Statistical Learning
ProRCA: A Causal Python Package for Actionable Root Cause Analysis in Real-world Business Scenarios
Dawoud, Ahmed, Talupula, Shravan
Modern operational landscapes, spanning domains such as retail, healthcare, finance, and software systems, are increasingly characterized by complex interdependencies and massive data streams. In such settings, anomalies rarely arise from a single isolated factor; rather, they emerge as the cumulative effect of multi-hop causal chains. Existing RCA methods typically focus on detecting outliers or isolating single nodes based on correlation or localized attribution. However, these approaches do not provide a complete explanation of why a failure occurred. In other words they do not systematically trace all possible causal pathways from an observed effect back to its initial triggers. The primary motivation for our work is to address this limitation by developing a package that systematically reconstructs the full causal pathway from an observed anomaly back to its root cause. By leveraging the strengths of the DoWhy causal inference library, our method extends existing techniques to not only identify individual anomalous nodes but also trace entire multi-hop causal chains. This end-to-end approach enables practitioners to intervene precisely at the earliest disruption points, thereby reducing the risk of recurring failures and improving overall system reliability.
Learning Actionable World Models for Industrial Process Control
Yan, Peng, Abdulkadir, Ahmed, Schatte, Gerrit A., Aguzzi, Giulia, Gha, Joonsu, Pascher, Nikola, Rosenthal, Matthias, Gao, Yunlong, Grewe, Benjamin F., Stadelmann, Thilo
To go from (passive) process monitoring to active process control, an effective AI system must learn about the behavior of the complex system from very limited training data, forming an ad-hoc digital twin with respect to process in- and outputs that captures the consequences of actions on the process's world. We propose a novel methodology based on learning world models that disentangles process parameters in the learned latent representation, allowing for fine-grained control. Representation learning is driven by the latent factors that influence the processes through contrastive learning within a joint embedding predictive architecture. This makes changes in representations predictable from changes in inputs and vice versa, facilitating interpretability of key factors responsible for process variations, paving the way for effective control actions to keep the process within operational bounds. The effectiveness of our method is validated on the example of plastic injection molding, demonstrating practical relevance in proposing specific control actions for a notoriously unstable process.
Hyperspectral image segmentation with a machine learning model trained using quantum annealer
Mazur, Dawid, Rybotycki, Tomasz, Gawron, Piotr
Since the energy consumption becomes a major problem in the development and implementation of artificial intelligence systems there exists a need to investigate the ways to reduce use of the resources by these systems. In this work we study how application of quantum annealers could lead to reduction of energy cost in training models aiming at pixel-level segmentation of hyperspec-tral images. Following the results of QBM4EO team, we propose a classical machine learning model, partially trained using quantum annealer, for hyperspectral image segmentation. We show that the model trained using quantum annealer is better or at least comparable with models trained using alternative algorithms, according to the preselected, common metrics. While direct energy use comparison does not make sense at the current stage of quantum computing technology development, we believe that our work proves that quantum annealing should be considered as a tool for training at least some machine learning models. Keywords: RBM, QML, Hyperspectral imaging, image segmentation 1 Introduction The rapid growth of artificial intelligence, especially in the field of generative models [18] and transformer architecture in 2017 [41] has lead to a major proliferation of large deep learning models. It is becoming a major concern that economic opportunities that are believed to be existing coming from the explosion of large models, lead to major energy consumption related to training and using these models. In order to mitigate this problem it is important to search for alternative methods of models training. In this work we employ an old idea and implement it on a new hardware device -- 1 arXiv:2503.01400v1
Geo-Semantic-Parsing: AI-powered geoparsing by traversing semantic knowledge graphs
Nizzoli, Leonardo, Avvenuti, Marco, Tesconi, Maurizio, Cresci, Stefano
Online Social Networks (OSN) are privileged observation channels for understanding the geospatial facets of many real-world phenomena [1]. Unfortunately, in most cases OSN content lacks explicit and structured geographic information, as in the case of Twitter, where only a minimal fraction (1% to 4%) of messages are natively geotagged [2]. This shortage of explicit geographic information drastically limits the exploitation of OSN data in geospatial Decision Support Systems (DSS) [3]. Conversely, the prompt availability of geotagged content would empower existing systems and would open up the possibility to develop new and better geospatial services and applications [4, 5]. As a practical example of this kind, several social media-based systems have been proposed in recent years for mapping and visualizing situational information in the aftermath of mass disasters - a task dubbed as crisis mapping - in an effort to augment emergency response [6, 7]. These systems, however, demand geotagged data to be placed on crisis maps, which in turn imposes to perform the geoparsing task on the majority of social media content. Explicit geographic information is not only needed in early warning [8, 9] and emergency response systems [10, 11, 12, 13, 14], but also in systems and applications for improving event promotion [15, 16], touristic planning [17, 18, 19], healthcare accessibility [20], news aggregation [21] Post-print of the article published in Decision Support Systems 136, 2020. Please refer to the published version: doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2020.113346
