Statistical Learning
Machine learning in the prediction of cardiac epicardial and mediastinal fat volumes
Rodrigues, É. O., Pinheiro, V. H. A., Liatsis, P., Conci, A.
We propose a methodology to predict the cardiac epicardial and mediastinal fat volumes in computed tomography images using regression algorithms. The obtained results indicate that it is feasible to predict these fats with a high degree of correlation, thus alleviating the requirement for manual or automatic segmentation of both fat volumes. Instead, segmenting just one of them suffices, while the volume of the other may be predicted fairly precisely. The correlation coefficient obtained by the Rotation Forest algorithm using MLP Regressor for predicting the mediastinal fat based on the epicardial fat was 0.9876, with a relative absolute error of 14.4% and a root relative squared error of 15.7%. The best correlation coefficient obtained in the prediction of the epicardial fat based on the mediastinal was 0.9683 with a relative absolute error of 19.6% and a relative squared error of 24.9%. Moreover, we analysed the feasibility of using linear regressors, which provide an intuitive interpretation of the underlying approximations. In this case, the obtained correlation coefficient was 0.9534 for predicting the mediastinal fat based on the epicardial, with a relative absolute error of 31.6% and a root relative squared error of 30.1%. On the prediction of the epicardial fat based on the mediastinal fat, the correlation coefficient was 0.8531, with a relative absolute error of 50.43% and a root relative squared error of 52.06%. In summary, it is possible to speed up general medical analyses and some segmentation and quantification methods that are currently employed in the state-of-the-art by using this prediction approach, which consequently reduces costs and therefore enables preventive treatments that may lead to a reduction of health problems.
Comparing Two Samples Through Stochastic Dominance: A Graphical Approach
Arza, Etor, Ceberio, Josu, Irurozki, Ekhiñe, Pérez, Aritz
Non-deterministic measurements are common in real-world scenarios: the performance of a stochastic optimization algorithm or the total reward of a reinforcement learning agent in a chaotic environment are just two examples in which unpredictable outcomes are common. These measures can be modeled as random variables and compared among each other via their expected values or more sophisticated tools such as null hypothesis statistical tests. In this paper, we propose an alternative framework to visually compare two samples according to their estimated cumulative distribution functions. First, we introduce a dominance measure for two random variables that quantifies the proportion in which the cumulative distribution function of one of the random variables stochastically dominates the other one. Then, we present a graphical method that decomposes in quantiles i) the proposed dominance measure and ii) the probability that one of the random variables takes lower values than the other. With illustrative purposes, we re-evaluate the experimentation of an already published work with the proposed methodology and we show that additional conclusions (missed by the rest of the methods) can be inferred. Additionally, the software package RVCompare was created as a convenient way of applying and experimenting with the proposed framework.
A Self-supervised Riemannian GNN with Time Varying Curvature for Temporal Graph Learning
Sun, Li, Ye, Junda, Peng, Hao, Yu, Philip S.
Representation learning on temporal graphs has drawn considerable research attention owing to its fundamental importance in a wide spectrum of real-world applications. Though a number of studies succeed in obtaining time-dependent representations, it still faces significant challenges. On the one hand, most of the existing methods restrict the embedding space with a certain curvature. However, the underlying geometry in fact shifts among the positive curvature hyperspherical, zero curvature Euclidean and negative curvature hyperbolic spaces in the evolvement over time. On the other hand, these methods usually require abundant labels to learn temporal representations, and thereby notably limit their wide use in the unlabeled graphs of the real applications. To bridge this gap, we make the first attempt to study the problem of self-supervised temporal graph representation learning in the general Riemannian space, supporting the time-varying curvature to shift among hyperspherical, Euclidean and hyperbolic spaces. In this paper, we present a novel self-supervised Riemannian graph neural network (SelfRGNN). Specifically, we design a curvature-varying Riemannian GNN with a theoretically grounded time encoding, and formulate a functional curvature over time to model the evolvement shifting among the positive, zero and negative curvature spaces. To enable the self-supervised learning, we propose a novel reweighting self-contrastive approach, exploring the Riemannian space itself without augmentation, and propose an edge-based self-supervised curvature learning with the Ricci curvature. Extensive experiments show the superiority of SelfRGNN, and moreover, the case study shows the time-varying curvature of temporal graph in reality.
