Statistical Learning
Explaining Kernel Clustering via Decision Trees
Fleissner, Maximilian, Vankadara, Leena Chennuru, Ghoshdastidar, Debarghya
Despite the growing popularity of explainable and interpretable machine learning, there is still surprisingly limited work on inherently interpretable clustering methods. Recently, there has been a surge of interest in explaining the classic k-means algorithm, leading to efficient algorithms that approximate k-means clusters using axis-aligned decision trees. However, interpretable variants of k-means have limited applicability in practice, where more flexible clustering methods are often needed to obtain useful partitions of the data. In this work, we investigate interpretable kernel clustering, and propose algorithms that construct decision trees to approximate the partitions induced by kernel k-means, a nonlinear extension of k-means. We further build on previous work on explainable k-means and demonstrate how a suitable choice of features allows preserving interpretability without sacrificing approximation guarantees on the interpretable model. The increasing predictive power of machine learning has made it a popular tool in many scientific fields. Sensitive applications such as healthcare or autonomous driving however require more than just good accuracy--it is also crucial for a model's decisions to be interpretable (Tjoa & Guan, 2020; Varshney & Alemzadeh, 2017). Unfortunately, popular machine learning models are not transparent and are often referred to as "black box" approaches. The demand for explainable machine learning has led to the development of several tools over the last few years, albeit mostly for supervised learning. Methods such as LIME or Shapley values (Ribeiro et al., 2016; Lundberg & Lee, 2017) are designed to explain the prediction of any given machine learning model.
Recommendations for Baselines and Benchmarking Approximate Gaussian Processes
Ober, Sebastian W., Artemev, Artem, Wagenlรคnder, Marcel, Grobins, Rudolfs, van der Wilk, Mark
Gaussian processes (GPs) are a mature and widely-used component of the ML toolbox. One of their desirable qualities is automatic hyperparameter selection, which allows for training without user intervention. However, in many realistic settings, approximations are typically needed, which typically do require tuning. We argue that this requirement for tuning complicates evaluation, which has led to a lack of a clear recommendations on which method should be used in which situation. To address this, we make recommendations for comparing GP approximations based on a specification of what a user should expect from a method. In addition, we develop a training procedure for the variational method of Titsias [2009] that leaves no choices to the user, and show that this is a strong baseline that meets our specification. We conclude that benchmarking according to our suggestions gives a clearer view of the current state of the field, and uncovers problems that are still open that future papers should address.
Criterion collapse and loss distribution control
In this work, we consider the notion of "criterion collapse," in which optimization of one metric implies optimality in another, with a particular focus on conditions for collapse into error probability minimizers under a wide variety of learning criteria, ranging from DRO and OCE risks (CVaR, tilted ERM) to non-monotonic criteria underlying recent ascent-descent algorithms explored in the literature (Flooding, SoftAD). We show how collapse in the context of losses with a Bernoulli distribution goes far beyond existing results for CVaR and DRO, then expand our scope to include surrogate losses, showing conditions where monotonic criteria such as tilted ERM cannot avoid collapse, whereas non-monotonic alternatives can.
From Variability to Stability: Advancing RecSys Benchmarking Practices
Shevchenko, Valeriy, Belousov, Nikita, Vasilev, Alexey, Zholobov, Vladimir, Sosedka, Artyom, Semenova, Natalia, Volodkevich, Anna, Savchenko, Andrey, Zaytsev, Alexey
In the rapidly evolving domain of Recommender Systems (RecSys), new algorithms frequently claim state-of-the-art performance based on evaluations over a limited set of arbitrarily selected datasets. However, this approach may fail to holistically reflect their effectiveness due to the significant impact of dataset characteristics on algorithm performance. Addressing this deficiency, this paper introduces a novel benchmarking methodology to facilitate a fair and robust comparison of RecSys algorithms, thereby advancing evaluation practices. By utilizing a diverse set of $30$ open datasets, including two introduced in this work, and evaluating $11$ collaborative filtering algorithms across $9$ metrics, we critically examine the influence of dataset characteristics on algorithm performance. We further investigate the feasibility of aggregating outcomes from multiple datasets into a unified ranking. Through rigorous experimental analysis, we validate the reliability of our methodology under the variability of datasets, offering a benchmarking strategy that balances quality and computational demands. This methodology enables a fair yet effective means of evaluating RecSys algorithms, providing valuable guidance for future research endeavors.
Robust SVD Made Easy: A fast and reliable algorithm for large-scale data analysis
Han, Sangil, Kim, Kyoowon, Jung, Sungkyu
The singular value decomposition (SVD) is a crucial tool in machine learning and statistical data analysis. However, it is highly susceptible to outliers in the data matrix. Existing robust SVD algorithms often sacrifice speed for robustness or fail in the presence of only a few outliers. This study introduces an efficient algorithm, called Spherically Normalized SVD, for robust SVD approximation that is highly insensitive to outliers, computationally scalable, and provides accurate approximations of singular vectors. The proposed algorithm achieves remarkable speed by utilizing only two applications of a standard reduced-rank SVD algorithm to appropriately scaled data, significantly outperforming competing algorithms in computation times. To assess the robustness of the approximated singular vectors and their subspaces against data contamination, we introduce new notions of breakdown points for matrix-valued input, including row-wise, column-wise, and block-wise breakdown points. Theoretical and empirical analyses demonstrate that our algorithm exhibits higher breakdown points compared to standard SVD and its modifications. We empirically validate the effectiveness of our approach in applications such as robust low-rank approximation and robust principal component analysis of high-dimensional microarray datasets. Overall, our study presents a highly efficient and robust solution for SVD approximation that overcomes the limitations of existing algorithms in the presence of outliers.
