Statistical Learning
The 6 Steps of Predictive Analytics - Analytics Vidhya
This article was published as a part of the Data Science Blogathon. With technological evolution, data dependence is increasing much faster. Gone are the days when business decisions were primarily based on gut feeling or intuition. Organizations are now employing data-driven approaches all over the world. One of the most widely used data applications is'Predictive Analytics'.
TruVR: Trustworthy Cybersickness Detection using Explainable Machine Learning
Cybersickness can be characterized by nausea, vertigo, headache, eye strain, and other discomforts when using virtual reality (VR) systems. The previously reported machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms for detecting (classification) and predicting (regression) VR cybersickness use black-box models; thus, they lack explainability. Moreover, VR sensors generate a massive amount of data, resulting in complex and large models. Therefore, having inherent explainability in cybersickness detection models can significantly improve the model's trustworthiness and provide insight into why and how the ML/DL model arrived at a specific decision. To address this issue, we present three explainable machine learning (xML) models to detect and predict cybersickness: 1) explainable boosting machine (EBM), 2) decision tree (DT), and 3) logistic regression (LR). We evaluate xML-based models with publicly available physiological and gameplay datasets for cybersickness. The results show that the EBM can detect cybersickness with an accuracy of 99.75% and 94.10% for the physiological and gameplay datasets, respectively. On the other hand, while predicting the cybersickness, EBM resulted in a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.071 for the physiological dataset and 0.27 for the gameplay dataset. Furthermore, the EBM-based global explanation reveals exposure length, rotation, and acceleration as key features causing cybersickness in the gameplay dataset. In contrast, galvanic skin responses and heart rate are most significant in the physiological dataset. Our results also suggest that EBM-based local explanation can identify cybersickness-causing factors for individual samples. We believe the proposed xML-based cybersickness detection method can help future researchers understand, analyze, and design simpler cybersickness detection and reduction models.
Mission-level Robustness with Rapidly-deployed, Autonomous Aerial Vehicles by Carnegie Mellon Team Tartan at MBZIRC 2020
Bhattacharya, Anish, Gandhi, Akshit, Merkle, Lukas, Tiwari, Rohan, Warrior, Karun, Winata, Stanley, Saba, Andrew, Zhang, Kevin, Kroemer, Oliver, Scherer, Sebastian
For robotic systems to succeed in high risk, real-world situations, they have to be quickly deployable and robust to environmental changes, under-performing hardware, and mission subtask failures. These robots are often designed to consider a single sequence of mission events, with complex algorithms lowering individual subtask failure rates under some critical constraints. Our approach utilizes common techniques in vision and control, and encodes robustness into mission structure through outcome monitoring and recovery strategies. In addition, our system infrastructure enables rapid deployment and requires no central communication. This report also includes lessons in rapid field robotic development and testing. We developed and evaluated our systems through real-robot experiments at an outdoor test site in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, as well as in the 2020 Mohamed Bin Zayed International Robotics Challenge. All competition trials were completed in fully autonomous mode without RTK-GPS. Our system placed fourth in Challenge 2 and seventh in the Grand Challenge, with notable achievements such as popping five balloons (Challenge 1), successfully picking and placing a block (Challenge 2), and dispensing the most water onto an outdoor, real fire with an autonomous UAV (Challenge 3).
Quantifying the Online Long-Term Interest in Research
Shahzad, Murtuza, Alhoori, Hamed, Freedman, Reva, Rahman, Shaikh Abdul
Research articles are being shared in increasing numbers on multiple online platforms. Although the scholarly impact of these articles has been widely studied, the online interest determined by how long the research articles are shared online remains unclear. Being cognizant of how long a research article is mentioned online could be valuable information to the researchers. In this paper, we analyzed multiple social media platforms on which users share and/or discuss scholarly articles. We built three clusters for papers, based on the number of yearly online mentions having publication dates ranging from the year 1920 to 2016. Using the online social media metrics for each of these three clusters, we built machine learning models to predict the long-term online interest in research articles. We addressed the prediction task with two different approaches: regression and classification. For the regression approach, the Multi-Layer Perceptron model performed best, and for the classification approach, the tree-based models performed better than other models. We found that old articles are most evident in the contexts of economics and industry (i.e., patents). In contrast, recently published articles are most evident in research platforms (i.e., Mendeley) followed by social media platforms (i.e., Twitter).
Test-Time Adaptation with Principal Component Analysis
Cordier, Thomas, Bouvier, Victor, Hรฉnaff, Gilles, Hudelot, Cรฉline
Machine Learning models are prone to fail when test data are different from training data, a situation often encountered in real applications known as distribution shift. While still valid, the training-time knowledge becomes less effective, requiring a test-time adaptation to maintain high performance. Following approaches that assume batch-norm layer and use their statistics for adaptation, we propose a Test-Time Adaptation with Principal Component Analysis (TTAwPCA), which presumes a fitted PCA and adapts at test time a spectral filter based on the singular values of the PCA for robustness to corruptions. TTAwPCA combines three components: the output of a given layer is decomposed using a Principal Component Analysis (PCA), filtered by a penalization of its singular values, and reconstructed with the PCA inverse transform. This generic enhancement adds fewer parameters than current methods. Experiments on CIFAR-10-C and CIFAR- 100-C demonstrate the effectiveness and limits of our method using a unique filter of 2000 parameters.
