Cognitive diagnosis models have been widely used in different areas, especially intelligent education, to measure users' proficiency levels on knowledge concepts, based on which users can get personalized instructions. As the measurement is not always reliable due to the weak links of the models and data, the uncertainty of measurement also offers important information for decisions. However, the research on the uncertainty estimation lags behind that on advanced model structures for cognitive diagnosis. Existing approaches have limited efficiency and leave an academic blank for sophisticated models which have interaction function parameters (e.g., deep learning-based models). To address these problems, we propose a unified uncertainty estimation approach for a wide range of cognitive diagnosis models. Specifically, based on the idea of estimating the posterior distributions of cognitive diagnosis model parameters, we first provide a unified objective function for mini-batch based optimization that can be more efficiently applied to a wide range of models and large datasets. Then, we modify the reparameterization approach in order to adapt to parameters defined on different domains. Furthermore, we decompose the uncertainty of diagnostic parameters into data aspect and model aspect, which better explains the source of uncertainty. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method is effective and can provide useful insights into the uncertainty of cognitive diagnosis.

Analysis of non-typical emotions, such as stress, depression and engagement is less common and more complex compared to that of frequently discussed emotions like happiness, sadness, fear, and anger. The importance of these non-typical emotions has been increasingly recognized due to their implications on mental health and well-being. Stress and depression impact the engagement in daily tasks, highlighting the need to understand their interplay. This survey is the first to simultaneously explore computational methods for analyzing stress, depression, and engagement. We discuss the most commonly used datasets, input modalities, data processing techniques, and information fusion methods used for the computational analysis of stress, depression and engagement. A timeline and taxonomy of non-typical emotion analysis approaches along with their generic pipeline and categories are presented. Subsequently, we describe state-of-the-art computational approaches for non-typical emotion analysis, including a performance summary on the most commonly used datasets. Following this, we explore the applications, along with the associated challenges, limitations, and future research directions.

Spatio-Temporal (ST) prediction is crucial for making informed decisions in urban location-based applications like ride-sharing. However, existing ST models often require region partition as a prerequisite, resulting in two main pitfalls. Firstly, location-based services necessitate ad-hoc regions for various purposes, requiring multiple ST models with varying scales and zones, which can be costly to support. Secondly, different ST models may produce conflicting outputs, resulting in confusing predictions. In this paper, we propose One4All-ST, a framework that can conduct ST prediction for arbitrary modifiable areal units using only one model. To reduce the cost of getting multi-scale predictions, we design an ST network with hierarchical spatial modeling and scale normalization modules to efficiently and equally learn multi-scale representations. To address prediction inconsistencies across scales, we propose a dynamic programming scheme to solve the formulated optimal combination problem, minimizing predicted error through theoretical analysis. Besides, we suggest using an extended quad-tree to index the optimal combinations for quick response to arbitrary modifiable areal units in practical online scenarios. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets verify the efficiency and effectiveness of One4All-ST in ST prediction for arbitrary modifiable areal units. The source codes and data of this work are available at https://github.com/uctb/One4All-ST.

Recently, influence functions present an apparatus for achieving explainability for deep neural models by quantifying the perturbation of individual train instances that might impact a test prediction. Our objectives in this paper are twofold. First we incorporate influence functions as a feedback into the model to improve its performance. Second, in a dataset extension exercise, using influence functions to automatically identify data points that have been initially `silver' annotated by some existing method and need to be cross-checked (and corrected) by annotators to improve the model performance. To meet these objectives, in this paper, we introduce InfFeed, which uses influence functions to compute the influential instances for a target instance. Toward the first objective, we adjust the label of the target instance based on its influencer(s) label. In doing this, InfFeed outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines (including LLMs) by a maximum macro F1-score margin of almost 4% for hate speech classification, 3.5% for stance classification, and 3% for irony and 2% for sarcasm detection. Toward the second objective we show that manually re-annotating only those silver annotated data points in the extension set that have a negative influence can immensely improve the model performance bringing it very close to the scenario where all the data points in the extension set have gold labels. This allows for huge reduction of the number of data points that need to be manually annotated since out of the silver annotated extension dataset, the influence function scheme picks up ~1/1000 points that need manual correction.

Despite their performance and widespread use, little is known about the theory of Random Forests. A major unanswered question is whether, or when, the Random Forest algorithm is consistent. The literature explores various variants of the classic Random Forest algorithm to address this question and known short-comings of the method. This paper is a contribution to this literature. Specifically, the suitability of grafting consistent estimators onto a shallow CART is explored. It is shown that this approach has a consistency guarantee and performs well in empirical settings.

