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 Statistical Learning


Artificial Intelligence in Pronunciation Teaching: Use and Beliefs of Foreign Language Teachers

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pronunciation instruction in foreign language classrooms has often been an overlooked area of focus. With the widespread adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and its potential benefits, investigating how AI is utilized in pronunciation teaching and understanding the beliefs of teachers about this tool is essential for improving learning outcomes. This study aims to examine how AI use for pronunciation instruction varies across different demographic and professional factors among teachers, and how these factors, including AI use, influence the beliefs of teachers about AI. The study involved 117 English as a Foreign Language (EFL) in-service teachers working in Cyprus, who completed an online survey designed to assess their beliefs about the effectiveness of AI, its drawbacks, and their willingness to integrate AI into their teaching practices. The results revealed that teachers were significantly more likely to agree on the perceived effectiveness of AI and their willingness to adopt it, compared to their concerns about its use. Furthermore, teachers working in higher education and adult education, as well as those who had received more extensive training, reported using AI more frequently in their teaching. Teachers who utilized AI more often expressed stronger agreement with its effectiveness, while those who had received more training were less likely to express concerns about its integration. Given the limited training that many teachers currently receive, these findings demonstrate the need for tailored training sessions that address the specific needs and concerns of educators, ultimately fostering the adoption of AI in pronunciation instruction.


One-Shot Clustering for Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated Learning (FL) is a widespread and well adopted paradigm of decentralized learning that allows training one model from multiple sources without the need to directly transfer data between participating clients. Since its inception in 2015, it has been divided into numerous sub-fields that deal with application-specific issues, be it data heterogeneity or resource allocation. One such sub-field, Clustered Federated Learning (CFL), is dealing with the problem of clustering the population of clients into separate cohorts to deliver personalized models. Although few remarkable works have been published in this domain, the problem is still largely unexplored, as its basic assumption and settings are slightly different from standard FL. In this work, we present One-Shot Clustered Federated Learning (OCFL), a clustering-agnostic algorithm that can automatically detect the earliest suitable moment for clustering. Our algorithm is based on the computation of cosine similarity between gradients of the clients and a temperature measure that detects when the federated model starts to converge. We empirically evaluate our methodology by testing various one-shot clustering algorithms for over thirty different tasks on three benchmark datasets. Our experiments showcase the good performance of our approach when used to perform CFL in an automated manner without the need to adjust hyperparameters.


Topology-Aware Conformal Prediction for Stream Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stream networks, a unique class of spatiotemporal graphs, exhibit complex directional flow constraints and evolving dependencies, making uncertainty quantification a critical yet challenging task. Traditional conformal prediction methods struggle in this setting due to the need for joint predictions across multiple interdependent locations and the intricate spatio-temporal dependencies inherent in stream networks. Existing approaches either neglect dependencies, leading to overly conservative predictions, or rely solely on data-driven estimations, failing to capture the rich topological structure of the network. To address these challenges, we propose Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Conformal Inference (\texttt{STACI}), a novel framework that integrates network topology and temporal dynamics into the conformal prediction framework. \texttt{STACI} introduces a topology-aware nonconformity score that respects directional flow constraints and dynamically adjusts prediction sets to account for temporal distributional shifts. We provide theoretical guarantees on the validity of our approach and demonstrate its superior performance on both synthetic and real-world datasets. Our results show that \texttt{STACI} effectively balances prediction efficiency and coverage, outperforming existing conformal prediction methods for stream networks.


PDX: A Data Layout for Vector Similarity Search

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose Partition Dimensions Across (PDX), a data layout for vectors (e.g., embeddings) that, similar to PAX [6], stores multiple vectors in one block, using a vertical layout for the dimensions (Figure 1). PDX accelerates exact and approximate similarity search thanks to its dimension-by-dimension search strategy that operates on multiple-vectors-at-a-time in tight loops. It beats SIMD-optimized distance kernels on standard horizontal vector storage (avg 40% faster), only relying on scalar code that gets auto-vectorized. We combined the PDX layout with recent dimension-pruning algorithms ADSampling [19] and BSA [52] that accelerate approximate vector search. We found that these algorithms on the horizontal vector layout can lose to SIMD-optimized linear scans, even if they are SIMD-optimized. However, when used on PDX, their benefit is restored to 2-7x. We find that search on PDX is especially fast if a limited number of dimensions has to be scanned fully, which is what the dimension-pruning approaches do. We finally introduce PDX-BOND, an even more flexible dimension-pruning strategy, with good performance on exact search and reasonable performance on approximate search. Unlike previous pruning algorithms, it can work on vector data "as-is" without preprocessing; making it attractive for vector databases with frequent updates.


