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 Statistical Learning


AdaRC: Mitigating Graph Structure Shifts during Test-Time

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Powerful as they are, graph neural networks (GNNs) are known to be vulnerable to distribution shifts. Recently, test-time adaptation (TTA) has attracted attention due to its ability to adapt a pre-trained model to a target domain without re-accessing the source domain. However, existing TTA algorithms are primarily designed for attribute shifts in vision tasks, where samples are independent. These methods perform poorly on graph data that experience structure shifts, where node connectivity differs between source and target graphs. We attribute this performance gap to the distinct impact of node attribute shifts versus graph structure shifts: the latter significantly degrades the quality of node representations and blurs the boundaries between different node categories. To address structure shifts in graphs, we propose AdaRC, an innovative framework designed for effective and efficient adaptation to structure shifts by adjusting the hop-aggregation parameters in GNNs. To enhance the representation quality, we design a prediction-informed clustering loss to encourage the formation of distinct clusters for different node categories. Additionally, AdaRC seamlessly integrates with existing TTA algorithms, allowing it to handle attribute shifts effectively while improving overall performance under combined structure and attribute shifts. We validate the effectiveness of AdaRC on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating its robustness across various combinations of structure and attribute shifts.


RM4D: A Combined Reachability and Inverse Reachability Map for Common 6-/7-axis Robot Arms by Dimensionality Reduction to 4D

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knowledge of a manipulator's workspace is fundamental for a variety of tasks including robot design, grasp planning and robot base placement. Consequently, workspace representations are well studied in robotics. Two important representations are reachability maps and inverse reachability maps. The former predicts whether a given end-effector pose is reachable from where the robot currently is, and the latter suggests suitable base positions for a desired end-effector pose. Typically, the reachability map is built by discretizing the 6D space containing the robot's workspace and determining, for each cell, whether it is reachable or not. The reachability map is subsequently inverted to build the inverse map. This is a cumbersome process which restricts the applications of such maps. In this work, we exploit commonalities of existing six and seven axis robot arms to reduce the dimension of the discretization from 6D to 4D. We propose Reachability Map 4D (RM4D), a map that only requires a single 4D data structure for both forward and inverse queries. This gives a much more compact map that can be constructed by an order of magnitude faster than existing maps, with no inversion overheads and no loss in accuracy. Our experiments showcase the usefulness of RM4D for grasp planning with a mobile manipulator.


Support Vector Boosting Machine (SVBM): Enhancing Classification Performance with AdaBoost and Residual Connections

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In traditional boosting algorithms, the focus on misclassified training samples emphasizes their importance based on difficulty during the learning process. While using a standard Support Vector Machine (SVM) as a weak learner in an AdaBoost framework can enhance model performance by concentrating on error samples, this approach introduces significant challenges. Specifically, SVMs, characterized by their stability and robustness, may require destabilization to fit the boosting paradigm, which in turn can constrain performance due to reliance on the weighted results from preceding iterations. To address these challenges, we propose the Support Vector Boosting Machine (SVBM), which integrates a novel subsampling process with SVM algorithms and residual connection techniques. This method updates sample weights by considering both the current model's predictions and the outputs from prior rounds, allowing for effective sparsity control. The SVBM framework enhances the ability to form complex decision boundaries, thereby improving classification performance. The MATLAB source code for SVBM can be accessed at https://github.com/junbolian/SVBM.


Predicting Bitcoin Market Trends with Enhanced Technical Indicator Integration and Classification Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting prices remains a significant challenge. The volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market makes it even harder for traders and investors to make decisions. This study presents a machine learning model based on classification to forecast the direction of the cryptocurrency market, i.e., whether prices will increase or decrease. The model is trained using historical data and important technical indicators such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence, the Relative Strength Index, and Bollinger Bands. We illustrate our approach with an empirical study of the closing price of Bitcoin. Several simulations, including a confusion matrix and Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, are used to assess the model's performance, and the results show a buy/sell signal accuracy of over 92%. These findings demonstrate how machine learning models can assist investors and traders of cryptocurrencies in making wise/informed decisions in a very volatile market.


Compositional Entailment Learning for Hyperbolic Vision-Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Image-text representation learning forms a cornerstone in vision-language models, where pairs of images and textual descriptions are contrastively aligned in a shared embedding space. Since visual and textual concepts are naturally hierarchical, recent work has shown that hyperbolic space can serve as a high-potential manifold to learn vision-language representation with strong downstream performance. In this work, for the first time we show how to fully leverage the innate hierarchical nature of hyperbolic embeddings by looking beyond individual image-text pairs. We propose Compositional Entailment Learning for hyperbolic vision-language models. The idea is that an image is not only described by a sentence but is itself a composition of multiple object boxes, each with their own textual description. Such information can be obtained freely by extracting nouns from sentences and using openly available localized grounding models. We show how to hierarchically organize images, image boxes, and their textual descriptions through contrastive and entailment-based objectives. Empirical evaluation on a hyperbolic visionlanguage model trained with millions of image-text pairs shows that the proposed compositional learning approach outperforms conventional Euclidean CLIP learning, as well as recent hyperbolic alternatives, with better zero-shot and retrieval generalization and clearly stronger hierarchical performance. Vision-language modeling has witnessed rapid progress in recent years with innovative approaches such as CLIP (Radford et al., 2021) and ALIGN (Jia et al., 2021) using extensive vision-language data to train encoders for understanding visual and textual content simultaneously. Such encoders align visual scenes with textual descriptions in a shared high-dimensional Euclidean space, facilitating semantic understanding (Radford et al., 2021). While effective, conventional vision-language models only take a holistic approach to image-text representation learning, neglecting the intrinsic hierarchy and composition of elements within images. Indeed, a visual scene is commonly composed of multiple objects interacting with one another to form a precise context.


