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 Statistical Learning


T-Phenotype: Discovering Phenotypes of Predictive Temporal Patterns in Disease Progression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Clustering time-series data in healthcare is crucial for clinical phenotyping to understand patients' disease progression patterns and to design treatment guidelines tailored to homogeneous patient subgroups. While rich temporal dynamics enable the discovery of potential clusters beyond static correlations, two major challenges remain outstanding: i) discovery of predictive patterns from many potential temporal correlations in the multi-variate time-series data and ii) association of individual temporal patterns to the target label distribution that best characterizes the underlying clinical progression. To address such challenges, we develop a novel temporal clustering method, T-Phenotype, to discover phenotypes of predictive temporal patterns from labeled time-series data. We introduce an efficient representation learning approach in frequency domain that can encode variable-length, irregularly-sampled time-series into a unified representation space, which is then applied to identify various temporal patterns that potentially contribute to the target label using a new notion of path-based similarity. Throughout the experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets, we show that T-Phenotype achieves the best phenotype discovery performance over all the evaluated baselines. We further demonstrate the utility of T-Phenotype by uncovering clinically meaningful patient subgroups characterized by unique temporal patterns.


NoPPA: Non-Parametric Pairwise Attention Random Walk Model for Sentence Representation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a novel non-parametric/un-trainable language model, named Non-Parametric Pairwise Attention Random Walk Model (NoPPA), to generate sentence embedding only with pre-trained word embedding and pre-counted word frequency. To the best we know, this study is the first successful attempt to break the constraint on bag-of-words assumption with a non-parametric attention mechanism. We evaluate our method on eight different downstream classification tasks. The experiment results show that NoPPA outperforms all kinds of bag-of-words-based methods in each dataset and provides a comparable or better performance than the state-of-the-art non-parametric methods on average. Furthermore, visualization supports that NoPPA can understand contextual topics, common phrases, and word causalities. Our model is available at https://github.com/JacksonWuxs/NoPPA.


Language-Driven Representation Learning for Robotics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent work in visual representation learning for robotics demonstrates the viability of learning from large video datasets of humans performing everyday tasks. Leveraging methods such as masked autoencoding and contrastive learning, these representations exhibit strong transfer to policy learning for visuomotor control. But, robot learning encompasses a diverse set of problems beyond control including grasp affordance prediction, language-conditioned imitation learning, and intent scoring for human-robot collaboration, amongst others. First, we demonstrate that existing representations yield inconsistent results across these tasks: masked autoencoding approaches pick up on low-level spatial features at the cost of high-level semantics, while contrastive learning approaches capture the opposite. We then introduce Voltron, a framework for language-driven representation learning from human videos and associated captions. Voltron trades off language-conditioned visual reconstruction to learn low-level visual patterns, and visually-grounded language generation to encode high-level semantics. We also construct a new evaluation suite spanning five distinct robot learning problems $\unicode{x2013}$ a unified platform for holistically evaluating visual representations for robotics. Through comprehensive, controlled experiments across all five problems, we find that Voltron's language-driven representations outperform the prior state-of-the-art, especially on targeted problems requiring higher-level features.


Flexible and Efficient Contextual Bandits with Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Oracles

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Contextual bandit algorithms often estimate reward models to inform decision-making. However, true rewards can contain action-independent redundancies that are not relevant for decision-making. We show it is more data-efficient to estimate any function that explains the reward differences between actions, that is, the treatment effects . Motivated by this observation, building on recent work on oracle-based bandit algorithms, we provide the first reduction of contextual bandits to general-purpose heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, and we design a simple and computationally efficient algorithm based on this reduction. Our theoretical and experimental results demonstrate that heterogeneous treatment effect estimation in contextual bandits offers practical advantages over reward estimation, including more efficient model estimation and greater flexibility to model misspeci-fication.


