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 Statistical Learning


Hitting "Probe"rty with Non-Linearity, and More

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Structural probes learn a linear transformation to find how dependency trees are embedded in the hidden states of language models. This simple design may not allow for full exploitation of the structure of the encoded information. Hence, to investigate the structure of the encoded information to its full extent, we incorporate non-linear structural probes. We reformulate the design of non-linear structural probes introduced by White et al. making its design simpler yet effective. We also design a visualization framework that lets us qualitatively assess how strongly two words in a sentence are connected in the predicted dependency tree. We use this technique to understand which non-linear probe variant is good at encoding syntactical information. Additionally, we also use it to qualitatively investigate the structure of dependency trees that BERT encodes in each of its layers. We find that the radial basis function (RBF) is an effective non-linear probe for the BERT model than the linear probe.


Consensus learning: A novel decentralised ensemble learning paradigm

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The widespread adoption of large-scale machine learning models in recent years highlights the need for distributed computing for efficiency and scalability. This work introduces a novel distributed machine learning paradigm -- \emph{consensus learning} -- which combines classical ensemble methods with consensus protocols deployed in peer-to-peer systems. These algorithms consist of two phases: first, participants develop their models and submit predictions for any new data inputs; second, the individual predictions are used as inputs for a communication phase, which is governed by a consensus protocol. Consensus learning ensures user data privacy, while also inheriting the safety measures against Byzantine attacks from the underlying consensus mechanism. We provide a detailed theoretical analysis for a particular consensus protocol and compare the performance of the consensus learning ensemble with centralised ensemble learning algorithms. The discussion is supplemented by various numerical simulations, which describe the robustness of the algorithms against Byzantine participants.


Conformalized Selective Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty. Selective regression, also known as the "reject option," allows models to abstain from predictions in cases of considerable uncertainty. Initially proposed seven decades ago, approaches to selective regression have mostly focused on distribution-based proxies for measuring uncertainty, particularly conditional variance. However, this focus neglects the significant influence of model-specific biases on a model's performance. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to selective regression by leveraging conformal prediction, which provides grounded confidence measures for individual predictions based on model-specific biases. In addition, we propose a standardized evaluation framework to allow proper comparison of selective regression approaches. Via an extensive experimental approach, we demonstrate how our proposed approach, conformalized selective regression, demonstrates an advantage over multiple state-of-the-art baselines.


A VAE-based Framework for Learning Multi-Level Neural Granger-Causal Connectivity

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Granger causality has been widely used in various application domains to capture lead-lag relationships amongst the components of complex dynamical systems, and the focus in extant literature has been on a single dynamical system. In certain applications in macroeconomics and neuroscience, one has access to data from a collection of related such systems, wherein the modeling task of interest is to extract the shared common structure that is embedded across them, as well as to identify the idiosyncrasies within individual ones. This paper introduces a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) based framework that jointly learns Granger-causal relationships amongst components in a collection of related-yet-heterogeneous dynamical systems, and handles the aforementioned task in a principled way. The performance of the proposed framework is evaluated on several synthetic data settings and benchmarked against existing approaches designed for individual system learning. The method is further illustrated on a real dataset involving time series data from a neurophysiological experiment and produces interpretable results.


Gradient-enhanced deep Gaussian processes for multifidelity modelling

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to compensate for bias or noise in the low-fidelity samples. Deep Gaussian processes (GPs) are attractive for multifidelity modelling as they are non-parametric, robust to overfitting, perform well for small datasets, and, critically, can capture nonlinear and input-dependent relationships between data of different fidelities. Many datasets naturally contain gradient data, especially when they are generated by computational models that are compatible with automatic differentiation or have adjoint solutions. Principally, this work extends deep GPs to incorporate gradient data. We demonstrate this method on an analytical test problem and a realistic partial differential equation problem, where we predict the aerodynamic coefficients of a hypersonic flight vehicle over a range of flight conditions and geometries. In both examples, the gradient-enhanced deep GP outperforms a gradient-enhanced linear GP model and their non-gradient-enhanced counterparts.


