Statistical Learning
Multi-fidelity climate model parameterization for better generalization and extrapolation
Bhouri, Mohamed Aziz, Peng, Liran, Pritchard, Michael S., Gentine, Pierre
Machine-learning-based parameterizations (i.e. representation of sub-grid processes) of global climate models or turbulent simulations have recently been proposed as a powerful alternative to physical, but empirical, representations, offering a lower computational cost and higher accuracy. Yet, those approaches still suffer from a lack of generalization and extrapolation beyond the training data, which is however critical to projecting climate change or unobserved regimes of turbulence. Here we show that a multi-fidelity approach, which integrates datasets of different accuracy and abundance, can provide the best of both worlds: the capacity to extrapolate leveraging the physically-based parameterization and a higher accuracy using the machine-learning-based parameterizations. In an application to climate modeling, the multi-fidelity framework yields more accurate climate projections without requiring major increase in computational resources. Our multi-fidelity randomized prior networks (MF-RPNs) combine physical parameterization data as low-fidelity and storm-resolving historical run's data as high-fidelity. To extrapolate beyond the training data, the MF-RPNs are tested on high-fidelity warming scenarios, $+4K$, data. We show the MF-RPN's capacity to return much more skillful predictions compared to either low- or high-fidelity (historical data) simulations trained only on one regime while providing trustworthy uncertainty quantification across a wide range of scenarios. Our approach paves the way for the use of machine-learning based methods that can optimally leverage historical observations or high-fidelity simulations and extrapolate to unseen regimes such as climate change.
Towards Effective Semantic OOD Detection in Unseen Domains: A Domain Generalization Perspective
Wang, Haoliang, Zhao, Chen, Guo, Yunhui, Jiang, Kai, Chen, Feng
Two prevalent types of distributional shifts in machine learning are the covariate shift (as observed across different domains) and the semantic shift (as seen across different classes). Traditional OOD detection techniques typically address only one of these shifts. However, real-world testing environments often present a combination of both covariate and semantic shifts. In this study, we introduce a novel problem, semantic OOD detection across domains, which simultaneously addresses both distributional shifts. To this end, we introduce two regularization strategies: domain generalization regularization, which ensures semantic invariance across domains to counteract the covariate shift, and OOD detection regularization, designed to enhance OOD detection capabilities against the semantic shift through energy bounding. Through rigorous testing on three standard domain generalization benchmarks, our proposed framework showcases its superiority over conventional domain generalization approaches in terms of OOD detection performance. Moreover, it holds its ground by maintaining comparable InD classification accuracy.
Efficient Low-Rank GNN Defense Against Structural Attacks
Alchihabi, Abdullah, En, Qing, Guo, Yuhong
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been shown to possess strong representation abilities over graph data. However, GNNs are vulnerable to adversarial attacks, and even minor perturbations to the graph structure can significantly degrade their performance. Existing methods either are ineffective against sophisticated attacks or require the optimization of dense adjacency matrices, which is time-consuming and prone to local minima. To remedy this problem, we propose an Efficient Low-Rank Graph Neural Network (ELR-GNN) defense method, which aims to learn low-rank and sparse graph structures for defending against adversarial attacks, ensuring effective defense with greater efficiency. Specifically, ELR-GNN consists of two modules: a Coarse Low-Rank Estimation Module and a Fine-Grained Estimation Module. The first module adopts the truncated Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) to initialize the low-rank adjacency matrix estimation, which serves as a starting point for optimizing the low-rank matrix. In the second module, the initial estimate is refined by jointly learning a low-rank sparse graph structure with the GNN model. Sparsity is incorporated into the learned low-rank adjacency matrix by pruning weak connections, which can reduce redundant data while maintaining valuable information. As a result, instead of using the dense adjacency matrix directly, ELR-GNN can learn a low-rank and sparse estimate of it in a simple, efficient and easy to optimize manner. The experimental results demonstrate that ELR-GNN outperforms the state-of-the-art GNN defense methods in the literature, in addition to being very efficient and easy to train.
