Intent learning, which aims to learn users' intents for user understanding and item recommendation, has become a hot research spot in recent years. However, the existing methods suffer from complex and cumbersome alternating optimization, limiting the performance and scalability. To this end, we propose a novel intent learning method termed \underline{ELCRec}, by unifying behavior representation learning into an \underline{E}nd-to-end \underline{L}earnable \underline{C}lustering framework, for effective and efficient \underline{Rec}ommendation. Concretely, we encode users' behavior sequences and initialize the cluster centers (latent intents) as learnable neurons. Then, we design a novel learnable clustering module to separate different cluster centers, thus decoupling users' complex intents. Meanwhile, it guides the network to learn intents from behaviors by forcing behavior embeddings close to cluster centers. This allows simultaneous optimization of recommendation and clustering via mini-batch data. Moreover, we propose intent-assisted contrastive learning by using cluster centers as self-supervision signals, further enhancing mutual promotion. Both experimental results and theoretical analyses demonstrate the superiority of ELCRec from six perspectives. Compared to the runner-up, ELCRec improves NDCG@5 by 8.9\% and reduces computational costs by 22.5\% on Beauty dataset. Furthermore, due to the scalability and universal applicability, we deploy this method on the industrial recommendation system with 130 million page views and achieve promising results.

Deep learning for Hamiltonian regression of quantum systems in material research necessitates satisfying the covariance laws, among which achieving SO(3)-equivariance without sacrificing the expressiveness capability of networks remains unsolved due to the restriction on non-linear mappings in assuring theoretical equivariance. To alleviate the covariance-expressiveness dilemma, we make an exploration on non-linear covariant deep learning with a hybrid framework consisting of two cascaded regression stages. The first stage, i.e., a theoretically-guaranteed covariant neural network modeling symmetry properties of 3D atom systems, predicts baseline Hamiltonians with theoretically covariant features extracted, assisting the second stage in learning covariance. Meanwhile, the second stage, powered by a non-linear 3D graph Transformer network we propose for structural modeling of atomic systems, refines the first stage's output as a fine-grained prediction of Hamiltonians with better expressiveness capability. The novel combination of a theoretically covariant yet inevitably less expressive model with a highly expressive non-linear network enables precise, generalizable predictions while maintaining robust covariance under coordinate transformations. We achieve state-of-the-art performance in Hamiltonian prediction, confirmed through experiments on six crystalline material databases.

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) became the standard tool for function approximation with most of the introduced architectures being developed for high-dimensional input data. However, many real-world problems have low-dimensional inputs for which standard Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs) are the default choice. An investigation into specialized architectures is missing. We propose a novel DNN layer called Univariate Radial Basis Function (U-RBF) layer as an alternative. Similar to sensory neurons in the brain, the U-RBF layer processes each individual input dimension with a population of neurons whose activations depend on different preferred input values. We verify its effectiveness compared to MLPs in low-dimensional function regressions and reinforcement learning tasks. The results show that the U-RBF is especially advantageous when the target function becomes complex and difficult to approximate.

Traditionally, graph neural networks have been trained using a single observed graph. However, the observed graph represents only one possible realization. In many applications, the graph may encounter uncertainties, such as having erroneous or missing edges, as well as edge weights that provide little informative value. To address these challenges and capture additional information previously absent in the observed graph, we introduce latent variables to parameterize and generate multiple graphs. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimate of the network parameters in an Expectation-Maximization (EM) framework based on the multiple graphs. Specifically, we iteratively determine the distribution of the graphs using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, incorporating the principles of PAC-Bayesian theory. Numerical experiments demonstrate improvements in performance against baseline models on node classification for heterogeneous graphs and graph regression on chemistry datasets.

This paper is concerned with the problem of nonlinear filtering, i.e., computing the conditional distribution of the state of a stochastic dynamical system given a history of noisy partial observations. Conventional sequential importance resampling (SIR) particle filters suffer from fundamental limitations, in scenarios involving degenerate likelihoods or high-dimensional states, due to the weight degeneracy issue. In this paper, we explore an alternative method, which is based on estimating the Brenier optimal transport (OT) map from the current prior distribution of the state to the posterior distribution at the next time step. Unlike SIR particle filters, the OT formulation does not require the analytical form of the likelihood. Moreover, it allows us to harness the approximation power of neural networks to model complex and multi-modal distributions and employ stochastic optimization algorithms to enhance scalability. Extensive numerical experiments are presented that compare the OT method to the SIR particle filter and the ensemble Kalman filter, evaluating the performance in terms of sample efficiency, high-dimensional scalability, and the ability to capture complex and multi-modal distributions.

