Statistical Learning
Novel Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Poverty using Temperature and Remote Sensing Data in Ethiopia
In many developing nations, a lack of poverty data prevents critical humanitarian organizations from responding to large-scale crises. Currently, socioeconomic surveys are the only method implemented on a large scale for organizations and researchers to measure and track poverty. However, the inability to collect survey data efficiently and inexpensively leads to significant temporal gaps in poverty data; these gaps severely limit the ability of organizational entities to address poverty at its root cause. We propose a transfer learning model based on surface temperature change and remote sensing data to extract features useful for predicting poverty rates. Machine learning, supported by data sources of poverty indicators, has the potential to estimate poverty rates accurately and within strict time constraints. Higher temperatures, as a result of climate change, have caused numerous agricultural obstacles, socioeconomic issues, and environmental disruptions, trapping families in developing countries in cycles of poverty. To find patterns of poverty relating to temperature that have the highest influence on spatial poverty rates, we use remote sensing data. The two-step transfer model predicts the temperature delta from high resolution satellite imagery and then extracts image features useful for predicting poverty. The resulting model achieved 80% accuracy on temperature prediction. This method takes advantage of abundant satellite and temperature data to measure poverty in a manner comparable to the existing survey methods and exceeds similar models of poverty prediction.
City-scale Pollution Aware Traffic Routing by Sampling Max Flows using MCMC
Suriyanarayanan, Shreevignesh, Paruchuri, Praveen, Varma, Girish
A significant cause of air pollution in urban areas worldwide is the high volume of road traffic. Long-term exposure to severe pollution can cause serious health issues. One approach towards tackling this problem is to design a pollution-aware traffic routing policy that balances multiple objectives of i) avoiding extreme pollution in any area ii) enabling short transit times, and iii) making effective use of the road capacities. We propose a novel sampling-based approach for this problem. We provide the first construction of a Markov Chain that can sample integer max flow solutions of a planar graph, with theoretical guarantees that the probabilities depend on the aggregate transit length. We designed a traffic policy using diverse samples and simulated traffic on real-world road maps using the SUMO traffic simulator. We observe a considerable decrease in areas with severe pollution when experimented with maps of large cities across the world compared to other approaches.
Unsupervised visualization of image datasets using contrastive learning
Böhm, Jan Niklas, Berens, Philipp, Kobak, Dmitry
Visualization methods based on the nearest neighbor graph, such as t-SNE or UMAP, are widely used for visualizing high-dimensional data. Yet, these approaches only produce meaningful results if the nearest neighbors themselves are meaningful. For images represented in pixel space this is not the case, as distances in pixel space are often not capturing our sense of similarity and therefore neighbors are not semantically close. This problem can be circumvented by self-supervised approaches based on contrastive learning, such as SimCLR, relying on data augmentation to generate implicit neighbors, but these methods do not produce two-dimensional embeddings suitable for visualization. Here, we present a new method, called t-SimCNE, for unsupervised visualization of image data. T-SimCNE combines ideas from contrastive learning and neighbor embeddings, and trains a parametric mapping from the high-dimensional pixel space into two dimensions. We show that the resulting 2D embeddings achieve classification accuracy comparable to the state-of-the-art high-dimensional SimCLR representations, thus faithfully capturing semantic relationships. Using t-SimCNE, we obtain informative visualizations of the CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 datasets, showing rich cluster structure and highlighting artifacts and outliers.
Particle-based Online Bayesian Sampling
Yang, Yifan, Liu, Chang, Zhang, Zheng
Online learning has gained increasing interest due Online optimization methods can directly be applied to update to its capability of tracking real-world streaming models that are fully specified by a certain value of its data. Although it has been widely studied in the parameters. Beyond such models, there is another class of setting of frequentist statistics, few works have models known as Bayesian models that treat the parameters considered online learning with the Bayesian sampling as random variables, thus giving an output also as a random problem. In this paper, we study an Online variable (often the expectation is taken as the final output on Particle-based Variational Inference (OPVI) algorithm par with the conventional case). The stochasticity enables that updates a set of particles to gradually Bayesian models to provide diverse outputs, characterize approximate the Bayesian posterior. To reduce prediction uncertainty, and be more robust to adversarial the gradient error caused by the use of stochastic attacks (Hernández-Lobato and Adams, 2015; Li and Gal, approximation, we include a sublinear increasing 2017; Yoon et al., 2018; Zhang et al., 2019; Tolpin et al., batch-size method to reduce the variance.
