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 Statistical Learning


A Novel Algorithm for Community Detection in Networks using Rough Sets and Consensus Clustering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Complex networks, such as those in social, biological, and technological systems, often present challenges to the task of community detection. Our research introduces a novel rough clustering based consensus community framework (RC-CCD) for effective structure identification of network communities. The RC-CCD method employs rough set theory to handle uncertainties within data and utilizes a consensus clustering approach to aggregate multiple clustering results, enhancing the reliability and accuracy of community detection. This integration allows the RC-CCD to effectively manage overlapping communities, which are often present in complex networks. This approach excels at detecting overlapping communities, offering a detailed and accurate representation of network structures. Comprehensive testing on benchmark networks generated by the Lancichinetti-Fortunato-Radicchi method showcased the strength and adaptability of the new proposal to varying node degrees and community sizes. Cross-comparisons of RC-CCD versus other well known detection algorithms outcomes highlighted its stability and adaptability.


Generalization bounds for mixing processes via delayed online-to-PAC conversions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study the generalization error of statistical learning algorithms in a non-i.i.d. setting, where the training data is sampled from a stationary mixing process. We develop an analytic framework for this scenario based on a reduction to online learning with delayed feedback. In particular, we show that the existence of an online learning algorithm with bounded regret (against a fixed statistical learning algorithm in a specially constructed game of online learning with delayed feedback) implies low generalization error of said statistical learning method even if the data sequence is sampled from a mixing time series. The rates demonstrate a trade-off between the amount of delay in the online learning game and the degree of dependence between consecutive data points, with near-optimal rates recovered in a number of well-studied settings when the delay is tuned appropriately as a function of the mixing time of the process.


Predicting the energetic proton flux with a machine learning regression algorithm

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

ABSTRACT The need of real-time of monitoring and alerting systems for Space Weather hazards has grown significantly in the last two decades. One of the most important challenge for space mission operations and planning is the prediction of solar proton events (SPEs). In this context, artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques have opened a new frontier, providing a new paradigm for statistical forecasting algorithms. The great majority of these models aim to predict the occurrence of a SPE, i.e., they are based on the classification approach. In this work we present a simple and efficient machine learning regression algorithm which is able to forecast the energetic proton flux up to 1 hour ahead by exploiting features derived from the electron flux only. This approach could be helpful to improve monitoring systems of the radiation risk in both deep space and near-Earth environments. The model is very relevant for mission operations and planning, especially when flare characteristics and source location are not available in real time, as at Mars distance. INTRODUCTION Solar Proton Events (SPEs) are pronounced enhancements of the energetic proton flux measured by instruments placed on different space probes across the Heliosphere. Solar protons can reach high energies, say tens of GeVs, as a consequence of different acceleration processes occurring at the Sun in association with transient phenomena like solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs; Kahler et al. 1984; Shea & Smart 1990; Aschwanden 2002; Iucci et al. 2005). Then, particles travel along interplanetary magnetic field lines and can produce a geoeffective SPE that can be detected by instruments placed on Earth-orbiting satellites, such as the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES).


AntibodyFlow: Normalizing Flow Model for Designing Antibody Complementarity-Determining Regions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Therapeutic antibodies have been extensively studied in drug discovery and development in the past decades. Antibodies are specialized protective proteins that bind to antigens in a lock-to-key manner. The binding strength/affinity between an antibody and a specific antigen is heavily determined by the complementarity-determining regions (CDRs) on the antibodies. Existing machine learning methods cast in silico development of CDRs as either sequence or 3D graph (with a single chain) generation tasks and have achieved initial success. However, with CDR loops having specific geometry shapes, learning the 3D geometric structures of CDRs remains a challenge. To address this issue, we propose AntibodyFlow, a 3D flow model to design antibody CDR loops. Specifically, AntibodyFlow first constructs the distance matrix, then predicts amino acids conditioned on the distance matrix. Also, AntibodyFlow conducts constraint learning and constrained generation to ensure valid 3D structures. Experimental results indicate that AntibodyFlow outperforms the best baseline consistently with up to 16.0% relative improvement in validity rate and 24.3% relative reduction in geometric graph level error (root mean square deviation, RMSD).


