Statistical Learning
Assessing the Auditability of AI-integrating Systems: A Framework and Learning Analytics Case Study
Fernsel, Linda, Kalff, Yannick, Simbeck, Katharina
Audits contribute to the trustworthiness of Learning Analytics (LA) systems that integrate Artificial Intelligence (AI) and may be legally required in the future. We argue that the efficacy of an audit depends on the auditability of the audited system. Therefore, systems need to be designed with auditability in mind. We present a framework for assessing the auditability of AI-integrating systems that consists of three parts: (1) Verifiable claims about the validity, utility and ethics of the system, (2) Evidence on subjects (data, models or the system) in different types (documentation, raw sources and logs) to back or refute claims, (3) Evidence must be accessible to auditors via technical means (APIs, monitoring tools, explainable AI, etc.). We apply the framework to assess the auditability of Moodle's dropout prediction system and a prototype AI-based LA. We find that Moodle's auditability is limited by incomplete documentation, insufficient monitoring capabilities and a lack of available test data. The framework supports assessing the auditability of AI-based LA systems in use and improves the design of auditable systems and thus of audits.
SoccerGuard: Investigating Injury Risk Factors for Professional Soccer Players with Machine Learning
Bartels, Finn, Xing, Lu, Midoglu, Cise, Boeker, Matthias, Kirsten, Toralf, Halvorsen, Pål
We present SoccerGuard, a novel framework for predicting injuries in women's soccer using Machine Learning (ML). This framework can ingest data from multiple sources, including subjective wellness and training load reports from players, objective GPS sensor measurements, third-party player statistics, and injury reports verified by medical personnel. We experiment with a number of different settings related to synthetic data generation, input and output window sizes, and ML models for prediction. Our results show that, given the right configurations and feature combinations, injury event prediction can be undertaken with considerable accuracy. The optimal results are achieved when input windows are reduced and larger combined output windows are defined, in combination with an ideally balanced data set. The framework also includes a dashboard with a user-friendly Graphical User Interface (GUI) to support interactive analysis and visualization.
Turkey's Earthquakes: Damage Prediction and Feature Significance Using A Multivariate Analysis
Shah, Shrey, Lin, Alex, Lin, Scott, Patel, Josh, Lam, Michael, Zhu, Kevin
Accurate damage prediction is crucial for disaster preparedness and response strategies, particularly given the frequent earthquakes in Turkey. Utilizing datasets on earthquake data, infrastructural quality metrics, and contemporary socioeconomic factors, we tested various machine-learning architectures to forecast death tolls and fatalities per affected population. Our findings indicate that the Random Forest model provides the most reliable predictions. The model highlights earthquake magnitude and building stability as the primary determinants of damage. This research contributes to the reduction of fatalities in future seismic events in Turkey.
A Walsh Hadamard Derived Linear Vector Symbolic Architecture
Alam, Mohammad Mahmudul, Oberle, Alexander, Raff, Edward, Biderman, Stella, Oates, Tim, Holt, James
Vector Symbolic Architectures (VSAs) are one approach to developing Neuro-symbolic AI, where two vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$ are `bound' together to produce a new vector in the same space. VSAs support the commutativity and associativity of this binding operation, along with an inverse operation, allowing one to construct symbolic-style manipulations over real-valued vectors. Most VSAs were developed before deep learning and automatic differentiation became popular and instead focused on efficacy in hand-designed systems. In this work, we introduce the Hadamard-derived linear Binding (HLB), which is designed to have favorable computational efficiency, and efficacy in classic VSA tasks, and perform well in differentiable systems. Code is available at https://github.com/FutureComputing4AI/Hadamard-derived-Linear-Binding
$\mathsf{OPA}$: One-shot Private Aggregation with Single Client Interaction and its Applications to Federated Learning
Karthikeyan, Harish, Polychroniadou, Antigoni
Our work aims to minimize interaction in secure computation due to the high cost and challenges associated with communication rounds, particularly in scenarios with many clients. In this work, we revisit the problem of secure aggregation in the single-server setting where a single evaluation server can securely aggregate client-held individual inputs. Our key contribution is the introduction of One-shot Private Aggregation ($\mathsf{OPA}$) where clients speak only once (or even choose not to speak) per aggregation evaluation. Since each client communicates only once per aggregation, this simplifies managing dropouts and dynamic participation, contrasting with multi-round protocols and aligning with plaintext secure aggregation, where clients interact only once. We construct $\mathsf{OPA}$ based on LWR, LWE, class groups, DCR and demonstrate applications to privacy-preserving Federated Learning (FL) where clients \emph{speak once}. This is a sharp departure from prior multi-round FL protocols whose study was initiated by Bonawitz et al. (CCS, 2017). Moreover, unlike the YOSO (You Only Speak Once) model for general secure computation, $\mathsf{OPA}$ eliminates complex committee selection protocols to achieve adaptive security. Beyond asymptotic improvements, $\mathsf{OPA}$ is practical, outperforming state-of-the-art solutions. We benchmark logistic regression classifiers for two datasets, while also building an MLP classifier to train on MNIST, CIFAR-10, and CIFAR-100 datasets. We build two flavors of $\caps$ (1) from (threshold) key homomorphic PRF and (2) from seed homomorphic PRG and secret sharing.
