices in a privacy-preserving fashion. To date, most FL algorithms learn a "global" server model across multiple rounds. At each round, the same server model is broadcast to all participating clients, updated locally, and then aggregated across clients. In this work, we propose a more general procedure in which clients "select" what values are sent to them. Notably, this allows clients to operate on smaller, data-dependent slices. In order to make this practical, we outline a primitive, federated select, which enables client-specific selection in realistic FL systems. We discuss how to use federated select for model training and show that it can lead to drastic reductions in communication and client memory usage, potentially enabling the training of models too large to fit on-device. We also discuss the implications of federated select on privacy and trust, which in turn affect possible system constraints and design. Finally, we discuss open questions concerning model architectures, privacy-preserving technologies, and practical FL systems.

The drug discovery and development process is a long and expensive one, costing over 1 billion USD on average per drug and taking 10-15 years. To reduce the high levels of attrition throughout the process, there has been a growing interest in applying machine learning methodologies to various stages of drug discovery and development in the recent decade, especially at the earliest stage identification of druggable disease genes. In this paper, we have developed a new tensor factorisation model to predict potential drug targets (genes or proteins) for treating diseases. We created a three dimensional data tensor consisting of 1,048 gene targets, 860 diseases and 230,011 evidence attributes and clinical outcomes connecting them, using data extracted from the Open Targets and PharmaProjects databases. We enriched the data with gene target representations learned from a drug discovery oriented knowledge graph and applied our proposed method to predict the clinical outcomes for unseen gene target and disease pairs. We designed three evaluation strategies to measure the prediction performance and benchmarked several commonly used machine learning classifiers together with Bayesian matrix and tensor factorisation methods. The result shows that incorporating knowledge graph embeddings significantly improves the prediction accuracy and that training tensor factorisation alongside a dense neural network outperforms all other baselines. In summary, our framework combines two actively studied machine learning approaches to disease target identification, namely tensor factorisation and knowledge graph representation learning, which could be a promising avenue for further exploration in data driven drug discovery.

Multi-task learning of dense prediction tasks, by sharing both the encoder and decoder, as opposed to sharing only the encoder, provides an attractive front to increase both accuracy and computational efficiency. When the tasks are similar, sharing the decoder serves as an additional inductive bias providing more room for tasks to share complementary information among themselves. However, increased sharing exposes more parameters to task interference which likely hinders both generalization and robustness. Effective ways to curb this interference while exploiting the inductive bias of sharing the decoder remains an open challenge. To address this challenge, we propose Progressive Decoder Fusion (PDF) to progressively combine task decoders based on inter-task representation similarity. We show that this procedure leads to a multi-task network with better generalization to in-distribution and out-of-distribution data and improved robustness to adversarial attacks. Additionally, we observe that the predictions of different tasks of this multi-task network are more consistent with each other. Code is made available at github.com/NeurAI-Lab/ Obtaining real-time predictions from neural networks is imperative for time-critical applications such as autonomous driving. These applications also require predictions from multiple tasks to shed light on varied aspects of the input scene. Multi-task networks (MTNs) can elegantly combine these two requirements by jointly predicting multiple tasks while sharing a considerable number of parameters among tasks. On the other hand, training separate single task networks could lead to different task predictions contradicting each other. Moreover, each of these networks has to be individually robust to various forms of adverse inputs such as image corruptions and adversarial attacks. MTNs include an inductive bias in the shared parameter space which encourages tasks to share complementary information to improve predictions.

Reliable spatial uncertainty evaluation of object detection models is of special interest and has been subject of recent work. In this work, we review the existing definitions for uncertainty calibration of probabilistic regression tasks. We inspect the calibration properties of common detection networks and extend state-of-the-art recalibration methods. Our methods use a Gaussian process (GP) recalibration scheme that yields parametric distributions as output (e.g. Gaussian or Cauchy). The usage of GP recalibration allows for a local (conditional) uncertainty calibration by capturing dependencies between neighboring samples. The use of parametric distributions such as as Gaussian allows for a simplified adaption of calibration in subsequent processes, e.g., for Kalman filtering in the scope of object tracking. In addition, we use the GP recalibration scheme to perform covariance estimation which allows for post-hoc introduction of local correlations between the output quantities, e.g., position, width, or height in object detection. To measure the joint calibration of multivariate and possibly correlated data, we introduce the quantile calibration error which is based on the Mahalanobis distance between the predicted distribution and the ground truth to determine whether the ground truth is within a predicted quantile. Our experiments show that common detection models overestimate the spatial uncertainty in comparison to the observed error. We show that the simple Isotonic Regression recalibration method is sufficient to achieve a good uncertainty quantification in terms of calibrated quantiles. In contrast, if normal distributions are required for subsequent processes, our GP-Normal recalibration method yields the best results. Finally, we show that our covariance estimation method is able to achieve best calibration results for joint multivariate calibration.