A Semi-Supervised Approach for Power System Event Identification
Taghipourbazargani, Nima, Sankar, Lalitha, Kosut, Oliver
Event identification is increasingly recognized as crucial for enhancing the reliability, security, and stability of the electric power system. With the growing deployment of Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) and advancements in data science, there are promising opportunities to explore data-driven event identification via machine learning classification techniques. However, obtaining accurately-labeled eventful PMU data samples remains challenging due to its labor-intensive nature and uncertainty about the event type (class) in real-time. Thus, it is natural to use semi-supervised learning techniques, which make use of both labeled and unlabeled samples. %We propose a novel semi-supervised framework to assess the effectiveness of incorporating unlabeled eventful samples to enhance existing event identification methodologies. We evaluate three categories of classical semi-supervised approaches: (i) self-training, (ii) transductive support vector machines (TSVM), and (iii) graph-based label spreading (LS) method. Our approach characterizes events using physically interpretable features extracted from modal analysis of synthetic eventful PMU data. In particular, we focus on the identification of four event classes whose identification is crucial for grid operations. We have developed and publicly shared a comprehensive Event Identification package which consists of three aspects: data generation, feature extraction, and event identification with limited labels using semi-supervised methodologies. Using this package, we generate and evaluate eventful PMU data for the South Carolina synthetic network. Our evaluation consistently demonstrates that graph-based LS outperforms the other two semi-supervised methods that we consider, and can noticeably improve event identification performance relative to the setting with only a small number of labeled samples.
Sex-based Disparities in Brain Aging: A Focus on Parkinson's Disease
Beheshti, Iman, Booth, Samuel, Ko, Ji Hyun
PD is linked to faster brain aging. Sex is recognized as an important factor in PD, such that males are twice as likely as females to have the disease and have more severe symptoms and a faster progression rate. Despite previous research, there remains a significant gap in understanding the function of sex in the process of brain aging in PD patients. The T1-weighted MRI-driven brain-predicted age difference was computed in a group of 373 PD patients from the PPMI database using a robust brain-age estimation framework that was trained on 949 healthy subjects. Linear regression models were used to investigate the association between brain-PAD and clinical variables in PD, stratified by sex. All female PD patients were used in the correlational analysis while the same number of males were selected based on propensity score matching method considering age, education level, age of symptom onset, and clinical symptom severity. Despite both patient groups being matched for demographics, motor and non-motor symptoms, it was observed that males with Parkinson's disease exhibited a significantly higher mean brain age-delta than their female counterparts . In the propensity score-matched PD male group, brain-PAD was found to be associated with a decline in general cognition, a worse degree of sleep behavior disorder, reduced visuospatial acuity, and caudate atrophy. Conversely, no significant links were observed between these factors and brain-PAD in the PD female group.
A Modular Spatial Clustering Algorithm with Noise Specification
Clustering techniques have been the key drivers of data mining, machine learning and pattern recognition for decades. One of the most popular clustering algorithms is DBSCAN due to its high accuracy and noise tolerance. Many superior algorithms such as DBSCAN have input parameters that are hard to estimate. Therefore, finding those parameters is a time consuming process. In this paper, we propose a novel clustering algorithm Bacteria-Farm, which balances the performance and ease of finding the optimal parameters for clustering. Bacteria- Farm algorithm is inspired by the growth of bacteria in closed experimental farms - their ability to consume food and grow - which closely represents the ideal cluster growth desired in clustering algorithms. In addition, the algorithm features a modular design to allow the creation of versions of the algorithm for specific tasks / distributions of data. In contrast with other clustering algorithms, our algorithm also has a provision to specify the amount of noise to be excluded during clustering.
