Statistical Learning
ChronoPscychosis: Temporal Segmentation and Its Impact on Schizophrenia Classification Using Motor Activity Data
Jadhav, Pradnya Rajendra, Aduri, Raviprasad
Schizophrenia is a complicated mental illness characterized by a broad spectrum of symptoms affecting cognition, behavior, and emotion. The task of identifying reliable biomarkers to classify Schizophrenia accurately continues to be a challenge in the field of psychiatry. We investigate the temporal patterns within the motor activity data as a potential key to enhancing the categorization of individuals with Schizophrenia, using the dataset having motor activity recordings of 22 Schizophrenia patients and 32 control subjects. The dataset contains per-minute motor activity measurements collected for an average of 12.7 days in a row for each participant. We dissect each day into segments (Twelve, Eight, six, four, three, and two parts) and evaluate their impact on classification. We employ sixteen statistical features within these temporal segments and train them on Seven machine learning models to get deeper insights. LightGBM model outperforms the other six models. Our results indicate that the temporal segmentation significantly improves the classification, with AUC-ROC = 0.93, F1 score = 0.84( LightGBM- without any segmentation) and AUC-ROC = 0.98, F1 score = 0.93( LightGBM- with segmentation). Distinguishing between diurnal and nocturnal segments amplifies the differences between Schizophrenia patients and controls. However, further subdivisions into smaller time segments do not affect the AUC- ROC significantly. Morning, afternoon, evening, and night partitioning gives similar classification performance to day-night partitioning. These findings are valuable as they indicate that extensive temporal classification beyond distinguishing between day and night does not yield substantial results, offering an efficient approach for further classification, early diagnosis, and monitoring of Schizophrenia.
Classification of Tabular Data by Text Processing
Ramani, Keshav, Borrajo, Daniel
Natural Language Processing technology has advanced vastly in the past decade. Text processing has been successfully applied to a wide variety of domains. In this paper, we propose a novel framework, Text Based Classification(TBC), that uses state of the art text processing techniques to solve classification tasks on tabular data. We provide a set of controlled experiments where we present the benefits of using this approach against other classification methods. Experimental results on several data sets also show that this framework achieves comparable performance to that of several state of the art models in accuracy, precision and recall of predicted classes.
Fair Polylog-Approximate Low-Cost Hierarchical Clustering
Knittel, Marina, Springer, Max, Dickerson, John, Hajiaghayi, MohammadTaghi
Research in fair machine learning, and particularly clustering, has been crucial in recent years given the many ethical controversies that modern intelligent systems have posed. Ahmadian et al. [2020] established the study of fairness in \textit{hierarchical} clustering, a stronger, more structured variant of its well-known flat counterpart, though their proposed algorithm that optimizes for Dasgupta's [2016] famous cost function was highly theoretical. Knittel et al. [2023] then proposed the first practical fair approximation for cost, however they were unable to break the polynomial-approximate barrier they posed as a hurdle of interest. We break this barrier, proposing the first truly polylogarithmic-approximate low-cost fair hierarchical clustering, thus greatly bridging the gap between the best fair and vanilla hierarchical clustering approximations.
Designing Long-term Group Fair Policies in Dynamical Systems
Rateike, Miriam, Valera, Isabel, Forré, Patrick
Neglecting the effect that decisions have on individuals (and thus, on the underlying data distribution) when designing algorithmic decision-making policies may increase inequalities and unfairness in the long term--even if fairness considerations were taken in the policy design process. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for achieving long-term group fairness in dynamical systems, in which current decisions may affect an individual's features in the next step, and thus, future decisions. Specifically, our framework allows us to identify a time-independent policy that converges, if deployed, to the targeted fair stationary state of the system in the long-term, independently of the initial data distribution. We model the system dynamics with a time-homogeneous Markov chain and optimize the policy leveraging the Markov chain convergence theorem to ensure unique convergence. We provide examples of different targeted fair states of the system, encompassing a range of long-term goals for society and policy makers. Furthermore, we show how our approach facilitates the evaluation of different long-term targets by examining their impact on the group-conditional population distribution in the long term and how it evolves until convergence.
Classifier Calibration with ROC-Regularized Isotonic Regression
Berta, Eugene, Bach, Francis, Jordan, Michael
Calibration of machine learning classifiers is necessary to obtain reliable and interpretable predictions, bridging the gap between model confidence and actual probabilities. One prominent technique, isotonic regression (IR), aims at calibrating binary classifiers by minimizing the cross entropy on a calibration set via monotone transformations. IR acts as an adaptive binning procedure, which allows achieving a calibration error of zero, but leaves open the issue of the effect on performance. In this paper, we first prove that IR preserves the convex hull of the ROC curve -- an essential performance metric for binary classifiers. This ensures that a classifier is calibrated while controlling for overfitting of the calibration set. We then present a novel generalization of isotonic regression to accommodate classifiers with K classes. Our method constructs a multidimensional adaptive binning scheme on the probability simplex, again achieving a multi-class calibration error equal to zero. We regularize this algorithm by imposing a form of monotony that preserves the K-dimensional ROC surface of the classifier. We show empirically that this general monotony criterion is effective in striking a balance between reducing cross entropy loss and avoiding overfitting of the calibration set.