Noise is All You Need: Private Second-Order Convergence of Noisy SGD

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Private optimization is a topic of major interest in machine learning, with differentially private stochastic gradient descent (DP-SGD) playing a key role in both theory and practice. Furthermore, DP-SGD is known to be a powerful tool in contexts beyond privacy, including robustness, machine unlearning, etc. Existing analyses of DP-SGD either make relatively strong assumptions (e.g., Lipschitz continuity of the loss function, or even convexity) or prove only first-order convergence (and thus might end at a saddle point in the non-convex setting). At the same time, there has been progress in proving second-order convergence of the non-private version of ``noisy SGD'', as well as progress in designing algorithms that are more complex than DP-SGD and do guarantee second-order convergence. We revisit DP-SGD and show that ``noise is all you need'': the noise necessary for privacy already implies second-order convergence under the standard smoothness assumptions, even for non-Lipschitz loss functions. Hence, we get second-order convergence essentially for free: DP-SGD, the workhorse of modern private optimization, under minimal assumptions can be used to find a second-order stationary point.


Group Shapley Value and Counterfactual Simulations in a Structural Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a variant of the Shapley value, the group Shapley value, to interpret counterfactual simulations in structural economic models by quantifying the importance of different components. Our framework compares two sets of parameters, partitioned into multiple groups, and applying group Shapley value decomposition yields unique additive contributions to the changes between these sets. The relative contributions sum to one, enabling us to generate an importance table that is as easily interpretable as a regression table. The group Shapley value can be characterized as the solution to a constrained weighted least squares problem. Using this property, we develop robust decomposition methods to address scenarios where inputs for the group Shapley value are missing. We first apply our methodology to a simple Roy model and then illustrate its usefulness by revisiting two published papers.


Understanding Model Ensemble in Transferable Adversarial Attack

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Model ensemble adversarial attack has become a powerful method for generating transferable adversarial examples that can target even unknown models, but its theoretical foundation remains underexplored. To address this gap, we provide early theoretical insights that serve as a roadmap for advancing model ensemble adversarial attack. We first define transferability error to measure the error in adversarial transferability, alongside concepts of diversity and empirical model ensemble Rademacher complexity. We then decompose the transferability error into vulnerability, diversity, and a constant, which rigidly explains the origin of transferability error in model ensemble attack: the vulnerability of an adversarial example to ensemble components, and the diversity of ensemble components. Furthermore, we apply the latest mathematical tools in information theory to bound the transferability error using complexity and generalization terms, contributing to three practical guidelines for reducing transferability error: (1) incorporating more surrogate models, (2) increasing their diversity, and (3) reducing their complexity in cases of overfitting.


K-SAM: A Prompting Method Using Pretrained U-Net to Improve Zero Shot Performance of SAM on Lung Segmentation in CXR Images

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In clinical procedures, precise localization of the target area is an essential step for clinical diagnosis and screening. For many diagnostic applications, lung segmentation of chest X-ray images is an essential first step that significantly reduces the image size to speed up the subsequent analysis. One of the primary difficulties with this task is segmenting the lung regions covered by dense abnormalities also known as opacities due to diseases like pneumonia and tuberculosis. SAM has astonishing generalization capabilities for category agnostic segmentation. In this study we propose an algorithm to improve zero shot performance of SAM on lung region segmentation task by automatic prompt selection. Two separate UNet models were trained, one for predicting lung segments and another for heart segment. Though these predictions lack fine details around the edges, they provide positive and negative points as prompt for SAM. Using proposed prompting method zero shot performance of SAM is evaluated on two benchmark datasets. ViT-l version of the model achieved slightly better performance compared to other two versions, ViTh and ViTb. It yields an average Dice score of 95.5 percent and 94.9 percent on hold out data for two datasets respectively. Though, for most of the images, SAM did outstanding segmentation, its prediction was way off for some of the images. After careful inspection it is found that all of these images either had extreme abnormality or distorted shape. Unlike most of the research performed so far on lung segmentation from CXR images using SAM, this study proposes a fully automated prompt selection process only from the input image. Our finding indicates that using pretrained models for prompt selection can utilize SAM impressive generalization capability to its full extent.


Shap-Select: Lightweight Feature Selection Using SHAP Values and Regression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Feature selection is an essential process in machine learning, especially when dealing with high-dimensional datasets. It helps reduce the complexity of machine learning models, improve performance, mitigate overfitting, and decrease computation time. This paper presents a novel feature selection framework, shap-select. The framework conducts a linear or logistic regression of the target on the Shapley values of the features, on the validation set, and uses the signs and significance levels of the regression coefficients to implement an efficient heuristic for feature selection in tabular regression and classification tasks. We evaluate shap-select on the Kaggle credit card fraud dataset, demonstrating its effectiveness compared to established methods such as Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), HISEL (a mutual information-based feature selection method), Boruta and a simpler Shapley value-based method. Our findings show that shap-select combines interpretability, computational efficiency, and performance, offering a robust solution for feature selection.