Statistical Learning
Model Criticism for Long-Form Text Generation
Deng, Yuntian, Kuleshov, Volodymyr, Rush, Alexander M.
Language models have demonstrated the ability to generate highly fluent text; however, it remains unclear whether their output retains coherent high-level structure (e.g., story progression). Here, we propose to apply a statistical tool, model criticism in latent space, to evaluate the high-level structure of the generated text. Model criticism compares the distributions between real and generated data in a latent space obtained according to an assumptive generative process. Different generative processes identify specific failure modes of the underlying model. We perform experiments on three representative aspects of high-level discourse -- coherence, coreference, and topicality -- and find that transformer-based language models are able to capture topical structures but have a harder time maintaining structural coherence or modeling coreference.
Supervised Learning for Coverage-Directed Test Selection in Simulation-Based Verification
Masamba, Nyasha, Eder, Kerstin, Blackmore, Tim
Constrained random test generation is one of the most widely adopted methods for generating stimuli for simulation-based verification. Randomness leads to test diversity, but tests tend to repeatedly exercise the same design logic. Constraints are written (typically manually) to bias random tests towards interesting, hard-to-reach, and yet-untested logic. However, as verification progresses, most constrained random tests yield little to no effect on functional coverage. If stimuli generation consumes significantly less resources than simulation, then a better approach involves randomly generating a large number of tests, selecting the most effective subset, and only simulating that subset. In this paper, we introduce a novel method for automatic constraint extraction and test selection. This method, which we call coverage-directed test selection, is based on supervised learning from coverage feedback. Our method biases selection towards tests that have a high probability of increasing functional coverage, and prioritises them for simulation. We show how coverage-directed test selection can reduce manual constraint writing, prioritise effective tests, reduce verification resource consumption, and accelerate coverage closure on a large, real-life industrial hardware design.
Class Distribution Monitoring for Concept Drift Detection
Stucchi, Diego, Frittoli, Luca, Boracchi, Giacomo
We introduce Class Distribution Monitoring (CDM), an effective concept-drift detection scheme that monitors the class-conditional distributions of a datastream. In particular, our solution leverages multiple instances of an online and nonparametric change-detection algorithm based on QuantTree. CDM reports a concept drift after detecting a distribution change in any class, thus identifying which classes are affected by the concept drift. This can be precious information for diagnostics and adaptation. Our experiments on synthetic and real-world datastreams show that when the concept drift affects a few classes, CDM outperforms algorithms monitoring the overall data distribution, while achieving similar detection delays when the drift affects all the classes. Moreover, CDM outperforms comparable approaches that monitor the classification error, particularly when the change is not very apparent. Finally, we demonstrate that CDM inherits the properties of the underlying change detector, yielding an effective control over the expected time before a false alarm, or Average Run Length (ARL$_0$).
RbX: Region-based explanations of prediction models
Lemhadri, Ismael, Li, Harrison H., Hastie, Trevor
We introduce region-based explanations (RbX), a novel, model-agnostic method to generate local explanations of scalar outputs from a black-box prediction model using only query access. RbX is based on a greedy algorithm for building a convex polytope that approximates a region of feature space where model predictions are close to the prediction at some target point. This region is fully specified by the user on the scale of the predictions, rather than on the scale of the features. The geometry of this polytope - specifically the change in each coordinate necessary to escape the polytope - quantifies the local sensitivity of the predictions to each of the features. These "escape distances" can then be standardized to rank the features by local importance. RbX is guaranteed to satisfy a "sparsity axiom," which requires that features which do not enter into the prediction model are assigned zero importance. At the same time, real data examples and synthetic experiments show how RbX can more readily detect all locally relevant features than existing methods.
Rethinking and Scaling Up Graph Contrastive Learning: An Extremely Efficient Approach with Group Discrimination
Zheng, Yizhen, Pan, Shirui, Lee, Vincent Cs, Zheng, Yu, Yu, Philip S.
Graph contrastive learning (GCL) alleviates the heavy reliance on label information for graph representation learning (GRL) via self-supervised learning schemes. The core idea is to learn by maximising mutual information for similar instances, which requires similarity computation between two node instances. However, GCL is inefficient in both time and memory consumption. In addition, GCL normally requires a large number of training epochs to be well-trained on large-scale datasets. Inspired by an observation of a technical defect (i.e., inappropriate usage of Sigmoid function) commonly used in two representative GCL works, DGI and MVGRL, we revisit GCL and introduce a new learning paradigm for self-supervised graph representation learning, namely, Group Discrimination (GD), and propose a novel GD-based method called Graph Group Discrimination (GGD). Instead of similarity computation, GGD directly discriminates two groups of node samples with a very simple binary cross-entropy loss. In addition, GGD requires much fewer training epochs to obtain competitive performance compared with GCL methods on large-scale datasets. These two advantages endow GGD with very efficient property. Extensive experiments show that GGD outperforms state-of-the-art self-supervised methods on eight datasets. In particular, GGD can be trained in 0.18 seconds (6.44 seconds including data preprocessing) on ogbn-arxiv, which is orders of magnitude (10,000+) faster than GCL baselines while consuming much less memory. Trained with 9 hours on ogbn-papers100M with billion edges, GGD outperforms its GCL counterparts in both accuracy and efficiency.