Soybean Disease Detection via Interpretable Hybrid CNN-GNN: Integrating MobileNetV2 and GraphSAGE with Cross-Modal Attention
Jahin, Md Abrar, Shahriar, Soudeep, Mridha, M. F., Dey, Nilanjan
Soybean leaf disease detection is critical for agricultural productivity but faces challenges due to visually similar symptoms and limited interpretability in conventional methods. While Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) excel in spatial feature extraction, they often neglect inter-image relational dependencies, leading to misclassifications. This paper proposes an interpretable hybrid Sequential CNN-Graph Neural Network (GNN) framework that synergizes MobileNetV2 for localized feature extraction and GraphSAGE for relational modeling. The framework constructs a graph where nodes represent leaf images, with edges defined by cosine similarity-based adjacency matrices and adaptive neighborhood sampling. This design captures fine-grained lesion features and global symptom patterns, addressing inter-class similarity challenges. Cross-modal interpretability is achieved via Grad-CAM and Eigen-CAM visualizations, generating heatmaps to highlight disease-influential regions. Evaluated on a dataset of ten soybean leaf diseases, the model achieves $97.16\%$ accuracy, surpassing standalone CNNs ($\le95.04\%$) and traditional machine learning models ($\le77.05\%$). Ablation studies validate the sequential architecture's superiority over parallel or single-model configurations. With only 2.3 million parameters, the lightweight MobileNetV2-GraphSAGE combination ensures computational efficiency, enabling real-time deployment in resource-constrained environments. The proposed approach bridges the gap between accurate classification and practical applicability, offering a robust, interpretable tool for agricultural diagnostics while advancing CNN-GNN integration in plant pathology research.
Prior-Fitted Networks Scale to Larger Datasets When Treated as Weak Learners
Wang, Yuxin, Jiang, Botian, Guo, Yiran, Gan, Quan, Wipf, David, Huang, Xuanjing, Qiu, Xipeng
Prior-Fitted Networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed to efficiently perform tabular classification tasks. Although they achieve good performance on small datasets, they encounter limitations with larger datasets. These limitations include significant memory consumption and increased computational complexity, primarily due to the impracticality of incorporating all training samples as inputs within these networks. To address these challenges, we investigate the fitting assumption for PFNs and input samples. Building on this understanding, we propose \textit{BoostPFN} designed to enhance the performance of these networks, especially for large-scale datasets. We also theoretically validate the convergence of BoostPFN and our empirical results demonstrate that the BoostPFN method can outperform standard PFNs with the same size of training samples in large datasets and achieve a significant acceleration in training times compared to other established baselines in the field, including widely-used Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDTs), deep learning methods and AutoML systems. High performance is maintained for up to 50x of the pre-training size of PFNs, substantially extending the limit of training samples. Through this work, we address the challenges of efficiently handling large datasets via PFN-based models, paving the way for faster and more effective tabular data classification training and prediction process. Code is available at Github.
Learning Covariance-Based Multi-Scale Representation of Neuroimaging Measures for Alzheimer Classification
Baek, Seunghun, Choi, Injun, Dere, Mustafa, Kim, Minjeong, Wu, Guorong, Kim, Won Hwa
Stacking excessive layers in DNN results in highly underdetermined system when training samples are limited, which is very common in medical applications. In this regard, we present a framework capable of deriving an efficient high-dimensional space with reasonable increase in model size. This is done by utilizing a transform (i.e., convolution) that leverages scale-space theory with covariance structure. The overall model trains on this transform together with a downstream classifier (i.e., Fully Connected layer) to capture the optimal multi-scale representation of the original data which corresponds to task-specific components in a dual space. Experiments on neuroimaging measures from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) study show that our model performs better and converges faster than conventional models even when the model size is significantly reduced. The trained model is made interpretable using gradient information over the multi-scale transform to delineate personalized AD-specific regions in the brain.
