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 Statistical Learning


MoEMeta: Mixture-of-Experts Meta Learning for Few-Shot Relational Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Few-shot knowledge graph relational learning seeks to perform reasoning over relations given only a limited number of training examples. While existing approaches largely adopt a meta-learning framework for enabling fast adaptation to new relations, they suffer from two key pitfalls. First, they learn relation metaknowledge in isolation, failing to capture common relational patterns shared across tasks. Second, they struggle to effectively incorporate local, task-specific contexts crucial for rapid adaptation. To address these limitations, we propose MoEMeta, a novel meta-learning framework that disentangles globally shared knowledge from task-specific contexts to enable both effective model generalization and rapid adaptation. MoEMeta introduces two key innovations: (i) a mixture-of-experts (MoE) model that learns globally shared relational prototypes to enhance generalization, and (ii) a task-tailored adaptation mechanism that captures local contexts for fast task-specific adaptation.



Asymptotics of SGD in Sequence-Single Index Models and Single-Layer Attention Networks

Neural Information Processing Systems

We study the dynamics of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for a class of sequence models termed Sequence Single-Index (SSI) models, where the target depends on a single direction in input space applied to a sequence of tokens. This setting generalizes classical single-index models to the sequential domain, encompassing simplified one-layer attention architectures. We derive a closed-form expression for the population loss in terms of a pair of sufficient statistics capturing semantic and positional alignment, and characterize the induced high-dimensional SGD dynamics for these coordinates. Our analysis reveals two distinct training phases: escape from uninformative initialization and alignment with the target subspace, and demonstrates how the sequence length and positional encoding influence convergence speed and learning trajectories. These results provide a rigorous and interpretable foundation for understanding how sequential structure in data can be beneficial for learning with attention-based models. Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is the core optimization tool driving modern machine learning. Recent years have seen substantial progress in understanding its dynamics, particularly in two-layer networks [Saad and Solla, 1995, Mei et al., 2018, Chizat and Bach, 2018, Rotskoff and VandenEijnden, 2022, Sirignano and Spiliopoulos, 2020, Arnaboldi et al., 2023a]. While global convergence is qualitatively well-understood when the network is wide enough, quantitative results are scarcer. A particularly fruitful body of recent theoretical work addressing this gap has focused on deriving precise convergence rates for particular model classes on synthetic data, such as high-dimensional Gaussian single and multi-index models [Ben Arous et al., 2021, Abbe et al., 2022, 2023].


Learned

Neural Information Processing Systems

The quality of foundation models depends heavily on their training data. Consequently, great efforts have been put into dataset curation. Yet most approaches rely on manual tuning of coarse-grained mixtures of large buckets of data, or filtering by hand-crafted heuristics. An approach that is ultimately more scalable (let alone more satisfying) is to learn which data is actually valuable for training. This type of meta-learning could allow more sophisticated, fine-grained, and effective curation. Our proposed DataRater is an instance of this idea. It estimates the value of training on any particular data point. This is done by meta-learning using'meta-gradients', with the objective of improving training efficiency on held out data. In extensive experiments across a range of model scales and datasets, we find that using our DataRater to filter data is highly effective, resulting in significantly improved compute efficiency.


Learning from ASingle Markovian Trajectory: Optimality and Variance Reduction

Neural Information Processing Systems

In this paper, we consider the general stochastic non-convex optimization problem when the sampling process follows a Markov chain. This problem exhibits its significance in capturing many real-world applications, ranging from asynchronous distributed learning to reinforcement learning. In particular, we consider the worst case where one has no prior knowledge and control of the Markov chain, meaning multiple trajectories cannot be simulated but only a single trajectory is available for algorithm design. We first provide algorithm-independent lower bounds with โ„ฆ(ฯต 3) (and โ„ฆ(ฯต 4)) samples, when objectives are (mean-squared) smooth, for any first-order methods accessing bounded variance gradient oracles to achieve ฯต-approximate critical solutions of original problems. Then, we propose MarkovChain SPIDER (MaC-SPIDER), which leverages variance-reduced techniques, to achieve a O(ฯต 3) upper bound for mean-squared smooth objective functions. To the best of our knowledge, MaC-SPIDER is the first to achieve O(ฯต 3)complexity when sampling from a single Markovian trajectory. And our proposed lower bound concludes its (near) optimality.


