This paper introduces the Orthogonal Polynomials Quadrature Algorithm for Survival Analysis (OPSurv), a new method providing time-continuous functional outputs for both single and competing risks scenarios in survival analysis. OPSurv utilizes the initial zero condition of the Cumulative Incidence function and a unique decomposition of probability densities using orthogonal polynomials, allowing it to learn functional approximation coefficients for each risk event and construct Cumulative Incidence Function estimates via Gauss--Legendre quadrature. This approach effectively counters overfitting, particularly in competing risks scenarios, enhancing model expressiveness and control. The paper further details empirical validations and theoretical justifications of OPSurv, highlighting its robust performance as an advancement in survival analysis with competing risks.

Counterfactual explanations (CEs) are advocated as being ideally suited to providing algorithmic recourse for subjects affected by the predictions of machine learning models. While CEs can be beneficial to affected individuals, recent work has exposed severe issues related to the robustness of state-of-the-art methods for obtaining CEs. Since a lack of robustness may compromise the validity of CEs, techniques to mitigate this risk are in order. In this survey, we review works in the rapidly growing area of robust CEs and perform an in-depth analysis of the forms of robustness they consider. We also discuss existing solutions and their limitations, providing a solid foundation for future developments.

Weakly supervised learning generally faces challenges in applicability to various scenarios with diverse weak supervision and in scalability due to the complexity of existing algorithms, thereby hindering the practical deployment. This paper introduces a general framework for learning from weak supervision (GLWS) with a novel algorithm. Central to GLWS is an Expectation-Maximization (EM) formulation, adeptly accommodating various weak supervision sources, including instance partial labels, aggregate statistics, pairwise observations, and unlabeled data. We further present an advanced algorithm that significantly simplifies the EM computational demands using a Non-deterministic Finite Automaton (NFA) along with a forward-backward algorithm, which effectively reduces time complexity from quadratic or factorial often required in existing solutions to linear scale. The problem of learning from arbitrary weak supervision is therefore converted to the NFA modeling of them. GLWS not only enhances the scalability of machine learning models but also demonstrates superior performance and versatility across 11 weak supervision scenarios. We hope our work paves the way for further advancements and practical deployment in this field.

Learning utility, or reward, models from pairwise comparisons is a fundamental component in a number of application domains. These approaches inherently entail collecting preference information from people, with feedback often provided anonymously. Since preferences are subjective, there is no gold standard to compare against; yet, reliance of high-impact systems on preference learning creates a strong motivation for malicious actors to skew data collected in this fashion to their ends. We investigate the nature and extent of this vulnerability systematically by considering a threat model in which an attacker can flip a small subset of preference comparisons with the goal of either promoting or demoting a target outcome. First, we propose two classes of algorithmic approaches for these attacks: a principled gradient-based framework, and several variants of rank-by-distance methods. Next, we demonstrate the efficacy of best attacks in both these classes in successfully achieving malicious goals on datasets from three diverse domains: autonomous control, recommendation system, and textual prompt-response preference learning. We find that the best attacks are often highly successful, achieving in the most extreme case 100% success rate with only 0.3% of the data poisoned. However, which attack is best can vary significantly across domains, demonstrating the value of our comprehensive vulnerability analysis that involves several classes of attack algorithms. In addition, we observe that the simpler and more scalable rank-by-distance approaches are often competitive with the best, and on occasion significantly outperform gradient-based methods. Finally, we show that several state-of-the-art defenses against other classes of poisoning attacks exhibit, at best, limited efficacy in our setting.

This paper copes with the COGERSA waste collection process. Up to now, experts have been manually designed the process using a trial and error mechanism. This process is not globally optimized, since it has been progressively and locally built as council demands appear. Planning optimization algorithms usually solve it, but they need a fitness function to evaluate a route planning quality. The drawback is that even experts are not able to propose one in a straightforward way due to the complexity of the process. Hence, the goal of this paper is to build a fitness function though a preference framework, taking advantage of the available expert knowledge and expertise. Several key performance indicators together with preference judgments are carefully established according to the experts for learning a promising fitness function. Particularly, the additivity property of them makes the task be much more affordable, since it allows to work with routes rather than with route plannings. Besides, a feature selection analysis is performed over such indicators, since the experts suspect of a potential existing (but unknown) redundancy among them. The experiment results confirm this hypothesis, since the best $C-$index ($98\%$ against around $94\%$) is reached when 6 or 8 out of 21 indicators are taken. Particularly, truck load seems to be a highly promising key performance indicator, together to the travelled distance along non-main roads. A comparison with other existing approaches shows that the proposed method clearly outperforms them, since the $C-$index goes from $72\%$ or $90\%$ to $98\%$.