Board-to-Board: Evaluating Moonboard Grade Prediction Generalization
Petashvili, Daniel, Rodda, Matthew
Bouldering is a sport where athletes aim to climb up an obstacle using a set of defined holds called a route. Typically routes are assigned a grade to inform climbers of its difficulty and allow them to more easily track their progression. However, the variation in individual climbers technical and physical attributes and many nuances of an individual route make grading a difficult and often biased task. In this work, we apply classical and deep-learning modelling techniques to the 2016, 2017 and 2019 Moonboard datasets, achieving state of the art grade prediction performance with 0.87 MAE and 1.12 RMSE. We achieve this performance on a feature-set that does not require decomposing routes into individual moves, which is a method common in literature and introduces bias. We also demonstrate the generalization capability of this model between editions and introduce a novel vision-based method of grade prediction. While the generalization performance of these techniques is below human level performance currently, we propose these methods as a basis for future work. Such a tool could be implemented in pre-existing mobile applications and would allow climbers to better track their progress and assess new routes with reduced bias.
Sample Efficient Reward Augmentation in offline-to-online Reinforcement Learning
Zhang, Ziqi, Xiong, Xiao, Zhuang, Zifeng, Liu, Jinxin, Wang, Donglin
Offline-to-online RL can make full use of pre-collected offline datasets to initialize policies, resulting in higher sample efficiency and better performance compared to only using online algorithms alone for policy training. However, direct fine-tuning of the pre-trained policy tends to result in sub-optimal performance. A primary reason is that conservative offline RL methods diminish the agent's capability of exploration, thereby impacting online fine-tuning performance. To encourage agent's exploration during online fine-tuning and enhance the overall online fine-tuning performance, we propose a generalized reward augmentation method called Sample Efficient Reward Augmentation (SERA). Specifically, SERA encourages agent to explore by computing Q conditioned entropy as intrinsic reward. The advantage of SERA is that it can extensively utilize offline pre-trained Q to encourage agent uniformly coverage of state space while considering the imbalance between the distributions of high-value and low-value states. Additionally, SERA can be effortlessly plugged into various RL algorithms to improve online fine-tuning and ensure sustained asymptotic improvement. Moreover, extensive experimental results demonstrate that when conducting offline-to-online problems, SERA consistently and effectively enhances the performance of various offline algorithms.
Beyond Labeling Oracles: What does it mean to steal ML models?
Shafran, Avital, Shumailov, Ilia, Erdogdu, Murat A., Papernot, Nicolas
Model extraction attacks are designed to steal trained models with only query access, as is often provided through APIs that ML-as-a-Service providers offer. ML models are expensive to train, in part because data is hard to obtain, and a primary incentive for model extraction is to acquire a model while incurring less cost than training from scratch. Literature on model extraction commonly claims or presumes that the attacker is able to save on both data acquisition and labeling costs. We show that the attacker often does not. This is because current attacks implicitly rely on the adversary being able to sample from the victim model's data distribution. We thoroughly evaluate factors influencing the success of model extraction. We discover that prior knowledge of the attacker, i.e. access to in-distribution data, dominates other factors like the attack policy the adversary follows to choose which queries to make to the victim model API. Thus, an adversary looking to develop an equally capable model with a fixed budget has little practical incentive to perform model extraction, since for the attack to work they need to collect in-distribution data, saving only on the cost of labeling. With low labeling costs in the current market, the usefulness of such attacks is questionable. Ultimately, we demonstrate that the effect of prior knowledge needs to be explicitly decoupled from the attack policy. To this end, we propose a benchmark to evaluate attack policy directly.
Unsupervised discovery of Interpretable Visual Concepts
Rodrigues, Caroline Mazini, Boutry, Nicolas, Najman, Laurent
Providing interpretability of deep-learning models to non-experts, while fundamental for a responsible real-world usage, is challenging. Attribution maps from xAI techniques, such as Integrated Gradients, are a typical example of a visualization technique containing a high level of information, but with difficult interpretation. In this paper, we propose two methods, Maximum Activation Groups Extraction (MAGE) and Multiscale Interpretable Visualization (Ms-IV), to explain the model's decision, enhancing global interpretability. MAGE finds, for a given CNN, combinations of features which, globally, form a semantic meaning, that we call concepts. We group these similar feature patterns by clustering in ``concepts'', that we visualize through Ms-IV. This last method is inspired by Occlusion and Sensitivity analysis (incorporating causality), and uses a novel metric, called Class-aware Order Correlation (CaOC), to globally evaluate the most important image regions according to the model's decision space. We compare our approach to xAI methods such as LIME and Integrated Gradients. Experimental results evince the Ms-IV higher localization and faithfulness values. Finally, qualitative evaluation of combined MAGE and Ms-IV demonstrates humans' ability to agree, based on the visualization, with the decision of clusters' concepts; and, to detect, among a given set of networks, the existence of bias.
The Clock and the Pizza: Two Stories in Mechanistic Explanation of Neural Networks
Zhong, Ziqian, Liu, Ziming, Tegmark, Max, Andreas, Jacob
Do neural networks, trained on well-understood algorithmic tasks, reliably rediscover known algorithms for solving those tasks? Several recent studies, on tasks ranging from group arithmetic to in-context linear regression, have suggested that the answer is yes. Using modular addition as a prototypical problem, we show that algorithm discovery in neural networks is sometimes more complex. Small changes to model hyperparameters and initializations can induce discovery of qualitatively different algorithms from a fixed training set, and even parallel implementations of multiple such algorithms. Some networks trained to perform modular addition implement a familiar Clock algorithm (previously described by Nanda et al. [1]); others implement a previously undescribed, less intuitive, but comprehensible procedure we term the Pizza algorithm, or a variety of even more complex procedures. Our results show that even simple learning problems can admit a surprising diversity of solutions, motivating the development of new tools for characterizing the behavior of neural networks across their algorithmic phase space.