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 Statistical Learning


Convergence analysis of t-SNE as a gradient flow for point cloud on a manifold

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a theoretical foundation regarding the boundedness of the t-SNE algorithm. t-SNE employs gradient descent iteration with Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as the objective function, aiming to identify a set of points that closely resemble the original data points in a high-dimensional space, minimizing KL divergence. Investigating t-SNE properties such as perplexity and affinity under a weak convergence assumption on the sampled dataset, we examine the behavior of points generated by t-SNE under continuous gradient flow. Demonstrating that points generated by t-SNE remain bounded, we leverage this insight to establish the existence of a minimizer for KL divergence.


Causal Machine Learning for Cost-Effective Allocation of Development Aid

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the United Nations provide a blueprint of a better future by 'leaving no one behind', and, to achieve the SDGs by 2030, poor countries require immense volumes of development aid. In this paper, we develop a causal machine learning framework for predicting heterogeneous treatment effects of aid disbursements to inform effective aid allocation. Specifically, our framework comprises three components: (i) a balancing autoencoder that uses representation learning to embed high-dimensional country characteristics while addressing treatment selection bias; (ii) a counterfactual generator to compute counterfactual outcomes for varying aid volumes to address small sample-size settings; and (iii) an inference model that is used to predict heterogeneous treatment-response curves. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework using data with official development aid earmarked to end HIV/AIDS in 105 countries, amounting to more than USD 5.2 billion. For this, we first show that our framework successfully computes heterogeneous treatment-response curves using semi-synthetic data. Then, we demonstrate our framework using real-world HIV data. Our framework points to large opportunities for a more effective aid allocation, suggesting that the total number of new HIV infections could be reduced by up to 3.3% (~50,000 cases) compared to the current allocation practice.


Survey of Natural Language Processing for Education: Taxonomy, Systematic Review, and Future Trends

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Natural Language Processing (NLP) aims to analyze the text via techniques in the computer science field. It serves the applications in healthcare, commerce, and education domains. Particularly, NLP has been applied to the education domain to help teaching and learning. In this survey, we review recent advances in NLP with a focus on solving problems related to the education domain. In detail, we begin with introducing the relevant background. Then, we present the taxonomy of NLP in the education domain. Next, we illustrate the task definition, challenges, and corresponding techniques based on the above taxonomy. After that, we showcase some off-the-shelf demonstrations in this domain and conclude with future directions.


Reliability and Interpretability in Science and Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, the question of the reliability of Machine Learning (ML) methods has acquired significant importance, and the analysis of the associated uncertainties has motivated a growing amount of research. However, most of these studies have applied standard error analysis to ML models, and in particular Deep Neural Network (DNN) models, which represent a rather significant departure from standard scientific modelling. It is therefore necessary to integrate the standard error analysis with a deeper epistemological analysis of the possible differences between DNN models and standard scientific modelling and the possible implications of these differences in the assessment of reliability. This article offers several contributions. First, it emphasises the ubiquitous role of model assumptions (both in ML and traditional Science) against the illusion of theory-free science. Secondly, model assumptions are analysed from the point of view of their (epistemic) complexity, which is shown to be language-independent. It is argued that the high epistemic complexity of DNN models hinders the estimate of their reliability and also their prospect of long-term progress. Some potential ways forward are suggested. Thirdly, this article identifies the close relation between a model's epistemic complexity and its interpretability, as introduced in the context of responsible AI. This clarifies in which sense, and to what extent, the lack of understanding of a model (black-box problem) impacts its interpretability in a way that is independent of individual skills. It also clarifies how interpretability is a precondition for assessing the reliability of any model, which cannot be based on statistical analysis alone. This article focuses on the comparison between traditional scientific models and DNN models. But, Random Forest and Logistic Regression models are also briefly considered.


Efficient Learning of Long-Range and Equivariant Quantum Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we consider a fundamental task in quantum many-body physics - finding and learning ground states of quantum Hamiltonians and their properties. Recent works have studied the task of predicting the ground state expectation value of sums of geometrically local observables by learning from data. For short-range gapped Hamiltonians, a sample complexity that is logarithmic in the number of qubits and quasipolynomial in the error was obtained. Here we extend these results beyond the local requirements on both Hamiltonians and observables, motivated by the relevance of long-range interactions in molecular and atomic systems. For interactions decaying as a power law with exponent greater than twice the dimension of the system, we recover the same efficient logarithmic scaling with respect to the number of qubits, but the dependence on the error worsens to exponential. Further, we show that learning algorithms equivariant under the automorphism group of the interaction hypergraph achieve a sample complexity reduction, leading in particular to a constant number of samples for learning sums of local observables in systems with periodic boundary conditions. We demonstrate the efficient scaling in practice by learning from DMRG simulations of $1$D long-range and disordered systems with up to $128$ qubits. Finally, we provide an analysis of the concentration of expectation values of global observables stemming from the central limit theorem, resulting in increased prediction accuracy.