Attention Mechanism based Cognition-level Scene Understanding

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Given a question-image input, the Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) model can predict an answer with the corresponding rationale, which requires inference ability from the real world. The VCR task, which calls for exploiting the multi-source information as well as learning different levels of understanding and extensive commonsense knowledge, is a cognition-level scene understanding task. The VCR task has aroused researchers' interest due to its wide range of applications, including visual question answering, automated vehicle systems, and clinical decision support. Previous approaches to solving the VCR task generally rely on pre-training or exploiting memory with long dependency relationship encoded models. However, these approaches suffer from a lack of generalizability and losing information in long sequences. In this paper, we propose a parallel attention-based cognitive VCR network PAVCR, which fuses visual-textual information efficiently and encodes semantic information in parallel to enable the model to capture rich information for cognition-level inference. Extensive experiments show that the proposed model yields significant improvements over existing methods on the benchmark VCR dataset. Moreover, the proposed model provides intuitive interpretation into visual commonsense reasoning.


Federated Inverse Probability Treatment Weighting for Individual Treatment Effect Estimation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation is to evaluate the causal effects of treatment strategies on some important outcomes, which is a crucial problem in healthcare. Most existing ITE estimation methods are designed for centralized settings. However, in real-world clinical scenarios, the raw data are usually not shareable among hospitals due to the potential privacy and security risks, which makes the methods not applicable. In this work, we study the ITE estimation task in a federated setting, which allows us to harness the decentralized data from multiple hospitals. Due to the unavoidable confounding bias in the collected data, a model directly learned from it would be inaccurate. One well-known solution is Inverse Probability Treatment Weighting (IPTW), which uses the conditional probability of treatment given the covariates to re-weight each training example. Applying IPTW in a federated setting, however, is non-trivial. We found that even with a well-estimated conditional probability, the local model training step using each hospital's data alone would still suffer from confounding bias. To address this, we propose FED-IPTW, a novel algorithm to extend IPTW into a federated setting that enforces both global (over all the data) and local (within each hospital) decorrelation between covariates and treatments. We validated our approach on the task of comparing the treatment effects of mechanical ventilation on improving survival probability for patients with breadth difficulties in the intensive care unit (ICU). We conducted experiments on both synthetic and real-world eICU datasets and the results show that FED-IPTW outperform state-of-the-art methods on all the metrics on factual prediction and ITE estimation tasks, paving the way for personalized treatment strategy design in mechanical ventilation usage.


On the Importance of Clearsky Model in Short-Term Solar Radiation Forecasting

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Clearsky models are widely used in solar energy for many applications such as quality control, resource assessment, satellite-base irradiance estimation and forecasting. However, their use in forecasting and nowcasting is associated with a number of challenges. Synchronization errors, reliance on the Clearsky index (ratio of the global horizontal irradiance to its cloud-free counterpart) and high sensitivity of the clearsky model to errors in aerosol optical depth at low solar elevation limit their added value in real-time applications. This paper explores the feasibility of short-term forecasting without relying on a clearsky model. We propose a Clearsky-Free forecasting approach using Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) models. ELM learns daily periodicity and local variability directly from raw Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) data. It eliminates the need for Clearsky normalization, simplifying the forecasting process and improving scalability. Our approach is a non-linear adaptative statistical method that implicitely learns the irradiance in cloud-free conditions removing the need for an clear-sky model and the related operational issues. Deterministic and probabilistic results are compared to traditional benchmarks, including ARMA with McClear-generated Clearsky data and quantile regression for probabilistic forecasts. ELM matches or outperforms these methods, providing accurate predictions and robust uncertainty quantification. This approach offers a simple, efficient solution for real-time solar forecasting. By overcoming the stationarization process limitations based on usual multiplicative scheme Clearsky models, it provides a flexible and reliable framework for modern energy systems.