Dementia Insights: A Context-Based MultiModal Approach
Mehdoui, Sahar Sinene, Bouzid, Abdelhamid, Sierra-Sosa, Daniel, Elmaghraby, Adel
Dementia, a progressive neurodegenerative disorder, affects memory, reasoning, and daily functioning, creating challenges for individuals and healthcare systems. Early detection is crucial for timely interventions that may slow disease progression. Large pre-trained models (LPMs) for text and audio, such as Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT), Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT), and Contrastive Language-Audio Pretraining (CLAP), have shown promise in identifying cognitive impairments. However, existing studies generally rely heavily on expert-annotated datasets and unimodal approaches, limiting robustness and scalability. This study proposes a context-based multimodal method, integrating both text and audio data using the best-performing LPMs in each modality. By incorporating contextual embeddings, our method improves dementia detection performance. Additionally, motivated by the effectiveness of contextual embeddings, we further experimented with a context-based In-Context Learning (ICL) as a complementary technique. Results show that GPT-based embeddings, particularly when fused with CLAP audio features, achieve an F1-score of $83.33\%$, surpassing state-of-the-art dementia detection models. Furthermore, raw text data outperforms expert-annotated datasets, demonstrating that LPMs can extract meaningful linguistic and acoustic patterns without extensive manual labeling. These findings highlight the potential for scalable, non-invasive diagnostic tools that reduce reliance on costly annotations while maintaining high accuracy. By integrating multimodal learning with contextual embeddings, this work lays the foundation for future advancements in personalized dementia detection and cognitive health research.
Hypergraph Foundation Model
Feng, Yifan, Liu, Shiquan, Han, Xiangmin, Du, Shaoyi, Wu, Zongze, Hu, Han, Gao, Yue
Hypergraph neural networks (HGNNs) effectively model complex high-order relationships in domains like protein interactions and social networks by connecting multiple vertices through hyperedges, enhancing modeling capabilities, and reducing information loss. Developing foundation models for hypergraphs is challenging due to their distinct data, which includes both vertex features and intricate structural information. We present Hyper-FM, a Hypergraph Foundation Model for multi-domain knowledge extraction, featuring Hierarchical High-Order Neighbor Guided Vertex Knowledge Embedding for vertex feature representation and Hierarchical Multi-Hypergraph Guided Structural Knowledge Extraction for structural information. Additionally, we curate 10 text-attributed hypergraph datasets to advance research between HGNNs and LLMs. Experiments on these datasets show that Hyper-FM outperforms baseline methods by approximately 13.3\%, validating our approach. Furthermore, we propose the first scaling law for hypergraph foundation models, demonstrating that increasing domain diversity significantly enhances performance, unlike merely augmenting vertex and hyperedge counts. This underscores the critical role of domain diversity in scaling hypergraph models.
PostHoc FREE Calibrating on Kolmogorov Arnold Networks
Liang, Wenhao, Zhang, Wei Emma, Yue, Lin, Xu, Miao, Maennel, Olaf, Chen, Weitong
Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KANs) are neural architectures inspired by the Kolmogorov Arnold representation theorem that leverage B Spline parameterizations for flexible, locally adaptive function approximation. Although KANs can capture complex nonlinearities beyond those modeled by standard MultiLayer Perceptrons (MLPs), they frequently exhibit miscalibrated confidence estimates manifesting as overconfidence in dense data regions and underconfidence in sparse areas. In this work, we systematically examine the impact of four critical hyperparameters including Layer Width, Grid Order, Shortcut Function, and Grid Range on the calibration of KANs. Furthermore, we introduce a novel TemperatureScaled Loss (TSL) that integrates a temperature parameter directly into the training objective, dynamically adjusting the predictive distribution during learning. Both theoretical analysis and extensive empirical evaluations on standard benchmarks demonstrate that TSL significantly reduces calibration errors, thereby improving the reliability of probabilistic predictions. Overall, our study provides actionable insights into the design of spline based neural networks and establishes TSL as a robust loss solution for enhancing calibration.