Statistical Learning
Exploring Structural Degradation in Dense Representations for Self-supervised Learning
In this work, we observe a counterintuitive phenomenon in self-supervised learning (SSL): longer training may impair the performance of dense prediction tasks (e.g., semantic segmentation). We refer to this phenomenon as Self-supervised Dense Degradation (SDD) and demonstrate its consistent presence across sixteen state-of-the-art SSL methods with various losses, architectures, and datasets. When the model performs suboptimally on dense tasks at the end of training, measuring the performance during training becomes essential. However, evaluating dense performance effectively without annotations remains an open challenge. To tackle this issue, we introduce a Dense representation Structure Estimator (DSE), composed of a class-relevance measure and an effective dimensionality measure. The proposed DSE is both theoretically grounded and empirically validated to be closely correlated with the downstream performance. Based on this metric, we introduce a straightforward yet effective model selection strategy and a DSE-based regularization method. Experiments on sixteen SSL methods across four benchmarks confirm that model selection improves mIoU by 3.0% on average with negligible computational cost.
Tree-Sliced Entropy Partial Transport
Optimal Transport (OT) has emerged as a fundamental tool in machine learning for comparing probability distributions in a geometrically meaningful manner. However, a key limitation of classical OT is its requirement that the source and target distributions have equal total mass, limiting its use in real-world settings involving imbalanced data, noise, outliers, or structural inconsistencies. Partial Transport (PT) addresses this limitation by allowing only a fraction of the mass to be transported, offering greater flexibility and robustness. Nonetheless, similar to OT, PT remains computationally expensive, as it typically involves solving large-scale linear programs-especially in high-dimensional spaces. To alleviate this computational burden, several emerging works have introduced the TreeSliced Wasserstein (TSW) distance, which projects distributions onto tree-metric spaces where OT problems admit closed-form solutions. Building on this line of research, we propose a novel framework that extends the tree-sliced approach to the PT setting, introducing the Partial Tree-Sliced Wasserstein (PartialTSW) distance. Our method is based on the key observation that, within tree-metric space, the PT problem can be equivalently reformulated as a standard balanced OT problem between suitably modified measures. This reformulation enables efficient computation while preserving the adaptability and robustness of partial transport. Our method proves effective across challenging tasks such as outlier removal and addressing class imbalance in image-to-image translation.
User-Instructed Disparity-aware Defocus Control
In photography, an All-in-Focus (AiF) image may not always effectively convey the creator's intent. Professional photographers manipulate Depth of Field (DoF) to control which regions appear sharp or blurred, achieving compelling artistic effects. For general users, the ability to flexibly adjust DoF enhances creative expression and image quality. In this paper, we propose UiD, a User-Instructed DoF control framework, that allows users to specify refocusing regions using text, box, or point prompts, and our UiD automatically simulates in-focus and out-of-focus (OoF) regions in the given images. However, controlling defocus blur in a single-lens camera remains challenging due to the difficulty in estimating depth-aware aberrations and the suboptimal quality of reconstructed AiF images.
ResponseRank: Data-Efficient Reward Modeling through Preference Strength Learning
Binary choices, as often used for reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF), convey only the direction of a preference. A person may choose apples over oranges and bananas over grapes, but which preference is stronger? Strength is crucial for decision-making under uncertainty and generalization of preference models, but hard to measure reliably. Metadata such as response times and interannotator agreement can serve as proxies for strength, but are often noisy and confounded. We propose ResponseRank to address the challenge of learning from noisy strength signals. Our method uses relative differences in proxy signals to rank responses to pairwise comparisons by their inferred preference strength. To control for systemic variation, we compare signals only locally within carefully constructed strata. This enables robust learning of utility differences consistent with strengthderived rankings while making minimal assumptions about the strength signal. Our contributions are threefold: (1) ResponseRank, a novel method that robustly learns preference strength by leveraging locally valid relative strength signals; (2) empirical evidence of improved sample efficiency and robustness across diverse tasks: synthetic preference learning (with simulated response times), language modeling (with annotator agreement), and RL control tasks (with simulated episode returns); and (3) the Pearson Distance Correlation (PDC), a novel metric that isolates cardinal utility learning from ordinal accuracy.
