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 Statistical Learning


Computationally Efficient Labeling of Cancer Related Forum Posts by Non-Clinical Text Information Retrieval

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

An abundance of information about cancer exists online, but categorizing and extracting useful information from it is difficult. Almost all research within healthcare data processing is concerned with formal clinical data, but there is valuable information in non-clinical data too. The present study combines methods within distributed computing, text retrieval, clustering, and classification into a coherent and computationally efficient system, that can clarify cancer patient trajectories based on non-clinical and freely available information. We produce a fully-functional prototype that can retrieve, cluster and present information about cancer trajectories from non-clinical forum posts. We evaluate three clustering algorithms (MR-DBSCAN, DBSCAN, and HDBSCAN) and compare them in terms of Adjusted Rand Index and total run time as a function of the number of posts retrieved and the neighborhood radius. Clustering results show that neighborhood radius has the most significant impact on clustering performance. For small values, the data set is split accordingly, but high values produce a large number of possible partitions and searching for the best partition is hereby time-consuming. With a proper estimated radius, MR-DBSCAN can cluster 50000 forum posts in 46.1 seconds, compared to DBSCAN (143.4) and HDBSCAN (282.3). We conduct an interview with the Danish Cancer Society and present our software prototype. The organization sees a potential in software that can democratize online information about cancer and foresee that such systems will be required in the future.


Distributed Silhouette Algorithm: Evaluating Clustering on Big Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the big data era, the key feature that each algorithm needs to have is the possibility of efficiently running in parallel in a distributed environment. The popular Silhouette metric to evaluate the quality of a clustering, unfortunately, does not have this property and has a quadratic computational complexity with respect to the size of the input dataset. For this reason, its execution has been hindered in big data scenarios, where clustering had to be evaluated otherwise. To fill this gap, in this paper we introduce the first algorithm that computes the Silhouette metric with linear complexity and can easily execute in parallel in a distributed environment. Its implementation is freely available in the Apache Spark ML library.


Variational Inference for Longitudinal Data Using Normalizing Flows

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces a new latent variable generative model able to handle high dimensional longitudinal data and relying on variational inference. The time dependency between the observations of an input sequence is modelled using normalizing flows over the associated latent variables. The proposed method can be used to generate either fully synthetic longitudinal sequences or trajectories that are conditioned on several data in a sequence and demonstrates good robustness properties to missing data. We test the model on 6 datasets of different complexity and show that it can achieve better likelihood estimates than some competitors as well as more reliable missing data imputation.


Local Clustering in Contextual Multi-Armed Bandits

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study identifying user clusters in contextual multi-armed bandits (MAB). Contextual MAB is an effective tool for many real applications, such as content recommendation and online advertisement. In practice, user dependency plays an essential role in the user's actions, and thus the rewards. Clustering similar users can improve the quality of reward estimation, which in turn leads to more effective content recommendation and targeted advertising. Different from traditional clustering settings, we cluster users based on the unknown bandit parameters, which will be estimated incrementally. In particular, we define the problem of cluster detection in contextual MAB, and propose a bandit algorithm, LOCB, embedded with local clustering procedure. And, we provide theoretical analysis about LOCB in terms of the correctness and efficiency of clustering and its regret bound. Finally, we evaluate the proposed algorithm from various aspects, which outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.


UniTS: A Universal Time Series Analysis Framework with Self-supervised Representation Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning has emerged as a powerful tool for time series analysis. Existing methods are usually customized for different analysis tasks and face challenges in tackling practical problems such as partial labeling and domain shift. To achieve universal analysis and address the aforementioned problems, we develop UniTS, a novel framework that incorporates self-supervised representation learning (or pre-training). The components of UniTS are designed using sklearn-like APIs to allow flexible extensions. We demonstrate how users can easily perform an analysis task using the user-friendly GUIs, and show the superior performance of UniTS over the traditional task-specific methods without self-supervised pre-training on five mainstream tasks and two practical settings.