Machine Learning Approaches to Predict and Detect Early-Onset of Digital Dermatitis in Dairy Cows using Sensor Data
Magana, Jennifer, Gavojdian, Dinu, Menachem, Yakir, Lazebnik, Teddy, Zamansky, Anna, Adams-Progar, Amber
Keywords: animal behavior, dairy cattle, digital dermatitis, sensor data, machine learning Abstract The aim of this study was to employ machine learning algorithms based on sensor behavior data for (1) early-onset detection of digital dermatitis (DD); and (2) DD prediction in dairy cows. With the ultimate goal to set-up early warning tools for DD prediction, which would than allow a better monitoring and management of DD under commercial settings, resulting in a decrease of DD prevalence and severity, while improving animal welfare. A machine learning model that is capable of predicting and detecting digital dermatitis in cows housed under free-stall conditions based on behavior sensor data has been purposed and tested in this exploratory study. The model for DD detection on day 0 of the appearance of the clinical signs has reached an accuracy of 79%, while the model for prediction of DD 2 days prior to the appearance of the first clinical signs has reached an accuracy of 64%. The proposed machine learning models could help to develop a real-time automated tool for monitoring and diagnostic of DD in lactating dairy cows, based on behavior sensor data under conventional dairy environments. Results showed that alterations in behavioral patterns at individual levels can be used as inputs in an early warning system for herd management in order to detect variances in health of individual cows.
A Multi-Token Coordinate Descent Method for Semi-Decentralized Vertical Federated Learning
Valdeira, Pedro, Chi, Yuejie, Soares, Clรกudia, Xavier, Joรฃo
Communication efficiency is a major challenge in federated learning (FL). In client-server schemes, the server constitutes a bottleneck, and while decentralized setups spread communications, they do not necessarily reduce them due to slower convergence. We propose Multi-Token Coordinate Descent (MTCD), a communication-efficient algorithm for semi-decentralized vertical federated learning, exploiting both client-server and client-client communications when each client holds a small subset of features. Our multi-token method can be seen as a parallel Markov chain (block) coordinate descent algorithm and it subsumes the client-server and decentralized setups as special cases. We obtain a convergence rate of $\mathcal{O}(1/T)$ for nonconvex objectives when tokens roam over disjoint subsets of clients and for convex objectives when they roam over possibly overlapping subsets. Numerical results show that MTCD improves the state-of-the-art communication efficiency and allows for a tunable amount of parallel communications.
Clustering of Urban Traffic Patterns by K-Means and Dynamic Time Warping: Case Study
Etemad, Sadegh, Mosayebi, Raziyeh, Khodavirdian, Tadeh Alexani, Dastan, Elahe, Telmadarreh, Amir Salari, Jafari, Mohammadreza, Rafiei, Sepehr
Clustering of urban traffic patterns is an essential task in many different areas of traffic management and planning. In this paper, two significant applications in the clustering of urban traffic patterns are described. The first application estimates the missing speed values using the speed of road segments with similar traffic patterns to colorify map tiles. The second one is the estimation of essential road segments for generating addresses for a local point on the map, using the similarity patterns of different road segments. The speed time series extracts the traffic pattern in different road segments. In this paper, we proposed the time series clustering algorithm based on K-Means and Dynamic Time Warping. The case study of our proposed algorithm is based on the Snapp application's driver speed time series data. The results of the two applications illustrate that the proposed method can extract similar urban traffic patterns.
Learning Inertial Parameter Identification of Unknown Object with Humanoid Robot using Sim-to-Real Adaptation
Baek, Donghoon, Peng, Bo, Gupta, Saurabh, Ramos, Joao
Understanding the dynamics of unknown object is crucial for collaborative robots including humanoids to more safely and accurately interact with humans. Most relevant literature leverage a force/torque sensor, prior knowledge of object, vision system, and a long-horizon trajectory which are often impractical. Moreover, these methods often entail solving non-linear optimization problem, sometimes yielding physically inconsistent results. In this work, we propose a fast learningbased inertial parameter estimation as more practical manner. We acquire a reliable dataset in a high-fidelity simulation and train a time-series data-driven regression model (e.g., LSTM) to estimate the inertial parameter of unknown objects. We also introduce a novel sim-to-real adaptation method combining Robot System Identification and Gaussian Processes to directly transfer the trained model to real-world application. We demonstrate our method with a 4-DOF single manipulator of physical wheeled humanoid robot, SATYRR. Results show that our method can identify the inertial parameters of various unknown objects faster and more accurately than conventional methods.