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 Statistical Learning


Review of Machine Learning Approaches for Diagnostics and Prognostics of Industrial Systems Using Industrial Open Source Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the field of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM), recent years have witnessed a significant surge in the application of machine learning (ML). Despite this growth, the field grapples with a lack of unified guidelines and systematic approaches for effectively implementing these ML techniques and comprehensive analysis regarding industrial open-source data across varied scenarios. To address these gaps, this paper provides a comprehensive review of machine learning approaches for diagnostics and prognostics of industrial systems using open-source datasets from PHM Data Challenge Competitions held between 2018 and 2023 by PHM Society and IEEE Reliability Society and summarizes a unified ML framework. This review systematically categorizes and scrutinizes the problems, challenges, methodologies, and advancements demonstrated in these competitions, highlighting the evolving role of both conventional machine learning and deep learning in tackling complex industrial tasks related to detection, diagnosis, assessment, and prognosis. Moreover, this paper delves into the common challenges in PHM data challenge competitions by emphasizing both data-related and model-related issues and summarizes the solutions that have been employed to address these challenges. Finally, we identify key themes and potential directions for future research, providing opportunities and prospects for ML further development in PHM.


Temporal Knowledge Distillation for Time-Sensitive Financial Services Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Detecting anomalies has become an increasingly critical function in the financial service industry. Anomaly detection is frequently used in key compliance and risk functions such as financial crime detection fraud and cybersecurity. The dynamic nature of the underlying data patterns especially in adversarial environments like fraud detection poses serious challenges to the machine learning models. Keeping up with the rapid changes by retraining the models with the latest data patterns introduces pressures in balancing the historical and current patterns while managing the training data size. Furthermore the model retraining times raise problems in time-sensitive and high-volume deployment systems where the retraining period directly impacts the models ability to respond to ongoing attacks in a timely manner. In this study we propose a temporal knowledge distillation-based label augmentation approach (TKD) which utilizes the learning from older models to rapidly boost the latest model and effectively reduces the model retraining times to achieve improved agility. Experimental results show that the proposed approach provides advantages in retraining times while improving the model performance.


Adversarial Representation with Intra-Modal and Inter-Modal Graph Contrastive Learning for Multimodal Emotion Recognition

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the release of increasing open-source emotion recognition datasets on social media platforms and the rapid development of computing resources, multimodal emotion recognition tasks (MER) have begun to receive widespread research attention. The MER task extracts and fuses complementary semantic information from different modalities, which can classify the speaker's emotions. However, the existing feature fusion methods have usually mapped the features of different modalities into the same feature space for information fusion, which can not eliminate the heterogeneity between different modalities. Therefore, it is challenging to make the subsequent emotion class boundary learning. To tackle the above problems, we have proposed a novel Adversarial Representation with Intra-Modal and Inter-Modal Graph Contrastive for Multimodal Emotion Recognition (AR-IIGCN) method. Firstly, we input video, audio, and text features into a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) to map them into separate feature spaces. Secondly, we build a generator and a discriminator for the three modal features through adversarial representation, which can achieve information interaction between modalities and eliminate heterogeneity among modalities. Thirdly, we introduce contrastive graph representation learning to capture intra-modal and inter-modal complementary semantic information and learn intra-class and inter-class boundary information of emotion categories. Specifically, we construct a graph structure for three modal features and perform contrastive representation learning on nodes with different emotions in the same modality and the same emotion in different modalities, which can improve the feature representation ability of nodes. Extensive experimental works show that the ARL-IIGCN method can significantly improve emotion recognition accuracy on IEMOCAP and MELD datasets.


