Statistical Learning
TMoE-P: Towards the Pareto Optimum for Multivariate Soft Sensors
Pan, Licheng, Wang, Hao, Chen, Zhichao, Huang, Yuxing, Liu, Xinggao
Multi-variate soft sensor seeks accurate estimation of multiple quality variables using measurable process variables, which have emerged as a key factor in improving the quality of industrial manufacturing. The current progress stays in some direct applications of multitask network architectures; however, there are two fundamental issues remain yet to be investigated with these approaches: (1) negative transfer, where sharing representations despite the difference of discriminate representations for different objectives degrades performance; (2) seesaw phenomenon, where the optimizer focuses on one dominant yet simple objective at the expense of others. In this study, we reformulate the multi-variate soft sensor to a multi-objective problem, to address both issues and advance state-of-the-art performance. To handle the negative transfer issue, we first propose an Objective-aware Mixture-of-Experts (OMoE) module, utilizing objective-specific and objective-shared experts for parameter sharing while maintaining the distinction between objectives. To address the seesaw phenomenon, we then propose a Pareto Objective Routing (POR) module, adjusting the weights of learning objectives dynamically to achieve the Pareto optimum, with solid theoretical supports. We further present a Task-aware Mixture-of-Experts framework for achieving the Pareto optimum (TMoE-P) in multi-variate soft sensor, which consists of a stacked OMoE module and a POR module. We illustrate the efficacy of TMoE-P with an open soft sensor benchmark, where TMoE-P effectively alleviates the negative transfer and seesaw issues and outperforms the baseline models.
Few-shot Detection of Anomalies in Industrial Cyber-Physical System via Prototypical Network and Contrastive Learning
Sun, Haili, Huang, Yan, Han, Lansheng, Zhou, Chunjie
The rapid development of Industry 4.0 has amplified the scope and destructiveness of industrial Cyber-Physical System (CPS) by network attacks. Anomaly detection techniques are employed to identify these attacks and guarantee the normal operation of industrial CPS. However, it is still a challenging problem to cope with scenarios with few labeled samples. In this paper, we propose a few-shot anomaly detection model (FSL-PN) based on prototypical network and contrastive learning for identifying anomalies with limited labeled data from industrial CPS. Specifically, we design a contrastive loss to assist the training process of the feature extractor and learn more fine-grained features to improve the discriminative performance. Subsequently, to tackle the overfitting issue during classifying, we construct a robust cost function with a specific regularizer to enhance the generalization capability. Experimental results based on two public imbalanced datasets with few-shot settings show that the FSL-PN model can significantly improve F1 score and reduce false alarm rate (FAR) for identifying anomalous signals to guarantee the security of industrial CPS.
Edgeformers: Graph-Empowered Transformers for Representation Learning on Textual-Edge Networks
Jin, Bowen, Zhang, Yu, Meng, Yu, Han, Jiawei
Edges in many real-world social/information networks are associated with rich text information (e.g., user-user communications or user-product reviews). However, mainstream network representation learning models focus on propagating and aggregating node attributes, lacking specific designs to utilize text semantics on edges. While there exist edge-aware graph neural networks, they directly initialize edge attributes as a feature vector, which cannot fully capture the contextualized text semantics of edges. Specifically, in edge representation learning, we inject network information into each Transformer layer when encoding edge texts; in node representation learning, we aggregate edge representations through an attention mechanism within each node's ego-graph. On five public datasets from three different domains, Edgeformers consistently outperform state-of-the-art baselines in edge classification and link prediction, demonstrating the efficacy in learning edge and node representations, respectively. Networks are ubiquitous and are widely used to model interrelated data in the real world, such as user-user and user-item interactions on social media (Kwak et al., 2010; Leskovec et al., 2010) and recommender systems (Wang et al., 2019; Jin et al., 2020). In recent years, graph neural networks (GNNs) (Kipf & Welling, 2017; Hamilton et al., 2017; Velickovic et al., 2018; Xu et al., 2019) have demonstrated their power in network representation learning. However, a vast majority of GNN models leverage node attributes only and lack specific designs to capture information on edges.
Boosting the Power of Kernel Two-Sample Tests
Chatterjee, Anirban, Bhattacharya, Bhaswar B.
