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 Statistical Learning


Learning a Factorized Orthogonal Latent Space using Encoder-only Architecture for Fault Detection; An Alarm management perspective

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

False and nuisance alarms in industrial fault detection systems are often triggered by uncertainty, causing normal process variable fluctuations to be erroneously identified as faults. This paper introduces a novel encoder-based residual design that effectively decouples the stochastic and deterministic components of process variables without imposing detection delay. The proposed model employs two distinct encoders to factorize the latent space into two orthogonal spaces: one for the deterministic part and the other for the stochastic part. To ensure the identifiability of the desired spaces, constraints are applied during training. The deterministic space is constrained to be smooth to guarantee determinism, while the stochastic space is required to resemble standard Gaussian noise. Additionally, a decorrelation term enforces the independence of the learned representations. The efficacy of this approach is demonstrated through numerical examples and its application to the Tennessee Eastman process, highlighting its potential for robust fault detection. By focusing decision logic solely on deterministic factors, the proposed model significantly enhances prediction quality while achieving nearly zero false alarms and missed detections, paving the way for improved operational safety and integrity in industrial environments.


Understanding Uncertainty-based Active Learning Under Model Mismatch

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Instead of randomly acquiring training data points, Uncertainty-based Active Learning (UAL) operates by querying the label(s) of pivotal samples from an unlabeled pool selected based on the prediction uncertainty, thereby aiming at minimizing the labeling cost for model training. The efficacy of UAL critically depends on the model capacity as well as the adopted uncertainty-based acquisition function. Within the context of this study, our analytical focus is directed toward comprehending how the capacity of the machine learning model may affect UAL efficacy. Through theoretical analysis, comprehensive simulations, and empirical studies, we conclusively demonstrate that UAL can lead to worse performance in comparison with random sampling when the machine learning model class has low capacity and is unable to cover the underlying ground truth. In such situations, adopting acquisition functions that directly target estimating the prediction performance may be beneficial for improving the performance of UAL.


Disentangled Generative Graph Representation Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recently, generative graph models have shown promising results in learning graph representations through self-supervised methods. However, most existing generative graph representation learning (GRL) approaches rely on random masking across the entire graph, which overlooks the entanglement of learned representations. This oversight results in non-robustness and a lack of explainability. Furthermore, disentangling the learned representations remains a significant challenge and has not been sufficiently explored in GRL research. Based on these insights, this paper introduces DiGGR (Disentangled Generative Graph Representation Learning), a self-supervised learning framework. DiGGR aims to learn latent disentangled factors and utilizes them to guide graph mask modeling, thereby enhancing the disentanglement of learned representations and enabling end-to-end joint learning. Extensive experiments on 11 public datasets for two different graph learning tasks demonstrate that DiGGR consistently outperforms many previous self-supervised methods, verifying the effectiveness of the proposed approach.


Explanatory Model Monitoring to Understand the Effects of Feature Shifts on Performance

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Monitoring and maintaining machine learning models are among the most critical challenges in translating recent advances in the field into real-world applications. However, current monitoring methods lack the capability of provide actionable insights answering the question of why the performance of a particular model really degraded. In this work, we propose a novel approach to explain the behavior of a black-box model under feature shifts by attributing an estimated performance change to interpretable input characteristics. We refer to our method that combines concepts from Optimal Transport and Shapley Values as Explanatory Performance Estimation (XPE). We analyze the underlying assumptions and demonstrate the superiority of our approach over several baselines on different Figure 1: Illustration of an opaque vision system subject to data sets across various data modalities such as images, audio, and hardware degradation or environment changes, e.g., speckles tabular data. We also indicate how the generated results can lead on the lens or stray light. Explanatory Performance Estimation to valuable insights, enabling explanatory model monitoring by (XPE) allows to anticipate and explain the resulting performance revealing potential root causes for model deterioration and guiding decrease by highlighting which parts of the shift toward actionable countermeasures.


DOPPLER: Differentially Private Optimizers with Low-pass Filter for Privacy Noise Reduction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Privacy is a growing concern in modern deep-learning systems and applications. Differentially private (DP) training prevents the leakage of sensitive information in the collected training data from the trained machine learning models. DP optimizers, including DP stochastic gradient descent (DPSGD) and its variants, privatize the training procedure by gradient clipping and DP noise injection. However, in practice, DP models trained using DPSGD and its variants often suffer from significant model performance degradation. Such degradation prevents the application of DP optimization in many key tasks, such as foundation model pretraining. In this paper, we provide a novel signal processing perspective to the design and analysis of DP optimizers. We show that a ``frequency domain'' operation called low-pass filtering can be used to effectively reduce the impact of DP noise. More specifically, by defining the ``frequency domain'' for both the gradient and differential privacy (DP) noise, we have developed a new component, called DOPPLER. This component is designed for DP algorithms and works by effectively amplifying the gradient while suppressing DP noise within this frequency domain. As a result, it maintains privacy guarantees and enhances the quality of the DP-protected model. Our experiments show that the proposed DP optimizers with a low-pass filter outperform their counterparts without the filter by 3%-10% in test accuracy on various models and datasets. Both theoretical and practical evidence suggest that the DOPPLER is effective in closing the gap between DP and non-DP training.