Semi-supervised datasets are ubiquitous across diverse domains where obtaining fully labeled data is costly or time-consuming. The prevalence of such datasets has consistently driven the demand for new tools and methods that exploit the potential of unlabeled data. Responding to this demand, we introduce semi-supervised U-statistics enhanced by the abundance of unlabeled data, and investigate their statistical properties. We show that the proposed approach is asymptotically Normal and exhibits notable efficiency gains over classical U-statistics by effectively integrating various powerful prediction tools into the framework. To understand the fundamental difficulty of the problem, we derive minimax lower bounds in semi-supervised settings and showcase that our procedure is semi-parametrically efficient under regularity conditions. Moreover, tailored to bivariate kernels, we propose a refined approach that outperforms the classical U-statistic across all degeneracy regimes, and demonstrate its optimality properties. Simulation studies are conducted to corroborate our findings and to further demonstrate our framework.

Bayesian optimization (BO) has shown impressive results in a variety of applications within low-to-moderate dimensional Euclidean spaces. However, extending BO to high-dimensional settings remains a significant challenge. We address this challenge by proposing a two-step optimization framework. Initially, we identify the effective dimension reduction (EDR) subspace for the objective function using the minimum average variance estimation (MAVE) method. Subsequently, we construct a Gaussian process model within this EDR subspace and optimize it using the expected improvement criterion. Our algorithm offers the flexibility to operate these steps either concurrently or in sequence. In the sequential approach, we meticulously balance the exploration-exploitation trade-off by distributing the sampling budget between subspace estimation and function optimization, and the convergence rate of our algorithm in high-dimensional contexts has been established. Numerical experiments validate the efficacy of our method in challenging scenarios.

Advanced machine learning methods, and more prominently neural networks, have become standard to solve inverse problems over the last years. However, the theoretical recovery guarantees of such methods are still scarce and difficult to achieve. Only recently did unsupervised methods such as Deep Image Prior (DIP) get equipped with convergence and recovery guarantees for generic loss functions when trained through gradient flow with an appropriate initialization. In this paper, we extend these results by proving that these guarantees hold true when using gradient descent with an appropriately chosen step-size/learning rate. We also show that the discretization only affects the overparametrization bound for a two-layer DIP network by a constant and thus that the different guarantees found for the gradient flow will hold for gradient descent.

Authorship Attribution is the task of creating an appropriate characterization of text that captures the authors' writing style to identify the original author of a given piece of text. With increased anonymity on the internet, this task has become increasingly crucial in various security and plagiarism detection fields. Despite significant advancements in other languages such as English, Spanish, and Chinese, Bangla lacks comprehensive research in this field due to its complex linguistic feature and sentence structure. Moreover, existing systems are not scalable when the number of author increases, and the performance drops for small number of samples per author. In this paper, we propose the use of Average-Stochastic Gradient Descent Weight-Dropped Long Short-Term Memory (AWD-LSTM) architecture and an effective transfer learning approach that addresses the problem of complex linguistic features extraction and scalability for authorship attribution in Bangla Literature (AABL). We analyze the effect of different tokenization, such as word, sub-word, and character level tokenization, and demonstrate the effectiveness of these tokenizations in the proposed model. Moreover, we introduce the publicly available Bangla Authorship Attribution Dataset of 16 authors (BAAD16) containing 17,966 sample texts and 13.4+ million words to solve the standard dataset scarcity problem and release six variations of pre-trained language models for use in any Bangla NLP downstream task. For evaluation, we used our developed BAAD16 dataset as well as other publicly available datasets. Empirically, our proposed model outperformed state-of-the-art models and achieved 99.8% accuracy in the BAAD16 dataset. Furthermore, we showed that the proposed system scales much better even with an increasing number of authors, and performance remains steady despite few training samples.

Credit card fraud is a major cause of national concern in the Nigerian financial sector, affecting hundreds of transactions per second and impacting international e-commerce negatively. Despite the rapid spread and adoption of online marketing, millions of Nigerians are prevented from transacting in several countries with local credit cards due to bans and policies directed at restricting credit card fraud. Presently, a myriad of technologies exist to detect fraudulent transactions, a few of which are adopted by Nigerian financial institutions to proactively manage the situation. Fraud detection allows institutions to restrict offenders from networks and with a centralized banking identity management system, such as the Bank Verification Number used by the Central Bank of Nigeria, offenders who may have stolen other people's identities can be back-traced and their bank accounts frozen. This paper aims to compare the effectiveness of two fraud detection technologies that are projected to work fully independent of human intervention to possibly predict and detect fraudulent credit card transactions. Autoencoders as an Unsupervised Tensorflow-Based Anomaly Detection Technique generally offers greater performance in dimensionality reduction than the Principal Component Analysis, and this theory was tested out on Nigerian credit card transaction data. Results demonstrate that autoencoders are better suited to analyzing complex and extensive datasets and offer more reliable results with minimal mislabeling than the PCA algorithm.