Statistical Learning
Joint Representation Learning and Clustering via Gradient-Based Manifold Optimization
Liu, Sida, Guo, Yangzi, Wang, Mingyuan
Clustering and dimensionality reduction have been crucial topics in machine learning and computer vision. Clustering high-dimensional data has been challenging for a long time due to the curse of dimensionality. For that reason, a more promising direction is the joint learning of dimension reduction and clustering. In this work, we propose a Manifold Learning Framework that learns dimensionality reduction and clustering simultaneously. The proposed framework is able to jointly learn the parameters of a dimension reduction technique (e.g. linear projection or a neural network) and cluster the data based on the resulting features (e.g. under a Gaussian Mixture Model framework). The framework searches for the dimension reduction parameters and the optimal clusters by traversing a manifold,using Gradient Manifold Optimization. The obtained The proposed framework is exemplified with a Gaussian Mixture Model as one simple but efficient example, in a process that is somehow similar to unsupervised Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA). We apply the proposed method to the unsupervised training of simulated data as well as a benchmark image dataset (i.e. MNIST). The experimental results indicate that our algorithm has better performance than popular clustering algorithms from the literature.
Universality of Gaussian-Mixture Reverse Kernels in Conditional Diffusion
Ishtiaque, Nafiz, Haque, Syed Arefinul, Alam, Kazi Ashraful, Jahara, Fatima
We prove that conditional diffusion models whose reverse kernels are finite Gaussian mixtures with ReLU-network logits can approximate suitably regular target distributions arbitrarily well in context-averaged conditional KL divergence, up to an irreducible terminal mismatch that typically vanishes with increasing diffusion horizon. A path-space decomposition reduces the output error to this mismatch plus per-step reverse-kernel errors; assuming each reverse kernel factors through a finite-dimensional feature map, each step becomes a static conditional density approximation problem, solved by composing Norets' Gaussian-mixture theory with quantitative ReLU bounds. Under exact terminal matching the resulting neural reverse-kernel class is dense in conditional KL.
Spectral methods: crucial for machine learning, natural for quantum computers?
Belis, Vasilis, Bowles, Joseph, Gupta, Rishabh, Peters, Evan, Schuld, Maria
This article presents an argument for why quantum computers could unlock new methods for machine learning. We argue that spectral methods, in particular those that learn, regularise, or otherwise manipulate the Fourier spectrum of a machine learning model, are often natural for quantum computers. For example, if a generative machine learning model is represented by a quantum state, the Quantum Fourier Transform allows us to manipulate the Fourier spectrum of the state using the entire toolbox of quantum routines, an operation that is usually prohibitive for classical models. At the same time, spectral methods are surprisingly fundamental to machine learning: A spectral bias has recently been hypothesised to be the core principle behind the success of deep learning; support vector machines have been known for decades to regularise in Fourier space, and convolutional neural nets build filters in the Fourier space of images. Could, then, quantum computing open fundamentally different, much more direct and resource-efficient ways to design the spectral properties of a model? We discuss this potential in detail here, hoping to stimulate a direction in quantum machine learning research that puts the question of ``why quantum?'' first.
Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Predictive Heterogeneity: A Validation-Driven Clustering Framework
Ma, Ziling, Oriona, Ángel López, Ombao, Hernando, Sun, Ying
We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive specialization can induce negative transfer. We formulate adaptive pooling as a statistical decision problem and propose a validation-driven framework that determines when and how specialization should be applied. Rather than grouping series based on representation similarity, we define partitions through out-of-sample predictive performance, thereby aligning data organization with predictive risk, defined as expected out-of-sample loss and approximated via validation error. Cluster assignments are iteratively updated using validation losses for both point (Huber) and probabilistic (pinball) forecasting, improving robustness to heavy-tailed errors and local anomalies. To ensure reliability, we introduce a leakage-free fallback mechanism that reverts to a global model whenever specialization fails to improve validation performance, providing a safeguard against performance degradation under a strict training-validation-test protocol. Experiments on large-scale traffic datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over strong baselines while avoiding degradation when heterogeneity is weak. Overall, the proposed framework provides a principled and practically reliable approach to adaptive pooling in high-dimensional forecasting problems.
Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization
Şen, Buse, Hu, Yifan, Kuhn, Daniel
We introduce Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) as a new paradigm for decision-making under uncertainty that combines aspects of multistage stochastic programming and conditional stochastic optimization. MCCO minimizes a nest of conditional expectations and nonlinear cost functions. It has numerous applications and arises, for example, in optimal stopping, linear-quadratic regulator problems, distributionally robust contextual bandits, as well as in problems involving dynamic risk measures. The naïve nested sampling approach for MCCO suffers from the curse of dimensionality familiar from scenario tree-based multistage stochastic programming, that is, its scenario complexity grows exponentially with the number of nests. We develop new multilevel Monte Carlo techniques for MCCO whose scenario complexity grows only polynomially with the desired accuracy.