Adversarial Robustness for Tabular Data through Cost and Utility Awareness

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Many safety-critical applications of machine learning, such as fraud or abuse detection, use data in tabular domains. Adversarial examples can be particularly damaging for these applications. Yet, existing works on adversarial robustness primarily focus on machine-learning models in image and text domains. We argue that, due to the differences between tabular data and images or text, existing threat models are not suitable for tabular domains. These models do not capture that the costs of an attack could be more significant than imperceptibility, or that the adversary could assign different values to the utility obtained from deploying different adversarial examples. We demonstrate that, due to these differences, the attack and defense methods used for images and text cannot be directly applied to tabular settings. We address these issues by proposing new cost and utility-aware threat models that are tailored to the adversarial capabilities and constraints of attackers targeting tabular domains. We introduce a framework that enables us to design attack and defense mechanisms that result in models protected against cost and utility-aware adversaries, for example, adversaries constrained by a certain financial budget. We show that our approach is effective on three datasets corresponding to applications for which adversarial examples can have economic and social implications.


Balanced Off-Policy Evaluation for Personalized Pricing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider a personalized pricing problem in which we have data consisting of feature information, historical pricing decisions, and binary realized demand. The goal is to perform off-policy evaluation for a new personalized pricing policy that maps features to prices. Methods based on inverse propensity weighting (including doubly robust methods) for off-policy evaluation may perform poorly when the logging policy has little exploration or is deterministic, which is common in pricing applications. Building on the balanced policy evaluation framework of Kallus (2018), we propose a new approach tailored to pricing applications. The key idea is to compute an estimate that minimizes the worst-case mean squared error or maximizes a worst-case lower bound on policy performance, where in both cases the worst-case is taken with respect to a set of possible revenue functions. We establish theoretical convergence guarantees and empirically demonstrate the advantage of our approach using a real-world pricing dataset.


Recovering Sparse and Interpretable Subgroups with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Censored Time-to-Event Outcomes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Studies involving both randomized experiments as well as observational data typically involve time-to-event outcomes such as time-to-failure, death or onset of an adverse condition. Such outcomes are typically subject to censoring due to loss of follow-up and established statistical practice involves comparing treatment efficacy in terms of hazard ratios between the treated and control groups. In this paper we propose a statistical approach to recovering sparse phenogroups (or subtypes) that demonstrate differential treatment effects as compared to the study population. Our approach involves modelling the data as a mixture while enforcing parameter shrinkage through structured sparsity regularization. We propose a novel inference procedure for the proposed model and demonstrate its efficacy in recovering sparse phenotypes across large landmark real world clinical studies in cardiovascular health.


Feature Learning for Nonlinear Dimensionality Reduction toward Maximal Extraction of Hidden Patterns

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Dimensionality reduction (DR) plays a vital role in the visual analysis of high-dimensional data. One main aim of DR is to reveal hidden patterns that lie on intrinsic low-dimensional manifolds. However, DR often overlooks important patterns when the manifolds are distorted or masked by certain influential data attributes. This paper presents a feature learning framework, FEALM, designed to generate a set of optimized data projections for nonlinear DR in order to capture important patterns in the hidden manifolds. These projections produce maximally different nearest-neighbor graphs so that resultant DR outcomes are significantly different. To achieve such a capability, we design an optimization algorithm as well as introduce a new graph dissimilarity measure, named neighbor-shape dissimilarity. Additionally, we develop interactive visualizations to assist comparison of obtained DR results and interpretation of each DR result. We demonstrate FEALM's effectiveness through experiments and case studies using synthetic and real-world datasets.


Book Review: Tree-based Methods for Statistical Learning in R - insideBIGDATA

#artificialintelligence

Here's a new title that is a "must have" for any data scientist who uses the R language. It's a wonderful learning resource for tree-based techniques in statistical learning, one that's become my go-to text when I find the need to do a deep dive into various ML topic areas for my work. The methods discussed represent the cornerstone for using tabular data sets for making predictions using decision trees, ensemble methods like random forest, and of course the industry's darling gradient boosting machines (GBM). Algorithms like XGBoost are king of the hill for solving problems involving tabular data. A number of timely and somewhat high-profile benchmarks show that this class of algorithm beats deep learning algorithms for many problem domains.


Top 5 Python Machine Learning Codes

#artificialintelligence

Python is one of the most popular programming languages for machine learning tasks. It is easy to learn, has a vast number of libraries and frameworks, and is versatile enough to be used in a wide range of applications. In this article, we will discuss some examples of Python code for machine learning tasks, with the aim of providing readers with a better understanding of how Python can be used in these tasks. Before we dive into the examples, it is essential to understand what machine learning is. In simple terms, machine learning is a type of artificial intelligence that enables machines to learn from data and improve over time.