Advancing Enterprise Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Applications: Data Mining Meets Instruction Tuning of Language Models For Multi-modal Time Series Analysis in Low-Resource Settings

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of traditional forecasting methods and instruction tuning of small language models for time series trend analysis. This approach utilizes a mixture of experts (MoE) architecture with parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) methods, tailored for consumer hardware to scale up AI solutions in low resource settings while balancing performance and latency tradeoffs. Additionally, our approach leverages related past experiences for similar input time series to efficiently handle both intra-series and inter-series dependencies of non-stationary data with a time-then-space modeling approach, using grouped-query attention, while mitigating the limitations of traditional forecasting techniques in handling distributional shifts. Our approach models predictive uncertainty to improve decision-making. Our framework enables on-premises customization with reduced computational and memory demands, while maintaining inference speed and data privacy/security. Extensive experiments on various real-world datasets demonstrate that our framework provides robust and accurate forecasts, significantly outperforming existing methods.


Optimal Kernel Quantile Learning with Random Features

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The random feature (RF) approach is a well-established and efficient tool for scalable kernel methods, but existing literature has primarily focused on kernel ridge regression with random features (KRR-RF), which has limitations in handling heterogeneous data with heavy-tailed noises. This paper presents a generalization study of kernel quantile regression with random features (KQR-RF), which accounts for the non-smoothness of the check loss in KQR-RF by introducing a refined error decomposition and establishing a novel connection between KQR-RF and KRR-RF. Our study establishes the capacity-dependent learning rates for KQR-RF under mild conditions on the number of RFs, which are minimax optimal up to some logarithmic factors. Importantly, our theoretical results, utilizing a data-dependent sampling strategy, can be extended to cover the agnostic setting where the target quantile function may not precisely align with the assumed kernel space. By slightly modifying our assumptions, the capacity-dependent error analysis can also be applied to cases with Lipschitz continuous losses, enabling broader applications in the machine learning community. To validate our theoretical findings, simulated experiments and a real data application are conducted.


On the design of scalable, high-precision spherical-radial Fourier features

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Approximation using Fourier features is a popular technique for scaling kernel methods to large-scale problems, with myriad applications in machine learning and statistics. This method replaces the integral representation of a shift-invariant kernel with a sum using a quadrature rule. The design of the latter is meant to reduce the number of features required for high-precision approximation. Specifically, for the squared exponential kernel, one must design a quadrature rule that approximates the Gaussian measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Previous efforts in this line of research have faced difficulties in higher dimensions. We introduce a new family of quadrature rules that accurately approximate the Gaussian measure in higher dimensions by exploiting its isotropy. These rules are constructed as a tensor product of a radial quadrature rule and a spherical quadrature rule. Compared to previous work, our approach leverages a thorough analysis of the approximation error, which suggests natural choices for both the radial and spherical components. We demonstrate that this family of Fourier features yields improved approximation bounds.


Graph Classification with GNNs: Optimisation, Representation and Inductive Bias

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Theoretical studies on the representation power of GNNs have been centered around understanding the equivalence of GNNs, using WL-Tests for detecting graph isomorphism. In this paper, we argue that such equivalence ignores the accompanying optimization issues and does not provide a holistic view of the GNN learning process. We illustrate these gaps between representation and optimization with examples and experiments. We also explore the existence of an implicit inductive bias (e.g. fully connected networks prefer to learn low frequency functions in their input space) in GNNs, in the context of graph classification tasks. We further prove theoretically that the message-passing layers in the graph, have a tendency to search for either discriminative subgraphs, or a collection of discriminative nodes dispersed across the graph, depending on the different global pooling layers used. We empirically verify this bias through experiments over real-world and synthetic datasets. Finally, we show how our work can help in incorporating domain knowledge via attention based architectures, and can evince their capability to discriminate coherent subgraphs.


Toward Improving Synthetic Audio Spoofing Detection Robustness via Meta-Learning and Disentangled Training With Adversarial Examples

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Advances in automatic speaker verification (ASV) promote research into the formulation of spoofing detection systems for real-world applications. The performance of ASV systems can be degraded severely by multiple types of spoofing attacks, namely, synthetic speech (SS), voice conversion (VC), replay, twins and impersonation, especially in the case of unseen synthetic spoofing attacks. A reliable and robust spoofing detection system can act as a security gate to filter out spoofing attacks instead of having them reach the ASV system. A weighted additive angular margin loss is proposed to address the data imbalance issue, and different margins has been assigned to improve generalization to unseen spoofing attacks in this study. Meanwhile, we incorporate a meta-learning loss function to optimize differences between the embeddings of support versus query set in order to learn a spoofing-category-independent embedding space for utterances. Furthermore, we craft adversarial examples by adding imperceptible perturbations to spoofing speech as a data augmentation strategy, then we use an auxiliary batch normalization (BN) to guarantee that corresponding normalization statistics are performed exclusively on the adversarial examples. Additionally, A simple attention module is integrated into the residual block to refine the feature extraction process. Evaluation results on the Logical Access (LA) track of the ASVspoof 2019 corpus provides confirmation of our proposed approaches' effectiveness in terms of a pooled EER of 0.87%, and a min t-DCF of 0.0277. These advancements offer effective options to reduce the impact of spoofing attacks on voice recognition/authentication systems.