The kernel two-sample test based on the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) is one of the most popular methods for detecting differences between two distributions over general metric spaces. In this paper we propose a method to boost the power of the kernel test by combining MMD estimates over multiple kernels using their Mahalanobis distance. We derive the asymptotic null distribution of the proposed test statistic and use a multiplier bootstrap approach to efficiently compute the rejection region. The resulting test is universally consistent and, since it is obtained by aggregating over a collection of kernels/bandwidths, is more powerful in detecting a wide range of alternatives in finite samples. We also derive the distribution of the test statistic for both fixed and local contiguous alternatives. The latter, in particular, implies that the proposed test is statistically efficient, that is, it has non-trivial asymptotic (Pitman) efficiency. Extensive numerical experiments are performed on both synthetic and real-world datasets to illustrate the efficacy of the proposed method over single kernel tests. Our asymptotic results rely on deriving the joint distribution of MMD estimates using the framework of multiple stochastic integrals, which is more broadly useful, specifically, in understanding the efficiency properties of recently proposed adaptive MMD tests based on kernel aggregation.
Reentry Risk and Safety Assessment of Spacecraft Debris Based on Machine Learning
Gao, Hu, Li, Zhihui, Dang, Depeng, Yang, Jingfan, Wang, Ning
Uncontrolled spacecraft will disintegrate and generate a large amount of debris in the reentry process, and ablative debris may cause potential risks to the safety of human life and property on the ground. Therefore, predicting the landing points of spacecraft debris and forecasting the degree of risk of debris to human life and property is very important. In view that it is difficult to predict the process of reentry process and the reentry point in advance, and the debris generated from reentry disintegration may cause ground damage for the uncontrolled space vehicle on expiration of service. In this paper, we adopt the object-oriented approach to consider the spacecraft and its disintegrated components as consisting of simple basic geometric models, and introduce three machine learning models: the support vector regression (SVR), decision tree regression (DTR) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) to predict the velocity, longitude and latitude of spacecraft debris landing points for the first time. Then, we compare the prediction accuracy of the three models. Furthermore, we define the reentry risk and the degree of danger, and we calculate the risk level for each spacecraft debris and make warnings accordingly. The experimental results show that the proposed method can obtain high accuracy prediction results in at least 15 seconds and make safety level warning more real-time.
Trading Off Privacy, Utility and Efficiency in Federated Learning
Zhang, Xiaojin, Kang, Yan, Chen, Kai, Fan, Lixin, Yang, Qiang
Federated learning (FL) enables participating parties to collaboratively build a global model with boosted utility without disclosing private data information. Appropriate protection mechanisms have to be adopted to fulfill the opposing requirements in preserving \textit{privacy} and maintaining high model \textit{utility}. In addition, it is a mandate for a federated learning system to achieve high \textit{efficiency} in order to enable large-scale model training and deployment. We propose a unified federated learning framework that reconciles horizontal and vertical federated learning. Based on this framework, we formulate and quantify the trade-offs between privacy leakage, utility loss, and efficiency reduction, which leads us to the No-Free-Lunch (NFL) theorem for the federated learning system. NFL indicates that it is unrealistic to expect an FL algorithm to simultaneously provide excellent privacy, utility, and efficiency in certain scenarios. We then analyze the lower bounds for the privacy leakage, utility loss and efficiency reduction for several widely-adopted protection mechanisms including \textit{Randomization}, \textit{Homomorphic Encryption}, \textit{Secret Sharing} and \textit{Compression}. Our analysis could serve as a guide for selecting protection parameters to meet particular requirements.
Impact of Event Encoding and Dissimilarity Measures on Traffic Crash Characterization Based on Sequence of Events
Song, Yu, Chitturi, Madhav V., Noyce, David A.