Exploring Sensing Devices for Heart and Lung Sound Monitoring

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents a comprehensive review of cardiorespiratory auscultation sensing devices which is useful for understanding the theoretical aspects of sensing devices, as well as practical notes to design novel sensing devices. One of the methods to design a stethoscope is using electret condenser microphones (ECM). In this paper, we first introduce the acoustic properties of the heart and lungs, as well as a brief history of stethoscope evolution. Then, we discuss the basic concept of ECM sensors and a recent stethoscope based on this technology. In response to the limitations of ECM-based systems, we explore the potential of microelectromechanical systems (MEMS), particularly focusing on piezoelectric transducer (PZT) sensors. This paper comprehensively reviews sensing technologies, emphasizing innovative MEMS-based designs for wearable cardiopulmonary auscultation in the past decade. To our knowledge, this is the first paper to summarize ECM and MEMS applications for heart and lung sound analysis. Keywords: Micro-electro-mechanical Systems (MEMS); Electret Condenser Microphone (ECM); Wearable Sensing Devices; Cardiorespiratory Auscultation; Phonocardiography (PCG); Heart Sound; Lung Sound


Beyond Visual Appearances: Privacy-sensitive Objects Identification via Hybrid Graph Reasoning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Privacy-sensitive Object Identification (POI) task allocates bounding boxes for privacy-sensitive objects in a scene. The key to POI is settling an object's privacy class (privacy-sensitive or non-privacy-sensitive). In contrast to conventional object classes which are determined by the visual appearance of an object, one object's privacy class is derived from the scene contexts and is subject to various implicit factors beyond its visual appearance. That is, visually similar objects may be totally opposite in their privacy classes. To explicitly derive the objects' privacy class from the scene contexts, in this paper, we interpret the POI task as a visual reasoning task aimed at the privacy of each object in the scene. Following this interpretation, we propose the PrivacyGuard framework for POI. PrivacyGuard contains three stages. i) Structuring: an unstructured image is first converted into a structured, heterogeneous scene graph that embeds rich scene contexts. ii) Data Augmentation: a contextual perturbation oversampling strategy is proposed to create slightly perturbed privacy-sensitive objects in a scene graph, thereby balancing the skewed distribution of privacy classes. iii) Hybrid Graph Generation & Reasoning: the balanced, heterogeneous scene graph is then transformed into a hybrid graph by endowing it with extra "node-node" and "edge-edge" homogeneous paths. These homogeneous paths allow direct message passing between nodes or edges, thereby accelerating reasoning and facilitating the capturing of subtle context changes. Based on this hybrid graph... **For the full abstract, see the original paper.**


Federated Learning with Limited Node Labels

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Subgraph federated learning (SFL) is a research methodology that has gained significant attention for its potential to handle distributed graph-structured data. In SFL, the local model comprises graph neural networks (GNNs) with a partial graph structure. However, some SFL models have overlooked the significance of missing cross-subgraph edges, which can lead to local GNNs being unable to message-pass global representations to other parties' GNNs. Moreover, existing SFL models require substantial labeled data, which limits their practical applications. To overcome these limitations, we present a novel SFL framework called FedMpa that aims to learn cross-subgraph node representations. FedMpa first trains a multilayer perceptron (MLP) model using a small amount of data and then propagates the federated feature to the local structures. To further improve the embedding representation of nodes with local subgraphs, we introduce the FedMpae method, which reconstructs the local graph structure with an innovation view that applies pooling operation to form super-nodes. Our extensive experiments on six graph datasets demonstrate that FedMpa is highly effective in node classification. Furthermore, our ablation experiments verify the effectiveness of FedMpa.


TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methods

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Time series are generated in diverse domains such as economic, traffic, health, and energy, where forecasting of future values has numerous important applications. Not surprisingly, many forecasting methods are being proposed. To ensure progress, it is essential to be able to study and compare such methods empirically in a comprehensive and reliable manner. To achieve this, we propose TFB, an automated benchmark for Time Series Forecasting (TSF) methods. TFB advances the state-of-the-art by addressing shortcomings related to datasets, comparison methods, and evaluation pipelines: 1) insufficient coverage of data domains, 2) stereotype bias against traditional methods, and 3) inconsistent and inflexible pipelines. To achieve better domain coverage, we include datasets from 10 different domains: traffic, electricity, energy, the environment, nature, economic, stock markets, banking, health, and the web. We also provide a time series characterization to ensure that the selected datasets are comprehensive. To remove biases against some methods, we include a diverse range of methods, including statistical learning, machine learning, and deep learning methods, and we also support a variety of evaluation strategies and metrics to ensure a more comprehensive evaluations of different methods. To support the integration of different methods into the benchmark and enable fair comparisons, TFB features a flexible and scalable pipeline that eliminates biases. Next, we employ TFB to perform a thorough evaluation of 21 Univariate Time Series Forecasting (UTSF) methods on 8,068 univariate time series and 14 Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) methods on 25 datasets. The benchmark code and data are available at https://github.com/decisionintelligence/TFB.


Efficient algorithms for implementing incremental proximal-point methods

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Model training algorithms which observe a small portion of the training set in each computational step are ubiquitous in practical machine learning, and include both stochastic and online optimization methods. In the vast majority of cases, such algorithms typically observe the training samples via the gradients of the cost functions the samples incur. Thus, these methods exploit are the slope of the cost functions via their first-order approximations. To address limitations of gradient-based methods, such as sensitivity to step-size choice in the stochastic setting, or inability to use small function variability in the online setting, several streams of research attempt to exploit more information about the cost functions than just their gradients via the well-known proximal operators. However, implementing such methods in practice poses a challenge, since each iteration step boils down to computing the proximal operator, which may not be easy. In this work we devise a novel algorithmic framework, which exploits convex duality theory to achieve both algorithmic efficiency and software modularity of proximal operator implementations, in order to make experimentation with incremental proximal optimization algorithms accessible to a larger audience of researchers and practitioners, by reducing the gap between their theoretical description in research papers and their use in practice. We provide a reference Python implementation for the framework developed in this paper as an open source library at on https://github.com/alexshtf/inc_prox_pt/releases/tag/prox_pt_paper, along with examples which demonstrate our implementation on a variety of problems, and reproduce the numerical experiments in this paper. The pure Python reference implementation is not necessarily the most efficient, but is a basis for creating efficient implementations by combining Python with a native backend.


Foundation Models for Time Series Analysis: A Tutorial and Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Time series analysis stands as a focal point within the data mining community, serving as a cornerstone for extracting valuable insights crucial to a myriad of real-world applications. Recent advances in Foundation Models (FMs) have fundamentally reshaped the paradigm of model design for time series analysis, boosting various downstream tasks in practice. These innovative approaches often leverage pre-trained or fine-tuned FMs to harness generalized knowledge tailored for time series analysis. This survey aims to furnish a comprehensive and up-to-date overview of FMs for time series analysis. While prior surveys have predominantly focused on either application or pipeline aspects of FMs in time series analysis, they have often lacked an in-depth understanding of the underlying mechanisms that elucidate why and how FMs benefit time series analysis. To address this gap, our survey adopts a methodology-centric classification, delineating various pivotal elements of time-series FMs, including model architectures, pre-training techniques, adaptation methods, and data modalities. Overall, this survey serves to consolidate the latest advancements in FMs pertinent to time series analysis, accentuating their theoretical underpinnings, recent strides in development, and avenues for future exploration.