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 Statistical Learning


Classifying Inconsistency in AHP Pairwise Comparison Matrices Using Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Assessing consistency in Pairwise Comparison Matrices (PCMs) within the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) poses significant challenges when using the traditional Consistency Ratio (CR) method. This study introduces a novel alternative that leverages triadic preference reversals (PR) to provide a more robust and interpretable assessment of consistency. Triadic preference reversals capture inconsistencies between a pair of elements by comparing the direction of preference derived from the global eigenvector with that from a 3x3 submatrix (triad) containing the same pair, highlighting local-global preference conflicts. This method detects a reversal when one eigen ratio exceeds one while another falls below one, signaling inconsistency. We identify two key features: the proportion of preference reversals and the maximum reversal, which mediate the impact of a PCM's order on its consistency. Using these features simulated PCMs are clustered into consistent and inconsistent classes through k-means clustering, followed by training a logistic classifier for consistency evaluation. The PR method achieves 97\% accuracy, significantly surpassing the Consistency Ratio (CR) method's 50%, with a false negative rate of only 2.6\% compared to 5.5\%. These findings demonstrate the PR method's superior accuracy in assessing AHP consistency, thereby enabling more reliable decision-making. The proposed triadic preference reversal (PR) approach is implemented in the R package AHPtools publicly available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN).


A stochastic gradient method for trilevel optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

With the success that the field of bilevel optimization has seen in recent years, similar methodologies have started being applied to solving more difficult applications that arise in trilevel optimization. At the helm of these applications are new machine learning formulations that have been proposed in the trilevel context and, as a result, efficient and theoretically sound stochastic methods are required. In this work, we propose the first-ever stochastic gradient descent method for solving unconstrained trilevel optimization problems and provide a convergence theory that covers all forms of inexactness of the trilevel adjoint gradient, such as the inexact solutions of the middle-level and lower-level problems, inexact computation of the trilevel adjoint formula, and noisy estimates of the gradients, Hessians, Jacobians, and tensors of third-order derivatives involved. We also demonstrate the promise of our approach by providing numerical results on both synthetic trilevel problems and trilevel formulations for hyperparameter adversarial tuning.


Adaptive Learning-based Surrogate Method for Stochastic Programs with Implicitly Decision-dependent Uncertainty

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not readily obtainable due to the latent decision dependency. To deal with such a computational difficulty, we develop an adaptive learning-based surrogate method that integrates the simulation scheme and statistical estimates to construct estimation-based surrogate functions in a way that the simulation process is adaptively guided by the algorithmic procedure. We establish the non-asymptotic convergence rate analysis in terms of $(ν, δ)$-near stationarity in expectation under variable proximal parameters and batch sizes, which exhibits the superior convergence performance and enhanced stability in both theory and practice. We provide numerical results with both synthetic and real data which illustrate the benefits of the proposed algorithm in terms of algorithmic stability and efficiency.


Fair Representation Learning for Continuous Sensitive Attributes using Expectation of Integral Probability Metrics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

AI fairness, also known as algorithmic fairness, aims to ensure that algorithms operate without bias or discrimination towards any individual or group. Among various AI algorithms, the Fair Representation Learning (FRL) approach has gained significant interest in recent years. However, existing FRL algorithms have a limitation: they are primarily designed for categorical sensitive attributes and thus cannot be applied to continuous sensitive attributes, such as age or income. In this paper, we propose an FRL algorithm for continuous sensitive attributes. First, we introduce a measure called the Expectation of Integral Probability Metrics (EIPM) to assess the fairness level of representation space for continuous sensitive attributes. We demonstrate that if the distribution of the representation has a low EIPM value, then any prediction head constructed on the top of the representation become fair, regardless of the selection of the prediction head. Furthermore, EIPM possesses a distinguished advantage in that it can be accurately estimated using our proposed estimator with finite samples. Based on these properties, we propose a new FRL algorithm called Fair Representation using EIPM with MMD (FREM). Experimental evidences show that FREM outperforms other baseline methods.


Generalization Bounds and Stopping Rules for Learning with Self-Selected Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many learning paradigms self-select training data in light of previously learned parameters. Examples include active learning, semi-supervised learning, bandits, or boosting. Rodemann et al. (2024) unify them under the framework of "reciprocal learning". In this article, we address the question of how well these methods can generalize from their self-selected samples. In particular, we prove universal generalization bounds for reciprocal learning using covering numbers and Wasserstein ambiguity sets. Our results require no assumptions on the distribution of self-selected data, only verifiable conditions on the algorithms. We prove results for both convergent and finite iteration solutions. The latter are anytime valid, thereby giving rise to stopping rules for a practitioner seeking to guarantee the out-of-sample performance of their reciprocal learning algorithm. Finally, we illustrate our bounds and stopping rules for reciprocal learning's special case of semi-supervised learning.