On the Effectiveness of Lipschitz-Driven Rehearsal in Continual Learning
Bonicelli, Lorenzo, Boschini, Matteo, Porrello, Angelo, Spampinato, Concetto, Calderara, Simone
Rehearsal approaches enjoy immense popularity with Continual Learning (CL) practitioners. These methods collect samples from previously encountered data distributions in a small memory buffer; subsequently, they repeatedly optimize on the latter to prevent catastrophic forgetting. This work draws attention to a hidden pitfall of this widespread practice: repeated optimization on a small pool of data inevitably leads to tight and unstable decision boundaries, which are a major hindrance to generalization. To address this issue, we propose Lipschitz-DrivEn Rehearsal (LiDER), a surrogate objective that induces smoothness in the backbone network by constraining its layer-wise Lipschitz constants w.r.t. replay examples. By means of extensive experiments, we show that applying LiDER delivers a stable performance gain to several state-of-the-art rehearsal CL methods across multiple datasets, both in the presence and absence of pre-training. Through additional ablative experiments, we highlight peculiar aspects of buffer overfitting in CL and better characterize the effect produced by LiDER. Code is available at https://github.com/aimagelab/LiDER
Evaluation of the Synthetic Electronic Health Records
Muller, Emily, Zheng, Xu, Hayes, Jer
Generative models have been found effective for data synthesis due to their ability to capture complex underlying data distributions. The quality of generated data from these models is commonly evaluated by visual inspection for image datasets or downstream analytical tasks for tabular datasets. These evaluation methods neither measure the implicit data distribution nor consider the data privacy issues, and it remains an open question of how to compare and rank different generative models. Medical data can be sensitive, so it is of great importance to draw privacy concerns of patients while maintaining the data utility of the synthetic dataset. Beyond the utility evaluation, this work outlines two metrics called Similarity and Uniqueness for sample-wise assessment of synthetic datasets. We demonstrate the proposed notions with several state-of-the-art generative models to synthesise Cystic Fibrosis (CF) patients' electronic health records (EHRs), observing that the proposed metrics are suitable for synthetic data evaluation and generative model comparison.
Domain Adaptation under Open Set Label Shift
Garg, Saurabh, Balakrishnan, Sivaraman, Lipton, Zachary C.
We introduce the problem of domain adaptation under Open Set Label Shift (OSLS) where the label distribution can change arbitrarily and a new class may arrive during deployment, but the class-conditional distributions p(x|y) are domain-invariant. OSLS subsumes domain adaptation under label shift and Positive-Unlabeled (PU) learning. The learner's goals here are two-fold: (a) estimate the target label distribution, including the novel class; and (b) learn a target classifier. First, we establish necessary and sufficient conditions for identifying these quantities. Second, motivated by advances in label shift and PU learning, we propose practical methods for both tasks that leverage black-box predictors. Unlike typical Open Set Domain Adaptation (OSDA) problems, which tend to be ill-posed and amenable only to heuristics, OSLS offers a well-posed problem amenable to more principled machinery. Experiments across numerous semi-synthetic benchmarks on vision, language, and medical datasets demonstrate that our methods consistently outperform OSDA baselines, achieving 10--25% improvements in target domain accuracy. Finally, we analyze the proposed methods, establishing finite-sample convergence to the true label marginal and convergence to optimal classifier for linear models in a Gaussian setup. Code is available at https://github.com/acmi-lab/Open-Set-Label-Shift.
The Lepto-Variance of Stock Returns
The Regression Tree (RT) sorts the samples using a specific feature and finds the split point that produces the maximum variance reduction from a node to its children. Our key observation is that the best factor to use (in terms of MSE drop) is always the target itself, as this most clearly separates the target. Thus using the target as the splitting factor provides an upper bound on MSE drop (or lower bound on the residual children MSE). Based on this observation, we define the k-bit lepto-variance ${\lambda}k^2$ of a target variable (or equivalently the lepto-variance at a specific depth k) as the variance that cannot be removed by any regression tree of a depth equal to k. As the upper bound performance for any feature, we believe ${\lambda}k^2$ to be an interesting statistical concept related to the underlying structure of the sample as it quantifies the resolving power of the RT for the sample. The max variance that may be explained using RTs of depth up to k is called the sample k-bit macro-variance. At any depth, total sample variance is thus decomposed into lepto-variance ${\lambda}^2$ and macro-variance ${\mu}^2$. We demonstrate the concept, by performing 1- and 2-bit RT based lepto-structure analysis for daily IBM stock returns.
Planted Dense Subgraphs in Dense Random Graphs Can Be Recovered using Graph-based Machine Learning
Levinas, Itay (a:1:{s:5:"en_US";s:19:"Bar Ilan University";}) | Louzoun, Yoram
Multiple methods of finding the vertices belonging to a planted dense subgraph in a random dense G(n, p) graph have been proposed, with an emphasis on planted cliques. Such methods can identify the planted subgraph in polynomial time, but are all limited to several subgraph structures. Here, we present PYGON, a graph neural network-based algorithm, which is insensitive to the structure of the planted subgraph. This is the first algorithm that uses learning tools for recovering dense subgraphs. We show that PYGON can recover cliques of sizes Θ (√ n), where n is the size of the background graph, comparable with the state of the art. We also show that the same algorithm can recover multiple other planted subgraphs of size Θ (√ n), in both directed and undirected graphs. We suggest a conjecture that no polynomial time PAC-learning algorithm can detect planted dense subgraphs with size smaller than O ( √ n), even if in principle one could find dense subgraphs of logarithmic size.