EcoVal: An Efficient Data Valuation Framework for Machine Learning
Tarun, Ayush K, Chundawat, Vikram S, Mandal, Murari, Tan, Hong Ming, Chen, Bowei, Kankanhalli, Mohan
Quantifying the value of data within a machine learning workflow can play a pivotal role in making more strategic decisions in machine learning initiatives. The existing Shapley value based frameworks for data valuation in machine learning are computationally expensive as they require considerable amount of repeated training of the model to obtain the Shapley value. In this paper, we introduce an efficient data valuation framework EcoVal, to estimate the value of data for machine learning models in a fast and practical manner. Instead of directly working with individual data sample, we determine the value of a cluster of similar data points. This value is further propagated amongst all the member cluster points. We show that the overall data value can be determined by estimating the intrinsic and extrinsic value of each data. This is enabled by formulating the performance of a model as a \textit{production function}, a concept which is popularly used to estimate the amount of output based on factors like labor and capital in a traditional free economic market. We provide a formal proof of our valuation technique and elucidate the principles and mechanisms that enable its accelerated performance. We demonstrate the real-world applicability of our method by showcasing its effectiveness for both in-distribution and out-of-sample data. This work addresses one of the core challenges of efficient data valuation at scale in machine learning models.
Evaluating DTW Measures via a Synthesis Framework for Time-Series Data
Rajput, Kishansingh, Nguyen, Duong Binh, Chen, Guoning
Time-series data originate from various applications that describe specific observations or quantities of interest over time. Their analysis often involves the comparison across different time-series data sequences, which in turn requires the alignment of these sequences. Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) is the standard approach to achieve an optimal alignment between two temporal signals. Different variations of DTW have been proposed to address various needs for signal alignment or classifications. However, a comprehensive evaluation of their performance in these time-series data processing tasks is lacking. Most DTW measures perform well on certain types of time-series data without a clear explanation of the reason. To address that, we propose a synthesis framework to model the variation between two time-series data sequences for comparison. Our synthesis framework can produce a realistic initial signal and deform it with controllable variations that mimic real-world scenarios. With this synthesis framework, we produce a large number of time-series sequence pairs with different but known variations, which are used to assess the performance of a number of well-known DTW measures for the tasks of alignment and classification. We report their performance on different variations and suggest the proper DTW measure to use based on the type of variations between two time-series sequences. This is the first time such a guideline is presented for selecting a proper DTW measure. To validate our conclusion, we apply our findings to real-world applications, i.e., the detection of the formation top for the oil and gas industry and the pattern search in streamlines for flow visualization.
Multi-Fidelity Methods for Optimization: A Survey
Real-world black-box optimization often involves time-consuming or costly experiments and simulations. Multi-fidelity optimization (MFO) stands out as a cost-effective strategy that balances high-fidelity accuracy with computational efficiency through a hierarchical fidelity approach. This survey presents a systematic exploration of MFO, underpinned by a novel text mining framework based on a pre-trained language model. We delve deep into the foundational principles and methodologies of MFO, focusing on three core components -- multi-fidelity surrogate models, fidelity management strategies, and optimization techniques. Additionally, this survey highlights the diverse applications of MFO across several key domains, including machine learning, engineering design optimization, and scientific discovery, showcasing the adaptability and effectiveness of MFO in tackling complex computational challenges. Furthermore, we also envision several emerging challenges and prospects in the MFO landscape, spanning scalability, the composition of lower fidelities, and the integration of human-in-the-loop approaches at the algorithmic level. We also address critical issues related to benchmarking and the advancement of open science within the MFO community. Overall, this survey aims to catalyze further research and foster collaborations in MFO, setting the stage for future innovations and breakthroughs in the field.
Loss Shaping Constraints for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
Hounie, Ignacio, Porras-Valenzuela, Javier, Ribeiro, Alejandro
Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising performance averaged over the predicted window. We observe that this can lead to disparate distributions of errors across forecasting steps, especially for recent transformer architectures trained on popular forecasting benchmarks. That is, optimising performance on average can lead to undesirably large errors at specific time-steps. In this work, we present a Constrained Learning approach for long-term time series forecasting that aims to find the best model in terms of average performance that respects a user-defined upper bound on the loss at each time-step. We call our approach loss shaping constraints because it imposes constraints on the loss at each time step, and leverage recent duality results to show that despite its non-convexity, the resulting problem has a bounded duality gap. We propose a practical Primal-Dual algorithm to tackle it, and demonstrate that the proposed approach exhibits competitive average performance in time series forecasting benchmarks, while shaping the distribution of errors across the predicted window.
Combating Financial Crimes with Unsupervised Learning Techniques: Clustering and Dimensionality Reduction for Anti-Money Laundering
Bakry, Ahmed N., Alsharkawy, Almohammady S., Farag, Mohamed S., Raslan, Kamal R.
Anti-Money Laundering (AML) is a crucial task in ensuring the integrity of financial systems. One keychallenge in AML is identifying high-risk groups based on their behavior. Unsupervised learning, particularly clustering, is a promising solution for this task. However, the use of hundreds of features todescribe behavior results in a highdimensional dataset that negatively impacts clustering performance.In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of combining clustering method agglomerative hierarchicalclustering with four dimensionality reduction techniques -Independent Component Analysis (ICA), andKernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA), Singular Value Decomposition (SVD), Locality Preserving Projections (LPP)- to overcome the issue of high-dimensionality in AML data and improve clusteringresults. This study aims to provide insights into the most effective way of reducing the dimensionality ofAML data and enhance the accuracy of clustering-based AML systems. The experimental results demonstrate that KPCA outperforms other dimension reduction techniques when combined with agglomerativehierarchical clustering. This superiority is observed in the majority of situations, as confirmed by threedistinct validation indices.