Self-training has gained attraction because of its simplicity and versatility, yet it is vulnerable to noisy pseudo-labels caused by erroneous confidence. Several solutions have been proposed to handle the problem, but they require significant modifications in self-training algorithms or model architecture, and most have limited applicability in tabular domains. To address this issue, we explore a novel direction of reliable confidence in self-training contexts and conclude that the confidence, which represents the value of the pseudo-label, should be aware of the cluster assumption. In this regard, we propose Cluster-Aware Self-Training (CAST) for tabular data, which enhances existing self-training algorithms at a negligible cost without significant modifications. Concretely, CAST regularizes the confidence of the classifier by leveraging local density for each class in the labeled training data, forcing the pseudo-labels in low-density regions to have lower confidence. Extensive empirical evaluations on up to 21 real-world datasets confirm not only the superior performance of CAST but also its robustness in various setups in self-training contexts. Self-training is an iterative algorithm that trains a classifier using a pseudo-labeling procedure, which assigns pseudo-labels to unlabeled data to use as labeled data in each iteration. It is a simple and versatile semi-supervised learning method as it employs the identical training procedure used in supervised learning except for integrating pseudo-labels into the training data. Therefore, it is particularly useful for practitioners in tabular domains, where the dominant architectures are gradient boosting decision trees (GBDTs) which are provided as complete frameworks that do not allow any changes in the training procedure [28; 8; 50]. Contemporary self-training methods consider the confidence, often referred to as prediction probabilities of the classifier, as the score and generate a pseudo-label if the confidence score is higher than or equal to a certain threshold [63; 45]. However, it may not consistently serve as a reliable metric in real-world scenarios for various reasons such as biased classifiers or overconfidence in neural networks [22]. These erroneous confidence scores can lead to the generation of noisy pseudo-labels during the self-training iterations, which may introduce confirmation bias that undermines the final self-training performance [3]. Given these potential pitfalls, relying solely on the confidence may be a precarious choice [72; 47; 64]. Several studies have been conducted to improve erroneous confidence by calibrating the confidence to reflect its ground truth correctness likelihood [22].

This paper describes a family of seasonal and non-seasonal time series models that can be viewed as generalisations of additive and multiplicative exponential smoothing models, to model series that grow faster than linear but slower than exponential. Their development is motivated by fast-growing, volatile time series. In particular, our models have a global trend that can smoothly change from additive to multiplicative, and is combined with a linear local trend. Seasonality when used is multiplicative in our models, and the error is always additive but is heteroscedastic and can grow through a parameter sigma. We leverage state-of-the-art Bayesian fitting techniques to accurately fit these models that are more complex and flexible than standard exponential smoothing models. When applied to the M3 competition data set, our models outperform the best algorithms in the competition as well as other benchmarks, thus achieving to the best of our knowledge the best results of per-series univariate methods on this dataset in the literature. An open-source software package of our method is available.

The Symmetric Information Bottleneck (SIB), an extension of the more familiar Information Bottleneck, is a dimensionality reduction technique that simultaneously compresses two random variables to preserve information between their compressed versions. We introduce the Generalized Symmetric Information Bottleneck (GSIB), which explores different functional forms of the cost of such simultaneous reduction. We then explore the dataset size requirements of such simultaneous compression. We do this by deriving bounds and root-mean-squared estimates of statistical fluctuations of the involved loss functions. We show that, in typical situations, the simultaneous GSIB compression requires qualitatively less data to achieve the same errors compared to compressing variables one at a time. We suggest that this is an example of a more general principle that simultaneous compression is more data efficient than independent compression of each of the input variables.

Misinformation, propaganda, and outright lies proliferate on the web, with some narratives having dangerous real-world consequences on public health, elections, and individual safety. However, despite the impact of misinformation, the research community largely lacks automated and programmatic approaches for tracking news narratives across online platforms. In this work, utilizing daily scrapes of 1,334 unreliable news websites, the large-language model MPNet, and DP-Means clustering, we introduce a system to automatically identify and track the narratives spread within online ecosystems. Identifying 52,036 narratives on these 1,334 websites, we describe the most prevalent narratives spread in 2022 and identify the most influential websites that originate and amplify narratives. Finally, we show how our system can be utilized to detect new narratives originating from unreliable news websites and to aid fact-checkers in more quickly addressing misinformation. We release code and data at https://github.com/hanshanley/specious-sites.

Estimating the parameters of a probabilistic directed graphical model from incomplete data remains a long-standing challenge. This is because, in the presence of latent variables, both the likelihood function and posterior distribution are intractable without further assumptions about structural dependencies or model classes. While existing learning methods are fundamentally based on likelihood maximization, here we offer a new view of the parameter learning problem through the lens of optimal transport. This perspective licenses a general framework that operates on any directed graphs without making unrealistic assumptions on the posterior over the latent variables or resorting to black-box variational approximations. We develop a theoretical framework and support it with extensive empirical evidence demonstrating the flexibility and versatility of our approach. Across experiments, we show that not only can our method recover the ground-truth parameters but it also performs comparably or better on downstream applications, notably the non-trivial task of discrete representation learning.