Statistical Learning
Classification of Safety Events at Nuclear Sites using Large Language Models
de Costa, Mishca, Anwar, Muhammad, Lau, Daniel, Hammad, Issam
An SCR that is assessed as relevant to safety goes through extra scrutiny to maintain personnel safety at the nuclear station. The current method of SCR classification is a manual one that involves human evaluators to examine multiple SCRs every week. These records, which may be submitted by any employee, cover a broad spectrum of events and undergo management review to determine an appropriate reaction. If an SCR is deemed relevant to safety, it undergoes further examination by the Health and Safety department and is documented in a specialized database. The SCR database encompasses a range of occurrences, from equipment malfunctions and delays in material delivery to staff missing training sessions, making it cumbersome for the Health and Safety department to sift through each SCR to identify safety-related items before transferring pertinent details into their safety tracking system. The aim of this project is to develop a machine learning classifier to automatically differentiate between safety-related and non-safety-related SCRs. While this tool is not intended to supplant human assessment, it will serve as an additional layer of scrutiny and facilitate the swift review of safetyrelated SCRs by triggering a pipeline that copies all relevant data into the safety system for final human verification.
A Bayesian Classification Trees Approach to Treatment Effect Variation with Noncompliance
Fisher, Jared D., Puelz, David W., Deshpande, Sameer K.
Estimating varying treatment effects in randomized trials with noncompliance is inherently challenging since variation comes from two separate sources: variation in the impact itself and variation in the compliance rate. In this setting, existing flexible machine learning methods are highly sensitive to the weak instruments problem, in which the compliance rate is (locally) close to zero. Our main methodological contribution is to present a Bayesian Causal Forest model for binary response variables in scenarios with noncompliance. By repeatedly imputing individuals' compliance types, we can flexibly estimate heterogeneous treatment effects among compliers. Simulation studies demonstrate the usefulness of our approach when compliance and treatment effects are heterogeneous. We apply the method to detect and analyze heterogeneity in the treatment effects in the Illinois Workplace Wellness Study, which not only features heterogeneous and one-sided compliance but also several binary outcomes of interest. We demonstrate the methodology on three outcomes one year after intervention. We confirm a null effect on the presence of a chronic condition, discover meaningful heterogeneity impact of the intervention on metabolic parameters though the average effect is null in classical partial effect estimates, and find substantial heterogeneity in individuals' perception of management prioritization of health and safety.
Beyond Few-shot Object Detection: A Detailed Survey
Chudasama, Vishal, Sarkar, Hiran, Wasnik, Pankaj, Balasubramanian, Vineeth N, Kalla, Jayateja
Object detection is a critical field in computer vision focusing on accurately identifying and locating specific objects in images or videos. Traditional methods for object detection rely on large labeled training datasets for each object category, which can be time-consuming and expensive to collect and annotate. To address this issue, researchers have introduced few-shot object detection (FSOD) approaches that merge few-shot learning and object detection principles. These approaches allow models to quickly adapt to new object categories with only a few annotated samples. While traditional FSOD methods have been studied before, this survey paper comprehensively reviews FSOD research with a specific focus on covering different FSOD settings such as standard FSOD, generalized FSOD, incremental FSOD, open-set FSOD, and domain adaptive FSOD. These approaches play a vital role in reducing the reliance on extensive labeled datasets, particularly as the need for efficient machine learning models continues to rise. This survey paper aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the above-mentioned few-shot settings and explore the methodologies for each FSOD task. It thoroughly compares state-of-the-art methods across different FSOD settings, analyzing them in detail based on their evaluation protocols. Additionally, it offers insights into their applications, challenges, and potential future directions in the evolving field of object detection with limited data.
Automated Machine Learning in Insurance
Machine Learning (ML), as described by Mitchell et al. (1990), is a multidisciplinary subfield of Artificial Intelligence (AI) focused on developing and implementing algorithms and statistical models that enable computer systems to perform data-driven tasks or make predictions through "leveraging data" and iterative learning processes. This data-driven approach guides the design of ML algorithms, allowing them to grasp the distributions and structures within datasets and unveil correlations that elude traditional mathematical and statistical methods. Professionals in data-related fields, such as data scientists and ML engineers, can engage in autonomous decision-making based on data and benefit from cutting-edge predictions generated by modern ML models. In recent decades, ML has significantly reshaped various industries and gained widespread popularity in academia due to its exceptional predictive capabilities. As summarized by Jordan and Mitchell (2015), ML has made significant contributions in various fields, including robotics, autonomous driving, language processing, and computer vision. The medical and healthcare industry, as suggested by Kononenko (2001) and Qayyum et al. (2020), is increasingly adopting ML for applications such as medical image analysis and clinical treatments. Furthermore, ML models have significantly improved personalization and targeting, marketing strategy, and customer engagement in the marketing sector, as summarized by Ma and Sun (2020). Guerra and Castelli (2021) present the ML innovations in the banking sector, particularly in the analysis of liquidity risks, bank risks, and credit risks. Additionally, there is a growing trend in adopting ML models in the insurance sector and among actuarial researchers and industry practitioners, as evidenced by recent literature.
Learning Tree-Structured Composition of Data Augmentation
Li, Dongyue, Chen, Kailai, Radivojac, Predrag, Zhang, Hongyang R.