Ecological rationality refers to the notion that humans are rational agents adapted to their environment. However, testing this theory remains challenging due to two reasons: the difficulty in defining what tasks are ecologically valid and building rational models for these tasks. In this work, we demonstrate that large language models can generate cognitive tasks, specifically category learning tasks, that match the statistics of real-world tasks, thereby addressing the first challenge. We tackle the second challenge by deriving rational agents adapted to these tasks using the framework of meta-learning, leading to a class of models called ecologically rational meta-learned inference (ERMI). ERMI quantitatively explains human data better than seven other cognitive models in two different experiments. It additionally matches human behavior on a qualitative level: (1) it finds the same tasks difficult that humans find difficult, (2) it becomes more reliant on an exemplar-based strategy for assigning categories with learning, and (3) it generalizes to unseen stimuli in a human-like way. Furthermore, we show that ERMI's ecologically valid priors allow it to achieve state-of-the-art performance on the OpenML-CC18 classification benchmark.

The expected loss is an upper bound to the model generalization error which admits robust PAC-Bayes bounds for learning. However, loss minimization is known to ignore misspecification, where models cannot exactly reproduce observations. This leads to significant underestimates of parameter uncertainties in the large data, or underparameterized, limit. We analyze the generalization error of near-deterministic, misspecified and underparametrized surrogate models, a regime of broad relevance in science and engineering. We show posterior distributions must cover every training point to avoid a divergent generalization error and derive an ensemble {ansatz} that respects this constraint, which for linear models incurs minimal overhead. The efficient approach is demonstrated on model problems before application to high dimensional datasets in atomistic machine learning. Parameter uncertainties from misspecification survive in the underparametrized limit, giving accurate prediction and bounding of test errors.

Gradient compression has surfaced as a key technique to address the challenge of communication efficiency in distributed learning. In distributed deep learning, however, it is observed that gradient distributions are heavy-tailed, with outliers significantly influencing the design of compression strategies. Existing parameter quantization methods experience performance degradation when this heavy-tailed feature is ignored. In this paper, we introduce a novel compression scheme specifically engineered for heavy-tailed gradients, which effectively combines gradient truncation with quantization. This scheme is adeptly implemented within a communication-limited distributed Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) framework. We consider a general family of heavy-tail gradients that follow a power-law distribution, we aim to minimize the error resulting from quantization, thereby determining optimal values for two critical parameters: the truncation threshold and the quantization density. We provide a theoretical analysis on the convergence error bound under both uniform and non-uniform quantization scenarios. Comparative experiments with other benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method in managing the heavy-tailed gradients in a distributed learning environment.

We consider the problem of learning support vector machines robust to uncertainty. It has been established in the literature that typical loss functions, including the hinge loss, are sensible to data perturbations and outliers, thus performing poorly in the setting considered. In contrast, using the 0-1 loss or a suitable non-convex approximation results in robust estimators, at the expense of large computational costs. In this paper we use mixed-integer optimization techniques to derive a new loss function that better approximates the 0-1 loss compared with existing alternatives, while preserving the convexity of the learning problem. In our computational results, we show that the proposed estimator is competitive with the standard SVMs with the hinge loss in outlier-free regimes and better in the presence of outliers.

In this paper, we introduce a kNN-based regression method that synergizes the scalability and adaptability of traditional non-parametric kNN models with a novel variable selection technique. This method focuses on accurately estimating the conditional mean and variance of random response variables, thereby effectively characterizing conditional distributions across diverse scenarios.Our approach incorporates a robust uncertainty quantification mechanism, leveraging our prior estimation work on conditional mean and variance. The employment of kNN ensures scalable computational efficiency in predicting intervals and statistical accuracy in line with optimal non-parametric rates. Additionally, we introduce a new kNN semi-parametric algorithm for estimating ROC curves, accounting for covariates. For selecting the smoothing parameter k, we propose an algorithm with theoretical guarantees.Incorporation of variable selection enhances the performance of the method significantly over conventional kNN techniques in various modeling tasks. We validate the approach through simulations in low, moderate, and high-dimensional covariate spaces. The algorithm's effectiveness is particularly notable in biomedical applications as demonstrated in two case studies. Concluding with a theoretical analysis, we highlight the consistency and convergence rate of our method over traditional kNN models, particularly when the underlying regression model takes values in a low-dimensional space.