From Large to Small Datasets: Size Generalization for Clustering Algorithm Selection

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In clustering algorithm selection, we are given a massive dataset and must efficiently select which clustering algorithm to use. We study this problem in a semi-supervised setting, with an unknown ground-truth clustering that we can only access through expensive oracle queries. Ideally, the clustering algorithm's output will be structurally close to the ground truth. We approach this problem by introducing a notion of size generalization for clustering algorithm accuracy. We identify conditions under which we can (1) subsample the massive clustering instance, (2) evaluate a set of candidate algorithms on the smaller instance, and (3) guarantee that the algorithm with the best accuracy on the small instance will have the best accuracy on the original big instance. We provide theoretical size generalization guarantees for three classic clustering algorithms: single-linkage, k-means++, and (a smoothed variant of) Gonzalez's k-centers heuristic. We validate our theoretical analysis with empirical results, observing that on real-world clustering instances, we can use a subsample of as little as 5% of the data to identify which algorithm is best on the full dataset.


Multimodal Sleep Apnea Detection with Missing or Noisy Modalities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Polysomnography (PSG) is a type of sleep study that records multimodal physiological signals and is widely used for purposes such as sleep staging and respiratory event detection. Conventional machine learning methods assume that each sleep study is associated with a fixed set of observed modalities and that all modalities are available for each sample. However, noisy and missing modalities are a common issue in real-world clinical settings. In this study, we propose a comprehensive pipeline aiming to compensate for the missing or noisy modalities when performing sleep apnea detection. Unlike other existing studies, our proposed model works with any combination of available modalities. Our experiments show that the proposed model outperforms other state-of-the-art approaches in sleep apnea detection using various subsets of available data and different levels of noise, and maintains its high performance (AUROC>0.9) even in the presence of high levels of noise or missingness. This is especially relevant in settings where the level of noise and missingness is high (such as pediatric or outside-of-clinic scenarios).


Swarm UAVs Communication

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The advancement in cyber-physical systems has opened a new way in disaster management and rescue operations. The usage of UAVs is very promising in this context. UAVs, mainly quadcopters, are small in size and their payload capacity is limited. A single UAV can not traverse the whole area. Hence multiple UAVs or swarms of UAVs come into the picture managing the entire payload in a modular and equiproportional manner. In this work we have explored a vast topic related to UAVs. Among the UAVs quadcopter is the main focus. We explored the types of quadcopters, their flying strategy,their communication protocols, architecture and controlling techniques, followed by the swarm behaviour in nature and UAVs. Swarm behaviour and a few swarm optimization algorithms has been explored here. Swarm architecture and communication in between swarm UAV networks also got a special attention in our work. In disaster management the UAV swarm network must have to search a large area. And for this proper path planning algorithm is required. We have discussed the existing path planning algorithm, their advantages and disadvantages in great detail. Formation maintenance of the swarm network is an important issue which has been explored through leader-follower technique. The wireless path loss model has been modelled using friis and ground ray reflection model. Using this path loss models we have managed to create the link budget and simulate the variation of communication link performance with the variation of distance.


Hierarchical energy signatures using machine learning for operational visibility and diagnostics in automotive manufacturing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Manufacturing energy consumption data contains important process signatures required for operational visibility and diagnostics. These signatures may be of different temporal scales, ranging from monthly to sub-second resolutions. We introduce a hierarchical machine learning approach to identify automotive process signatures from paint shop electricity consumption data at varying temporal scales (weekly and daily). A Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) combined with Logistic Regression (LR) are used for the analysis. We validate the utility of the developed algorithms with subject matter experts for (i) better operational visibility, and (ii) identifying energy saving opportunities.


Cryptanalysis and improvement of multimodal data encryption by machine-learning-based system

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the rising popularity of the internet and the widespread use of networks and information systems via the cloud and data centers, the privacy and security of individuals and organizations have become extremely crucial. In this perspective, encryption consolidates effective technologies that can effectively fulfill these requirements by protecting public information exchanges. To achieve these aims, the researchers used a wide assortment of encryption algorithms to accommodate the varied requirements of this field, as well as focusing on complex mathematical issues during their work to substantially complicate the encrypted communication mechanism. as much as possible to preserve personal information while significantly reducing the possibility of attacks. Depending on how complex and distinct the requirements established by these various applications are, the potential of trying to break them continues to occur, and systems for evaluating and verifying the cryptographic algorithms implemented continue to be necessary. The best approach to analyzing an encryption algorithm is to identify a practical and efficient technique to break it or to learn ways to detect and repair weak aspects in algorithms, which is known as cryptanalysis. Experts in cryptanalysis have discovered several methods for breaking the cipher, such as discovering a critical vulnerability in mathematical equations to derive the secret key or determining the plaintext from the ciphertext. There are various attacks against secure cryptographic algorithms in the literature, and the strategies and mathematical solutions widely employed empower cryptanalysts to demonstrate their findings, identify weaknesses, and diagnose maintenance failures in algorithms.