Conditional Forecasts and Proper Scoring Rules for Reliable and Accurate Performative Predictions
Performative predictions are forecasts which influence the outcomes they aim to predict, undermining the existence of correct forecasts and standard methods of elicitation and estimation. We show that conditioning forecasts on covariates that separate them from the outcome renders the target distribution forecast-invariant, guaranteeing well-posedness of the forecasting problem. However, even under this condition, classical proper scoring rules fail to elicit correct forecasts. We prove a general impossibility result and identify two solutions: (i) in decision-theoretic settings, elicitation of correct and incentive-compatible forecasts is possible if forecasts are separating; (ii) scoring with unbiased estimates of the divergence between the forecast and the induced distribution of the target variable yields correct forecasts. Applying these insights to parameter estimation, conditional forecasts and proper scoring rules enable performatively stable estimation of performatively correct parameters, resolving the issues raised by Perdomo et al. (2020). Our results expose fundamental limits of classical forecast evaluation and offer new tools for reliable and accurate forecasting in performative settings.
Incremental Sequence Classification with Temporal Consistency
We address the problem of incremental sequence classification, where predictions are updated as new elements in the sequence are revealed. Drawing on temporaldifference learning from reinforcement learning, we identify a temporal-consistency condition that successive predictions should satisfy. We leverage this condition to develop a novel loss function for training incremental sequence classifiers. Through a concrete example, we demonstrate that optimizing this loss can offer substantial gains in data efficiency. We apply our method to text classification tasks and show that it improves predictive accuracy over competing approaches on several benchmark datasets. We further evaluate our approach on the task of verifying large language model generations for correctness in grade-school math problems. Our results show that models trained with our method are better able to distinguish promising generations from unpromising ones after observing only a few tokens.
Conformal Inference under High-Dimensional Covariate Shifts via Likelihood-Ratio Regularization
We consider the problem of conformal prediction under covariate shift. Given labeled data from a source domain and unlabeled data from a covariate shifted target domain, we seek to construct prediction sets with valid marginal coverage in the target domain. Most existing methods require estimating the unknown likelihood ratio function, which can be prohibitive for high-dimensional data such as images. To address this challenge, we introduce the likelihood ratio regularized quantile regression (LR-QR) algorithm, which combines the pinball loss with a novel choice of regularization in order to construct a threshold function without directly estimating the unknown likelihood ratio. We show that the LR-QR method has coverage at the desired level in the target domain, up to a small error term that we can control. Our proofs draw on a novel analysis of coverage via stability bounds from learning theory. Our experiments demonstrate that the LR-QR algorithm outperforms existing methods on high-dimensional prediction tasks, including a regression task for the Communities and Crime dataset, an image classification task from the WILDS repository, and an LLM question-answering task on the MMLU benchmark.
Pseudo-Riemannian Graph Transformer
Many real-world graphs exhibit diverse and complex topological structures that are not well captured by geometric manifolds with uniform global curvature, such as hyperbolic or spherical spaces. Recently, there has been growing interest in embedding graphs into pseudo-Riemannian manifolds, which generalize both hyperbolic and spherical geometries. However, existing approaches face three significant limitations, including the ineffective pseudo-Riemannain framework, the shallow architectures, and the absence of clear guideline for selecting suitable pseudo-Riemannian manifolds. To address these issues, we introduce a novel diffeomorphic framework for graph embedding that aligns with the nature of pseudo-Riemannian manifolds. Subsequently, we propose the pseudo-Riemannian Graph Transformer for learning representations of complex graph structures. Our diffeomorphic framework in pseudo-Riemannian geometry enables the principled definitions of core transformer components, including linear attention, residual connection, and layer normalization. Finally, we develop a lightweight space searching algorithm to automatically identify the most suitable pseudo-Riemannian manifold for an input graph. Extensive experiments on diverse real-world graphs demonstrate that our model consistently outperforms other baselines in both node classification and link prediction tasks.
Enhancing Tabular Foundation Models
Since the seminal work of TabPFN [16], research on tabular foundation models (TFMs) based on in-context learning (ICL) has challenged long-standing paradigms in machine learning. Without seeing any real-world data, models pretrained on purely synthetic datasets generalize remarkably well across diverse datasets, often using only a moderate number of in-context examples. This shifts the focus in tabular machine learning from model architecture design to the design of synthetic datasets, or, more precisely, to the prior distributions that generate them. Yet the guiding principles for prior design remain poorly understood. This work marks the first attempt to address the gap. We systematically investigate and identify key properties of synthetic priors that allow pretrained TFMs to generalize well. Based on these insights, we introduce MITRA 1, a TFM trained on a curated mixture of synthetic priors selected for their diversity, distinctiveness, and performance on real-world tabular data. MITRA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art TFMs, such as TabPFNv2 [17] and TabICL [29], across both classification and regression benchmarks, with better sample efficiency.