Modeling Systemic Risk: A Time-Varying Nonparametric Causal Inference Framework

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a nonparametric and time-varying directed information graph (TV-DIG) framework to estimate the evolving causal structure in time series networks, thereby addressing the limitations of traditional econometric models in capturing high-dimensional, nonlinear, and time-varying interconnections among series. This framework employs an information-theoretic measure rooted in a generalized version of Granger-causality, which is applicable to both linear and nonlinear dynamics. Our framework offers advancements in measuring systemic risk and establishes meaningful connections with established econometric models, including vector autoregression and switching models. We evaluate the efficacy of our proposed model through simulation experiments and empirical analysis, reporting promising results in recovering simulated time-varying networks with nonlinear and multivariate structures. We apply this framework to identify and monitor the evolution of interconnectedness and systemic risk among major assets and industrial sectors within the financial network. We focus on cryptocurrencies' potential systemic risks to financial stability, including spillover effects on other sectors during crises like the COVID-19 pandemic and the Federal Reserve's 2020 emergency response. Our findings reveals significant, previously underrecognized pre-2020 influences of cryptocurrencies on certain financial sectors, highlighting their potential systemic risks and offering a systematic approach in tracking evolving cross-sector interactions within financial networks.


Performance Comparison of Session-based Recommendation Algorithms based on GNNs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In session-based recommendation settings, a recommender system has to base its suggestions on the user interactions that are ob served in an ongoing session. Since such sessions can consist of only a small set of interactions, various approaches based on Graph Neural Networks (GNN) were recently proposed, as they allow us to integrate various types of side information about the items in a natural way. Unfortunately, a variety of evaluation settings are used in the literature, e.g., in terms of protocols, metrics and baselines, making it difficult to assess what represents the state of the art. In this work, we present the results of an evaluation of eight recent GNN-based approaches that were published in high-quality outlets. For a fair comparison, all models are systematically tuned and tested under identical conditions using three common datasets. We furthermore include k-nearest-neighbor and sequential rules-based models as baselines, as such models have previously exhibited competitive performance results for similar settings. To our surprise, the evaluation showed that the simple models outperform all recent GNN models in terms of the Mean Reciprocal Rank, which we used as an optimization criterion, and were only outperformed in three cases in terms of the Hit Rate. Additional analyses furthermore reveal that several other factors that are often not deeply discussed in papers, e.g., random seeds, can markedly impact the performance of GNN-based models. Our results therefore (a) point to continuing issues in the community in terms of research methodology and (b) indicate that there is ample room for improvement in session-based recommendation.


Learning from small data sets: Patch-based regularizers in inverse problems for image reconstruction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The solution of inverse problems is of fundamental interest in medical and astronomical imaging, geophysics as well as engineering and life sciences. Recent advances were made by using methods from machine learning, in particular deep neural networks. Most of these methods require a huge amount of (paired) data and computer capacity to train the networks, which often may not be available. Our paper addresses the issue of learning from small data sets by taking patches of very few images into account. We focus on the combination of model-based and data-driven methods by approximating just the image prior, also known as regularizer in the variational model. We review two methodically different approaches, namely optimizing the maximum log-likelihood of the patch distribution, and penalizing Wasserstein-like discrepancies of whole empirical patch distributions. From the point of view of Bayesian inverse problems, we show how we can achieve uncertainty quantification by approximating the posterior using Langevin Monte Carlo methods. We demonstrate the power of the methods in computed tomography, image super-resolution, and inpainting. Indeed, the approach provides also high-quality results in zero-shot super-resolution, where only a low-resolution image is available. The paper is accompanied by a GitHub repository containing implementations of all methods as well as data examples so that the reader can get their own insight into the performance.


Exploiting hidden structures in non-convex games for convergence to Nash equilibrium

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

A wide array of modern machine learning applications - from adversarial models to multi-agent reinforcement learning - can be formulated as non-cooperative games whose Nash equilibria represent the system's desired operational states. Despite having a highly non-convex loss landscape, many cases of interest possess a latent convex structure that could potentially be leveraged to yield convergence to an equilibrium. Driven by this observation, our paper proposes a flexible first-order method that successfully exploits such "hidden structures" and achieves convergence under minimal assumptions for the transformation connecting the players' control variables to the game's latent, convex-structured layer. The proposed method - which we call preconditioned hidden gradient descent (PHGD) - hinges on a judiciously chosen gradient preconditioning scheme related to natural gradient methods. Importantly, we make no separability assumptions for the game's hidden structure, and we provide explicit convergence rate guarantees for both deterministic and stochastic environments.


