While most ML models expect independent and identically distributed data, this assumption is often violated in real-world scenarios due to distribution shifts, resulting in the degradation of machine learning model performance. Until now, no tabular method has consistently outperformed classical supervised learning, which ignores these shifts. To address temporal distribution shifts, we present Drift-Resilient TabPFN, a fresh approach based on In-Context Learning with a Prior-Data Fitted Network that learns the learning algorithm itself: it accepts the entire training dataset as input and makes predictions on the test set in a single forward pass. Specifically, it learns to approximate Bayesian inference on synthetic datasets drawn from a prior that specifies the model's inductive bias. This prior is based on structural causal models (SCM), which gradually shift over time. To model shifts of these causal models, we use a secondary SCM, that specifies changes in the primary model parameters. The resulting Drift-Resilient TabPFN can be applied to unseen data, runs in seconds on small to moderately sized datasets and needs no hyperparameter tuning. Comprehensive evaluations across 18 synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate large performance improvements over a wide range of baselines, such as XGB, CatBoost, TabPFN, and applicable methods featured in the Wild-Time benchmark. Compared to the strongest baselines, it improves accuracy from 0.688 to 0.744 and ROC AUC from 0.786 to 0.832 while maintaining stronger calibration. This approach could serve as significant groundwork for further research on out-of-distribution prediction.

Having a better understanding of how locational marginal prices (LMPs) change helps in price forecasting and market strategy making. This paper investigates the fundamental distribution of the congestion part of LMPs in high-dimensional Euclidean space using an unsupervised approach. LMP models based on the lossless and lossy DC optimal power flow (DC-OPF) are analyzed to show the overlapping subspace property of the LMP data. The congestion part of LMPs is spanned by certain row vectors of the power transfer distribution factor (PTDF) matrix, and the subspace attributes of an LMP vector uniquely are found to reflect the instantaneous congestion status of all the transmission lines. The proposed method searches for the basis vectors that span the subspaces of congestion LMP data in hierarchical ways. In the bottom-up search, the data belonging to 1-dimensional subspaces are detected, and other data are projected on the orthogonal subspaces. This procedure is repeated until all the basis vectors are found or the basis gap appears. Top-down searching is used to address the basis gap by hyperplane detection with outliers. Once all the basis vectors are detected, the congestion status can be identified. Numerical experiments based on the IEEE 30-bus system, IEEE 118-bus system, Illinois 200-bus system, and Southwest Power Pool are conducted to show the performance of the proposed method.

We propose a new method for data visualization based on attraction-repulsion swarming (ARS) dynamics, which we call ARS visualization. ARS is a generalized framework that is based on viewing the t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) visualization technique as a swarm of interacting agents driven by attraction and repulsion. Motivated by recent developments in swarming, we modify the t-SNE dynamics to include a normalization by the \emph{total influence}, which results in better posed dynamics in which we can use a data size independent time step (of $h=1$) and a simple iteration, without the need for the array of optimization tricks employed in t-SNE. ARS also includes the ability to separately tune the attraction and repulsion kernels, which gives the user control over the tightness within clusters and the spacing between them in the visualization. In contrast with t-SNE, our proposed ARS data visualization method is not gradient descent on the Kullback-Leibler divergence, and can be viewed solely as an interacting particle system driven by attraction and repulsion forces. We provide theoretical results illustrating how the choice of interaction kernel affects the dynamics, and experimental results to validate our method and compare to t-SNE on the MNIST and Cifar-10 data sets.

The success of deep neural networks has driven numerous research studies and applications from Euclidean to non-Euclidean data. However, there are increasing concerns about privacy leakage, as these networks rely on processing private data. Recently, a new type of privacy attack, the model inversion attacks (MIAs), aims to extract sensitive features of private data for training by abusing access to a well-trained model. The effectiveness of MIAs has been demonstrated in various domains, including images, texts, and graphs. These attacks highlight the vulnerability of neural networks and raise awareness about the risk of privacy leakage within the research community. Despite the significance, there is a lack of systematic studies that provide a comprehensive overview and deeper insights into MIAs across different domains. This survey aims to summarize up-to-date MIA methods in both attacks and defenses, highlighting their contributions and limitations, underlying modeling principles, optimization challenges, and future directions. We hope this survey bridges the gap in the literature and facilitates future research in this critical area. Besides, we are maintaining a repository to keep track of relevant research at https://github.com/AndrewZhou924/Awesome-model-inversion-attack.

Current causal discovery approaches require restrictive model assumptions or assume access to interventional data to ensure structure identifiability. These assumptions often do not hold in real-world applications leading to a loss of guarantees and poor accuracy in practice. Recent work has shown that, in the bivariate case, Bayesian model selection can greatly improve accuracy by exchanging restrictive modelling for more flexible assumptions, at the cost of a small probability of error. We extend the Bayesian model selection approach to the important multivariate setting by making the large discrete selection problem scalable through a continuous relaxation. We demonstrate how for our choice of Bayesian non-parametric model, the Causal Gaussian Process Conditional Density Estimator (CGP-CDE), an adjacency matrix can be constructed from the model hyperparameters. This adjacency matrix is then optimised using the marginal likelihood and an acyclicity regulariser, outputting the maximum a posteriori causal graph. We demonstrate the competitiveness of our approach on both synthetic and real-world datasets, showing it is possible to perform multivariate causal discovery without infeasible assumptions using Bayesian model selection.