Complexity Scaling Laws for Neural Models using Combinatorial Optimization

Neural Information Processing Systems

Recent work on neural scaling laws demonstrates that model performance scales predictably with compute budget, model size, and dataset size. In this work, we develop scaling laws based on problem complexity. We analyze two fundamental complexity measures: solution space size and representation space size. Using the Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP) as a case study, we show that combinatorial optimization promotes smooth cost trends, and therefore meaningful scaling laws can be obtained even in the absence of an interpretable loss. We then show that suboptimality grows predictably for fixed-size models when scaling the number of TSP nodes or spatial dimensions, independent of whether the model was trained with reinforcement learning or supervised fine-tuning on a static dataset. We conclude with an analogy to problem complexity scaling in local search, showing that a much simpler gradient descent of the cost landscape produces similar trends.1


Stab-SGD: Noise-Adaptivity in Smooth Optimization with Stability Ratios

Neural Information Processing Systems

In the context of smooth stochastic optimization with first order methods, we introduce the stability ratio of gradient estimates, as a measure of local relative noise level, from zero for pure noise to one for negligible noise. We show that a schedulefree variant (Stab-SGD) of stochastic gradient descent obtained by just shrinking the learning rate by the stability ratio achieves real adaptivity to noise levels (i.e.


Fairness-Regularized Online Optimization with Switching Costs

Neural Information Processing Systems

Fairness and action smoothness are two crucial considerations in many online optimization problems, but they have yet to be addressed simultaneously. In this paper, we study a new and challenging setting of fairness-regularized smoothed online convex optimization with switching costs. First, to highlight the fundamental challenges introduced by the long-term fairness regularizer evaluated based on the entire sequence of actions, we prove that even without switching costs, no online algorithms can possibly achieve a sublinear regret or finite competitive ratio compared to the offline optimal algorithm as the problem episode length T increases. Then, we propose FairOBD(Fairness-regularized Online Balanced Descent), which reconciles the tension between minimizing the hitting cost, switching cost, and fairness cost.


Lifelong Test-Time Adaptation via Online Learning in Tracked Low-Dimensional Subspace

Neural Information Processing Systems

Test-time adaptation (TTA) aims to adapt a source model to a target domain using only test data. Existing methods predominantly rely on unsupervised entropy minimization or its variants, which suffer from degeneration, leading to trivial solutions with low-entropy but inaccurate predictions. In this work, we identify entropy-deceptive (ED) samples, instances where the model makes highly confident yet incorrect predictions, as the underlying cause of degeneration. Further, we reveal that the gradients of entropy minimization in TTA have an intrinsic lowdimensional structure, driven primarily by entropy-truthful (ET) samples whose gradients are highly correlated. In contrast, ED samples have scattered, less correlated gradients. Leveraging this observation, we show that the detrimental impact of ED samples can be suppressed by constraining model updates within the principal subspace of backward gradients. Building on this insight, we propose LCoTTA, a lifelong continual TTA method that tracks the principal subspace of gradients online and utilizes their projections onto this subspace for adaptation. Further, we provide theoretical analysis to show that the proposed subspace-based method can enhance the robustness against detrimental ED samples. Extensive experiments demonstrate that LCoTTA effectively overcomes degeneration and significantly outperforms existing methods in long-term continual adaptation scenarios.


Preference-Based Dynamic Ranking Structure Recognition

Neural Information Processing Systems

Preference-based data often appear complex and noisy but may conceal underlying homogeneous structures. This paper introduces a novel framework of ranking structure recognition for preference-based data. We first develop an approach to identify dynamic ranking groups by incorporating temporal penalties into a spectral estimation for the celebrated Bradley-Terry model. To detect structural changes, we introduce an innovative objective function and present a practicable algorithm based on dynamic programming. Theoretically, we establish the consistency of ranking group recognition by exploiting properties of a random'design matrix' induced by a reversible Markov chain. We also tailor a group inverse technique to quantify the uncertainty in item ability estimates. Additionally, we prove the consistency of structure change recognition, ensuring the robustness of the proposed framework. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the practical utility and interpretability of our approach.