Software for Dataset-wide XAI: From Local Explanations to Global Insights with Zennit, CoRelAy, and ViRelAy
Anders, Christopher J., Neumann, David, Samek, Wojciech, Müller, Klaus-Robert, Lapuschkin, Sebastian
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are known to be strong predictors, but their prediction strategies can rarely be understood. With recent advances in Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), approaches are available to explore the reasoning behind those complex models' predictions. Among post-hoc attribution methods, Layer-wise Relevance Propagation (LRP) shows high performance. For deeper quantitative analysis, manual approaches exist, but without the right tools they are unnecessarily labor intensive. In this software paper, we introduce three software packages targeted at scientists to explore model reasoning using attribution approaches and beyond: (1) Zennit - a highly customizable and intuitive attribution framework implementing LRP and related approaches in PyTorch, (2) CoRelAy - a framework to easily and quickly construct quantitative analysis pipelines for dataset-wide analyses of explanations, and (3) ViRelAy - a web-application to interactively explore data, attributions, and analysis results. With this, we provide a standardized implementation solution for XAI, to contribute towards more reproducibility in our field.
Efficient Implicit Neural Reconstruction Using LiDAR
Yan, Dongyu, Lyu, Xiaoyang, Shi, Jieqi, Lin, Yi
Modeling scene geometry using implicit neural representation has revealed its advantages in accuracy, flexibility, and low memory usage. Previous approaches have demonstrated impressive results using color or depth images but still have difficulty handling poor light conditions and large-scale scenes. Methods taking global point cloud as input require accurate registration and ground truth coordinate labels, which limits their application scenarios. In this paper, we propose a new method that uses sparse LiDAR point clouds and rough odometry to reconstruct fine-grained implicit occupancy field efficiently within a few minutes. We introduce a new loss function that supervises directly in 3D space without 2D rendering, avoiding information loss. We also manage to refine poses of input frames in an end-to-end manner, creating consistent geometry without global point cloud registration. As far as we know, our method is the first to reconstruct implicit scene representation from LiDAR-only input. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets, including indoor and outdoor scenes, prove that our method is effective, efficient, and accurate, obtaining comparable results with existing methods using dense input.
Does Learning from Decentralized Non-IID Unlabeled Data Benefit from Self Supervision?
Wang, Lirui, Zhang, Kaiqing, Li, Yunzhu, Tian, Yonglong, Tedrake, Russ
Decentralized learning has been advocated and widely deployed to make efficient use of distributed datasets, with an extensive focus on supervised learning (SL) problems. Unfortunately, the majority of real-world data are unlabeled and can be highly heterogeneous across sources. In this work, we carefully study decentralized learning with unlabeled data through the lens of self-supervised learning (SSL), specifically contrastive visual representation learning. We study the effectiveness of a range of contrastive learning algorithms under decentralized learning settings, on relatively large-scale datasets including ImageNet-100, MS-COCO, and a new real-world robotic warehouse dataset. Our experiments show that the decentralized SSL (Dec-SSL) approach is robust to the heterogeneity of decentralized datasets, and learns useful representation for object classification, detection, and segmentation tasks. This robustness makes it possible to significantly reduce communication and reduce the participation ratio of data sources with only minimal drops in performance. Interestingly, using the same amount of data, the representation learned by Dec-SSL can not only perform on par with that learned by centralized SSL which requires communication and excessive data storage costs, but also sometimes outperform representations extracted from decentralized SL which requires extra knowledge about the data labels. Finally, we provide theoretical insights into understanding why data heterogeneity is less of a concern for Dec-SSL objectives, and introduce feature alignment and clustering techniques to develop a new Dec-SSL algorithm that further improves the performance, in the face of highly non-IID data. Our study presents positive evidence to embrace unlabeled data in decentralized learning, and we hope to provide new insights into whether and why decentralized SSL is effective.