Task-oriented dialogue systems rely on predefined conversation schemes (dialogue flows) often represented as directed acyclic graphs. These flows can be manually designed or automatically generated from previously recorded conversations. Due to variations in domain expertise or reliance on different sets of prior conversations, these dialogue flows can manifest in significantly different graph structures. Despite their importance, there is no standard method for evaluating the quality of dialogue flows. We introduce FuDGE (Fuzzy Dialogue-Graph Edit Distance), a novel metric that evaluates dialogue flows by assessing their structural complexity and representational coverage of the conversation data. FuDGE measures how well individual conversations align with a flow and, consequently, how well a set of conversations is represented by the flow overall. Through extensive experiments on manually configured flows and flows generated by automated techniques, we demonstrate the effectiveness of FuDGE and its evaluation framework. By standardizing and optimizing dialogue flows, FuDGE enables conversational designers and automated techniques to achieve higher levels of efficiency and automation.

We introduce the ParClusterers Benchmark Suite (PCBS) -- a collection of highly scalable parallel graph clustering algorithms and benchmarking tools that streamline comparing different graph clustering algorithms and implementations. The benchmark includes clustering algorithms that target a wide range of modern clustering use cases, including community detection, classification, and dense subgraph mining. The benchmark toolkit makes it easy to run and evaluate multiple instances of different clustering algorithms, which can be useful for fine-tuning the performance of clustering on a given task, and for comparing different clustering algorithms based on different metrics of interest, including clustering quality and running time. Using PCBS, we evaluate a broad collection of real-world graph clustering datasets. Somewhat surprisingly, we find that the best quality results are obtained by algorithms that not included in many popular graph clustering toolkits. The PCBS provides a standardized way to evaluate and judge the quality-performance tradeoffs of the active research area of scalable graph clustering algorithms. We believe it will help enable fair, accurate, and nuanced evaluation of graph clustering algorithms in the future.

In a clinical trial, the random allocation aims to balance prognostic factors between arms, preventing true confounders. However, residual differences due to chance may introduce near-confounders. Adjusting on prognostic factors is therefore recommended, especially because the related increase of the power. In this paper, we hypothesized that G-computation associated with machine learning could be a suitable method for randomized clinical trials even with small sample sizes. It allows for flexible estimation of the outcome model, even when the covariates' relationships with outcomes are complex. Through simulations, penalized regressions (Lasso, Elasticnet) and algorithm-based methods (neural network, support vector machine, super learner) were compared. Penalized regressions reduced variance but may introduce a slight increase in bias. The associated reductions in sample size ranged from 17\% to 54\%. In contrast, algorithm-based methods, while effective for larger and more complex data structures, underestimated the standard deviation, especially with small sample sizes. In conclusion, G-computation with penalized models, particularly Elasticnet with splines when appropriate, represents a relevant approach for increasing the power of RCTs and accounting for potential near-confounders.

Fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) poses significant memory challenges, as the back-propagation process demands extensive resources, especially with growing model sizes. Recent work, MeZO, addresses this issue using a zerothorder (ZO) optimization method, which reduces memory consumption by matching the usage to the inference phase. To overcome this limitation, we introduce HELENE, a novel scalable and memory-efficient optimizer that integrates annealed A-GNB gradients with a diagonal Hessian estimation and layerwise clipping, serving as a second-order pre-conditioner. This combination allows for faster and more stable convergence. Our theoretical analysis demonstrates that HELENE improves convergence rates, particularly for models with heterogeneous layer dimensions, by reducing the dependency on the total parameter space dimension. Furthermore, HELENE remains compatible with both full parameter tuning and parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT), outperforming several state-of-the-art optimizers. The codes will be released after reviewing. LLMs have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various downstream tasks. Fine-tuning these models has become the standard approach for improving task-specific performance, in which the firstorder optimizers like Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) (Robbins & Monro, 1951), Adam (Diederik, 2014) and AdamW (Hutter & Loshchilov, 2017) are widely used.

Aesthetics is, according to Alexander Gottlieb Baumgarten (1714 - 1762), the science of beauty (Baumgarten, 1750). Putting it more scientifically, aesthetics is the science of critical judgement of the beautiful (Nake, 1974). Therefore, aesthetics is also the science of critical judgement of the ugly as the opposite of the beautiful (Stangneth, 2019). In these latter senses, aesthetics is part of aesthesiology as the science of perception in general, and of the reception of art in particular (Consoli, 2020; Tedesco, 2024), thus overlapping with psychology and the human cognitive neurosciences (Fechner, 1876; Frascaroli et al, 2024; Pearce et al, 2016). For the judgment of an object or event as being beautiful, abstract features, such as regularity, symmetry or orderliness are often invoked (Weyl, 1980).