An Equal-Size Hard EM Algorithm for Diverse Dialogue Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Open-domain dialogue systems aim to interact with humans through natural language texts in an open-ended fashion. Despite the recent success of super large dialogue systems such as ChatGPT, using medium-to-small-sized dialogue systems remains the common practice as they are more lightweight and accessible; however, generating diverse dialogue responses is challenging, especially with smaller models. In this work, we propose an Equal-size Hard Expectation--Maximization (EqHard-EM) algorithm to train a multi-decoder model for diverse dialogue generation. Our algorithm assigns a sample to a decoder in a hard manner and additionally imposes an equal-assignment constraint to ensure that all decoders are well-trained. We provide detailed theoretical analysis to justify our approach. Further, experiments on two large-scale open-domain dialogue datasets verify that our EqHard-EM algorithm generates high-quality diverse responses.


Gradient scarcity with Bilevel Optimization for Graph Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A common issue in graph learning under the semi-supervised setting is referred to as gradient scarcity. That is, learning graphs by minimizing a loss on a subset of nodes causes edges between unlabelled nodes that are far from labelled ones to receive zero gradients. The phenomenon was first described when optimizing the graph and the weights of a Graph Neural Network (GCN) with a joint optimization algorithm. In this work, we give a precise mathematical characterization of this phenomenon, and prove that it also emerges in bilevel optimization, where additional dependency exists between the parameters of the problem. While for GCNs gradient scarcity occurs due to their finite receptive field, we show that it also occurs with the Laplacian regularization model, in the sense that gradients amplitude decreases exponentially with distance to labelled nodes. To alleviate this issue, we study several solutions: we propose to resort to latent graph learning using a Graph-to-Graph model (G2G), graph regularization to impose a prior structure on the graph, or optimizing on a larger graph than the original one with a reduced diameter. Our experiments on synthetic and real datasets validate our analysis and prove the efficiency of the proposed solutions.


The crime of being poor

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The criminalization of poverty has been widely denounced as a collective bias against the most vulnerable. NGOs and international organizations claim that the poor are blamed for their situation, are more often associated with criminal offenses than the wealthy strata of society and even incur criminal offenses simply as a result of being poor. While no evidence has been found in the literature that correlates poverty and overall criminality rates, this paper offers evidence of a collective belief that associates both concepts. This brief report measures the societal bias that correlates criminality with the poor, as compared to the rich, by using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques in Twitter. The paper quantifies the level of crime-poverty bias in a panel of eight different English-speaking countries. The regional differences in the association between crime and poverty cannot be justified based on different levels of inequality or unemployment, which the literature correlates to property crimes. The variation in the observed rates of crime-poverty bias for different geographic locations could be influenced by cultural factors and the tendency to overestimate the equality of opportunities and social mobility in specific countries. These results have consequences for policy-making and open a new path of research for poverty mitigation with the focus not only on the poor but on society as a whole. Acting on the collective bias against the poor would facilitate the approval of poverty reduction policies, as well as the restoration of the dignity of the persons affected.


Augmented RBMLE-UCB Approach for Adaptive Control of Linear Quadratic Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider the problem of controlling an unknown stochastic linear system with quadratic costs - called the adaptive LQ control problem. We re-examine an approach called ''Reward Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimate'' (RBMLE) that was proposed more than forty years ago, and which predates the ''Upper Confidence Bound'' (UCB) method as well as the definition of ''regret'' for bandit problems. It simply added a term favoring parameters with larger rewards to the criterion for parameter estimation. We show how the RBMLE and UCB methods can be reconciled, and thereby propose an Augmented RBMLE-UCB algorithm that combines the penalty of the RBMLE method with the constraints of the UCB method, uniting the two approaches to optimism in the face of uncertainty. We establish that theoretically, this method retains $\Tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T})$ regret, the best-known so far. We further compare the empirical performance of the proposed Augmented RBMLE-UCB and the standard RBMLE (without the augmentation) with UCB, Thompson Sampling, Input Perturbation, Randomized Certainty Equivalence and StabL on many real-world examples including flight control of Boeing 747 and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle. We perform extensive simulation studies showing that the Augmented RBMLE consistently outperforms UCB, Thompson Sampling and StabL by a huge margin, while it is marginally better than Input Perturbation and moderately better than Randomized Certainty Equivalence.


Convergence of stochastic gradient descent on parameterized sphere with applications to variational Monte Carlo simulation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We analyze stochastic gradient descent (SGD) type algorithms on a high-dimensional sphere which is parameterized by a neural network up to a normalization constant. We provide a new algorithm for the setting of supervised learning and show its convergence both theoretically and numerically. We also provide the first proof of convergence for the unsupervised setting, which corresponds to the widely used variational Monte Carlo (VMC) method in quantum physics.