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 Statistical Learning




Supplementary Material for the Paper " Joints in Random Forests "

Neural Information Processing Systems

Then f (x) = p( Y | x), provided that p (x) > 0. Proof. Since the GeDT is deterministic, it has at most one non-zero child. Before proving Theorem 2 we need to introduce some background. We are now ready to prove Theorem 2. Proof. (see also proof of Theorem 1). Here, we assume for simplicity that all variables are continuous.



Smooth And Consistent Probabilistic Regression Trees

Neural Information Processing Systems

Regression (PR) trees, that adapt to the smoothness of the prediction function relating input and output variables while preserving the interpretability of the prediction and being robust to noise. In PR trees, an observation is associated to all regions of a tree through a probability distribution that reflects how far the observation is to a region.





Answering Complex Causal Queries With the Maximum Causal Set Effect (MCSE)

Neural Information Processing Systems

This article proposes a framework for parameterizing such complex causal queries as the maximum difference in causal effects associated with two sets of causal variables that have a researcher specified probability of occurring. We term this estimand the Maximum Causal Set Effect (MCSE) and develop an estimator for it that is asymptotically consistent and conservative in finite samples under assumptions that are standard in the causal inference literature.