scRNA-seq Data Clustering by Cluster-aware Iterative Contrastive Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) enables researchers to analyze gene expression at single-cell level. One important task in scRNA-seq data analysis is unsupervised clustering, which helps identify distinct cell types, laying down the foundation for other downstream analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose a novel method called Cluster-aware Iterative Contrastive Learning (CICL in short) for scRNA-seq data clustering, which utilizes an iterative representation learning and clustering framework to progressively learn the clustering structure of scRNA-seq data with a cluster-aware contrastive loss. CICL consists of a Transformer encoder, a clustering head, a projection head and a contrastive loss module. First, CICL extracts the feature vectors of the original and augmented data by the Transformer encoder. Then, it computes the clustering centroids by K-means and employs the student t-distribution to assign pseudo-labels to all cells in the clustering head. The projection-head uses a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) to obtain projections of the augmented data. At last, both pseudo-labels and projections are used in the contrastive loss to guide the model training. Such a process goes iteratively so that the clustering result becomes better and better. Extensive experiments on 25 real world scRNA-seq datasets show that CICL outperforms the SOTA methods. Concretely, CICL surpasses the existing methods by from 14% to 280%, and from 5% to 133% on average in terms of performance metrics ARI and NMI respectively.


Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Unknown Reward Model based on Structural Risk Minimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) usually assumes the model of the reward function is pre-specified and estimates the parameter only. However, how to determine a proper reward model is nontrivial. A simplistic model is less likely to contain the real reward function, while a model with high complexity leads to substantial computation cost and risks overfitting. This paper addresses this trade-off in IRL model selection by introducing the structural risk minimization (SRM) method from statistical learning. SRM selects an optimal reward function class from a hypothesis set minimizing both estimation error and model complexity. To formulate an SRM scheme for IRL, we estimate policy gradient by demonstration serving as empirical risk and establish the upper bound of Rademacher complexity of hypothesis classes as model penalty. The learning guarantee is further presented. In particular, we provide explicit SRM for the common linear weighted sum setting in IRL. Simulations demonstrate the performance and efficiency of our scheme.


FALCON: Feature-Label Constrained Graph Net Collapse for Memory Efficient GNNs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graph Neural Network (GNN) ushered in a new era of machine learning with interconnected datasets. While traditional neural networks can only be trained on independent samples, GNN allows for the inclusion of inter-sample interactions in the training process. This gain, however, incurs additional memory cost, rendering most GNNs unscalable for real-world applications involving vast and complicated networks with tens of millions of nodes (e.g., social circles, web graphs, and brain graphs). This means that storing the graph in the main memory can be difficult, let alone training the GNN model with significantly less GPU memory. While much of the recent literature has focused on either mini-batching GNN methods or quantization, graph reduction methods remain largely scarce. Furthermore, present graph reduction approaches have several drawbacks. First, most graph reduction focuses only on the inference stage (e.g., condensation and distillation) and requires full graph GNN training, which does not reduce training memory footprint. Second, many methods focus solely on the graph's structural aspect, ignoring the initial population feature-label distribution, resulting in a skewed post-reduction label distribution. Here, we propose a Feature-Label COnstrained graph Net collapse, FALCON, to address these limitations. Our three core contributions lie in (i) designing FALCON, a topology-aware graph reduction technique that preserves feature-label distribution; (ii) implementation of FALCON with other memory reduction methods (i.e., mini-batched GNN and quantization) for further memory reduction; (iii) extensive benchmarking and ablation studies against SOTA methods to evaluate FALCON memory reduction. Our extensive results show that FALCON can significantly collapse various public datasets while achieving equal prediction quality across GNN models. Code: https://github.com/basiralab/FALCON