Estimating Continuous Treatment Effects with Two-Stage Kernel Ridge Regression
We study the problem of estimating the effect function for a continuous treatment, which maps each treatment value to a population-averaged outcome. A central challenge in this setting is confounding: treatment assignment often depends on covariates, creating selection bias that makes direct regression of the response on treatment unreliable. To address this issue, we propose a two-stage kernel ridge regression method. In the first stage, we learn a model for the response as a function of both treatment and covariates; in the second stage, we use this model to construct pseudo-outcomes that correct for distribution shift, and then fit a second model to estimate the treatment effect. Although the response varies with both treatment and covariates, the induced effect function obtained by averaging over covariates is typically much simpler, and our estimator adapts to this structure. Furthermore, we introduce a fully data-driven model selection procedure that achieves provable adaptivity to both the unknown degree of overlap and the regularity (eigenvalue decay) of the underlying kernel.
Some Theoretical Limitations of t-SNE
t-SNE has gained popularity as a dimension reduction technique, especially for visualizing data. It is well-known that all dimension reduction techniques may lose important features of the data. We provide a mathematical framework for understanding this loss for t-SNE by establishing a number of results in different scenarios showing how important features of data are lost by using t-SNE.
Robust Low-Rank Tensor Completion based on M-product with Weighted Correlated Total Variation and Sparse Regularization
Karmakar, Biswarup, Behera, Ratikanta
The robust low-rank tensor completion problem addresses the challenge of recovering corrupted high-dimensional tensor data with missing entries, outliers, and sparse noise commonly found in real-world applications. Existing methodologies have encountered fundamental limitations due to their reliance on uniform regularization schemes, particularly the tensor nuclear norm and $\ell_1$ norm regularization approaches, which indiscriminately apply equal shrinkage to all singular values and sparse components, thereby compromising the preservation of critical tensor structures. The proposed tensor weighted correlated total variation (TWCTV) regularizer addresses these shortcomings through an $M$-product framework that combines a weighted Schatten-$p$ norm on gradient tensors for low-rankness with smoothness enforcement and weighted sparse components for noise suppression. The proposed weighting scheme adaptively reduces the thresholding level to preserve both dominant singular values and sparse components, thus improving the reconstruction of critical structural elements and nuanced details in the recovered signal. Through a systematic algorithmic approach, we introduce an enhanced alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) that offers both computational efficiency and theoretical substantiation, with convergence properties comprehensively analyzed within the $M$-product framework.Comprehensive numerical evaluations across image completion, denoising, and background subtraction tasks validate the superior performance of this approach relative to established benchmark methods.
Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability
Andreyev, Arseniy, Ananthkumar, Advikar, Walden, Marc, Poggio, Tomaso, Beneventano, Pierfrancesco
Recent work suggests that (stochastic) gradient descent self-organizes near an instability boundary, shaping both optimization and the solutions found. Momentum and mini-batch gradients are widely used in practical deep learning optimization, but it remains unclear whether they operate in a comparable regime of instability. We demonstrate that SGD with momentum exhibits an Edge of Stochastic Stability (EoSS)-like regime with batch-size-dependent behavior that cannot be explained by a single momentum-adjusted stability threshold. Batch Sharpness (the expected directional mini-batch curvature) stabilizes in two distinct regimes: at small batch sizes it converges to a lower plateau $2(1-β)/η$, reflecting amplification of stochastic fluctuations by momentum and favoring flatter regions than vanilla SGD; at large batch sizes it converges to a higher plateau $2(1+β)/η$, where momentum recovers its classical stabilizing effect and favors sharper regions consistent with full-batch dynamics. We further show that this aligns with linear stability thresholds and discuss the implications for hyperparameter tuning and coupling.
A short proof of near-linear convergence of adaptive gradient descent under fourth-order growth and convexity
Davis, Damek, Drusvyatskiy, Dmitriy
Davis, Drusvyatskiy, and Jiang showed that gradient descent with an adaptive stepsize converges locally at a nearly-linear rate for smooth functions that grow at least quartically away from their minimizers. The argument is intricate, relying on monitoring the performance of the algorithm relative to a certain manifold of slow growth -- called the ravine. In this work, we provide a direct Lyapunov-based argument that bypasses these difficulties when the objective is in addition convex and a has a unique minimizer. As a byproduct of the argument, we obtain a more adaptive variant than the original algorithm with encouraging numerical performance.