CARPE-ID: Continuously Adaptable Re-identification for Personalized Robot Assistance

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In today's Human-Robot Interaction (HRI) scenarios, a prevailing tendency exists to assume that the robot shall cooperate with the closest individual or that the scene involves merely a singular human actor. However, in realistic scenarios, such as shop floor operations, such an assumption may not hold and personalized target recognition by the robot in crowded environments is required. To fulfil this requirement, in this work, we propose a person re-identification module based on continual visual adaptation techniques that ensure the robot's seamless cooperation with the appropriate individual even subject to varying visual appearances or partial or complete occlusions. We test the framework singularly using recorded videos in a laboratory environment and an HRI scenario, i.e., a person-following task by a mobile robot. The targets are asked to change their appearance during tracking and to disappear from the camera field of view to test the challenging cases of occlusion and outfit variations. We compare our framework with one of the state-of-the-art Multi-Object Tracking (MOT) methods and the results show that the CARPE-ID can accurately track each selected target throughout the experiments in all the cases (except two limit cases). At the same time, the s-o-t-a MOT has a mean of 4 tracking errors for each video.


RCT Rejection Sampling for Causal Estimation Evaluation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have proposed methods to adjust for confounding by adapting machine learning methods to the goal of causal estimation. However, empirical evaluation of these adjustment methods has been challenging and limited. In this work, we build on a promising empirical evaluation strategy that simplifies evaluation design and uses real data: subsampling randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to create confounded observational datasets while using the average causal effects from the RCTs as ground-truth. We contribute a new sampling algorithm, which we call RCT rejection sampling, and provide theoretical guarantees that causal identification holds in the observational data to allow for valid comparisons to the ground-truth RCT. Using synthetic data, we show our algorithm indeed results in low bias when oracle estimators are evaluated on the confounded samples, which is not always the case for a previously proposed algorithm. In addition to this identification result, we highlight several finite data considerations for evaluation designers who plan to use RCT rejection sampling on their own datasets. As a proof of concept, we implement an example evaluation pipeline and walk through these finite data considerations with a novel, real-world RCT -- which we release publicly -- consisting of approximately 70k observations and text data as high-dimensional covariates. Together, these contributions build towards a broader agenda of improved empirical evaluation for causal estimation.


Exploring Simple, High Quality Out-of-Distribution Detection with L2 Normalization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We demonstrate that L2 normalization over feature space can produce capable performance for Out-of-Distribution (OoD) detection for some models and datasets. Although it does not demonstrate outright state-of-the-art performance, this method is notable for its extreme simplicity: it requires only two addition lines of code, and does not need specialized loss functions, image augmentations, outlier exposure or extra parameter tuning. We also observe that training may be more efficient for some datasets and architectures. Notably, only 60 epochs with ResNet18 on CIFAR10 (or 100 epochs with ResNet50) can produce performance within two percentage points (AUROC) of several state-of-the-art methods for some near and far OoD datasets. We provide theoretical and empirical support for this method, and demonstrate viability across five architectures and three In-Distribution (ID) datasets.


Exploring the Landscape of Machine Unlearning: A Comprehensive Survey and Taxonomy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine unlearning (MU) is gaining increasing attention due to the need to remove or modify predictions made by machine learning (ML) models. While training models have become more efficient and accurate, the importance of unlearning previously learned information has become increasingly significant in fields such as privacy, security, and fairness. This paper presents a comprehensive survey of MU, covering current state-of-the-art techniques and approaches, including data deletion, perturbation, and model updates. In addition, commonly used metrics and datasets are also presented. The paper also highlights the challenges that need to be addressed, including attack sophistication, standardization, transferability, interpretability, training data, and resource constraints. The contributions of this paper include discussions about the potential benefits of MU and its future directions. Additionally, the paper emphasizes the need for researchers and practitioners to continue exploring and refining unlearning techniques to ensure that ML models can adapt to changing circumstances while maintaining user trust. The importance of unlearning is further highlighted in making Artificial Intelligence (AI) more trustworthy and transparent, especially with the increasing importance of AI in various domains that involve large amounts of personal user data.


A theoretical and empirical study of new adaptive algorithms with additional momentum steps and shifted updates for stochastic non-convex optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

It is known that adaptive optimization algorithms represent the key pillar behind the rise of the Machine Learning field. In the Optimization literature numerous studies have been devoted to accelerated gradient methods but only recently adaptive iterative techniques were analyzed from a theoretical point of view. In the present paper we introduce new adaptive algorithms endowed with momentum terms for stochastic non-convex optimization problems. Our purpose is to show a deep connection between accelerated methods endowed with different inertial steps and AMSGrad-type momentum methods. Our methodology is based on the framework of stochastic and possibly non-convex objective mappings, along with some assumptions that are often used in the investigation of adaptive algorithms. In addition to discussing the finite-time horizon analysis in relation to a certain final iteration and the almost sure convergence to stationary points, we shall also look at the worst-case iteration complexity. This will be followed by an estimate for the expectation of the squared Euclidean norm of the gradient. Various computational simulations for the training of neural networks are being used to support the theoretical analysis. For future research we emphasize that there are multiple possible extensions to our work, from which we mention the investigation regarding non-smooth objective functions and the theoretical analysis of a more general formulation that encompass our adaptive optimizers in a stochastic framework.