Automatic Feasibility Study via Data Quality Analysis for ML: A Case-Study on Label Noise
Renggli, Cedric, Rimanic, Luka, Kolar, Luka, Wu, Wentao, Zhang, Ce
In our experience of working with domain experts who are using today's AutoML systems, a common problem we encountered is what we call "unrealistic expectations" -- when users are facing a very challenging task with a noisy data acquisition process, while being expected to achieve startlingly high accuracy with machine learning (ML). Many of these are predestined to fail from the beginning. In traditional software engineering, this problem is addressed via a feasibility study, an indispensable step before developing any software system. In this paper, we present Snoopy, with the goal of supporting data scientists and machine learning engineers performing a systematic and theoretically founded feasibility study before building ML applications. We approach this problem by estimating the irreducible error of the underlying task, also known as the Bayes error rate (BER), which stems from data quality issues in datasets used to train or evaluate ML model artifacts. We design a practical Bayes error estimator that is compared against baseline feasibility study candidates on 6 datasets (with additional real and synthetic noise of different levels) in computer vision and natural language processing. Furthermore, by including our systematic feasibility study with additional signals into the iterative label cleaning process, we demonstrate in end-to-end experiments how users are able to save substantial labeling time and monetary efforts.
Non-readily identifiable data collaboration analysis for multiple datasets including personal information
Imakura, Akira, Sakurai, Tetsuya, Okada, Yukihiko, Fujii, Tomoya, Sakamoto, Teppei, Abe, Hiroyuki
Multi-source data fusion, in which multiple data sources are jointly analyzed to obtain improved information, has considerable research attention. For the datasets of multiple medical institutions, data confidentiality and cross-institutional communication are critical. In such cases, data collaboration (DC) analysis by sharing dimensionality-reduced intermediate representations without iterative cross-institutional communications may be appropriate. Identifiability of the shared data is essential when analyzing data including personal information. In this study, the identifiability of the DC analysis is investigated. The results reveals that the shared intermediate representations are readily identifiable to the original data for supervised learning. This study then proposes a non-readily identifiable DC analysis only sharing non-readily identifiable data for multiple medical datasets including personal information. The proposed method solves identifiability concerns based on a random sample permutation, the concept of interpretable DC analysis, and usage of functions that cannot be reconstructed. In numerical experiments on medical datasets, the proposed method exhibits a non-readily identifiability while maintaining a high recognition performance of the conventional DC analysis. For a hospital dataset, the proposed method exhibits a nine percentage point improvement regarding the recognition performance over the local analysis that uses only local dataset.
Minimax Optimal Quantization of Linear Models: Information-Theoretic Limits and Efficient Algorithms
Saha, Rajarshi, Pilanci, Mert, Goldsmith, Andrea J.
High-dimensional models often have a large memory footprint and must be quantized after training before being deployed on resource-constrained edge devices for inference tasks. In this work, we develop an information-theoretic framework for the problem of quantizing a linear regressor learned from training data $(\mathbf{X}, \mathbf{y})$, for some underlying statistical relationship $\mathbf{y} = \mathbf{X}\boldsymbol{\theta} + \mathbf{v}$. The learned model, which is an estimate of the latent parameter $\boldsymbol{\theta} \in \mathbb{R}^d$, is constrained to be representable using only $Bd$ bits, where $B \in (0, \infty)$ is a pre-specified budget and $d$ is the dimension. We derive an information-theoretic lower bound for the minimax risk under this setting and propose a matching upper bound using randomized embedding-based algorithms which is tight up to constant factors. The lower and upper bounds together characterize the minimum threshold bit-budget required to achieve a performance risk comparable to the unquantized setting. We also propose randomized Hadamard embeddings that are computationally efficient and are optimal up to a mild logarithmic factor of the lower bound. Our model quantization strategy can be generalized and we show its efficacy by extending the method and upper-bounds to two-layer ReLU neural networks for non-linear regression. Numerical simulations show the improved performance of our proposed scheme as well as its closeness to the lower bound.