Analytic theory of dropout regularization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Dropout is a regularization technique widely used in training artificial neural networks to mitigate overfitting. It consists of dynamically deactivating subsets of the network during training to promote more robust representations. Despite its widespread adoption, dropout probabilities are often selected heuristically, and theoretical explanations of its success remain sparse. Here, we analytically study dropout in two-layer neural networks trained with online stochastic gradient descent. In the high-dimensional limit, we derive a set of ordinary differential equations that fully characterize the evolution of the network during training and capture the effects of dropout. We obtain a number of exact results describing the generalization error and the optimal dropout probability at short, intermediate, and long training times. Our analysis shows that dropout reduces detrimental correlations between hidden nodes, mitigates the impact of label noise, and that the optimal dropout probability increases with the level of noise in the data. Our results are validated by extensive numerical simulations.


ALPCAH: Subspace Learning for Sample-wise Heteroscedastic Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a key tool in the field of data dimensionality reduction. However, some applications involve heterogeneous data that vary in quality due to noise characteristics associated with each data sample. Heteroscedastic methods aim to deal with such mixed data quality. This paper develops a subspace learning method, named ALPCAH, that can estimate the sample-wise noise variances and use this information to improve the estimate of the subspace basis associated with the low-rank structure of the data. Our method makes no distributional assumptions of the low-rank component and does not assume that the noise variances are known. Further, this method uses a soft rank constraint that does not require subspace dimension to be known. Additionally, this paper develops a matrix factorized version of ALPCAH, named LR-ALPCAH, that is much faster and more memory efficient at the cost of requiring subspace dimension to be known or estimated. Simulations and real data experiments show the effectiveness of accounting for data heteroscedasticity compared to existing algorithms. Code available at https://github.com/javiersc1/ALPCAH.


IIKL: Isometric Immersion Kernel Learning with Riemannian Manifold for Geometric Preservation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Geometric representation learning in preserving the intrinsic geometric and topological properties for discrete non-Euclidean data is crucial in scientific applications. Previous research generally mapped non-Euclidean discrete data into Euclidean space during representation learning, which may lead to the loss of some critical geometric information. In this paper, we propose a novel Isometric Immersion Kernel Learning (IIKL) method to build Riemannian manifold and isometrically induce Riemannian metric from discrete non-Euclidean data. We prove that Isometric immersion is equivalent to the kernel function in the tangent bundle on the manifold, which explicitly guarantees the invariance of the inner product between vectors in the arbitrary tangent space throughout the learning process, thus maintaining the geometric structure of the original data. Moreover, a novel parameterized learning model based on IIKL is introduced, and an alternating training method for this model is derived using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), ensuring efficient convergence. Experimental results proved that using the learned Riemannian manifold and its metric, our model preserved the intrinsic geometric representation of data in both 3D and high-dimensional datasets successfully, and significantly improved the accuracy of downstream tasks, such as data reconstruction and classification. It is showed that our method could reduce the inner product invariant loss by more than 90% compared to state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods, also achieved an average 40% improvement in downstream reconstruction accuracy and a 90% reduction in error for geometric metrics involving isometric and conformal.


High-Dimensional Importance-Weighted Information Criteria: Theory and Optimality

arXiv.org Machine Learning

V arious methods for high-dimensional model selection have been developed in recent years to address situations where the training and test data come from different distributions. When both input and output variables are available in the source (training) and target (test) domains but the target sample size is small, estimates based solely on the target data often suffer from high variance. To improve accuracy, auxiliary estimates from the source domain can be incorporated, along with bias correction to account for domain differences. This transfer learning strategy facilitates more reliable estimation under limited target information (see, for example, Li et al. (2021), Bastani (2021), and Tian and Feng (2022)). However, when test outputs (i.e., target responses) are unavailable, estimation or bias correction involving both domains becomes infeasible, as only inputs (covariates) are observed in the test set.


Optimal Transport for Machine Learners

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Optimal Transport is a foundational mathematical theory that connects optimization, partial differential equations, and probability. It offers a powerful framework for comparing probability distributions and has recently become an important tool in machine learning, especially for designing and evaluating generative models. These course notes cover the fundamental mathematical aspects of OT, including the Monge and Kantorovich formulations, Brenier's theorem, the dual and dynamic formulations, the Bures metric on Gaussian distributions, and gradient flows. It also introduces numerical methods such as linear programming, semi-discrete solvers, and entropic regularization. Applications in machine learning include topics like training neural networks via gradient flows, token dynamics in transformers, and the structure of GANs and diffusion models. These notes focus primarily on mathematical content rather than deep learning techniques.