FNDEX: Fake News and Doxxing Detection with Explainable AI
The widespread and diverse online media platforms and other internet-driven communication technologies have presented significant challenges in defining the boundaries of freedom of expression. Consequently, the internet has been transformed into a potential cyber weapon. Within this evolving landscape, two particularly hazardous phenomena have emerged: fake news and doxxing. Although these threats have been subjects of extensive scholarly analysis, the crossroads where they intersect remain unexplored. This research addresses this convergence by introducing a novel system. The Fake News and Doxxing Detection with Explainable Artificial Intelligence (FNDEX) system leverages the capabilities of three distinct transformer models to achieve high-performance detection for both fake news and doxxing. To enhance data security, a rigorous three-step anonymization process is employed, rooted in a pattern-based approach for anonymizing personally identifiable information. Finally, this research emphasizes the importance of generating coherent explanations for the outcomes produced by both detection models. Our experiments on realistic datasets demonstrate that our system significantly outperforms the existing baselines
RankUp: Boosting Semi-Supervised Regression with an Auxiliary Ranking Classifier
Huang, Pin-Yen, Fu, Szu-Wei, Tsao, Yu
State-of-the-art (SOTA) semi-supervised learning techniques, such as FixMatch and it's variants, have demonstrated impressive performance in classification tasks. However, these methods are not directly applicable to regression tasks. In this paper, we present RankUp, a simple yet effective approach that adapts existing semi-supervised classification techniques to enhance the performance of regression tasks. RankUp achieves this by converting the original regression task into a ranking problem and training it concurrently with the original regression objective. This auxiliary ranking classifier outputs a classification result, thus enabling integration with existing semi-supervised classification methods. Moreover, we introduce regression distribution alignment (RDA), a complementary technique that further enhances RankUp's performance by refining pseudo-labels through distribution alignment. Despite its simplicity, RankUp, with or without RDA, achieves SOTA results in across a range of regression benchmarks, including computer vision, audio, and natural language processing tasks. Our code and log data are open-sourced at https://github.com/pm25/semi-supervised-regression.
Evaluating utility in synthetic banking microdata applications
Financial regulators such as central banks collect vast amounts of data, but access to the resulting fine-grained banking microdata is severely restricted by banking secrecy laws. Recent developments have resulted in mechanisms that generate faithful synthetic data, but current evaluation frameworks lack a focus on the specific challenges of banking institutions and microdata. We develop a framework that considers the utility and privacy requirements of regulators, and apply this to financial usage indices, term deposit yield curves, and credit card transition matrices. Using the Central Bank of Paraguay's data, we provide the first implementation of synthetic banking microdata using a central bank's collected information, with the resulting synthetic datasets for all three domain applications being publicly available and featuring information not yet released in statistical disclosure. We find that applications less susceptible to post-processing information loss, which are based on frequency tables, are particularly suited for this approach, and that marginal-based inference mechanisms to outperform generative adversarial network models for these applications. Our results demonstrate that synthetic data generation is a promising privacy-enhancing technology for financial regulators seeking to complement their statistical disclosure, while highlighting the crucial role of evaluating such endeavors in terms of utility and privacy requirements.
Gnothi Seauton: Empowering Faithful Self-Interpretability in Black-Box Models
Wang, Shaobo, Tang, Hongxuan, Wang, Mingyang, Zhang, Hongrui, Liu, Xuyang, Li, Weiya, Hu, Xuming, Zhang, Linfeng
The debate between self-interpretable models and post-hoc explanations for blackbox models is central to Explainable AI (XAI). Self-interpretable models, such as concept-based networks, offer insights by connecting decisions to humanunderstandable concepts but often struggle with performance and scalability. Conversely, post-hoc methods like Shapley values, while theoretically robust, are computationally expensive and resource-intensive. To bridge the gap between these two lines of research, we propose a novel method that combines their strengths, providing theoretically guaranteed self-interpretability for black-box models without compromising prediction accuracy. Specifically, we introduce a parameter-efficient pipeline, AutoGnothi, which integrates a small side network into the black-box model, allowing it to generate Shapley value explanations without changing the original network parameters. This side-tuning approach significantly reduces memory, training, and inference costs, outperforming traditional parameter-efficient methods, where full fine-tuning serves as the optimal baseline. AutoGnothi enables the black-box model to predict and explain its predictions with minimal overhead. Extensive experiments show that AutoGnothi offers accurate explanations for both vision and language tasks, delivering superior computational efficiency with comparable interpretability. Explainable AI (XAI) has gained increasing significance as AI systems are widely deployed in both vision (Dosovitskiy, 2020; Radford et al., 2021; Kirillov et al., 2023) and language domains (Devlin et al., 2019; Brown, 2020; Achiam et al., 2023). Ensuring interpretability in these systems is vital for fostering trust, ensuring fairness, and adhering to legal standards, particularly for complex models such as transformers. As illustrated in Figure 1(a), the ideal paradigm for XAI involves designing inherently transparent models that deliver superior performance.
Auditing $f$-Differential Privacy in One Run
Mahloujifar, Saeed, Melis, Luca, Chaudhuri, Kamalika
Empirical auditing has emerged as a means of catching some of the flaws in the implementation of privacy-preserving algorithms. Existing auditing mechanisms, however, are either computationally inefficient requiring multiple runs of the machine learning algorithms or suboptimal in calculating an empirical privacy. In this work, we present a tight and efficient auditing procedure and analysis that can effectively assess the privacy of mechanisms. Our approach is efficient; similar to the recent work of Steinke, Nasr, and Jagielski (2023), our auditing procedure leverages the randomness of examples in the input dataset and requires only a single run of the target mechanism. And it is more accurate; we provide a novel analysis that enables us to achieve tight empirical privacy estimates by using the hypothesized $f$-DP curve of the mechanism, which provides a more accurate measure of privacy than the traditional $\epsilon,\delta$ differential privacy parameters. We use our auditing procure and analysis to obtain empirical privacy, demonstrating that our auditing procedure delivers tighter privacy estimates.