In this study, we present a generalizable workflow to identify documents in a historic language with a nonstandard language and script combination, Armeno-Turkish. We introduce the task of detecting distinct patterns of multilinguality based on the frequency of structured language alternations within a document.

Bayesian optimization (BO) has established itself as a leading strategy for efficiently optimizing expensive-to-evaluate functions. Existing BO methods mostly rely on Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models and are not applicable to (doublystochastic) Gaussian Cox processes, where the observation process is modulated by a latent intensity function modeled as a GP. In this paper, we propose a novel maximum a posteriori inference of Gaussian Cox processes. It leverages the Laplace approximation and change of kernel technique to transform the problem into a new reproducing kernel Hilbert space, where it becomes more tractable computationally. It enables us to obtain both a functional posterior of the latent intensity function and the covariance of the posterior, thus extending existing works that often focus on specific link functions or estimating the posterior mean. Using the result, we propose a BO framework based on the Gaussian Cox process model and further develop a Nyström approximation for efficient computation. Extensive evaluations on various synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate significant improvement over state-of-the-art inference solutions for Gaussian Cox processes, as well as effective BO with a wide range of acquisition functions designed through the underlying Gaussian Cox process model. Bayesian optimization (BO) has emerged as a prevalent sample-efficient scheme for global optimization of expensive multimodal functions.

Identifying the underlying time-delayed latent causal processes in sequential data is vital for grasping temporal dynamics and making downstream reasoning. While some recent methods can robustly identify these latent causal variables, they rely on strict assumptions about the invertible generation process from latent variables to observed data. However, these assumptions are often hard to satisfy in real-world applications containing information loss. For instance, the visual perception process translates a 3D space into 2D images, or the phenomenon of persistence of vision incorporates historical data into current perceptions. To address this challenge, we establish an identifiability theory that allows for the recovery of independent latent components even when they come from a nonlinear and non-invertible mix. Using this theory as a foundation, we propose a principled approach, CaRiNG, to learn the CAusal RepresentatIon of Non-invertible Generative temporal data with identifiability guarantees. Specifically, we utilize temporal context to recover lost latent information and apply the conditions in our theory to guide the training process. Through experiments conducted on synthetic datasets, we validate that our CaRiNG method reliably identifies the causal process, even when the generation process is non-invertible. Moreover, we demonstrate that our approach considerably improves temporal understanding and reasoning in practical applications.

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) serve as the cornerstone for understanding causal effects, yet extending inferences to target populations presents challenges due to effect heterogeneity and underrepresentation. Our paper addresses the critical issue of identifying and characterizing underrepresented subgroups in RCTs, proposing a novel framework for refining target populations to improve generalizability. We introduce an optimization-based approach, Rashomon Set of Optimal Trees (ROOT), to characterize underrepresented groups. ROOT optimizes the target subpopulation distribution by minimizing the variance of the target average treatment effect estimate, ensuring more precise treatment effect estimations. Notably, ROOT generates interpretable characteristics of the underrepresented population, aiding researchers in effective communication. Our approach demonstrates improved precision and interpretability compared to alternatives, as illustrated with synthetic data experiments. We apply our methodology to extend inferences from the Starting Treatment with Agonist Replacement Therapies (START) trial -- investigating the effectiveness of medication for opioid use disorder -- to the real-world population represented by the Treatment Episode Dataset: Admissions (TEDS-A). By refining target populations using ROOT, our framework offers a systematic approach to enhance decision-making accuracy and inform future trials in diverse populations.

Maritime transport is a pivotal logistics mode for the long-distance and bulk transportation of goods. However, the intricate planning involved in this mode is often hindered by uncertainties, including weather conditions, cargo diversity, and port dynamics, leading to increased costs. Consequently, accurately estimating vessel total (stay) time at port and potential delays becomes imperative for effective planning and scheduling in port operations. This study aims to develop a port operation solution with competitive prediction and classification capabilities for estimating vessel Total and Delay times. This research addresses a significant gap in port analysis models for vessel Stay and Delay times, offering a valuable contribution to the field of maritime logistics. The proposed solution is designed to assist decision-making in port environments and predict service delays. This is demonstrated through a case study on Brazil ports. Additionally, feature analysis is used to understand the key factors impacting maritime logistics, enhancing the overall understanding of the complexities involved in port operations.