Genie: A new, fast, and outlier-resistant hierarchical clustering algorithm
Gagolewski, Marek, Bartoszuk, Maciej, Cena, Anna
The time needed to apply a hierarchical clustering algorithm is most often dominated by the number of computations of a pairwise dissimilarity measure. Such a constraint, for larger data sets, puts at a disadvantage the use of all the classical linkage criteria but the single linkage one. However, it is known that the single linkage clustering algorithm is very sensitive to outliers, produces highly skewed dendrograms, and therefore usually does not reflect the true underlying data structure -- unless the clusters are well-separated. To overcome its limitations, we propose a new hierarchical clustering linkage criterion called Genie. Namely, our algorithm links two clusters in such a way that a chosen economic inequity measure (e.g., the Gini- or Bonferroni-index) of the cluster sizes does not drastically increase above a given threshold. The presented benchmarks indicate a high practical usefulness of the introduced method: it most often outperforms the Ward or average linkage in terms of the clustering quality while retaining the single linkage's speed. The Genie algorithm is easily parallelizable and thus may be run on multiple threads to speed up its execution even further. Its memory overhead is small: there is no need to precompute the complete distance matrix to perform the computations in order to obtain a desired clustering. It can be applied on arbitrary spaces equipped with a dissimilarity measure, e.g., on real vectors, DNA or protein sequences, images, rankings, informetric data, etc. A reference implementation of the algorithm has been included in the open source 'genie' package for R. See also https://genieclust.gagolewski.com for a new implementation (genieclust) -- available for both R and Python.
A Clustering Method Based on Information Entropy Payload
Deng, Shaodong, Sheng, Long, Nie, Jiayi, Deng, Fuyi
Existing clustering algorithms such as K-means often need to preset parameters such as the number of categories K, and such parameters may lead to the failure to output objective and consistent clustering results. This paper introduces a clustering method based on the information theory, by which clusters in the clustering result have maximum average information entropy (called entropy payload in this paper). This method can bring the following benefits: firstly, this method does not need to preset any super parameter such as category number or other similar thresholds, secondly, the clustering results have the maximum information expression efficiency. it can be used in image segmentation, object classification, etc., and could be the basis of unsupervised learning.
A Survey on Evolutionary Computation for Computer Vision and Image Analysis: Past, Present, and Future Trends
Bi, Ying, Xue, Bing, Mesejo, Pablo, Cagnoni, Stefano, Zhang, Mengjie
Computer vision (CV) is a big and important field in artificial intelligence covering a wide range of applications. Image analysis is a major task in CV aiming to extract, analyse and understand the visual content of images. However, image-related tasks are very challenging due to many factors, e.g., high variations across images, high dimensionality, domain expertise requirement, and image distortions. Evolutionary computation (EC) approaches have been widely used for image analysis with significant achievement. However, there is no comprehensive survey of existing EC approaches to image analysis. To fill this gap, this paper provides a comprehensive survey covering all essential EC approaches to important image analysis tasks including edge detection, image segmentation, image feature analysis, image classification, object detection, and others. This survey aims to provide a better understanding of evolutionary computer vision (ECV) by discussing the contributions of different approaches and exploring how and why EC is used for CV and image analysis. The applications, challenges, issues, and trends associated to this research field are also discussed and summarised to provide further guidelines and opportunities for future research.
AI-powered Language Assessment Tools for Dementia
Parsapoor, Mahboobeh, Alam, Muhammad Raisul, Mihailidis, Alex
More than 50 million people worldwide are living with different types of neurodegenerative dementias including Alzheimer's Disease (AD), Vascular Dementia, Lewy Body Dementia, and Frontotemporal Lobar Dementia [1]. These are among the leading global neurodegenerative diseases and have notable economic impacts on individuals and societies [2]. To mitigate the impact of neurodegenerative dementias on older adults and help them plan for the future [3], early detection of dementia is necessary. It would help older adults at the early stages of the disease seek out different intervention programs [4], including psycho-social interventions (e.g., walking programs and art therapy) [5], non-pharmaceutical intervention programs (e.g., music interventions [6]) as well as clinical interventions so that they can maintain their quality of life [7] at the normal level and slow down disease progression.
Socially Enhanced Situation Awareness from Microblogs using Artificial Intelligence: A Survey
Lamsal, Rabindra, Harwood, Aaron, Read, Maria Rodriguez
The rise of social media platforms provides an unbounded, infinitely rich source of aggregate knowledge of the world around us, both historic and real-time, from a human perspective. The greatest challenge we face is how to process and understand this raw and unstructured data, go beyond individual observations and see the "big picture"--the domain of Situation Awareness. We provide an extensive survey of Artificial Intelligence research, focusing on microblog social media data with applications to Situation Awareness, that gives the seminal work and state-of-the-art approaches across six thematic areas: Crime, Disasters, Finance, Physical Environment, Politics, and Health and Population. We provide a novel, unified methodological perspective, identify key results and challenges, and present ongoing research directions.