Positive-Negative Momentum: Manipulating Stochastic Gradient Noise to Improve Generalization
Xie, Zeke, Yuan, Li, Zhu, Zhanxing, Sugiyama, Masashi
It is well-known that stochastic gradient noise (SGN) acts as implicit regularization for deep learning and is essentially important for both optimization and generalization of deep networks. Some works attempted to artificially simulate SGN by injecting random noise to improve deep learning. However, it turned out that the injected simple random noise cannot work as well as SGN, which is anisotropic and parameter-dependent. For simulating SGN at low computational costs and without changing the learning rate or batch size, we propose the Positive-Negative Momentum (PNM) approach that is a powerful alternative to conventional Momentum in classic optimizers. The introduced PNM method maintains two approximate independent momentum terms. Then, we can control the magnitude of SGN explicitly by adjusting the momentum difference. We theoretically prove the convergence guarantee and the generalization advantage of PNM over Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). By incorporating PNM into the two conventional optimizers, SGD with Momentum and Adam, our extensive experiments empirically verified the significant advantage of the PNM-based variants over the corresponding conventional Momentum-based optimizers.
Beyond Supervised Continual Learning: a Review
Bagus, Benedikt, Gepperth, Alexander, Lesort, Timothée
Continual Learning (CL, sometimes also termed incremental learning) is a flavor of machine learning where the usual assumption of stationary data distribution is relaxed or omitted. When naively applying, e.g., DNNs in CL problems, changes in the data distribution can cause the so-called catastrophic forgetting (CF) effect: an abrupt loss of previous knowledge. Although many significant contributions to enabling CL have been made in recent years, most works address supervised (classification) problems. This article reviews literature that study CL in other settings, such as learning with reduced supervision, fully unsupervised learning, and reinforcement learning.
Online Active Regression
Chen, Cheng, Li, Yi, Sun, Yiming
Active regression considers a linear regression problem where the learner receives a large number of data points but can only observe a small number of labels. Since online algorithms can deal with incremental training data and take advantage of low computational cost, we consider an online extension of the active regression problem: the learner receives data points one by one and immediately decides whether it should collect the corresponding labels. The goal is to efficiently maintain the regression of received data points with a small budget of label queries. We propose novel algorithms for this problem under $\ell_p$ loss where $p\in[1,2]$. To achieve a $(1+\epsilon)$-approximate solution, our proposed algorithms only require $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\epsilon^{-1} d \log(n\kappa))$ queries of labels, where $n$ is the number of data points and $\kappa$ is a quantity, called the condition number, of the data points. The numerical results verify our theoretical results and show that our methods have comparable performance with offline active regression algorithms.
Building the Intent Landscape of Real-World Conversational Corpora with Extractive Question-Answering Transformers
Corbeil, Jean-Philippe, Li, Mia Taige, Ghavidel, Hadi Abdi
For companies with customer service, mapping intents inside their conversational data is crucial in building applications based on natural language understanding (NLU). Nevertheless, there is no established automated technique to gather the intents from noisy online chats or voice transcripts. Simple clustering approaches are not suited to intent-sparse dialogues. To solve this intent-landscape task, we propose an unsupervised pipeline that extracts the intents and the taxonomy of intents from real-world dialogues. Our pipeline mines intent-span candidates with an extractive Question-Answering Electra model and leverages sentence embeddings to apply a low-level density clustering followed by a top-level hierarchical clustering. Our results demonstrate the generalization ability of an ELECTRA large model fine-tuned on the SQuAD2 dataset to understand dialogues. With the right prompting question, this model achieves a rate of linguistic validation on intent spans beyond 85%. We furthermore reconstructed the intent schemes of five domains from the MultiDoGo dataset with an average recall of 94.3%.