Machine learning is about forecasting. Forecasts, however, obtain their usefulness only through their evaluation. Machine learning has traditionally focused on types of losses and their corresponding regret. Currently, the machine learning community regained interest in calibration. In this work, we show the conceptual equivalence of calibration and regret in evaluating forecasts. We frame the evaluation problem as a game between a forecaster, a gambler and nature. Putting intuitive restrictions on gambler and forecaster, calibration and regret naturally fall out of the framework. In addition, this game links evaluation of forecasts to randomness of outcomes. Random outcomes with respect to forecasts are equivalent to good forecasts with respect to outcomes. We call those dual aspects, calibration and regret, predictiveness and randomness, the four facets of forecast felicity.

Recent advances in depthwise-separable convolutional neural networks (DS-CNNs) have led to novel architectures, that surpass the performance of classical CNNs, by a considerable scalability and accuracy margin. This paper reveals another striking property of DS-CNN architectures: discernible and explainable patterns emerge in their trained depthwise convolutional kernels in all layers. Through an extensive analysis of millions of trained filters, with different sizes and from various models, we employed unsupervised clustering with autoencoders, to categorize these filters. Astonishingly, the patterns converged into a few main clusters, each resembling the difference of Gaussian (DoG) functions, and their first and second-order derivatives. Notably, we were able to classify over 95\% and 90\% of the filters from state-of-the-art ConvNextV2 and ConvNeXt models, respectively. This finding is not merely a technological curiosity; it echoes the foundational models neuroscientists have long proposed for the vision systems of mammals. Our results thus deepen our understanding of the emergent properties of trained DS-CNNs and provide a bridge between artificial and biological visual processing systems. More broadly, they pave the way for more interpretable and biologically-inspired neural network designs in the future.

Modern data mining applications require to perform incremental clustering over dynamic datasets by tracing temporal changes over the resulting clusters. In this paper, we propose A-Posteriori affinity Propagation (APP), an incremental extension of Affinity Propagation (AP) based on cluster consolidation and cluster stratification to achieve faithfulness and forgetfulness. APP enforces incremental clustering where i) new arriving objects are dynamically consolidated into previous clusters without the need to re-execute clustering over the entire dataset of objects, and ii) a faithful sequence of clustering results is produced and maintained over time, while allowing to forget obsolete clusters with decremental learning functionalities. Four popular labeled datasets are used to test the performance of APP with respect to benchmark clustering performances obtained by conventional AP and Incremental Affinity Propagation based on Nearest neighbor Assignment (IAPNA) algorithms. Experimental results show that APP achieves comparable clustering performance while enforcing scalability at the same time.

The most popular classification algorithms are designed to maximize classification accuracy during training. However, this strategy may fail in the presence of class imbalance since it is possible to train models with high accuracy by overfitting to the majority class. On the other hand, the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is a widely used metric to compare classification performance of different algorithms when there is a class imbalance, and various approaches focusing on the direct optimization of this metric during training have been proposed. Among them, SVM-based formulations are especially popular as this formulation allows incorporating different regularization strategies easily. In this work, we develop a prototype learning approach that relies on cutting-plane method, similar to Ranking SVM, to maximize AUC. Our algorithm learns simpler models by iteratively introducing cutting planes, thus overfitting is prevented in an unconventional way. Furthermore, it penalizes the changes in the weights at each iteration to avoid large jumps that might be observed in the test performance, thus facilitating a smooth learning process. Based on the experiments conducted on 73 binary classification datasets, our method yields the best test AUC in 25 datasets among its relevant competitors.

A system of differential-algebraic equations (DAEs) is a combination of differential equations and algebraic equations, in which the differential equations are related to the dynamical evolution of the system, and the algebraic equations are responsible for constraining the solutions that satisfy the differential and algebraic equations. DAEs serve as essential models for a wide array of physical phenomena. They find applications across various domains such as mechanical systems, electrical circuit simulations, chemical process modeling, dynamic system control, biological simulations, and control systems. Consequently, solving these intricate differential equations has remained a significant challenge for researchers. To address this, a range of techniques including numerical, analytical, and semi-analytical methods have been employed to tackle the complexities inherent in solving DAEs.