Data augmentation is widely used for training a neural network given little labeled data. A common practice of augmentation training is applying a composition of multiple transformations sequentially to the data. Existing augmentation methods such as RandAugment randomly sample from a list of pre-selected transformations, while methods such as AutoAugment apply advanced search to optimize over an augmentation set of size $k^d$, which is the number of transformation sequences of length $d$, given a list of $k$ transformations. In this paper, we design efficient algorithms whose running time complexity is much faster than the worst-case complexity of $O(k^d)$, provably. We propose a new algorithm to search for a binary tree-structured composition of $k$ transformations, where each tree node corresponds to one transformation. The binary tree generalizes sequential augmentations, such as the SimCLR augmentation scheme for contrastive learning. Using a top-down, recursive search procedure, our algorithm achieves a runtime complexity of $O(2^d k)$, which is much faster than $O(k^d)$ as $k$ increases above $2$. We apply our algorithm to tackle data distributions with heterogeneous subpopulations by searching for one tree in each subpopulation and then learning a weighted combination, resulting in a forest of trees. We validate our proposed algorithms on numerous graph and image datasets, including a multi-label graph classification dataset we collected. The dataset exhibits significant variations in the sizes of graphs and their average degrees, making it ideal for studying data augmentation. We show that our approach can reduce the computation cost by 43% over existing search methods while improving performance by 4.3%. The tree structures can be used to interpret the relative importance of each transformation, such as identifying the important transformations on small vs. large graphs.
An Embedding is Worth a Thousand Noisy Labels
Di Salvo, Francesco, Doerrich, Sebastian, Rieger, Ines, Ledig, Christian
Existing strategies to address label noise exhibit severe limitations due to computational complexity and application dependency. In this work, we propose WANN, a Weighted Adaptive Nearest Neighbor approach that builds on self-supervised feature representations obtained from foundation models. To guide the weighted voting scheme, we introduce a reliability score η, which measures the likelihood of a data label being correct. WANN outperforms reference methods, including a linear layer trained with robust loss functions, on diverse datasets of varying size and under various noise types and severities. WANN also exhibits superior generalization on imbalanced data compared to both Adaptive-NNs (ANN) and fixed k-NNs. Furthermore, the proposed weighting scheme enhances supervised dimensionality reduction under noisy labels. This yields a significant boost in classification performance with 10 and 100 smaller image embeddings, minimizing latency and storage requirements. Our approach, emphasizing efficiency and explainability, emerges as a simple, robust solution to overcome the inherent limitations of deep neural network training.
Detecting Interpretable Subgroup Drifts
Giobergia, Flavio, Pastor, Eliana, de Alfaro, Luca, Baralis, Elena
The ability to detect and adapt to changes in data distributions is crucial to maintain the accuracy and reliability of machine learning models. Detection is generally approached by observing the drift of model performance from a global point of view. However, drifts occurring in (fine-grained) data subgroups may go unnoticed when monitoring global drift. We take a different perspective, and introduce methods for observing drift at the finer granularity of subgroups. Relevant data subgroups are identified during training and monitored efficiently throughout the model's life. Performance drifts in any subgroup are detected, quantified and characterized so as to provide an interpretable summary of the model behavior over time. Experimental results confirm that our subgroup-level drift analysis identifies drifts that do not show at the (coarser) global dataset level. The proposed approach provides a valuable tool for monitoring model performance in dynamic real-world applications, offering insights into the evolving nature of data and ultimately contributing to more robust and adaptive models.
Rethinking Knowledge Transfer in Learning Using Privileged Information
Provodin, Danil, Akker, Bram van den, Katsimerou, Christina, Kaptein, Maurits, Pechenizkiy, Mykola
In supervised machine learning, privileged information (PI) is information that is unavailable at inference, but is accessible during training time. Research on learning using privileged information (LUPI) aims to transfer the knowledge captured in PI onto a model that can perform inference without PI. It seems that this extra bit of information ought to make the resulting model better. However, finding conclusive theoretical or empirical evidence that supports the ability to transfer knowledge using PI has been challenging. In this paper, we critically examine the assumptions underlying existing theoretical analyses and argue that there is little theoretical justification for when LUPI should work. We analyze LUPI methods and reveal that apparent improvements in empirical risk of existing research may not directly result from PI. Instead, these improvements often stem from dataset anomalies or modifications in model design misguidedly attributed to PI. Our experiments for a wide variety of application domains further demonstrate that state-of-the-art LUPI approaches fail to effectively transfer knowledge from PI. Thus, we advocate for practitioners to exercise caution when working with PI to avoid unintended inductive biases.
Effect of Adaptation Rate and Cost Display in a Human-AI Interaction Game
Isa, Jason T., Wu, Bohan, Wang, Qirui, Zhang, Yilin, Burden, Samuel A., Ratliff, Lillian J., Chasnov, Benjamin J.
As interactions between humans and AI become more prevalent, it is critical to have better predictors of human behavior in these interactions. We investigated how changes in the AI's adaptive algorithm impact behavior predictions in two-player continuous games. In our experiments, the AI adapted its actions using a gradient descent algorithm under different adaptation rates while human participants were provided cost feedback. The cost feedback was provided by one of two types of visual displays: (a) cost at the current joint action vector, or (b) cost in a local neighborhood of the current joint action vector. Our results demonstrate that AI adaptation rate can significantly affect human behavior, having the ability to shift the outcome between two game theoretic equilibrium. We observed that slow adaptation rates shift the outcome towards the Nash equilibrium, while fast rates shift the outcome towards the human-led Stackelberg equilibrium. The addition of localized cost information had the effect of shifting outcomes towards Nash, compared to the outcomes from cost information at only the current joint action vector. Future work will investigate other effects that influence the convergence of gradient descent games.
Symmetry & Critical Points
Critical points of an invariant function may or may not be symmetric. We prove, however, that if a symmetric critical point exists, those adjacent to it are generically symmetry breaking. This mathematical mechanism is shown to carry important implications for our ability to efficiently minimize invariant nonconvex functions, in particular those associated with neural networks.