PA&DA: Jointly Sampling PAth and DAta for Consistent NAS
Lu, Shun, Hu, Yu, Yang, Longxing, Sun, Zihao, Mei, Jilin, Tan, Jianchao, Song, Chengru
Based on the weight-sharing mechanism, one-shot NAS methods train a supernet and then inherit the pre-trained weights to evaluate sub-models, largely reducing the search cost. However, several works have pointed out that the shared weights suffer from different gradient descent directions during training. And we further find that large gradient variance occurs during supernet training, which degrades the supernet ranking consistency. To mitigate this issue, we propose to explicitly minimize the gradient variance of the supernet training by jointly optimizing the sampling distributions of PAth and DAta (PA&DA). We theoretically derive the relationship between the gradient variance and the sampling distributions, and reveal that the optimal sampling probability is proportional to the normalized gradient norm of path and training data. Hence, we use the normalized gradient norm as the importance indicator for path and training data, and adopt an importance sampling strategy for the supernet training. Our method only requires negligible computation cost for optimizing the sampling distributions of path and data, but achieves lower gradient variance during supernet training and better generalization performance for the supernet, resulting in a more consistent NAS. We conduct comprehensive comparisons with other improved approaches in various search spaces. Results show that our method surpasses others with more reliable ranking performance and higher accuracy of searched architectures, showing the effectiveness of our method. Code is available at https://github.com/ShunLu91/PA-DA.
Instruction Clarification Requests in Multimodal Collaborative Dialogue Games: Tasks, and an Analysis of the CoDraw Dataset
Madureira, Brielen, Schlangen, David
In visual instruction-following dialogue games, players can engage in repair mechanisms in face of an ambiguous or underspecified instruction that cannot be fully mapped to actions in the world. In this work, we annotate Instruction Clarification Requests (iCRs) in CoDraw, an existing dataset of interactions in a multimodal collaborative dialogue game. We show that it contains lexically and semantically diverse iCRs being produced self-motivatedly by players deciding to clarify in order to solve the task successfully. With 8.8k iCRs found in 9.9k dialogues, CoDraw-iCR (v1) is a large spontaneous iCR corpus, making it a valuable resource for data-driven research on clarification in dialogue. We then formalise and provide baseline models for two tasks: Determining when to make an iCR and how to recognise them, in order to investigate to what extent these tasks are learnable from data.
Contextual bandits with concave rewards, and an application to fair ranking
Do, Virginie, Dohmatob, Elvis, Pirotta, Matteo, Lazaric, Alessandro, Usunier, Nicolas
We consider Contextual Bandits with Concave Rewards (CBCR), a multi-objective bandit problem where the desired trade-off between the rewards is defined by a known concave objective function, and the reward vector depends on an observed stochastic context. We present the first algorithm with provably vanishing regret for CBCR without restrictions on the policy space, whereas prior works were restricted to finite policy spaces or tabular representations. Our solution is based on a geometric interpretation of CBCR algorithms as optimization algorithms over the convex set of expected rewards spanned by all stochastic policies. Building on Frank-Wolfe analyses in constrained convex optimization, we derive a novel reduction from the CBCR regret to the regret of a scalar-reward bandit problem. We illustrate how to apply the reduction off-the-shelf to obtain algorithms for CBCR with both linear and general reward functions, in the case of non-combinatorial actions. Motivated by fairness in recommendation, we describe a special case of CBCR with rankings and fairness-aware objectives, leading to the first algorithm with regret guarantees for contextual combinatorial bandits with fairness of exposure.