Randomized based restricted kernel machine for hyperspectral image classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, the random vector functional link (RVFL) network has gained significant popularity in hyperspectral image (HSI) classification due to its simplicity, speed, and strong generalization performance. However, despite these advantages, RVFL models face several limitations, particularly in handling non-linear relationships and complex data structures. The random initialization of input-to-hidden weights can lead to instability, and the model struggles with determining the optimal number of hidden nodes, affecting its performance on more challenging datasets. To address these issues, we propose a novel randomized based restricted kernel machine ($R^2KM$) model that combines the strehyperngths of RVFL and restricted kernel machines (RKM). $R^2KM$ introduces a layered structure that represents kernel methods using both visible and hidden variables, analogous to the energy function in restricted Boltzmann machines (RBM). This structure enables $R^2KM$ to capture complex data interactions and non-linear relationships more effectively, improving both interpretability and model robustness. A key contribution of $R^2KM$ is the introduction of a novel conjugate feature duality based on the Fenchel-Young inequality, which expresses the problem in terms of conjugate dual variables and provides an upper bound on the objective function. This duality enhances the model's flexibility and scalability, offering a more efficient and flexible solution for complex data analysis tasks. Extensive experiments on hyperspectral image datasets and real-world data from the UCI and KEEL repositories show that $R^2KM$ outperforms baseline models, demonstrating its effectiveness in classification and regression tasks.


AI-driven Prediction of Insulin Resistance in Normal Populations: Comparing Models and Criteria

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Insulin resistance (IR) is a key precursor to diabetes and a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Traditional IR assessment methods require multiple blood tests. We developed a simple AI model using only fasting blood glucose to predict IR in non-diabetic populations. Data from the NHANES (1999-2020) and CHARLS (2015) studies were used for model training and validation. Input features included age, gender, height, weight, blood pressure, waist circumference, and fasting blood glucose. The CatBoost algorithm achieved AUC values of 0.8596 (HOMA-IR) and 0.7777 (TyG index) in NHANES, with an external AUC of 0.7442 for TyG. For METS-IR prediction, the model achieved AUC values of 0.9731 (internal) and 0.9591 (external), with RMSE values of 3.2643 (internal) and 3.057 (external). SHAP analysis highlighted waist circumference as a key predictor of IR. This AI model offers a minimally invasive and effective tool for IR prediction, supporting early diabetes and cardiovascular disease prevention.


A new local time-decoupled squared Wasserstein-2 method for training stochastic neural networks to reconstruct uncertain parameters in dynamical systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Preprint submitted to Elsevier March 10, 2025 algorithms to solve such inverse-type problems advance different fields including inferring neural circuit dynamics from spiking data [42] in neuroscience, modeling and predicting complex weather patterns from historical data [9] in climate science, uncovering disease transmission dynamics from infection case counts over time [46] in epidemiology, and deducing reaction rates from experimental concentration-time profiles in reaction kinetics in biochemistry [30]. However, such inverse-type problems pose substantial mathematical and computational challenges, particularly when data are limited and noisy, motivating ongoing research into novel algorithms and theoretical frameworks to improve models' reconstruction accuracy and efficiency. In this paper, we study the inverse problem of inferring the distribution of model parameters for several dynamical systems including ordinary differential equations (ODEs), partial differential equations (PDEs), and stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from time-series data or spatiotemporal data. Existing methods for such problems can be broadly categorized into traditional statistical approaches and modern data-driven techniques. Traditional statistical methods often involve parameter estimation frameworks. For example, linear and nonlinear regression methods play a role in simpler systems where the functional form of the model is partially known [13]. Furthermore, maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian inference methods [16, 33] are often adopted. Maximum likelihood estimation optimizes the likelihood of model parameter values in a proposed model from observed data, while Bayesian methods incorporate prior information and compute posterior distributions. These approaches are widely used in applications such as reaction network reconstruction and epidemiological modeling.