Crash sequence analysis has been shown in prior studies to be useful for characterizing crashes and identifying safety countermeasures. Sequence analysis is highly domain-specific, but its various techniques have not been evaluated for adaptation to crash sequences. This paper evaluates the impact of encoding and dissimilarity measures on crash sequence analysis and clustering. Sequence data of interstate highway, single-vehicle crashes in the United States, from 2016-2018, were studied. Two encoding schemes and five optimal matching based dissimilarity measures were compared by evaluating the sequence clustering results. The five dissimilarity measures were categorized into two groups based on correlations between dissimilarity matrices. The optimal dissimilarity measure and encoding scheme were identified based on the agreements with a benchmark crash categorization. The transition-rate-based, localized optimal matching dissimilarity and consolidated encoding scheme had the highest agreement with the benchmark. Evaluation results indicate that the selection of dissimilarity measure and encoding scheme determines the results of sequence clustering and crash characterization. A dissimilarity measure that considers the relationships between events and domain context tends to perform well in crash sequence clustering. An encoding scheme that consolidates similar events naturally takes domain context into consideration.
Exploring Wav2vec 2.0 fine-tuning for improved speech emotion recognition
Chen, Li-Wei, Rudnicky, Alexander
While Wav2Vec 2.0 has been proposed for speech recognition (ASR), it can also be used for speech emotion recognition (SER); its performance can be significantly improved using different fine-tuning strategies. Two baseline methods, vanilla fine-tuning (V-FT) and task adaptive pretraining (TAPT) are first presented. We show that V-FT is able to outperform state-of-the-art models on the IEMOCAP dataset. TAPT, an existing NLP fine-tuning strategy, further improves the performance on SER. We also introduce a novel fine-tuning method termed P-TAPT, which modifies the TAPT objective to learn contextualized emotion representations. Experiments show that P-TAPT performs better than TAPT, especially under low-resource settings. Compared to prior works in this literature, our top-line system achieved a 7.4\% absolute improvement in unweighted accuracy (UA) over the state-of-the-art performance on IEMOCAP. Our code is publicly available.
Learning from Label Proportions with Instance-wise Consistency
Kobayashi, Ryoma, Mukuta, Yusuke, Harada, Tatsuya
Learning from Label Proportions (LLP) is a weakly supervised learning method that aims to perform instance classification from training data consisting of pairs of bags containing multiple instances and the class label proportions within the bags. Previous studies on multiclass LLP can be divided into two categories according to the learning task: per-instance label classification and per-bag label proportion estimation. However, these methods often results in high variance estimates of the risk when applied to complex models, or lack statistical learning theory arguments. To address this issue, we propose new learning methods based on statistical learning theory for both per-instance and per-bag policies. We demonstrate that the proposed methods are respectively risk-consistent and classifier-consistent in an instance-wise manner, and analyze the estimation error bounds. Additionally, we present a heuristic approximation method that utilizes an existing method for regressing label proportions to reduce the computational complexity of the proposed methods. Through benchmark experiments, we demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
DIGMN: Dynamic Intent Guided Meta Network for Differentiated User Engagement Forecasting in Online Professional Social Platforms
Li, Feifan, Du, Lun, Fu, Qiang, Han, Shi, Du, Yushu, Lu, Guangming, Li, Zi
User engagement prediction plays a critical role for designing interaction strategies to grow user engagement and increase revenue in online social platforms. Through the in-depth analysis of the real-world data from the world's largest professional social platforms, i.e., LinkedIn, we find that users expose diverse engagement patterns, and a major reason for the differences in user engagement patterns is that users have different intents. That is, people have different intents when using LinkedIn, e.g., applying for jobs, building connections, or checking notifications, which shows quite different engagement patterns. Meanwhile, user intents and the corresponding engagement patterns may change over time. Although such pattern differences and dynamics are essential for user engagement prediction, differentiating user engagement patterns based on user dynamic intents for better user engagement forecasting has not received enough attention in previous works. In this paper, we proposed a Dynamic Intent Guided Meta Network (DIGMN), which can explicitly model user intent varying with time and perform differentiated user engagement forecasting. Specifically, we derive some interpretable basic user intents as prior knowledge from data mining and introduce prior intents in explicitly modeling dynamic user intent. Furthermore, based on the dynamic user intent representations, we propose a meta predictor to perform differentiated user engagement forecasting. Through a comprehensive evaluation on LinkedIn anonymous user data, our method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines significantly, i.e., 2.96% and 3.48% absolute error reduction, on coarse-grained and fine-grained user engagement prediction tasks, respectively, demonstrating the effectiveness of our method.